No change on voting intention this week from Essential Research, with Labor continuing to lead 54-46 on two-party preferred (UPDATE: Actually, it was 53-47 last week. Labor is up a point on the primary vote to 38%, the Coalition is down one to 36%, the Greens are down one to 9%, One Nation is steady on 8%). Monthly leadership ratings confirm Newspoll’s picture of declining personal support for Malcolm Turnbull, who is down five on approval to 37% and up six on disapproval to 49%. However, Bill Shorten hasn’t done brilliantly either, being down two on approval to 35% and up four on disapproval to 48%, and making only a slight dent in Turnbull’s 42-28 lead as preferred prime minister, which now stands at 40-28.
Other findings:
• Forty per cent approve of a requirement that for MPs to provide declarations about their eligibility, while 44% say this does not go far enough. Forty-nine per cent say MPs found to have been invalidly elected should should repay their public funding, compared with 30% who thought otherwise.
• Forty-five per cent felt the same-sex marriage postal survey was a bad process that should not be repeated; 19% felt it good, but not one that should be repeated; and 27% thought it a good process that should be used more often.
We only have the report from the Guardian to go on at this point, with primary votes to follow with the publication of Essential’s full report later today.
The fortnightly Fifty Acres-YouGov poll records a break to Labor, who are now 52-48 in front after uncharacteristically trailing 51-49 in their last few polls. However, the pollster’s distinguishing peculiarity – the strength of support recorded for minor parties – is more pronounced than ever, as the Coalition sinks five to 31% and Labor only picks up one to 34%, with One Nation up two to 11% and the Greens up one to 11%. As usual, the two-party total is based on a respondent-allocated preference flow that gives three-quarters of the One Nation vote to the Coalition.
The pollster also has its occasional personal ratings for a range of politicians, which are unusual in being relatively favourable over all, and having low uncommitted ratings. Contrary to the other pollsters, Malcolm Turnbull records little change since early September, with approval steady at 44% and disapproval down one to 47%. Bill Shorten is up two on approval to 45% and down two to 44%, and Pauline Hanson’s ratings are not unlike those of the major party leaders, with approval up three to 45% and down two on disapproval to 48%. Also featured: Richard Di Natale (up three to 29%, down six to 33%), Nick Xenophon (up one to 53%, steady on 28%), Bob Katter (up one to 37%, steady on 41%), Tony Abbott (up two to 36%, down one to 56%) and Christopher Pyne (steady on 32%, up one to 45%).
Other findings are that respondents want same-sex marriage legalised straight away if the survey result is yes, though 42% think opponents should vote with their consciences in parliament; they overwhelmingly favour a “full parliamentary audit” on Section 44; and they want a much harder line on tax avoidance and evasion.
Things getting nasty in Zimbabwe a real issue
Expect a civil war soon
Steven @ #950 Wednesday, November 15th, 2017 – 1:58 pm
Very sad for the people there.
If Mugabe gets tossed I doubt many tears will be shed for him.
C@tmomma. I’m embarassed by my electorate. Chifley. But also not surprised knowing the ethnic makeup of the area. And that’s probably true of most of those western Sydney seats.
Hughes is gone
Come on down, JIM MOLAN!
The National Party are probably secretly hoping that Molan has some section 44 issue and they get the seat back.
Aqualung :
Please give a thought for us poor souls in Mitchell (Alex Hawke & Hillsong territory!)
More than embarrassing.
Wow, Bridget Glanville being given a deserved bollocking on Twitter for her intemperate tweet highlighted yesterday by an observant bludger.
Re. Hollie Hughes disqualification for Fiona Nash’s seat: — Looks like the HC is sticking with the (black letter law) script, and is likely to do so with all the cases to come.
test – no comment visible since 6.45 pm
test – no comment visible since 6.45 pm
I checked for William’s new thread link, but can’t find one.
Ain’t nobody here, I guess.
Don – New Thread Link back two pages
https://www.pollbludger.net/2017/11/15/sex-marriage-survey-61-6-yes-38-4-no/
Mugabe goes down!
http://www.smh.com.au/world/soldiers-take-over-zimbabwe-broadcaster-explosions-heard-20171114-gzllue.html
In the euphoria about he amE decision yesterday, this one from the HC is also interesting.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-11-15/high-court-rules-hollie-hughes-ineligible-to-replace-fiona-nash/9153638
Given my cynical view of the legitimacy of her appointment to the AaT in the first place, I have no sympathy. Some members of the political establishment will again worry about the principle of the rules being applied to them. Get used to it. They have been above the law for too long.
As for the decision, isn’t the date of the replacement’s appointment the relevant date? So legally this seems straightforward to me.
There is a major conference on reducing GHGs in transport in Berlin at present. As usual our own policy lags far behind on this one. This is true of Federal and most State governments, Labor or Liberal. We still spend more on freeways, in per capita or % terms, than any other OECD nation.
http://thecityfix.com/blog/mobilizing-leadership-for-climate-action-in-the-transport-sector-angela-enriquez-linus-platzer/
Its as good a summary of the decision as any. Nice to think that George Pell and John Howard are also losers from the Yes decision yesterday. Tony Abbott will not really be a loser until the Act is passed. Have a good day all.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/nov/15/a-giant-feathery-wing-flapping-congratulations-to-the-yes-campaign
Australia’s Climate Performance Ranks Fourth Last On Long List
http://www.huffingtonpost.com.au/2017/11/15/australias-climate-performance-ranks-fourth-last-on-long-list_a_23277688/?ncid=edlinkauhpmg00000004?benref=theage