BludgerTrack: 53.2-46.8 to Labor

As chaos mounts in Canberra, the situation on the polling front remains eerily quiet.

The recent action and excitement in federal politics continues to make no impression on the polls. This week’s reading of the BludgerTrack aggregate nudges very slightly to the Coalition on two-party preferred, but the vagaries of state breakdowns cause Labor to pick up two on the seat projection, with a gain apiece in New South Wales and Victoria. The only new addition this week is the regular Essential Research result, which provided no new data on leadership ratings. Full results on the sidebar.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,510 comments on “BludgerTrack: 53.2-46.8 to Labor”

Comments Page 24 of 31
1 … 23 24 25 … 31

  1. Ciobo and Hunt must have a lot to talk about when they have a chance to have a private discussion – both in the pockets of property developers.

  2. Why doesn’t anyone ever ask the Trade Minister from the Coalition, who is talking about the TPP, to explain the functions of Investor State Resolution!?!

  7. That’s the first time I’d seen the footage of the Dastyari abuse. How horrible to get stalked by these assholes when you’re going about your private business!

    Though I loved Tim Watts’ response: what race is a dickhead?

  9. briefly @ #1096 Sunday, November 12th, 2017 – 2:14 am

    There is no “problem” in the absence of a HC case.

    The Labor argument is simple. None of their members are dual citizens. Those who were dual citizens prior to the close of nominations in 2016 completed acts renunciation in the specified format, as they were required to do. They were duly elected and are able sit in the Parliament. From their point of view, they were qualified to be chosen and they were so chosen.

    It may not be neat. But that is the situation.

    Good to see you back on the reservation Briefly.
    You are now addressing the issue currently confronting Parliament and doing so in a reasonable manner.
    We are on the same page.

  12. guytaur @ #1154 Sunday, November 12th, 2017 – 5:26 am

    KKeneally: Wow. He kept that under wraps. twitter.com/scottludlam/st…

    ” rel=”nofollow”>

    As posted in The Age

    So I assume Barnaby was:

    senator and deputy Greens leader.

    What happened:

    kicked out Parliament by the HC for being a dual New Zealand citizen.

    I can now see some of Pyne’s confusion!

  13. Hilarious. Stutchbury complaining about how politics is fragmented and polarised. It’s been the Liberal party under Abbott, goaded on by Murdoch’s press that has fueled that polarisation.

  17. mrbenjaminlaw: @JarrodBleijieMP @SteveDicksonMP Also over journalism’s lazy reliance on “she said/he said” stories passing as balance. Check the facts. If someone’s blatantly lying, tell the reader.

  19. PaulBongiorno: @BevanShields @Raf_Epstein Not all suspects are in the same boat. Labor and NXT have documents to show they renounced ahead of nomination. Alexander and Parry clearly didn’t. The HC judgement at paras 70 & 72 can be read two ways. Turnbull’s opinion political, his legal advice suss – again!

  20. lizzie,

    Fact check on the Le Lievre cartoon.

    My understanding is not turbans are feature of the Sikh religion not Hindu. 🙂

  22. Middleton

    Turnbull needs to have a plan for coping with dissension after the poll is declared and she doesn’t think he ever thinks forward.

  24. What a horrible sentence below.

    I claim a lack of caffeine.

    Re-write.

    My understanding is that turbans are a feature of the Sikh religion not Hindu.

  27. Stutchbury reveals his colours. Call equality granting extra rights. This while all the panellists ignore State Federal divide.

    What legislation Labor put in place under Rudd does the LNP want to remove?

  32. http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-11-11/manus-island-authorities-prepare-to-move-in-as-deadline-looms/9140872

    I found this very interesting mainly for the comments.

