Section 44 end game: New England by-election

December 2 looming as a red-letter date for the Turnbull government, as the High Court orders the Deputy Prime Minister back to the polls.

The High Court brought down its momentous ruling on the “citizenship seven” early this afternoon, which has resulted in four Senators (Larissa Waters and Scott Ludlam of the Greens, Fiona Nash of the Nationals and Malcolm Roberts of One Nation) and one member of the House of Representatives (Barnaby Joyce) losing their seats. Not disqualified are Nationals Senator Matt Canavan and Senator Nick Xenophon, the latter of whom will shortly be leaving anyway. The full judgement can be read here.

Broadly speaking, the court’s unanimous decision has been to take a black-letter, conservative approach to the meaning of the section, and accept the reasoning established by the court in the Sykes v Cleary ruling in 1992. It has rejected the dissenting opinion of Justice William Deane in Sykes v Cleary, who argued the second limb of the section 44(i), ensnaring any person who is “a subject or a citizen or entitled to the rights or privileges of a subject or citizen of a foreign power”, should be understood to apply only where such rights have been actively acknowledged. As such, the court rejected various shades of argument that it was unreasonable to expect members should divest themselves of citizenship rights they do not realise they possess.

Since the court’s ruling is that the five members are retroactively disqualified from running at last year’s election, their positions will be filled by countbacks in the case of the four Senators, and by a by-election in the case of Barnaby Joyce and his seat of New England. There appears to be no reason at law why disqualified Senators could not recover their seats if their replacements agree to resign and their parties choose them to fill the resulting casual vacancy, provided they have resolved their citizenship issues in the interim. However, in none of the cases does it appear that this will happen.

To consider their circumstances in turn:

Barnaby Joyce

Most importantly, the government is now down a Deputy Prime Minister, after the court found nothing to complicate Barnaby Joyce’s status as a dual citizen of New Zealand acquired through his father. Joyce must re-contest his seat at a by-election in his seat of New England in northern New South Wales. It appears to have been agreed within the government that this will take place as soon as possible, on December 2. For now it will suffice to observe that Labor last held the seat in 1913, and has not come close to doing so in living memory. If a threat should loom to Joyce, it would appear more likely to come from an independent or minor party candidate. One of the former might be Tony Windsor, the independent member from the seat from 2001 to 2013, who fell 8.5% short of unseating Joyce in 2016 (UPDATE: Windsor has ruled this out). It should also be noted that Shooters Fishers and Farmers have polled strongly in three recent state by-elections, including a victory in the seat of Orange last year. It was presumably aided by the fact that One Nation is not officially registered at state level, a circumstance that does not apply at federal level. Ladbrokes is offering two betting options: $1.13 on Barnaby Joyce, and $5 on One Nation. Obviously a lot more will be said about this in weeks to come.

Fiona Nash

The court found nothing to complicate the fact that Nash is a dual British citizen through her Scottish-born father, which she had done nothing to renounce. The recount for her New South Wales seat makes life complicated for the Coalition in that it stands to elect a Liberal, Hollie Hughes, in place of a National.

Malcolm Roberts

Perhaps the least surprising aspect of the ruling was that Malcolm Roberts, who was born in India and did not properly renounce his British citizenship until six months after he was elected. The recount to replace him will elect Fraser Anning, about whom not much is known except that is a hotel owner from a farming background. Anning’s own eligibility appeared under a cloud due to bankruptcy proceedings but these were resolved early this month. Had it been otherwise, it would have been the fourth candidate on the One Nation who would have come into contention: Judy Smith, sister of Pauline Hanson. Suggestions that Roberts might find a way back to the Senate through the back door have been scotched by a media release on a party letterhead from Anning in which he is strongly critical of Roberts and others caught up in the controversy, and says he is “very much looking forward to being a Senator”. Roberts now says he plans to run at the looming Queensland state election.

Scott Ludlam

Here the situation was straightforward: Scott Ludlam was clearly a citizen of New Zealand, and hence ineligible under the first limb of Section 44(i). It appears to have been resolved that the Greens will accept the outcome of the recount process, which will deliver his Western Australian seat to the party’s number three candidate at last year’s double dissolution, 23-year-old disability advocate Jordon Steele-John.

Larissa Waters

The court also ruled that there was nothing to complicate the provision of Canadian nationality law that persons born in the country become citizens, and that her failure to renounce this citizenship rendered her ineligible. The recount will elect Andrew Bartlett, who held a Queensland Senate seat for the Australian Democrats from 1997 to 2008, and led the party in its terminal phase from 2004 to 2008.

