Essential Research: 52-48 to Labor

The Coalition retains its relatively encouraging voting intention result from Essential Research, as mixed signals emerged about its new energy policy.

The Guardian reports the Coalition has retained its two-point gain from last week on the Essential Research fortnight rolling average, with Labor’s two-party lead steady at 52-48 – primary votes will be with us later today. The poll also records 75% of respondents having voted in the same-sex marriage survey, with 60% having voted yes (down four from three weeks ago) and 34% no (up four).

Other questions related to energy policy, with 35% expressing approval for the government’s new national energy guarantee, 18% disapproval, and 47% unable to day. Only 16% thought it would reduce power prices, compared with 31% who said it would increase them, and 31% who felt it would make no difference. Thirty-two per cent expressed support for the end to renewable energy subsidies in 2020, with 41% opposed; 35% supported the replacement of the clean energy target with new reliability and emissions reductions obligations on retailers, with 32% opposed. Labor was “more trusted to reduce carbon emissions, invest in renewables, stand up to the power companies and develop a modern power grid”, but there was little in it on “reducing power prices or ensuring a reliable power supply”.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,288 comments on “Essential Research: 52-48 to Labor”

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  2. Thank you KayJay. Extra cream for you.

    I suppose I should be bothered to install AR’s stuff. Anybody have a link to the instructions? So many things to keep track of these days on computers and devices. Setting up my computer from scratch would take days.

  5. Members, including Ministers, should attend the Members’ Annex at 1:55 today for a pre-Question Time briefing with the Prime Minister.

    1. That’s very short.
    2. I thought someone said Mal had already departed.

  7. Thank you lizzie for waiting until I finished lunch.

    Now you have me wondering how Lib’s make babies… “Brace yourself darling, I’m going in”.

  8. If someone with Load More issues would like to do some debugging, find another old PB article with over 2100 comments and try the load more on it

  13. Quentin Dempster‏Verified account @QuentinDempster · 60m60 minutes ago

    Push just escalated to shove: @GetUp has now started a national campaign for a federal ICAC following threat of police raid of its offices.

  14. Gathering the entire Coalition HoR team for a 5 minute brief before QT?

    Has such a thing ever happened ever before? I mean what could you possibly say in 5 minutes other than ‘I resign’?

    An effort to whip up the enthusiasm?

    Instructions to chant “kill Bill” for an hour and a quarter?

    I do wonder if Tony might pipe up from up the back and ask if they can’t take some more time to discuss the political implications…

  19. I notice the ABC are saying the ROC investigation into AWU has ‘backfired’.

    Why focus on the bus backfiring? Why not focus on the bus of government being driven by power drunk maniacs 50km/h over the speed limit the wrong way down the Democracy and Independent Institutions only lane?

  22. Michaelia was reported as saying the ‘leaker’ who has resigned was very distressed. He would be, if he had done something previously regarded as normal, and suddenly it wasn’t and he lost his job.

  24. lizzie @ #2155 Thursday, October 26th, 2017 – 2:02 pm

    Michaelia was reported as saying the ‘leaker’ who has resigned was very distressed. He would be, if he had done something previously regarded as normal, and suddenly it wasn’t and he lost his job.

    Being prepared to take a bullet for the minister would be one of the top selection criteria. Dave will be pretty confident the Libs will look after him. Hell they even seem to have let him keep his work phone.

  25. lizzie
    Michaelia was reported as saying the ‘leaker’ who has resigned was very distressed. He would be, if he had done something previously regarded as normal, and suddenly it wasn’t and he lost his job.

    I took it she was suggesting the questioners should go easy, because he’s in a fragile way.

    The logic seems to be that we should go easy on criminals because they might hurt themselves.

  26. Question @ #2156 Thursday, October 26th, 2017 – 2:06 pm

    lizzie
    Michaelia was reported as saying the ‘leaker’ who has resigned was very distressed. He would be, if he had done something previously regarded as normal, and suddenly it wasn’t and he lost his job.

    I took it she was suggesting the questioners should go easy, because he’s in a fragile way.

    The logic seems to be that we should go easy on criminals because they might hurt themselves.

    Not the standard used against Craig Thomson or Peter Slipper – and neither were convicted. Was Thomson ever convicted of anything in the end?

  29. QT at the moment, Baaaaaaaaarnaby very quiet and subdued, not as florid as usual. Maybe told to lay off until he is re-elected.

