Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor

Newspoll reports Labor’s two-party lead widening, and Malcolm Turnbull’s preferred prime minister lead narrowing.

The first Newspoll in three weeks is a 54-46, compared with 53-47 last time. On the primary vote, the Coalition is down a point to 36%, Labor is steady on 38%, the Greens are steady on 9% and One Nation is steady on 8%. Malcolm Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister has also been cut from 46-29 to 42-31, although this isn’t reflected in the leaders’ approval ratings, which have Turnbull’s net rating improving from minus 20% to minus 17% while Bill Shorten is unchanged at minus 20% (we will have to wait a little longer for the exact approval and disapproval numbers). The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1695. The Australian’s paywalled report is here.

UPDATE: The poll also records a narrowing in the lead for same=sex marriage, down six points since mid-August to 57%, with opposition up four to 34%. However, there is markedly higher support among those who have already voted or definitely tend to (61% to 34%) than among the non-definite (38% to 35%). However, only 15% say they have already voted, which surprises on the low side. A further 67% say they will definitely vote, with a further 7% saying they probably will. Support for the survey being held is down five points to 44%, with opposition up three to 46%. Another question finds 62% supporting “guarantees in law for freedom of conscience, belief and religion if it legislates for same-sex marriage”, with only 18% opposed. Kevin Bonham has a very thorough account of all the polling related to the survey.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,409 comments on “Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor”

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  2. briefly @ #1048 Tuesday, September 26th, 2017 – 1:16 pm

    The Un and the EU each accept – nay, they declare – we all share an intrinsic right to equality. The expression of equality in this jurisdiction requires the reform of the Marriage Act.

    NZ abandoned a homophobic reading of its Treaty obligations some time ago. We should do the same.

    Probably why the SSM lobby invented the term “Marriage Equality”. It doesn’t exist in reality. but, they were desperate to get the word “Equality” in to the wording to try and make it something it’s not.

  4. Simon Katich

    Well spotted 🙂

    Makes you wonder?
    Genesis is a true account. Total Believe 34%”
    Ghosts exist and can influence their will on the living. Total Believe 35%
    Angels and demons are active in the world. Total Believe 39%

    Should we vote for the Coalition. Total Believe 36%

  7. GG:
    “It doesn’t exist in reality. but, they were desperate to get the word “Equality” in to the wording to try and make it something it’s not.”

    Please explain how same-sex relationships are inferior to opposite-sex ones.

  10. P1:
    “So your argument is that same sex marriage is a human right because denying same sex marriage is a denial of human rights?”

    Yes. Or are LGBTIQ people not human in your world? Are we the demons that 30-something percent of the population believe exist in the world?

  22. I advise caution in using the term ‘human rights’ to justify a position – especially in a first world context. It is to easily abused (as P1 is showing you). Perhaps turn it around by saying ‘does allowing SS couples ‘marry’ impinge on others human rights?’. The answer is no – so let the dickie birds use the word.

  23. guytaur @ #1065 Tuesday, September 26th, 2017 – 1:33 pm

    P1

    Is equal treatment under the law a human right. Part of the whole rule of law thing?

    Equality is a human right. The UN HRC has ruled that defining marriage is up to each state, and that defining it to exclude gay marriage does not mean gay people are unequal.

    I’m sorry, but these are just facts.

    You can decry them, but you cannot deny them.

  24. Drew Barrymore

    “I am who I am because of the people who influenced me growing up, and many of them were gay. No one has any right to tell anyone what makes a family.”

    Sean Penn

    “I think that it is a good time for those who voted for the ban against gay marriage to sit and reflect and anticipate their great shame and the shame in their grandchildren’s eyes if they continue that way of support. We’ve got to have equal rights for everyone.”

    George Clooney

    “At some point in our lifetime, gay marriage won’t be an issue, and everyone who stood against this civil right will look as outdated as George Wallace standing on the school steps keeping James Hood from entering the University of Alabama because he was black.”

    Paul Newman

    “I’m a supporter of gay rights. And not a closet supporter either. From the time I was a kid, I have never been able to understand attacks upon the gay community. There are so many qualities that make up a human being… by the time I get through with all the things that I really admire about people, what they do with their private parts is probably so low on the list that it is irrelevant.”

    Ernest Gaines

    “Why is it that, as a culture, we are more comfortable seeing two men holding guns than holding hands?”

    Tennessee Williams

    “What is straight? A line can be straight, or a street, but the human heart, oh, no, it’s curved like a road through mountains.”

    James Carville

    “I was against gay marriage until I realized I didn’t have to get one.”

    James A. Baldwin

    “Everybody’s journey is individual. If you fall in love with a boy, you fall in love with a boy. The fact that many Americans consider it a disease says more about them than it does about homosexuality.”