Matt Canavan

Matt Canavan is off the hook because the court deemed he was not an Italian citizen. His difficulty related to the fact that he was included in a register of Italian residents abroad after his mother registered for citizenship and listed her children in the application form — which, among other things, entitled him to vote in Italian elections. However, Canavan never applied to become an Italian citizen, and the court was not of the view that the official status granted through this process amounted merely a “declaratory” acknowledgement of a status that existed in any case. The court has apparently opted to take a narrow view of the second limb of the sub-section, with his voting rights not deemed to make him “entitled to the rights or privileges of a subject or citizen”.

Nick Xenophon

Nick Xenophon has the status of a “British overseas citizen” through is Greek Cypriot father, by virtue of him having been born in a country that was a British colony at the time but has ceased to be so. The court ruled that this status does not amount to citizenship, or entitle him to the rights or privileges thereof, as it does not entail right of abode in the United Kingdom, nor entail a pledge of loyalty to it.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

845 comments on “Section 44 end game: New England by-election”

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  1. Good comment on Mark Kenny’s article:

    JaceOct 27 2017 at 6:17pm
    Malcolm Turnbull, on the rule of law and Sally McManus:

    “”I don’t think we’ve got a lot in common in terms of values… If she thinks she and the unions are above the law there’s not much work we can do with her I’m afraid.”

    Sally hasn’t broken the law. Barnaby has. And Turnbull turned a blind eye to the fact that there was a significant chance his deputy was in Parliament illegally.

    In other words: You are the standard you walk past.

  2. Sorry if this’s been discussed already.
    I was just asked this on facechook if true..

    “Commonwealth of Australia Constitution Act
    46 Penalty for sitting when disqualified
    Until the Parliament otherwise provides, any person
    declared by this Constitution to be incapable of sitting
    as a senator or as a member of the House of
    Representatives shall, for every day on which he so
    sits, be liable to pay the sum of one hundred pounds to
    any person who sues for it in any court of competent
    jurisdiction .

  3. Peter van Onselen‏Verified account @vanOnselenP 2h2 hours ago
    My god there’s plenty of overstating of the crisis the government (and the PM) faces. It’s certainly messy but that’s all…

    If Turnbull were a competent PM and leader then I’d agree. But alas for the govt it is Turnbull faced with this mess.

  4. BK:

    Unless the AFP report finds a direct link to Cash’s involvement I can’t see her standing down or resigning. And most esp if this happens during a parliamentary sitting week. Once parliament goes into recess it won’t have the impact it would otherwise have.

  5. briefly @ #44 Friday, October 27th, 2017 – 7:30 pm

    The democratic principle is generally that the legislature will be composed of members drawn from the body of eligible voters. This applies in the 15-16 Parliaments where I’ve had time to check.

    Good research. And of course this applies to Australia as well. What was your point?

  6. Fess

    Even if Michaela Cash remains in her portfolio, her wings and that of Turnbull have been severely clipped. They were attempting to be too clever by half, and they have been caught out. Their who,e strategy to smear Shorten and Labor is do em and dusted

  7. I’ve seen this subsection of the Fair Work Act quoted on here in the last few days –

    252 (5) An organisation must retain the financial records kept under subsection (1) for a period of 7 years after the completion of the transactions to which they relate.

    Along with comments along these lines –

    “ROC has refused 2 explain why AWU raided over 2006 docs when law requires docs only be kept for 7yrs -now says won’t answer due 2 leak probe”

    All this subsection says is that 7 years of such records must be kept.

    After seven years the records are no longer required and may be destroyed but the act does not direct that an organisation must destroy the records.

    There is nothing to say that such documents are not ‘discoverable’ simply because they could have been lawfully destroyed.

    Many organisations will keep these records for longer periods for operational reference purposes or other reasons.

    The Registered Organisation Commission (‘ROC’) it seems was aware that the AWU had such records and has sought to secure them from destruction.

    The ‘fact’ that they could have been destroyed is irrelevant.

  8. Vic:

    She should’ve been dumped after Hadgkiss and the revelations that emerged after her appointment of him. I just don’t think there’s a statute of limitations when it comes to how many times ministers in this govt can stuff up before they are forced to resign. I mean look at Brandis!

  9. So, if the Richo prediction (JBishop for PM) comes to pass, I would expect Malcolm to quit Parliament. What is the chances of the ALP subsequently winning Wentworth? You would think that Turnbull still has a personal following (though I suspect it’s rapidly shrunk) and the loss of this would make the seat winnable for the ALP.