    Balance of the animal farm very quiet and not very smiley or happy

  31. It’s not the leaker who needs to be hounded, it’s the Minister’s responsibility. Hound the one who gave him his orders, showing as much mercy and consideration as was accorded to Peter Slipper, Craig Thomson and, for that matter, Julia Gillard.

  32. Given how many convictions were overturned on appeal…

    Fair enough. But there were a LOT of convictions available for overturning. Quite a few remained.

  33. Simon Katich @ #2152 Thursday, October 26th, 2017 – 1:58 pm

    I notice the ABC are saying the ROC investigation into AWU has ‘backfired’.

    Why focus on the bus backfiring? Why not focus on the bus of government being driven by power drunk maniacs 50km/h over the speed limit the wrong way down the Democracy and Independent Institutions only lane?

    At least they’re admitting by implication that the whole thing was a political exercise. Not much, but it is the ABC.

  34. The standard required of the Abbott Opposition, of which Turnbull was a part, was that the presence of allegations were as good as a conviction. The demanded that anyone about who allegations were made resign. By the way, is Cash’s vote ‘tainted’?

  37. has properly resigned after a very, very wrong, improper act of indiscretion, and he was wrong to do what he has admitted to

    Oh great orator, if only they let you speak more we could witness the full rainbow of your verbal dexterity and wit.

  38. lizzie @ #2167 Thursday, October 26th, 2017 – 2:20 pm

    Shorten has said (repeatedly?) that he was casting no nasturtiums at the AFP but Turnbull enjoys accusing him of virtual treason.

    When it comes to the AFP I’m incredibly cynical. Turncoat’s answer just now makes me think that Colvin’s self-serving statement was concocted with the PM’s office just so that Turncoat could use it as a distraction mechanism.

  39. So..where are we? Seems that the person who leaked to Cash’s leaker is the next one that needs to be identified.

    Who do they work for??

    One person knows fer sure who it was, and he has already admitted to a serious crime and resigned his job. He is not a journo so no ethics involved in identifying who told him except…LNP style omerta maybe??

    Should be room here for the AFP to investigate and put the hard word on him as to his source. And frankly, i would expect them to be doing that.

  40. TWU Australia‏ @TWUAus · 3h3 hours ago

    Tales of Michaelia Cash media stunts: The day after she tore down a trucking safety tribunal we got a media query at 5.11pm asking for a response to a letter sent from her office. When we checked that letter got to us at 5.06pm #auspol

  42. “has properly resigned after a very, very wrong, improper act of indiscretion, and he was wrong to do what he has admitted to”

    He should have been sacked, not allowed to resign, and immediately been dobbed in to the AFP for compromising one of their operations.

    What if the AWU DID want to destroy or hide docs?? If one of the media who were tipped off had given a heads up to the AWU??? Would have blown the whole raid??

  44. TPOF

    You are not alone in your cynicism. 🙂

    Denise Shrivell‏
    @deniseshrivell

    LNP’s tactic today in #qt will be to call into question ALP’s support of AFP? Colvin’s statement set this up perfectly for them

  45. lizzie @ #2133 Thursday, October 26th, 2017 – 1:35 pm

    “Load more” never works properly on my mobile. If it adds more posts, half are out of order or in reverse order.

    What is your mobile?
    I now have an Android mobile and I use a Firefox browser on it.
    In the last week or so, AR has worked his wizardry so that you can now install C+ on a Firefox browser on a mobile. Makes all the difference.

  46. “Can the AFP raid Cash’s office? Please? With media present.”

    If i find out a raid is in the offing i’ll be sure to let the media know. 🙂

  47. Question @ #2135 Thursday, October 26th, 2017 – 1:40 pm

    Thank you KayJay. Extra cream for you.

    I suppose I should be bothered to install AR’s stuff. Anybody have a link to the instructions? So many things to keep track of these days on computers and devices. Setting up my computer from scratch would take days.

    On Firefox it is called PB Comments Plugin and just add like any other plugin.

  48. All this disparagement by the PM of his opponents cross-examination abilities. An admission he’s on trial and apparently pleased about getting away with something

  49. Can someone in the media count how many times in QT barnaby alleges the ALP don’t believe in blue collar workers? And how many questions he has answered without making that allegation in this session of Parliament?

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