ReachTEL: 52-48 to Labor

Little change on voting intention in a ReachTEL poll that also covers Section 44, the burqa, drug testing of welfare recipients, and likelihood of participation in the same-sex marriage survey.

Sky News reports its latest monthly ReachTEL poll has Labor with a 52-48 lead on respondent-allocated preferences, up from 51-49 a month ago. The primary votes provided do not exclude the undecided, the number of which isn’t specified, but the numbers we have to work with for now are Coalition 32% (down one), Labor 34% (steady), Greens 9% (up one) and One Nation 10% (down one). There will have been a further forced response question for the undecided, but the numbers for this have been a bit elusive lately – I will hopefully be able to get hold of them tomorrow, which will then allow me to report definitive primary votes excluding the undecided, and also a two-party preferred result based on previous election preferences, which will be stronger for Labor than the headline result. The poll also records Malcolm Turnbull with a slender 52-48 lead over Bill Shorten as preferred prime minister.

Among the other questions posed were likelihood of participation in the same-sex marriage plebiscite-survey, which recorded results of 79% likely, 10% somewhat likely, 4% somewhat unlikely and 7% very unlikely, with the oldest cohort apparently the least likely to participate. Contrary to YouGov, the poll did not find strong support for those embroiled in the Section 44 saga standing down, with 39% saying they should and 50% saying they should not. A question on whether the burqa should be banned found 44% strong support, 13% support, 12% opposition and 19% strong opposition. For drug testing of welfare recipients, the results were 53% strong support, 15% support, 9% opposition and 11% strong opposition.

The poll was conducted yesterday, presumably from a sample of around 2300 (UPDATE: Make that 2832).

UPDATE: As related by GhostWhoVotes, the primary votes after exclusion of the undecided are Coalition 34.5% (down 2.7%), Labor 36.7% (up 1.6%), Greens 10.3% (up 1.5%) and One Nation 10.4% (down 1.3%). That would actually transfer into a blowout Labor lead of 54.5-45.5, based on 2016 preference flows. However, taken together with the YouGov results noted in the previous post, it does seem respondent-allocated preferences are proving considerably more favourable to the Coalition. This may suggest that a 50-50 split of One Nation preferences, as per the 2016 election, is unduly flattering to Labor, as most of the support One Nation has gained since the election has come from former Coalition voters.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

699 comments on “ReachTEL: 52-48 to Labor”

  1. grimace
    @ Briefly

    I’m already down for a Labor victory of 105 seats. What’s your prediction?

    I’m musing on it, grimace 🙂

    I picked the State result…down to the last seat…..there’s still a long way to go til the Federal election. I do think the LNP are almost totally conclusively stuffed and opinion should toughen up as the election approaches…but still too early to call for me… 🙂

  2. Grimace
    I’m already down for a Labor victory of 105 seats. What’s your prediction?

    You were asking Briefly, but I’ll give my prediction anyway.

    I reckon Labor will win 93 seats or thereabouts.

  3. Those expecting enormous Labor wins at the next election should keep in mind that in 2007 Labor led by 55-45 or more (at times over 60-40) continually for most of the election year and still only won 83 seats.

  4. JimmyDoyle
    Briefly – just following on from your posts, it has occurred to me numerous times that the 2016 election was a massive own goal for Turnbull.

    I blame Abbott for Turnbull’s losses. Abbott would have been absolutely smashed. Turnbull revived their standing ….but then quickly started to show he was not much different from Abbott in substance, and that he’s weak as well.

    Had Abbott not so utterly trashed his franchise in 2014 and 2015, the result would have been quite different in 2016.

    People have forgotten, but Abbott really was the worst PM we have ever had….actually made voters feel sick in their stomachs.

  5. briefly @ #246 Thursday, August 24th, 2017 – 10:13 pm

    grimace
    briefly @ #228 Thursday, August 24th, 2017 – 9:32 pm

    Keep in mind at the WA election Bunbury and Geraldton had swings above 20% and a fair number that approached 20% like Jandakot, Southern River, West Swan, Swan Hills and Wanneroo. If the swing is really on the Abbott’s seat while unlikely, is not out of the question.

    I’d love to see Brian Trumble loose his seat. The dummy spit would be epic and would set the standard for all time for an undignified concession speech.

    The marginals will swing…no doubt…the safest seats…probably not so much I guess… can always hope !

    Looking down the list from the WA election there were savage swings in the leafy suburbs as well, Bateman, Carine, Churchlands, and Hillaries are all blue ribbon electorates, and while they didn’t and probably would never fall to Labor, it’s food for thought with what is possible, particularly with the greens in the mix in seats like Wentworth.