    Tom.

  10. Peter van Onselen‏Verified account @vanOnselenP 29m29 minutes ago
    How many One Nation members of parliament have been removed under S.44 for loyalty to a foreign power all up now? Two or three? Hilarious…

    Even Roberts’ own website apparently decried foreign influence in our government.

    Too funny given today’s happenings.

  11. Vic:

    What’s alarming and should be alarming for Liberal supporters is there is no emerging talent. The talent we were led to believe were emerging (Christian Porter, Frydenberg, O’Dwyer, Cash) have turned out to be nothing more than incompetent third-rate bureaucrat wannabes.

    Total omnishambles!

  12. Are we sure there is nobody in New England who might give Barnyard a run? The Mayor of Tamworth? Does Windsor have a protege?

  13. Steelydan Friday, October 27th, 2017 – 4:57 pm Comment #1032

    If Joyce runs he wins, he just gained another percentage point today. He may go home to the family, gotta be on his mind.

    Strange comment, Steely. It infers that he’s not at ‘home’ usually with his family.

    But I do agree being at home with his family rather than in a motel down the road while he campaigns for his electorate is a good idea for him to consider.

  14. Confessions @ #102 Friday, October 27th, 2017 – 8:54 pm

    Peter van Onselen‏Verified account @vanOnselenP 2h2 hours ago
    My god there’s plenty of overstating of the crisis the government (and the PM) faces. It’s certainly messy but that’s all…

    If Turnbull were a competent PM and leader then I’d agree. But alas for the govt it is Turnbull faced with this mess.

    Aye.

    It would have been coined a full blown roaring crisis weeks ago and a GG / media props calling for a dismissal!

    But tory privilege. Vested media coverage.

    Electorate who don’t really give a Fcuk.

    Until it bites them on the Bum and then too late.

  15. CTar – Think SD was ‘suggesting’ Barnaby might not re-stand for election.

    Highly unlikely IMO.

    Likely, very, very likely voters will return him.

    So Kiwi Joyce will return – like a stale fart.

    Bigger, redder and more obnoxious then ever.

    But hopefully having damaged the Nats/ Tories in some way

  16. The ‘instability ‘ factor will be important for the by election, the conservative voters won’t be able to lodge a protest vote with another conservative, because of the risk of delivering a
    Labor government.

    If Barnaby hadn’t renounced his NZ citizenship, he would still be able to buy property there.

  17. Wages are generally not reclaimed because these people have acted in good faith and performed the duties of their office. In the case someone had not done that work or had deliberately sat in violation of the Constitution the wages would be reclaimed.

  18. Barnaby might be feeling down, but he can take comfort in some real achievements. He has been in parliament for 13 years, all this time inelligible! In reality, he had no legitimate job. Yet he got paid for much of it on a minister’s salary, and recentle as DPM at $400k per year. Over the 13 years he must have taken at least $3 million out of the system, all inelligibly. Not to mention the office fit-out. He can justly lay claim to being the New Zealand citizen who has ripped off Australia taxpayers for more than any other. So, was he not Australia’s highest paid person without a real job? Compared to him, the Murdoch’s mythical Paxton family were rank amateurs.

    Arise Sir Barnaby, Lord of the Grifters.

  19. Dave:

    The next month+ is going to be interesting that’s for sure. I expect Joyce to be returned and for MT to claim it as a win even though he was very public at the start of this High Court drama expressing confidence that the court would find Joyce eligible.

    Poor judgement as usual. He should’ve just deferred to the judicial system and not offered his own legal opinion.

  20. Coorey –

    The Turnbull government faces a testing byelection, risks having ministerial decisions reversed, and has lost its majority, leaving it exposed to challenges to penalty rate cuts and a banking royal commission, after the High Court disqualified five MPs and Senators, including Barnaby Joyce.

    The full bench of seven justices ruled unanimously that all five disqualified MPs were in breach of section 44(i) of the Constitution on the grounds they were dual citizens when elected.

    …Mr Joyce is the most serious casualty and his dismissal is at odds with repeated assurances by Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull that the Deputy Prime Minister would be cleared. He used this confidence to reject demands Mr Joyce and Ms Nash stand down from the ministry until their fates were known.

    …Mr Turnbull immediately announced a review of section 44, hinting it could be changed by referendum to prevent further fiascos like the citizenship seven. Or there could be change in the law to enable people to renounce dual citizenship after they have nominated for Parliament.

