ReachTEL: 53-47 to Labor

The ReachTEL poll for October comes in not a lot different from the ReachTEL poll for September.

The latest ReachTEL poll for Sky News, conducted last night from a sample of 2399, has Labor with a two-party lead of 53-47, unchanged from the last poll on September 28. So far the only primary vote numbers we have are inclusive of a 9% undecided rating: at first blush, they suggest the Coalition on around 37.5%, Labor on 38.5% and the Greens on One Nation on 10% apiece, although forced responses of the undecided would probably bring the major parties back a little. Those figures should be forthcoming soon-ish.

The poll also finds Malcolm Turnbull leading Bill Shorten 51-49 as preferred prime minister, down from 52-48. Malcolm Turnbull’s performance is rated good or very good by 25%, poor or very poor by 40%; for Bill Shorten, the corresponding numbers are 28% and 38.5%.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,128 comments on “ReachTEL: 53-47 to Labor”

Comments Page 3 of 23
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  2. jenauthor @ #97 Thursday, October 26th, 2017 – 7:32 pm

    We’ve all discussed the citizenship 7 ad nauseum but I haven’t changed my mind.

    I do not think the constitution should be an interpretive piece of literature. I reckon that it one document that really must be taken literally for the clarity it provides to all Australians.

    If the constitution is an anachronism, then it should be changed to reflect that, but interpreting it differently is unfair to those who have been subjected to it’s direct legality in the past.

    Yes! Agree 100%.

  3. bemused @ #96 Thursday, October 26th, 2017 – 7:27 pm

    Aqualung @ #85 Thursday, October 26th, 2017 – 7:16 pm

    And a big thank you to AR for the add on. I was under the impression it didn’t work on phones.

    👍

    It may be just that I didn’t hear of it earlier, but I have only been aware of it working on phones in the last week or so.
    PB is barely usable without it.

    My IT days are in the past but ‘the load rest of comments’ from my way of thinking starts to kill the resources on the phone once it hits about 600 to 700 comments.
    Back in my BI days I know we used to emphasise getting the db server to do as much of the work as possible. Especially sorting.
    Yesterday was bad. Today I couldn’t get the load button to work.


  5. briefly

    Cash is suitably dumb. You have to be dumb to get ahead in Lib-land. You have to be able to evince a loathing of unions and “The Left” and then you need to exhibit a kind of numb-toughness. She is a blunt instrument.

    Cash should resign not because of what she did but because she thought it was a good idea.

  6. Aqualung @ #102 Thursday, October 26th, 2017 – 7:44 pm

    bemused @ #96 Thursday, October 26th, 2017 – 7:27 pm

    Aqualung @ #85 Thursday, October 26th, 2017 – 7:16 pm

    And a big thank you to AR for the add on. I was under the impression it didn’t work on phones.

    👍

    It may be just that I didn’t hear of it earlier, but I have only been aware of it working on phones in the last week or so.
    PB is barely usable without it.

    My IT days are in the past but ‘the load rest of comments’ from my way of thinking starts to kill the resources on the phone once it hits about 600 to 700 comments.
    Back in my BI days I know we used to emphasise getting the db server to do as much of the work as possible. Especially sorting.
    Yesterday was bad. Today I couldn’t get the load button to work.

    I mainly use a notebook and have not experienced any problem.
    I only installed C+ on my phone a couple of days ago so don’t have a lot of experience with it yet.
    I seem to have a lot less problems generally than some others here. Do I lead a charmed life? Am I just lucky? I have no idea.

  7. I am disappointed about the indigenous voice thing.

    Successive govts just slap the first aussies down at every turn. Every attempt at dignifying them with a responsible place in our society is dashed.

    If it wasn’t for Whitlam and Keating I shudder to think how much worse indigenous self-image would be.

  10. I think on s44 that the Sykes decision was about the right sort of flexibility. Whilst reasonable efforts wasn’t definitively laid out it gave a reasonable work around the strict wording for those who are only frustrated from renouncing by the acts of a foreign power. But the court also made it clear that reasonable efforts was a high bar.

    They clearly defined that believing you weren’t a dual nat was of no interest to the court even if you’d renounced your former citizenship in an official Australian ceremony.

    In other words it was a pretty black letter decision with just the smallest touch of grey for those in really exceptional circumstances where being frustrated despite their best efforts would have been an injustice.

    That has the decided advantage in an inherently political situation of being clear and easily understood.

    I do think the majority of the court will be reluctant to risk bringing further uncertainty into the equation by allowing all sorts of new exceptions that basically amount to rewarding the kids that don’t do their homework.

    X’s case should be the only one that really has much to ponder.

  11. I missed some of the nesting. That explains my italics and formatting.
    Live and learn.
    I seem to have to do a manual refresh to see new comments. Have I missed something?

  13. AM hoping the AWU will manage to have the warrant deemed invalid and illegal tomorrow. Although at this stage it appears that Justice Susan Kenny expects to schedule a full hearing of the case for some later date.

