YouGov-Forty Acres: Coalition 34, Labor 32, Greens 12, One Nation 9

A largely unchanged result on voting intention for a poll that records a slight improvement in Pauline Hanson’s personal standing, and growing concern about North Korea.

The latest fortnightly YouGov poll has Labor down a point on the primary vote to 32%, the Coalition steady on 34%, the Greens up two to 12% and One Nation down one to 9%, with the combined result for all others steady on an ample 13%. The respondent-allocated two-party result shifts a point in Labor’s favour to reach 50-50, with the Greens both increasing their primary vote and recorded a somewhat stronger flow of preferences to Labor. The results remain peculiar for the high overall level of minor party and independent voting.

Also featured are a comprehensive seat of leadership ratings: Malcolm Turnbull on 44% approval (down one on six weeks ago) and 48% disapproval (up one); Bill Shorten on 43% (up one) and 46% (down one); Pauline Hanson on 42% (up three) and 50% (down two); Richard Di Natale on 26% (up one) and 39% (up one); Nick Xenophon on 52% (up two) and 28% (up three); Bob Katter on 36% (up three) and 41% (down two); Tony Abbott on 34% (steady) and 57% (up one); and Christopher Pyne on 32% (up one) and 44% (steady). Other findings are that 66% are worried about North Korea, up 12% on eight weeks ago, with 29% not worried, down 11%. Fully 43% would support military action in response to the missile test, with an equal number opposed. Sixty-four per cent would support banning the niqab, with 26% opposed; for the burqa, 67% support and 24% opposition; but for the hijab, 29% support and 61% opposition.

The poll was conducted Thursday to Monday from a sample of 1032.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,400 comments on “YouGov-Forty Acres: Coalition 34, Labor 32, Greens 12, One Nation 9”

Comments Page 2 of 28
1 2 3 … 28

  2. The current High Court bench does not have any quiet members. Kate Richardson SC was quizzed by everyone save Keane J.

    One judge asking difficult questions is enough for Six or seven is exhausting.

  3. Steve777

    Dutton prides himself on his policeman’s ability to detect subterfuge beneath apparently innocent actions.

    So he is suspicious of everyone and always thinks the worst. That is very obvious when reading of his decisions. 🙁

  4. The lengths to which many on the ABC will go to to avoid it directly criticising the government is really ridiculous .

    The line on the energy crisis is that it’s all down to lack of bipartisanship and political ‘bickering’.
    Nothing to do with government policy, or lack thereof.

  5. ItzaDream

    Yep makes for a lovely ‘fundy’ mindset.

    “his wife Kirilly: the thing to understand about him, she says, is ‘It’s black and white with him. There’s no grey.'”,/blockquote>

    .

  7. Boerwar
    Looks like the Miami protection plan involves raising the roads. As pointed out in the article, this will only exacerbate run off into neighbouring properties. It fixes nothing.
    If Irma does strike, there will be a massive drop in property values as the wealthy decide it’s just not sensible to invest there.
    Only solution might be to take an approach similar to Venice. Remount the skyscrapers on floating pontoons, replace the streets with canals, and move from cars to gondolas.
    Miami – Venice of the South©.

  8. The peripheral buzz around a possible return to the fray of the Hammock continues.

    From, Grace Collier in the Oz:

    ‘…

    Last Wednesday, ReachTEL contacted 766 residents in Higgins, a blue-ribbon seat in Melbourne currently held by Kelly O’Dwyer, the Minister for Revenue and Financial Services.

    …

    At the last federal election, 52 per cent of voters in Higgins gave their primary vote to the Liberal Party, but if a federal election had been held last Wednesday, the Liberals would have received only 44.3 per cent of the primary vote.

    …

    When asked if Ms O’Dwyer were to remain the candidate at the next election, how likely were they to vote Liberal, 30.1 per cent said they were less likely. Among Liberal voters, 21.2 per cent were less likely to vote Liberal.

    …
    On whether the minister was a good advocate for the people living in her electorate, 40.5 per cent disagreed, while 10.4 per cent had not heard of her. Only 24.8 per cent of respondents said Ms O’Dwyer did a good job of the recent superannuation reforms and 43.3 per cent of her constituents said they did not trust her when she said she would not change the superannuation rules further.’

  9. lizzie @ #53 Wednesday, September 6th, 2017 – 8:36 am

    Steve777

    Dutton prides himself on his policeman’s ability to detect subterfuge beneath apparently innocent actions.

    So he is suspicious of everyone and always thinks the worst. That is very obvious when reading of his decisions. 🙁

    It’s also a projection of one’s own guilt feelings I reckon, primal guilt, and the need to have a badder person to make you feel better about yourself.