    Keanu Reeves

    People were saying that David Geffen and I had gotten married and it just blew me away. Not that they thought I was gay, but that they thought I could land a guy that hot.

    Barack Obama

    Our journey is not complete until our gay brothers and sisters are treated like anyone else under the law.

    Will Smith

    If anybody can find someone to love them and to help them through this difficult thing that we call life, I support that in any shape or form

    Ricky Gervais

    Same sex marriage isn’t gay privilege, it’s equal rights. Privilege would be something like gay people not paying taxes. Like churches don’t.

    http://b-gay.com/celebrity-quotes-support-gay-equality/

  28. guytaur @ #1076 Tuesday, September 26th, 2017 – 1:41 pm

    P1

    Do you agree or disagree with Mr Gervais who is a better wordsmith than I am?

    Ricky Gervais

    Same sex marriage isn’t gay privilege, it’s equal rights. Privilege would be something like gay people not paying taxes. Like churches don’t.

    http://b-gay.com/celebrity-quotes-support-gay-equality/

    Didn’t he forge his career by being a full on plonker?

    I can see why you relate to him.

  29. Pair bond relationships that we make with each other are completely unequal before the law to the same relationships between straight couples. There can be no refuting of that basic fact.

  30. guytaur @ #1076 Tuesday, September 26th, 2017 – 1:41 pm

    Do you agree or disagree with Mr Gervais who is a better wordsmith than I am?

    Mr Gervais is a great wordsmith. Not, perhaps, such a great legal mind.

    As I have said, you can certainly campaign for gay marriage to be made legal. This is your right.

    But you would be well advised to stop campaigning on the grounds that it is a ‘human right’, because this is easily demonstrated to be untrue. Read Simon Katich’s post at #1072.

  31. P1
    ‘
    You just said equality was a human right. In this country equality means gay relationships have to be recognised in the exact same forms as heterosexual ones.

    Thats a human right

  35. GG sorry – but belittling Gervais as being into drink as a reason why his views might be wrong is classic misdirection, yet again.

    Kinda like me saying that your religious delusion means you are wrong on every count. Which I’m NOT saying.

  36. Many of the anti-marriage equality posts here are based on semantics – “it’s not a marriage”, it will involve “changing the meaning of a word” (as though language is static and never changes), “it’s not a human right – the UN HRC says it’s up to individual states”. Because that’s all you’ve got – you can’t be honest and say you don’t like gay people because you think we’re sinful or disgusting or whatever. But it’s not sufficient reason to deny the rights of others, even if only 36% of the voting population care enough to return their vote in favour of it, or if it affects only 0.36% of couples. You’re going to have to live with and accept it as a reality in the not-too-distant future. Get used to it.

  37. SimonBanksHB: The No campaign claim that if you vote YES you support:
    * polygamy
    * paedophilia
    * child abuse
    * incest

    Don’t get mad

    Get even

    Vote YES

  40. jenauthor @ #1085 Tuesday, September 26th, 2017 – 1:56 pm

    GG sorry – but belittling Gervais as being into drink as a reason why his views might be wrong is classic misdirection, yet again.

    Kinda like me saying that your religious delusion means you are wrong on every count. Which I’m NOT saying.

    I actually referred to the character he played in “the Office’ in which he originally made his name. So, do read stuff before going off on a tanty!

  42. albericie: Nun at my daughter’s school: So they don’t want to let 2 loving gays marry but it’s ok for 2 strangers on a TV show to marry at first sight?

  43. People with non-mainstream genders and sexual orientations have suffered terribly over the years. SSM is more than just being allowed to use a word. It signifies acceptance. It signifies that society realise they are not a threat, they are not freaks, they are just like everyone else; they are part of society. Furthermore, the love these couples feel for each other is no different to a ‘straight’ couples love – I would argue their love is in every way (perhaps bar one) ‘traditional’. So I subscribe to the belief this change actually strengthens the institution of marriage.

    It is a win win.

  45. GG I was commenting on the fact that you go the man not the issue.

    Whether that be a character (which you said a poster would empathise with bacuse of the drinking) or someone posting.

    Semantics/misdirection – whatever the argument of the “no” brigade – I still do NOT comprehend why none of them can answer the basic question as to WHY they feel the need to restrict the civil rights of one group in our society.

    Please answer that ONE question without misdirection or excuses.

  46. It signifies that society realise they are not a threat, they are not freaks, they are just like everyone else; they are part of society.

    It is truly terrible then that these people have to pass a popularity contest in order to enjoy their rights.

  47. GG – Meaning of plonker is yet another misdirection.

    That is still belittling someone else personally instead of answering that one central question

  50. **It is truly terrible then that these people have to pass a popularity contest in order to enjoy their rights.**
    It is indeed outrageous that the rights of a minority in a democracy is being determined by a postal survey.

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