  15. If the ROC did indeed fail to provide the AWU with a proper Notice to Produce, it can be deemed that the warrant provided for the raid was an abuse of power and therefore invalid.
    Let’s see what happens tomorrow.
    Also hopeful that Barnaby gets punted from parliament

  16. victoria @ #112 Thursday, October 26th, 2017 – 8:00 pm

    AM hoping the AWU will manage to have the warrant deemed invalid and illegal tomorrow. Although at this stage it appears that Justice Susan Kenny expects to schedule a full hearing of the case for some later date.

    Yes I think it’s unlikely much will come out of that tomorrow, but I also doubt plod will be handing over anything.

  19. I heard that yesterday when it happened GG and it sounded very dodgy.

    My suspicion is that they used it as a pretext, hoping it would not be questioned. But when it was by Kimberly Kitching, he realised that he would be found out if he didn’t correct the record.

    Both Bielecki and Enright seemed to gradually alter their evidence. Enright was decidedly confusing with contradictory clarifications.

  25. That’s where the AWU may have a point in court tomorrow.

    ROC had not issued a proper request for the document.

    The AWU had complied with all previous requests.

    Their is no evidence of the AWU having tampered with documents in the past.

    The documents in question have already been released to TURC.

    Why do you need a warrant?

  26. If the ROC and by extension the govt., knew what was good for them, they would cut their losses and allow the whole debacle to die a quiet death

  27. And Glover (ABC Sydney) and his so called Journos Forum were still pushing the line this arvo that the AWU had failed to produce documents per the request.

  30. Did Bielecki sent the cops to the wrong registered organisation? Should they have sent the cops to the other registered organisation that refused to produce documents?

  32. Cash will keep her job. The High Court decision will provide another distraction, the caravan will move on and people will forget about her.

  35. GG:

    From today’s Crikey email:

    Whether Turnbull was being cute in only asking Cash about her own actions and not those of her staff, or genuinely seemed to think a minister would personally pick up the phone to alert the media about an AFP raid, isn’t clear. But Labor duly pursued the issue in Question Time.

    “Given TV cameras turned up at the sites of AFP raids yesterday before even the Federal Police did, can the Prime Minister guarantee that his employment minister or her office didn’t notify anyone in the press gallery before the raid?” asked Tony Burke.

    Turnbull’s answer should have worried the government. Rather than give a clear answer reflecting that he’d done the appropriate due diligence and checked with his minister, he said: “the employment minister is, I think, in estimates even as we speak, so I’m sure she will be dealing with that, but I can assure … Well, that can be addressed. But I can assure honourable members opposite that the real question here is: what happened to that $100,000?” As any fan of Yes, Minister know, when a politician says “the real question is”, they’re in trouble.

  39. [victoria
    PeeBee

    I reckon Bielecki couldn’t keep his story straight]

    Hand picked by the Minister.

    I think that says it all!

  40. Hmmm

    Sally McManus
    Sally McManus
    @sallymcmanus
    I heard a rumour that Cash could be destroying evidence of something far bigger than a GetUp donation. I wonder how many

  42. Try again

    Sally McManus
    @sallymcmanus
    I heard a rumour that Cash could be destroying evidence of something far bigger than a GetUp donation. I wonder how many AFP

  43. Bielecki was the one who let slip they got a telephone tip off. Enright then refused to address any questions about the tip off citing the court case. Enright looked more and more rattled as the night wore on. Doug was laughing at him towards the end.

  44. Confessions @ #131 Thursday, October 26th, 2017 – 8:29 pm

    Cash will keep her job. The High Court decision will provide another distraction, the caravan will move on and people will forget about her.

    She does have a rather unpleasant habit of reminding people that she exists.

    The Libs are obviously banking on it all blowing over, but we haven’t even started digging on this one (and you can be sure the AWU won’t be letting it go).

    We have yet to have ole Dave spill his guts on who his ‘media contact’ is. This isn’t any longer one of those usual AFP leak investigations where nothing happens and then they go ‘not enough evidence to lay charges’. Dave has confessed. So Dave is gonna have to grass up his mate. Then the mate will probably have to grass up someone else.

    It isn’t going to go away any more than Bronnie could get the world to forget the chopper.

    And so eventually the equation for Cash will be the same one it always is. The pain of keeping her will exceed the pain of trying to save her and under the bus with Dave she’ll go.

  45. Third time lucky

    Sally McManus
    @sallymcmanus
    I heard a rumour that Cash could be destroying evidence of something far bigger than a GetUp donation. I wonder how many AFP

  47. Dan G:

    Is there a statute of limitations on the number of times Cash reminds people she’s a goose before she loses her job? I’ve lost count of the times I’ve seen her humiliate herself or act inappropriately for a minister.

  50. Poroti

    Why does Australia seem to have such a long history of immature, unprincipled politicans?

    With little regard for democratic or Parliamentary conventions or standards. To whom nothing matters, least of all the country, but their political career.

    Perpetually tagging along as muppets to some other grasping merchant Empire, like teenagers lacking the courage to grow up and leave home.

    Who have no values to encourage or lead to being a greater nation but have perfected the easy corruption of fear and greed and nastiness.

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