  10. Good morning all,

    Turnbull is still playing catchup and plug the policy vacuum with a ” announceable . this time it is energy policy. Interesting Turnbull stated yesterday he had been in constructive discussion with AGL, yet this morning Frydenberg announced a quickly organised meeting next Monday with the very same AGL. It will only get worse as the day goes on given that the AEMO report shoots the Nationals push for new coal fired power stations stone motherless dead and the potential cost to consumers if the government decides to prop up old near dead power stations beyond their expiry dates is explored.

    Recent polls have asked if consumers would be prepared to pay extra for renewerable energy. I wonder how they would answer if the question was ” are you prepared to pay extra for your power if the government decides to prop up old expired power stations as a short term solution ?” Now they would be interesting.

    Everything the government has talked about re energy policy including snowy hydro, proping up old expired power stations financiallyand even building new ones will have no effect for at least five years. The problem is now.

    Cheers.

  12. Sky News Australia @SkyNewsAust
    .@theheraldsun reports hundreds of thousands of dollars have been used to pay for Labor party memberships. #headsup

  14. Trog

    Other parts of Miami are investing in both raising roads and lowing the ground water table by the installation of massive pumping systems. Total cost has been estimated at $400 million but this ignores further rises in sea levels, further rises in acidity and a trend rate of increased frequency and height of storm surges.

    There is, IMO, another sleeper.

    Miami along with much of Florida sits on calcium-based porous substrates.

    I am not much of a chemist or a geologist but I would have thought that speeding up the flow of water through such substrate would by massive and constant pumping, by dissolving calcium and removing it, would increase the potential flow rates.

  15. Boerwar:

    The Big Swinging Dicks in Higgins are still tying to whiteant the sitting member? It just doesn’t pay to be an ambitious woman in the Liberal party does it?

  17. adrian @ #54 Wednesday, September 6th, 2017 – 8:36 am

    The lengths to which many on the ABC will go to to avoid it directly criticising the government is really ridiculous .

    The line on the energy crisis is that it’s all down to lack of bipartisanship and political ‘bickering’.
    Nothing to do with government policy, or lack thereof.

    Of course, Abbott was the epitome of bipartisanship. Patron Saint thereof. St Anthony of Bipartisanship. Good ship Lollypop more likely.

  18. ItzaDream @ #46 Wednesday, September 6th, 2017 – 8:27 am

    Four things we learnt from AEMO today:

    * Huge wave (sic) of wind and solar requests to get on the grid …

    We certainly don’t need more coal, and also the more renewables the better, but these predictions are constantly overblown (pun intended!). As this article itself goes on to say …

    It won’t all get built. AEMO models much smaller amounts of new wind, solar and batteries that meet its criteria for commitment – about 1331 MW.

    This is a small fraction of what is required to actually start to displace coal-fired generation. Also, some of this is batteries – which do not actually generate any new electricity.

  20. @ P1 – The 1331 MW amount is basically assuming that 0% of potential projects go ahead, only those that are so committed that they can’t pull out under pretty much any circumstances.

    You are right that it won’t be 100% of the pipeline that gets built, but it won’t be 0% either.

  22. BW

    On Florida, the ground is many places calcium subtrate and riddled with holes. We already see what happens with leaking pipes in FL (sinkholes). A higher saltier water tabled will further erode that substrate.

  23. Re renewables

    but these predictions are constantly overblown

    More rubbish.
    Agencies have consistently, and massively, underestimated the rate of growth in renewables. This has been going on for years.

  25. In a society properly prepared for the effects of climate change, we’d be capitalising on events like this to move cities. Better to build elsewhere then rebuild in areas of potential ongoing danger.

  26. c

    Kelly created some very serious enemies within the base with her Super grab.

    As for the Costello Dreaming, part of the reason why the Super grab was necessary because of the Howard/Costello middle class Super freebies.

  27. Rubbish. The ABC is as racist as any other part of Australian society, including Dick Smith.

    “Dick Smith is launching an advertising campaign against ABC TV news and current affairs, which he says has warped the debate he has tried to spur over Australian population growth.

    He claims both Labor and Liberal politicians have told him they agree that Australia needs to cut its immigration intake to avoid future social and environmental fracturing, but they say they cannot say so publicly because the ABC will label them racist.”

  31. The graph below shows how the International Energy Agency consistently underestimates growth in wind and solar power.
    The same applies to local agencies, including Finkel, which have already proved incorrect.