  6. We can’t count our chickens but I would dearly love to see the Coalition reduced to a rump that had no hope of recovery before the following election. If the polls are bad enough in the lead up to 2019, there’ll be an exit of what little talent they have from the soon to be Opposition to the private sector, as there was in 2007. Hopefully the remaining rump will tear themselves apart and be even less electable in 2022, with no hope of recovery before 2025. I want to see Labor securely establish itself on the heights of power, secure its legacy, strengthen the foundations of a fair and inclusive Australia, while demolishing first Abbott’s legacy (Malcolm won’t have one) then, especially, the devastation Howard wrought. Three terms should do it, four will be better.

    But the current Government and all the power and money behind them will fight like cornered rats. There will be no lie too low for them to stoop to. Today it’s nonsense about statues and “Socialist Revisionism”, but the next lot of lies might be something that bites. They’ll make stuff up, they’ll be on the lookout for another Tampa or security crisis, a khaki election maybe. They can’t push their real agenda, it’s poison, they have to rely on culture war stuff and tearing down their enemies.

    [end rant]

  7. briefly @ #251 Thursday, August 24th, 2017 – 10:17 pm

    grimace
    @ Briefly

    I’m already down for a Labor victory of 105 seats. What’s your prediction?

    I’m musing on it, grimace 🙂

    I picked the State result…down to the last seat…..there’s still a long way to go til the Federal election. I do think the LNP are almost totally conclusively stuffed and opinion should toughen up as the election approaches…but still too early to call for me… 🙂

    In predicting 41 seats did you have the benefit of a sneak peak at what the predictive analytics were saying?

  8. Kevin – the Coalition won 90 seats in 2013, so I don’t think it’s inconceivable for Labor to win 90+ seats – especially if the political climate continues to play out as it has.

  9. briefly

    They would have no choice but to join together again sometime out from the next election but the carnage would be something to watch.

    You’d have to wonder what sort of policy platform they could ‘agree’ on that would be in any way be coherent and attractive to voters.

    And then as you say guessing what the Nationals would do is a lottery numbers choice.

    The Nats must be thinking that the Liberals could launch a full-on attack on their seats. The alliance between them has seen uneasy for years and it’s the obvious way for the Libs to improve their seat numbers and I think that this has always been a, mostly unspoken, Liberal Party objective.

    (Our political chaos just had a 5 minute run on BBC’s ‘Impact’ current affairs show.)

  10. Briefly
    I blame Abbott for Turnbull’s losses.

    You’re far too generous to Turnbull. If Turnbull had held the election immediately after knifing Abbott, then he might well have won 100+ seats and been Prime Minister for 20 years. But because Turnbull has precisely zero political judgement, he decided to delay and demonstrate what a spineless wimp he is.

    So to summarise, I blame Turnbull for Turnbull’s losses.

  11. Kevin Bonham
    Those expecting enormous Labor wins at the next election should keep in mind that in 2007 Labor led by 55-45 or more (at times over 60-40) continually for most of the election year and still only won 83 seats.

    Yes…voter attachment to the LNP is very sticky. But in the coming election, the ON factor will likely smash the Tory PV. ON prefs will go all over the place, as they did in WA, so individual results will not be easy to forecast. I expect one thing will likely hold true….where the PV goes, the prefs will also flow. So if the LNP PV collapses, so will their 2PP results.

    The prominence of ON will also make campaigning very difficult for the LNP. They can fight on one front – fight Labor. But they will find it very difficult to campaign against both Labor and ON at the same time while their own brand values have been badly damaged. They might try to reinstate Abbott to help with this. But my opinion is this would lead to their total annihilation.

    I think the LNP are going to get a great beating…

  12. grimace

    It’s late Kevin, let us indulge in our fantasies.

    Dr KB is very sensible but as you say speculating and indulging is a bit of fun at this time of night.

    It’s our duty to give those who read all the way through in the morning something to laugh about!

  13. JimmyDoyle @ #257 Friday, August 25th, 2017 – 12:24 am

    Kevin – the Coalition won 90 seats in 2013, so I don’t think it’s inconceivable for Labor to win 90+ seats – especially if the political climate continues to play out as it has.

    Oh sure, it’s possible, especially if the current mob self-destruct to the extent that Labor did in that term or worse. The range of things that might happen from here is enormous.

  14. grimace
    briefly @ #251 Thursday, August 24th, 2017 – 10:17 pm

    In predicting 41 seats did you have the benefit of a sneak peak at what the predictive analytics were saying?