    Question to self.
    Why did you not understand that Mr. Dutton (thank goodness) is protecting us from these evil lefties (protesters) and illegal immigrants ❓

    ShockedAgain
    19 hours ago

    The behaviour of the demonstrators in Sydney was appalling. Why have their been no assault charges? The Left is , it seems, aggressively intolerant. Who was it who said that inside (” nearly every”-my modifier) every Leftie is a little Robespierre waiting to break out?

    Right on brother.

    And so on, and so on.
    I have been such a fool. Why did I not know that there are more than seven virtues.
    Bastardry is a late breaking addition.
    Psychopathy another.
    For want of a better descriptor the “Eff you jack, I’m all right” syndrome now goes to the head of the list.

    ………………………………………………………………………………….
    If I had my druthers. All the poor victims would be in Australia.
    Forced education for dumb bastards would be instituted starting tomorrow. Would somebody please supply a list of suitable candidates please ❓
    Brown Bear and I will be working on the educators (electric shock machines – once used in experiments to show that almost anybody would have worked in the Nazi death camps) supplied and maintained.

    I note that lack of caffeine is being used as an excuse for errors of all kinds – and rightly so. ❗

    Mowing for KayJay again.
    😇😇😇
    Toodles.
    E&OE

  34. The Government claims that the rejected asylum seekers at Manus are not their responsibility.

    If that is true how is it that they can stop NZ from taking 400 of them?

    Does anyone here actually know what the basis of this claim is?

    Is it a matter of written agreement between the C’wlth and the PNG Government?

    (You’d think the PNG Govt would be more than happy for the asylum seekers to be gone!)

  35. Russia investigation is officially finished, finding that there is nothing to see?

    Trump says election distraction is putting lives at stake

    Mr Trump said Mr Putin had reiterated that he did not meddle in last year’s US presidential elections, which brought Mr Trump to the White House.

    “He says he didn’t meddle. I asked him again. You can only ask so many times,” Mr Trump said.
    “Every time he sees me, he said: ‘I didn’t do that.’ And I believe, I really believe that when he tells me that he means it.”

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-11-11/trump-says-us-deal-with-russia-on-syria-will-save-many-lives/9141522

  37. Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern has blasted Australia’s handling of the refugee crisis on Manus Island as unacceptable as she seeks another meeting with Malcolm Turnbull on the issue.

    Ardern has continued to push New Zealand’s offer to accept 150 refugees and asylum seekers from Australia’s offshore detention centres since her first face- to-face meeting with her Australian counterpart in Sydney a week ago.

    http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=11943121

  38. CTar:

    According to Pyne they aren’t Australia’s responsibility because the detention centre has been closed and the asylum seekers are “squatting” there of their own volition.

    The obvious question as you say, is how then can we refuse NZ offer of resettlement. I wonder if that question has been put to the govt?

  39. From the last paragraph of PaulB’s article yesterday in the Saturday Paper on the SSM result this week:

    “Turnbull is determined to deliver on his promise that if the survey is affirmative, same-sex marriage will be quickly legislated through the parliament. It should be a chance for him to get on the front foot. After all, he promoted the cause for change. But such is the pessimism on the government backbench some say he can’t be counted on to make even this a winner.”

    Imagine if Turnbull was an effective leader, given the SSM plebiscite, someone smarter would have see the polls and ‘owned’ the process to actively campaign and sponsor a bill through parliament. There aren’t many issues that are contested that have consistently polled at 60-40%.

    All Turnbull has done is said he and Lucy would vote yes and ‘encouraged ‘ others to do the same.

  40. BiGD

    “He says he didn’t meddle. I asked him again. You can only ask so many times,” Mr Trump said.

    “Every time he sees me, he said: ‘I didn’t do that.’ And I believe, I really believe that when he tells me that he means it.”

    Putin’s press secretary when asked if this was so answered with a flat “No”.

  43. Ardern was asked and sees the Australian government as responsible for the refugees and so won’t negotiate with PNG, just the Australian government.