  33. ItzaDream

    Of course, Abbott was the epitome of bipartisanship. Patron Saint thereof. St Anthony of Bipartisanship. Good ship Lollypop more likely.

    It’s such a moveable feast that it’s hard to keep up.

    Like the deficit seemed to be mentioned just about every day, in a time far far away. I am so happy that the deficit is no longer a problem, because I was pretty worried there for a while.

  35. Boerwar

    High immigration proponents are also fans of infinite growth. Costello with his one for each and one for the country. Unfortunately it is impossible to stop people breeding – look at what happened in China.

  36. poroti @ #74 Wednesday, September 6th, 2017 – 9:03 am

    Something unexpected from over on Planet Janet.

    Conservative case for voting yes
    Granting gay couples the legal right to marry is a recognition of liberty.

    http://www.theaustralian.com.au/opinion/columnists/janet-albrechtsen/a-libertarian-conservative-case-for-voting-yes-to-ssm/news-story/599daae498499aaf6a40e37b82a63c13

    Thanks Poroti.

    She still manages a massive spray at the left, but makes her case for Yes, clearly and cleanly, and with this as the clincher, credit to her:

    That generational tide won’t be held at bay. Younger members of my family, my daughters in their 20s, can’t see what the fuss is about. Of course same-sex couples should be allowed to marry, they say. To their credit, they convinced me of that.

    It makes me wonder what Abbott’s daughters think. Not that he, like Dutton, would be capable of doubting their own primitive certainties.

  42. Voice Endeavour @ #70 Wednesday, September 6th, 2017 – 8:59 am

    @ P1 – The 1331 MW amount is basically assuming that 0% of potential projects go ahead, only those that are so committed that they can’t pull out under pretty much any circumstances.

    You are right that it won’t be 100% of the pipeline that gets built, but it won’t be 0% either.

    I am directly quoting the AEMO projections.

  44. From ABC Politics Lvie Blog. Anyone know what Brian Burston is saying?

    In light of the dual citizenship fiasco, there’s been one person at least who has attempted to manipulate the situation to be more about putting the spotlight on themselves than on resolving this debacle. In the public domain, they have claimed to be a UK citizen by descent, but they were born elsewhere—not Australia nor the UK. Have they renounced their UK citizenship or was their original claim just a lie? If we were to take their statements prior to them entering parliament at face value, they wouldn’t have a passport and wouldn’t be here—or were those statements lies too?

    You might think that by saying this I’m being a wally. But hopefully my message will ring true and people’s damaged reputations will be legally restored. Certainly there will be a legal process that will decide the outcome of events over the next few years one way or the other. The haze will be removed. The citizenship issue will be settled and there may be fewer people in this place or the other place—or just different people. Leaving here in disgrace can be short-circuited by leaving before you get exposed. You won’t need to go sniffing around the bins. You’ll no doubt be able to get some form of social security.

    I don’t have to be pulling money to and from my accountant’s bank in the nick of time to avoid being caught out or put in financial straits, nor do I need to rip off charities. I just dip into my own pocket when I want to put on the nose bag and enjoy a feast. I don’t rort the system, and I don’t encourage others to either. I’m not going to tar people with mendacious comments. That would not be ethical, nor would it be the honourable thing to do. The honourable thing to do would be to jump before being pushed. The noose will be tightening around this person’s neck soon, and perhaps their head will be small enough to put on a slouch hat. Perhaps their next job will be selling chocolates for charity on The Footy Show.

  49. lizzie @ #37 Wednesday, September 6th, 2017 – 8:22 am

    A constant critic of the current rollout plan, Patton said the latest issue reinforced the need for a bipartisan rethink and an agreed strategy for a 21st century NBN.

    “The way we’re heading now, whoever is in office in 2020 will have to deal with our biggest ever national infrastructure debacle,” he said.

    “NBN Co will owe the government circa $19 billion and within 5 to 10 years it will need to fund a very expensive FttN replacement. So far no-one seems have even started working out how many billions this will cost.”

    https://www.itwire.com/telecoms-and-nbn/79753-nbn-co-s-hfc-cable-rollout-hits-a-speed-bump.html

    Lizzie, you surprise me! Have you outed yourself as a closet Tech Head who reads that sort of stuff?

  50. jenauthor
    Am going nuts!

    Cannot use this site with my iPad – touching links (this is all crikey not just pollbludger) just goes to open in a new page and all I get is the same page repeated.

    None of the pull down menus work anymore!!!!

    DITTO.
    I had to DuckDuckGo pollbludger to get in here via my Samsung ph.

Comments are closed.

Comments Page 2 of 28
1 2 3 … 28