    No..not at all. But I had spent 18 months campaigning in the outer suburbs, both North and South….and had campaigned in Cowan too…must have had 5000 conversations with voters…

  15. “Those expecting enormous Labor wins at the next election should keep in mind that in 2007 Labor led by 55-45 or more (at times over 60-40) continually for most of the election year and still only won 83 seats”.

    Kevin is right of course. Labor consistently do better at polls than actual elections.

  16. Kevin Bonham
    Those expecting enormous Labor wins at the next election should keep in mind that in 2007 Labor led by 55-45 or more (at times over 60-40) continually for most of the election year and still only won 83 seats.

    Further to my previous point, you are comparing apples to oranges. In 2007, Labor defeated a long-established and stable Liberal government that rode the mining boom.

    The past four years of Liberal government have been anything but stable and prosperous. The Liberals will pay for that.

  17. grimace

    and the loser refuses to concede?

    The AEC just keeps counting and the leader of the losers looks like even a bigger loser.

    Leave the country time!

  18. JimmyDoyle
    Briefly
    I blame Abbott for Turnbull’s losses.

    You’re far too generous to Turnbull. If Turnbull had held the election immediately after knifing Abbott, then he might well have won 100+ seats and been Prime Minister for 20 years.

    A lot of the approval for Turnbull was simply relief that Abbott had been removed. Abbott made Turnbull look very good. But Turnbull actually failed to undo Abbott’s fiscal and social policy stupidities.

    He paid for this…for being a pale version of Abbott.

    If you ask voters what they actually think of Abbott, they shudder. He horrifies most voters.

  19. briefly @ #262 Thursday, August 24th, 2017 – 10:32 pm

    Kevin Bonham
    Those expecting enormous Labor wins at the next election should keep in mind that in 2007 Labor led by 55-45 or more (at times over 60-40) continually for most of the election year and still only won 83 seats.

    Yes…voter attachment to the LNP is very sticky. But in the coming election, the ON factor will likely smash the Tory PV. ON prefs will go all over the place, as they did in WA, so individual results will not be easy to forecast. I expect one thing will likely hold true….where the PV goes, the prefs will also flow. So if the LNP PV collapses, so will their 2PP results.

    The prominence of ON will also make campaigning very difficult for the LNP. They can fight on one front – fight Labor. But they will find it very difficult to campaign against both Labor and ON at the same time while their own brand values have been badly damaged. They might try to reinstate Abbott to help with this. But my opinion is this would lead to their total annihilation.

    I think the LNP are going to get a great beating…

    Agree, the battle on two fronts is a conundrum for the L/NP and will add to the internal pressures that are currently tearing them apart. The right of the party is attracted to PHON, the moderates look at PHON and see electoral annihilation.

    The two fronted battle is part of what decimated the Liberals in the WA election campaign. If the L/NP want to avoid a catastrophe at the next election then they are going to need to decide which front to fight on.

  20. Grimace
    The range of things that might happen from here is enormous.

    Actually I disagree. I don’t think the range is all that big.

    This point has been made before by others here, but I believe that more than wanting left or right policy implemented, voters want and crave stability – political, social and economic.

    Turnbull, Abbott and the Liberal Party have demonstrated that they are either totally incapable or totally disinterested in providing any of that. Consequently, I think their loss is all but set.

  21. The One Nation preferences are a wild card. Actually, One Nation says what many “Liberals” think. If preferences split like the 2016 election that would be great. The Coalition will, one way or another, go after their preferences.

  22. At the State election we had the spectacle of ON and Lib campaigners standing with each other, soliciting votes together, swapping prefs with each other. The Libs were affiliating with the Really Very Stupid Party. The Protest Party was affiliating with the Hopeless Government Party. This was the last thing many voters saw before they voted. It drove the Lib PV into the ground. The same may happen at the next federal election…

  23. Another ‘no surprise’ statistic –

    Net migration to the UK has fallen by a quarter to 246,000 in a year as EU citizens flee Britain ahead of Brexit, new figures released by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) show.

    Analysts said the referendum result was causing a dramatic decrease in migration from the EU, which has sparked warnings over “brain drain” from vital industries.

    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/uk-immigration-latest-numbers-brexit-eu-citizens-refugees-migrants-students-eastern-europe-a7909681.html

    The decrease I’d think would contain large numbers of productive people who are not eastern Eupopean’s looking for labouring jobs. They’ll come on the basis that the paid work for a while is better than nothing.

    Productive people looking to establish sustainable jobs are not going to be choosing to go to the UK.

  24. briefly

    At the State election we had the spectacle of ON and Lib campaigners standing with each other, soliciting votes together, swapping prefs with each other.