  44. Craig Emerson‏ @DrCraigEmerson · 12h12 hours ago
    LNP is recommending preference votes for One Nation but says it’s not a deal. More slippery politics. It IS a deal.

    http://www.news.com.au/national/breaking-news/lnp-will-put-greens-last-on-vote-cards/news-story/92a5b18ab46c6f3d3b35f9bcd74642cc

    Annastacia Palaszczuk has vowed to remind Queenslanders “every single day” that a vote for One Nation will help Opposition Leader Tim Nicholls become the next premier of the state.

    Her declaration came after the Liberal National Party announced it would reserve the last spot on its how-to-vote cards for the Greens in the upcoming state election, but also ask voters to put One Nation above Labor in a swathe of seats.

    “There is a deal – the deal is now there on the table for everybody to see,” Ms Palaszczuk said after pledging $5.5 million to transform a government warehouse into a sports complex in Brisbane’s north.

    “I will be reminding Queenslanders of this deal every single day.”

  45. In my opinion Turnbull will attempt to pass the legislation and be thwarted by the people who have been thwarting him for the last three years and it will tear the party apart. That or they’ll delay it until ‘after the next election’ and that will hopefully widen the gap in the polls a bit.

    I don’t believe for a second that SSM will pass under an LNP government.

  46. guytaur @ #1187 Sunday, November 12th, 2017 – 10:02 am

    Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern has blasted Australia’s handling of the refugee crisis on Manus Island as unacceptable as she seeks another meeting with Malcolm Turnbull on the issue.

    Ardern has continued to push New Zealand’s offer to accept 150 refugees and asylum seekers from Australia’s offshore detention centres since her first face- to-face meeting with her Australian counterpart in Sydney a week ago.

    http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=11943121

    Her message should be “F***k off Malcolm, this is between PNG and NZ.”

  47. Yes, John.

    You rightly make the observation that Turnbull’s advocacy for ME during the postal thingy was a magnificent and inspirational defence of the idea of equality for all citizens.

    Insipid prick! 🙁

  48. JR

    Ardern was asked and sees the Australian government as responsible for the refugees and so won’t negotiate with PNG, just the Australian government.

    I wondered if something like that was the ‘problem’.

    Playing politics.

  49. Howard did not – and in all likelihood probably still does not – understand telecommunications. He was satisfied to upgrade from rotary dial to push button telephone, but he did not appreciate that Australia was unique in the world for having a singular telecommunications network that spanned the whole continent, and that the same single network operated and managed frequencies across the whole spectrum. Howard did not comprehend, nor hold allegiance to, the universal service vision of the founding fathers of Australia’s Postmaster-General’s department.

    But some players wanted part of the action where they could double dip into the national economy and told John Howard that he needed to sell Telstra — and so he did.

    Uncle John claimed that Governments had no business being involved in telecommunications, then he allowed the takeover of Australian carrier Optus by the Singaporean Government in 2001.

    The smoke and mirrors used to sneak the sale of Telstra past the voters included the fiction that competition would bring about reduced costs. In reality, this was an era of technical changes that made equipment more compact and reliable, and much cheaper to operate.

    Howard promised to use the proceeds of the first sale tranche to rehabilitate the Murray-Darling Basin – at that time suffering from toxic algae bloom due to poor land management – but all he conceded was some new fencing for a few squatters.

    Read more…
    https://independentaustralia.net/business/business-display/the-good-the-bad-and-the-unsatisfactory-how-the-worst-nbn-was-done,10920

  50. CTar1 @ #1198 Sunday, November 12th, 2017 – 10:09 am

    JR

    Ardern was asked and sees the Australian government as responsible for the refugees and so won’t negotiate with PNG, just the Australian government.

    I wondered if something like that was the ‘problem’.

    Playing politics.

    How can Turnbull simultaneously maintain that the AS are not Australia’s responsibility but PNG’s and seek to veto some going to NZ?

Comments Page 24 of 31
1 … 23 24 25 … 31

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *