BludgerTrack: 53.6-46.4 to Labor

Very slightly better news on the poll front this week for the Coalition, although Labor maintains its thumping lead on the BludgerTrack poll aggregate.

The only poll this week was a slightly-less-bad-for-the-government result from Essential Research, which takes some of the edge off last week’s surge to Labor. The Coalition’s two gains on the seat projection consist of one apiece in Queensland and Western Australia. No new results on leadership ratings this week.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

636 comments on “BludgerTrack: 53.6-46.4 to Labor”

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  1. Pyne’s bragging, but…

    Substandard & Poor‏ @64AnthonyP · 10m10 minutes ago

    $90Billion on ships? Only had to spend about a $Billion on car industry and it would have kept many thousands employed… #Probyn #Insiders

  2. C@tmomma
    I liked the fact that Andrew Probyn picked Laura Tingle up when she was trying to soft soap the government over the GST distribution.

    I enjoyed that too C@t, but I think it was Kenny.

  3. lizzie

    Only had to spend about a $Billion on car industry and it would have kept many thousands employed

    Yep. Should have kept the vehicle industry going. As well as doing some Defence stuff.

    The vehicle industry was the source of apprenticeships for tradies to go to Defence and mining, and people with with experience in running ‘intelligent’ manufacturing robots.

    Abbott and Hockey ….

  4. Pyne must have put in a great lot of effort to become such an annoying prat.

    Some are born annoying prats, some achieve annoying pratdom and some have annoying pratdom thrust upon them.

    With Mr Pyne, I think it’s a combination of the first and second.

  5. Paul Bongournios article in The Saturday Paper said as soon as the Coalition calls the Labor party socialist/commies/reds they generally lose the next election.


  6. BK. Thanks for the excellent Tara Nipe article on the problem of intractable distress at the end of life in your Dawn Patrol.

    I went back and did a Diploma in Palliative Medicine last year, after 30 years of practice as an Infectious Diseases & General Physician, because the skills and knowledge set of Pall Care are so valuable in caring for the increasing number of people who are chronically ill with intractable symptoms, as well as the actively dying.

    In the situations that Nipe describes, there is (now) the option of a well established (though rarely needed) procedure in Palliative Care referred to as palliative sedation (or more typically as Terminal Sedation) which is used in the setting of patients who remain distressed despite all the symptom management that can be offered. Usually this consists of an infusion of benzodiazipines, neuroleptics and occasionally barbiturate (as is used in outpatient AD in the Netherlands and Belgium, rather than the oral barbiturate available in Oregon – and “illegally” in Australia), under the “Doctrine of Double Effect” – essentially that the aim is to relieve intractable suffering, despite the misplaced concern that it may also shorten life (though there is no strong evidence that it actually does so – in fact, in some circumstances relieving terrible distress may ameliorate the impending crash from overwhelming biological stress).

    This process takes great skill, compassion and resources for the patient, their supporters and the staff involved, and is very rarely performed outside hospice or hospital settings, but it in the extreme situations, such as those described by Tara Nipe’s article, palliative sedation by those with the training and experience has dramatically improved the deaths of those who find themselves in appalling distress. This is not the same situation as being able to voluntarily administer oneself oral barbiturates, which is the issue that most Australian AD legislation envisages. It is interesting that Nipe cites her early experience. In the subsequent 28 years Palliative Care has come a long way in both capacity and availability, but I have concerns that the use of these examples of inadequate Pall Care does not actually provide general support for the availability of AD, and does not do justice to current practice of specialist Palliative Care – though provision of specialist Pall Care in Australia remains woefully inadequate, particularly outside Metropolitan areas.

    For the record, I am generally in favour of discussion of the issues around AD in Australia – but feel that it should not be conflated with specialist Palliative Care.

  7. The idea that Turnbull calling in industry leaders to a meeting at Parl Hse means bugger all looks like it has penetrated the mind of to ‘go along’ Press.

  8. [poroti
    Pyne must have been the school sprint champion . How else could such a backpfeifengesicht have survived !


    Nah, he’s the bully’s weedy little sycophantic offsider who slavishly runs around for them, impervious to outside assault while under their wing.

  9. IOM

    Kenny has not changed much. However credit when its due. Kenny accurate on RET. Turnbull governing to appease his party not the nation with the deniers.

  10. Question:

    I assume the only reason she’s notable is because she’s running in Shorten’s seat? As someone said she’s got no chance of winning it, so yes, why bother talking about it?

  11. William, I don’t know if the powers-that-be realise or it’s just a glitch I get, but every time I load new comments they come through twice. Says 24 new comments, for instance, but it’s actually 12 listed twice.

  12. I don’t watch Insiders (haven’t for many years). By the comments here and on Twitter, I get the impression that Labor/Green people are rarely invited on the show, it seems to be mainly conservative politicians. Is this the case?

  13. rhwombat

    Thanks for contributing your thoughts on palliative care / ‘AD’.

    Your view that these are two subjects rather than a conflated ‘one’ is a good thought.

    The ‘on the railroad’ thing of a bit of surgery to provide palliative ‘relief’ for patients is very strong with in the medical professional.

  14. The city of Los Angeles is under siege from a bushfire which the city’s mayor has described as the largest in its history.

    The devastating line of the fire has amplified in the last week by soaring temperatures as Los Angeles was hit by a powerful heatwave.

    In parts of the city which would normally draw temperatures between 20 and 25 degrees at this time of year, the mercury has soared to 40 degrees and above.

  15. guytaur @ #299 Sunday, September 3rd, 2017 – 7:37 am

    annabelcrabb: When people complained about the NBN, I used to think privately “Surely it can’t be that bad”. I hereby apologise to those people.

    playerone: When people complained about Annabel Crabb, I used to think privately “Surely she can’t be that bad”. I hereby apologise to those people.

  16. briefly

    Furious Conservatives, including former ministers, said such threats and arm-twisting from the whips’ office would “backfire” spectacularly, making it more likely the prime minister would face a leadership challenge this autumn.

    Tory members who were ‘Remain’ and want to ‘play on’ after the current disaster will be very upfront about their defiance of party whips when there is no real cost to them in doing it.

    Doing ‘it’ can only be good for them and May, Boris, Davies are ‘goners’ for sure.

  17. IoM

    You could be right on Boris but Boris PM seems an unlikely thing.

    But in the light of current events … he’d fit into the string of ‘crazy’ quite comfortably.

  18. France:

    Emmanuel Macron, the 39-year-old former investment banker who was catapulted to the French presidency in May, faces widespread disillusionment as he prepares to mark his first 100 days in office.

    The man shown walking on water on the cover of The Economist magazine after his startling rise has seen his approval ratings nosedive, with only 36 percent of respondents giving him the thumbs up in one recent poll.

    The French are “falling out of love” with Macron, the right-leaning daily Le Figaro headlined on Sunday.

    No French president has seen such a steep drop in popularity so early in his rule since Jacques Chirac in 1995.

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