Newspoll quarterly aggregates: July-September 2017

Newspoll’s breakdowns find the government sagging in Queensland, and regional areas more generally.

The Australian has published the regular quarterly Newspoll breakdowns by state, gender and age cohort, in this case accumulating polling conducted from July through September. Its numbers will be added to BludgerTrack to this week, and the state relativities will become more like Newspoll’s direction as a result. Taking into account that BludgerTrack rates Labor a point higher overall, which the addition of the new numbers won’t change, the distinctions between the two are worth noting: Newspoll has Labor at 52% two-party in New South Wales, compared with BludgerTrack’s 53.0%; in Victoria, it’s 53% versus 54.3%; in Queensland, 54% versus 50.4%; in Western Australia, 53% versus 53.3%; in South Australia, 55% to 58.0%. The other interesting feature of Newspoll’s numbers is that the five capital cities are only recording a 1.1% swing to Labor, compared with 7.7% elsewhere. This has been exacerbated by the latest figures, which reduce Labor by a point in the cities while boosting them by two points elsewhere.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

693 comments on “Newspoll quarterly aggregates: July-September 2017”

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  2. Swamprat

    Sydney Anglicans are known as “Low Church” ie very conservative. The rest of the major aus branches are much more progressive.

  6. Ides of March

    “Swamprat

    Sydney Anglicans are known as “Low Church” ie very conservative. The rest of the major aus branches are much more progressive.”

    ———

    Yes, I am aware the nicname for them is “low” church, but they also call themselves “Evangelicals” ….. as if they uniquely followed the “Gospels”.

  7. Henry

    “Michael Danby is a disgrace btw.
    Piss him off ALP.”
    ———

    No doubt, but continuing the low church theme, “let he who is without sin caste the first stone”.

    The ALP is riddled with disgraces.

  8. I’ve said this before, but Turnbull “leads” the Government in the same sense that the figurehead on a galleon of old led the ship. He is simply the front man for the decisions made by the dominant Far Right of his Coalition. He is a barrister who puts his client’s case to the best of his ability, regardless of his principles (if he has any) or the merits of the case. His party tolerates him because, while he is probably not a ‘true believer’ like Abbott (assuming Malcom still believes principles and positions he was espousing a few years ago), he provides a more acceptable face to an ugly hard right regime.

  12. Barnaby may be faking his accent or not (I doubt it, he is simply stupid and wouldn’t have that level of nuance) but he is the worst “agricultural” minister in history.

  15. briefly:

    This will be a community event for the public. Except now I’m torn! On the one hand I want Trump gone, but on the other if he’s still POTUS it adds to the salience of Beazley’s talk!

  16. Di Natale looking funky with his t shirt under a jacket look (A Stop Adani T Shirt no less), but sorry bro, it aint hipsterish.

  19. Ides of March,

    I believe the Sydney Anglicans are the richest of all the Anglican dioceses.

    I am sure a million pesos is small change to them. If they want to waste it all the better.

  22. BK

    “The HC should do the country a favour and boot this cretin Canavan from parliament!”
    ——–

    Call me cynical, i am sure the HC, like the ABC, will bend over backwards to accommodate the political needs of their fellow class.

    The law is always a political tool.

  32. I know I am disagreeing with the esteemed academic in constitutional law George Williams and nearly all on PB but you have got this one wrong.

    How will Waters handle it she will look like such a dill, talking about good people I think she is one of them absolutely the full loon though.

  33. Finally Republicans are starting to go public with their concerns about Trump.

    Senator Bob Corker, the Republican chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, charged in an interview on Sunday that President Trump was treating his office like “a reality show,” with reckless threats toward other countries that could set the nation “on the path to World War III.”

    In an extraordinary rebuke of a president of his own party, Mr. Corker said he was alarmed about a president who acts “like he’s doing ‘The Apprentice’ or something.”

    “He concerns me,” Mr. Corker added. “He would have to concern anyone who cares about our nation.”

    https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/08/us/politics/trump-corker.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=story-heading&module=first-column-region&region=top-news&WT.nav=top-news&_r=0

  34. And LOL!

    Senator Bob Corker‏Verified account @SenBobCorker
    It’s a shame the White House has become an adult day care center. Someone obviously missed their shift this morning.

  35. The Sydney Anglican Diocese Has Handed Over $1 Million To The “No” Campaign.

    Which pretty much tells you that the ‘No’ campaign, seeing as how much of the volunteer army organising events etc. is also coming from the Catholic Church and the Happy Clappers, this whole campaign is a proxy for religious control of the cultural practices that this nation allows.

  36. The Sydney Anglican Diocese Has Handed Over $1 Million To The “No” Campaign

    How is that not a waste of money this late?

  37. And Bob Corker is an actual friend of Trump, fellow Real Estate mogul from Tennessee, golfing buddy from before Donald Trump entered the political sphere, and early endorser. So not someone out of left field.

  39. C@t:

    Yes, Trump has apparently said no hard feelings in terms of Corker.

    I hope more Republicans start speaking out though against this dangerously incompetent president.

  40. C@tmomma
    The Sydney Anglican Diocese Has Handed Over $1 Million To The “No” Campaign.

    Which pretty much tells you that the ‘No’ campaign, seeing as how much of the volunteer army organising events etc. is also coming from the Catholic Church and the Happy Clappers, this whole campaign is a proxy for religious control of the cultural practices that this nation allows.

    Spot on observation C@t…completely spot on

  42. C@tmomma

    “the volunteer army organising events etc. is also coming from the Catholic Church and the Happy Clappers,”
    ———-

    i doubt many of the volunteers come from the Catholic Church. Unless you have evidence. Archbishop Fisher of Sydney (nicname “Boy George”) is a protoge of George Pell. Not representative at all.

  43. Confessions
    briefly:

    This will be a community event for the public. Except now I’m torn! On the one hand I want Trump gone, but on the other if he’s still POTUS it adds to the salience of Beazley’s talk!

    I think you’re safe, fess. Kim’s talk will inevitably take place before anything could conceivably upend Trump.

  47. Canavan is an absolute disgrace. I have written a lot of swears in this box and constantly had to delete them in the last 5 minutes.

  48. The Liberal party and National party are just on the wrong side of the SSM debate. It doesn’t matter how many excuses their MPs come out with to defend their stance, they just continue to be shown as out of touch on the issue.

  49. C@t

    “this whole campaign is a proxy for religious control of the cultural practices that this nation allows.”
    ———–

    Haha

    Of course, that’s what all ideologies are about especally most of the religious ones.

    How come islam is the favoured religion of liberals when it is massively more effective in controlling cultural practices than the declining christion religions?

    Indeed, it is not religion that has held back gay rights in Australia it is the Liberal National Party and the ALP.

  50. briefly:

    I have some ideas for O’Connor. At the very least Labor has to find a local candidate to field at the next election rather than importing someone unknown from up north.

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