BludgerTrack: 53.6-46.4 to Labor

Very slightly better news on the poll front this week for the Coalition, although Labor maintains its thumping lead on the BludgerTrack poll aggregate.

The only poll this week was a slightly-less-bad-for-the-government result from Essential Research, which takes some of the edge off last week’s surge to Labor. The Coalition’s two gains on the seat projection consist of one apiece in Queensland and Western Australia. No new results on leadership ratings this week.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

636 comments on “BludgerTrack: 53.6-46.4 to Labor”

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  7. DB Cooper:

    The late PBer Vera would be not so quietly puking at that image! “Yuk, all that chest fur” she once commented here when that image was circulating more widely. I so miss Vera sometimes. She was a character.

  12. Astronomers searching for signals from alien civilisations have detected 15 powerful, repeated radio pulses coming from a dwarf galaxy 3 billion light years away from Earth.

    The source of the mysterious signals, known as fast radio bursts, is unknown. Some have proposed they could be emanating from black holes or rotating neutron stars with extremely strong magnetic fields. A more speculative possibility is that they are beacons from extraterrestrial spacecraft.

    The signals were picked up by the Breakthrough Listen project, a $100m (£77m) initiative to find signs of intelligent life in the universe set up by Professor Stephen Hawking and Russian internet billionaire Yuri Milner.

    https://www.theguardian.com/science/2017/sep/01/alien-search-detects-radio-signals-from-dwarf-galaxy-3bn-light-years-from-earth?utm_source=esp&utm_medium=Email&utm_campaign=GU+Today+AUS+v1+-+AUS+morning+mail+callout&utm_term=241962&subid=22688624&CMP=ema_632

  13. lizzie:

    If Costello is the answer to Vic Lib woes then the party has effectively wasted the last decade it should’ve been rebuilding.

  18. Given the Liberals knowledge of economics, they probably think if they get Costello in parliament, surpluses will automagically follow.

  21. lizzie, poroti, P1:

    I discounted chatter earlier this week about a Costello revival, but now I’m of the view the Vic Libs would possibly be stupid enough to try it.

  23. Body language expert analyses the three stooges at a presser on welfare cards.

    Sara‏ @_sara_jade_ · 18m18 minutes ago

    Turnbull Tudge Bowler CWC success why NEG BL?Hand clench anxiety,failing to convince. Face touch hand in pocket lies

  25. The root cause of the drive is to get rid of ODwyer, as revenge for the superannuation tax changes.
    The action is serious, just not necessarily the Costello part

  28. The Liberal assumption was always that they just needed to be the Government for everything to be fixed.

    That hasn’t worked, so the missing piece must be Costello.

    What could be wrong with that logic?

  30. JR:

    That was reported a few weeks ago. A backlash against her on policy.

    But given the cabinet would’ve signed off on the changes, why not go after the Treasurer or the PM?

  36. lizzie

    Foxtel is included on the list of “approved merchants” re the Indue Debit (Welfare) Card Trial

    FMD, but not surprising unfortunately.

  37. Turnbull’s posturing on energy prices is so very false.

    The Turnbull government has been sitting on advice that an emissions intensity scheme – the carbon policy Frydenberg put on the table, only to have it ruled out by conservative bloc just 36 hours later – would save households and businesses up to $15 billion in electricity bills over a decade.

  38. This article from the AFR on the disfunctional relationship between POTUS and Secretary of State Tillerson is, at one level hilarious .
    The writer analyses the actions of the president as if he is a rational human being. And is trying to guess what strategy is behind the White House on foreign policy.

    Of course we are all lucky we dodged the bullet with Hilary. Even despite the microwaves.

    Donald Trump and Rex Tillerson : testing times for a critical relationship
    Splits between President Donald Trump and Secretary of State Rex Tillerson send a disturbing signal to the world.
    http://www.afr.com/news/world/north-america/donald-trump-and-rex-tillerson-in-conflict-despite-common-conservative-beliefs-20170831-gy7uvi?btis

  40. If Ardern wins in NZ, does that mean the electorate were just wanting someone (anyone?, articulate?, smart?) different from her predecessor?

  45. Question about NZ politics: Have the brocialists and keyboard warriors gone after Jacinda Arden yet because, despite maybe agreeing with her policies, there’s “something about her they don’t like”?

  47. The list is pretty comprehensive. Not sure cardholders are missing out on much.

    Rex, do you think anyone receiving the disgraceful pittance of Newstart is really going to buy clothes from Country Road or accessories from Colette Hayman?.
    Vinnies or Lifeline more like. who aren’t on the list. Pumpkinpatch is, and they went out of business in 2016.
    The Libs are just trolling us now.

  48. John Reidy @ #104 Saturday, September 2nd, 2017 – 10:59 am

    That article from WA today about Turnbull’s promise at the state conference
    “Malcolm Turnbull is expected to announce a $100 million nationwide tax incentive to encourage resources exploration in a bid to restart Western Australia’s declining mining sector.”

    I read that as they have given up winning and are just trying to shore up the base and help their donors.

    Someone needs to remind Brian that exploration is very capital intensive.

  49. Simon Katich @ #105 Saturday, September 2nd, 2017 – 10:59 am

    **They neglected to tell me in advance that they were undertaking a ‘tactical’ exercise during the flight.**
    I wonder if helicopter pilots know how to fly any other way.

    There was about 16 of us in this one. Not sure what type it was. The only person who seemed to enjoy the trip was the pilot. I was glad I didnt have to do a second trip as I would then have to do the helicopter crash training where you get strapped into a helicopter shell, they turn off the lights, drop it in a big cold pool and turn it upside down. All you have to do is escape. Simples.

    Count yourself lucky you didn’t have to do the underwater escape training, it’s not a pleasant experience.

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