    …This leaves the government with 74 MPs on the floor ranged against 74 Labor and crossbench MPs. Should there be a tied vote, the government will need the casting vote of Speaker Tony Smith

    …Decisions made on and after October 20, three months after they were sworn in as ministers, are now open to challenge.

    These include the controversial relocation from Canberra to Mr Joyce’s electorate of The Australian Pesticides and Veterinary Medicines Authority (APVMA), the national registration authority for agricultural and veterinary chemicals.

    “We will be of course examining the decisions the Parliament has made, we will be looking at the decisions made by Senator Nash and by Barnaby Joyce as ministers, and of course we’ll be considering what we do when we return to Parliament,” Ms Plibersek said.

    …”We all buy the ticket, we know the risks,” Mr Joyce said straight after the judgement.

    “Now I am going to make sure that I don’t cry in my beer

    {Yea fcuking right! – tell us about it – wanker!}

    Read more: http://www.afr.com/news/pm-faces-byelection-loses-majority-20171027-gz9tn4#ixzz4whp5RNDn
    Follow us: @FinancialReview on Twitter | financialreview on Facebook

  21. Fess –

    I expect Joyce to be returned and for MT to claim it as a win even though he was very public at the start of this High Court drama expressing confidence that the court would find Joyce eligible.

    Yes – very much so.

    The Public will largely rollover as well probably – although I hope I’m wrong.

  22. Tom @ #108 Friday, October 27th, 2017 – 6:21 pm

    So, if the Richo prediction (JBishop for PM) comes to pass, I would expect Malcolm to quit Parliament. What is the chances of the ALP subsequently winning Wentworth? You would think that Turnbull still has a personal following (though I suspect it’s rapidly shrunk) and the loss of this would make the seat winnable for the ALP.

    Tom.

    Basically zero. Trumble holds Wentworth on a 17.75% margin, it’s the 8th safest L/NP seat in Australia. Brian got 62.26% of the primary vote. Next best was Labor on 17.73 and then Green on 14.86%.

  23. More Coorey –

    “Senator Cash said the Opposition Leader and the AWU might ‘have something to hide’ after failing to provide any evidence that GetUp! funding was properly authorised,” the paper reported in August when the referral was made.

    That “failing to provide” was failing to provide evidence to the journo who was demanding it.

    The donations were declared, but the ROC is demanding the AWU national executive minutes to see if the donations were approved at the time in accordance with union rules. Union sources say they were approved by the executive, either at the time or when the declarations were made to the Electoral Commission and spending reconciled.

    It really does seem a semantic exercise and one aimed to damage Shorten politically. Already scarred by the Coalition’s use

    But this backfired politically because the eagerness to maximise the political impact of the raids only further fuelled Labor accusations that the whole investigation was a political witch-hunt. And it exposed Cash to claims she misled Parliament because she had clearly not been thorough enough in quizzing her staff before claiming five times that neither she nor her office had alerted the press.

    …The more substantive issue is the creation and hamfisted use of such bodies as the ROC for overt political purposes. It is an abuse and sets a poor precedent.

    One day, maybe, a incoming Labor government may choose to return fire.

    Read more: http://www.afr.com/news/fallout-from-afp-awu-raids-fuels-labors-accusations-of-a-political-witchhunt-20171026-gz99mr

  24. Windsor on 7:30 Report after some discussion with Sales regarding the conduct of the last election and the ‘mud’ thrown says in regard to policy (starts just at the 2 minute point)-

    http://www.abc.net.au/7.30/tony-windsor-on-why-hes-not-running-against/9094888

    “Country politicians will live or die on what we do now for the future. Now if you want a second class NBN, you don’t mind that the water resources of the Liverpool Plains, the biggest water resource in the Murray Darling system being destroyed, you don’t care about the Great Artesian Basin, you don’t care about renewables and climate change and the NBN and what that is going to do to the dynamics of agriculture long term then keep voting the way you are.

    These people build a bridge here and there and these things are important but the biggest bridge in town is the NBN and these people have ignored it.

    In fact these people have relegated country people to a second class position.”

    He’s never quite jelled with me. He mentions the NBN first and scatters mentions of it all through his thoughts on the environment, water and renewables as though the NBN is the major factor in ‘saving the planet’.

    The implementation of the NBN is, of course, one of an inferior service being provided but it’s like other services in that it can be rectified in the future. It’s no different to public transport in that more and better bus or train services can be implemented to fix the services in the future without irreversible damage being done.

