There were three new polls this week, from Essential Research, YouGov and ReachTEL, but I’m lacking a complete set of results for the latter, and am thus able to include only the first two in the weekly update of BludgerTrack. This is a bit unfortunate, as ReachTEL would have leavened the effects of two bad results for the Coalition. As a result, BludgerTrack records a lurch to Labor this week that may not be replicated next week, unless Newspoll is also bad for the Coalition (which, of course, it may very well be). Labor’s three gains on the seat projection consist of one each from Queensland, Western Australia and South Australia. Nothing new on leadership ratings. As always, see the sidebar for full results.
1,126 comments on “BludgerTrack: 54.4-45.6 to Labor”
My reading is that most voters simply prefer to kick out an unpopular Prime Minister themselves than have it done for them, especially when they haven’t been in office for very long. Certainly, I think that was ultimately the reaction to Rudd and Gillard’s respective axings, even if each did recieve a bit of a bounce at the time.
The exception being Abbott, who was just so spectacularly awful that everyone was quite happy for there to be a late night coup by the faceless men if it meant they were rid of him.
I don’t think Turnbull has reached those depths yet. Right now, it’s just your typical “we’ll be voting for the opposition come election day” level of toxicity, not “please, someone, just make it stop.”
Also, I’d imagine that people are really starting to see the problems as being with the core of this government itself, not just Turnbull, while it was a lot easier for the Coalition to just pin all their stuff-ups, bastardry, and broken promises on Abbott last time. I doubt that will work for Turnbull’s successor.
In short, they’re pretty fucked.
Roger bottomley @ #1076 Sunday, December 3rd, 2017 – 7:22 pm
The blackguards even try to claim the legacy of former Labor PMs and Governments when it suits their nefarious purposes. Contemptible.
Marsh got hit on the top of the pad roll. The hot spot shot to my eyes showed the ball levelling out.
I have never been a fan of that so called piece of technology after the developers admitted it can be fiddled with during the match. The clincher was one of Warnes deliveries. The poor thing had a heart attack and came up with some ridiculous trajectory.
It’s a toy and not a very good one. The umpires aren’t perfect but I don’t think they’re that poor.
Oh, sweet jesus, not cricket commentry. Quick, someone start talking about the weather again!
@Aqualung, the scorebook will show a century , hopefully a not out one.
Aqualung @ #1103 Sunday, December 3rd, 2017 – 4:46 pm
Referees and umpires are a part of the game. You accept their decisions and move on.
Especially in AFL grand finals even if the umpires do something controversial, like awarding Bob Dylan a Nobel Prize.
I’ve always said Marsh was a great batsman! 🙂
Good summation Asha.
My friends – generally Labor voters – feel some sympathy for Turnbull. I try to disabuse them of that.
Shorten should win.
He will be very effective. Like Howard was. He will run a good cabinet. But he will be incrementally progressive. I suspect he will be as revered, in time, as Hawke.
The worst thing about being Bob Dylan would be being Bob Dylan.
Asha Leu @ #1104 Sunday, December 3rd, 2017 – 7:47 pm
It could be worse. Say, AFL?
Sonar put any batsman in place of Marsh from either side and I would feel the same way. Of all the technology being used this has to be the worst.
Good luck to Marsh. He’s on his eighth second chance and things had to go his way sooner or later.
Bemused, while you infuriate me ( as a 10 year lurker here) I love your commitment.
In the Labor trenches, I want you by my side.
Sunday, December 3, 2017 at 6:40 pm
Note that the Barnaby bull is well endowed in a certain topical area.
I sure did but being the lady I am refrained from commenting, but thought Barnaby had to have “something” going for him 😀
Poroti worked perfectly. The icon I was trying to do was top hat which is used on Twitter for Turnbull!
So Aqualung. Tell me about Mitchell Marsh.
Roger apparently he’ll play in this series if you believe what the cricket writers have heard. And I believe I was criticising a piece of technology not a cricketer.
Roger bottomley @ #1113 Sunday, December 3rd, 2017 – 7:56 pm
Huh? How do I infuriate you?
Dan Gulberry @ #1103 Sunday, December 3rd, 2017 – 7:51 pm
I heard that Bod Dylan is taking it one tune at a time!
For some reason Glenn Mcrath is commentating on BBC radio.
Every sentence starts with “well arrr yeah nah…”
FFS. Ch9 would be better,
Greensborough Growler @ #1119 Sunday, December 3rd, 2017 – 5:10 pm
And he doesn’t want any accolades for himself, he’s just happy if the whole band plays well.
Sunday, December 3, 2017 at 5:53 pm
The Coalition game plan is now clear, IMO.
Run up the debt. Destroy the tax base. Force the GST up to 20%.
With the eager help of the Greens Party, of course.
BW you need a cup of tea, a Bex, and a good lie down.
Not really Bemused. You infuriate many others. Maybe that’s what causes me to pause, comrade.
To start a new topic. I am enjoying reading the latest book by George Monbiot – “Out of the Wreckage. A new politics for an age of crisis”.
I will drop one quote: relevance is for you to debate.
Nice try BK. Unfortunately, your original prognosis of Steven Smith is recorded !