    No such certainty of a retrospective fix exists in regard to the environment and, I guess, that’s why I’ve always found him a little ‘off key’.

  25. Fess –

    Here’s Malcolm Roberts on Sky News

    Yep he’s reached the end of the plank for now, but sadly the banana benders may well put him into their state parliament very soon.

  26. CTar:

    If Windsor was running again his words might have salience. But he’s chosen not to run therefore his public comments can be taken with a large grain of salt. And I mean that as in a ‘who cares?’ kind of way.

  27. A future Labor Government may choose to return fire.

    ——————

    It’s odd isn’t it but it is very hard to imagine that ever happening.

    It is hard to imagine a party more mild and acquiescent as Labor.

    It sits by while everything they did in government is pilloried and reversed. In contrast it rarely reverses Tory actions.

    The labor movement seems to have lost its fire.

  28. “A future Labor Government may choose to return fire.”

    I would like to see it. Give a temporary minority Government what the Abbott Opposition gave the Gillard Government. Surely they could with the help of the independents exercise more control over Parliamentary proceedings and prevent the Government from shutting down debate. They won’t have the nation’s biggest media organisation acting as their propaganda arm but they should at the very least be able to embarrass and hopefully damage the Government.

  29. Good old Bob Katter:

    While Ms McGowan has assured the Government she will continue to offer support and supply, her crossbench colleague Bob Katter has taken a more radical view, describing himself as one of the most powerful people in Australia.

    “And won’t I be enjoying it,” Mr Katter said.

    He said he expected the change in numbers with Mr Joyce’s absence to mean a motion to set up a banking royal commission would succeed because LNP member George Christensen would cross the floor to support it.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-10-27/citizenship-seven-turnbulls-challenges-after-high-court-blow/9089944

  30. No it wont. It has Rudd on it doesn’t it?

    Rudd is trying to sell a book, so Qanda will be shite and un-viewer-worthy in that context.

    And it raises the question of whether the public broadcaster should be used to give a leg up to commercial ventures of this kind.

    In any case, I imagine only diehard Ruddists will be watching and cheering Qanda come Monday.

  31. dave

    on Cooreys

    …Decisions made on and after October 20, three months after they were sworn in as ministers, are now open to challenge.

    I doubt this is true. I think it more likely that any decisions made since they seriously came under question could be challenged.

    I’d think that Joyce and Nash have been still there appearing to be business as usual ministers but that they will have avoided exercising their specific ministerial powers since about the time Canavan stood down as a minister.

  32. Did anyone notice that while Pawleen was lauding Malcolm Roberts ‘service’ with him standing next to her she refered to him as Malcolm Robertson …

  33. His emphasis on the NBN is clever because he’s not talking about the future of the planet but of rural people. And shitty internet is something many rural people are very personal familiar with in a practical sense now rather than as a theoretical future things like the other issues.

  34. ‘fess

    Rudd is trying to sell a book

    Yep. Apparently this is volume one and he’s got volume 2 in the works (I wonder if it’s titled “Sh$t I’ve been doing since I got dumped”).

    The Q&A format trivialises the subject the panel are supposed to be discussing. It’s about CNN level current affairs.

    I haven’t watched it for years and having KRudd on there on Monday won’t change that.

  35. [Elaugaufein
    His emphasis on the NBN is clever because he’s not talking about the future of the planet but of rural people. And shitty internet is something many rural people are very personal familiar with in a practical sense now rather than as a theoretical future things like the other issues.
    ]

    I assume you’re talking about Windsor.

    That’s the thing with the NBN, it had the ability to inject life into rural communities and potentially take some of the pressures off our overgrown cities.

  36. Citizen

    He said he expected the change in numbers with Mr Joyce’s absence to mean a motion to set up a banking royal commission would succeed because LNP member George Christensen would cross the floor to support it.

    I’ll believe that Christensen is doing this when he’s done it and not before.

    Katter won’t even get a chance to bring this up in a way that it could could come to a vote in the sitting days remaining.

    Out of this gigantic waste of parliamentary time Turnbull will have another reason to not have any useful debate on SSM. His by Christmas decision date will sale past.

  37. CTar1,

    This book by Rudd is up to being elected PM.

    The next volume is about his time since first being elected PM.

    I heard him today interviewed and he has led a completely faultless life and those that have wronged him, in his eyes in any way are basically nonentities to him.

    It made listening to him very difficult.

  38. “Rudd was excellent on Jon Faine’s program this morning.”

    Yeah? Lately when i’ve seen him speak he just seems so self absorbed an annoyingly up himself.

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