    This gross stupidity must have caused some changes of votes while people were standing right there in the line.

  25. The Israeli’s at it while the international community are distracted. A strategy used by them time after time –

    Israel destroys Palestinian classrooms ahead of first day of school

    Four Palestinian communities have seen their educational facilities – donated by international bodies and NGOs – destroyed on grounds they have been built without permission

    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/israel-destroys-palestinian-schools-before-new-term-occupied-west-bank-jub-ad-dhib-a7910356.html

  26. If Mumble were here he would tell me that Labor’s polling in 2007 was artificially inflated by Rudd’s extreme popularity whereas there is no danger of that happening with Shorten.

    I find it intuitively difficult to see the Coalition winning – barring some major unexpected event – even though the historic evidence from past polling recoveries and so on says they still have a decent chance.

    I find it intuitively plausible they could self-destruct massively. But my mainline expectation at the moment – for what little it’s probably worth – is that Labor wins on a similar scale to its previous wins from opposition.

  27. CTar1
    briefly

    At the State election we had the spectacle of ON and Lib campaigners standing with each other, soliciting votes together, swapping prefs with each other.

    This gross stupidity must have caused some changes of votes while people were standing right there in the line.

    No question about that, CT….it helped consolidate anti-Lib sentiment right through the campaign and up to polling itself.

  28. Getting bored and looking at sportingbet odds

    Will postal marriage survey go ahead
    1.25/3.75 (Yes/No)
    I actually think there are stronger odds of the HC striking out the survey..

    Next Australian Federal Election. Winning Party
    ALP 1.55 (damn I should have taken them when they were 3.50)
    Coalition 2.40
    One Nation 34.00 (WTF!)

    Donald Trump
    Impeached in First Term
    No 1.75
    Yes 2.00

  29. Kevin Bonham
    If Mumble were here he would tell me that Labor’s polling in 2007 was artificially inflated by Rudd’s extreme popularity whereas there is no danger of that happening with Shorten.

    I find it intuitively difficult to see the Coalition winning – barring some major unexpected event – even though the historic evidence from past polling recoveries and so on says they still have a decent chance.

    I find it intuitively plausible they could self-destruct massively. But my mainline expectation at the moment – for what little it’s probably worth – is that Labor wins on a similar scale to its previous wins from opposition.

    This makes sense from an on-ground, campaigning perspective. Federal seats are big. They are hard to take off an incumbent…unless anti-incumbent feeling is the dominant driver of voter behaviour. So everything depends on whether/how strongly voters desire change. If this desire is strong the LNP can lose 30-35 seats, given the array from 2016. But it’s still too early to gauge this.

  30. Kevin,

    Given how bad a government Turnbull has been it surprises me both how stable the polls have been and how they seem to refuse to spike towards 55/45. There’s clearly a lot of voters who disapprove of this government, who like Labor’s policies, but who are still driven by gut level indoctrination. Labor still hasn’t won the battle of ideas. It still hasn’t communicated how bad trickle down economics is. There’s still lots of people who believe that the Liberals are better economic managers. Only a fraction of people get the fact that fibre is the future and anything else is wasted money. And on the personality level there’s still lots of people (not just journos) who still have warm and fuzzies about Turnbull and just think he hasn’t had a chance. And (looks around to make sure Rex isn’t around) there is a certain part of the population who (I think unfairly) don’t respond too well to Shorten.

    By rights, Labor ought to win. If we were certain about an election happening late next year (a real possibility) then at this stage I’d start to feel like the polls are starting to mean something. However, I’m not betting on this one. I’m going to wait until early next year for the first hints of an early election, and of course Newspoll number 30.

    I’d be very happy if Labor edged past 51% 2PP in the election. I’m not sure how many seats that translates to though. What bothers me is a) how generally stupid average Australians are and b) the Murdoch media. I also think this government is going to have to do even more really stupid things before even the ABC gives up its “balance” act.

    This years budget was meant to turn the tide. Next years budget is going to be even more fun because the Liberals are so ideologically hemmed in. They can’t abandon their trickle down tax cuts. They can’t pull a rabbit out of the hat and magically spend more on schools. I think they’re snookered. And the only thing that can save them is the partisan media.

  31. I posted earlier in the day that the loss of interest by the US in the M-E is providing the Saudi’s and Iran a chance to come to a agreement that divides the M-E and possibly some north african states into agreed ‘spheres of influence’. The US attitute to Egypt now is in stark contrast to their position since WWII.

    “The Trump administration cut or delayed hundreds of millions of dollars in aid to Cairo, citing human rights concerns, hours before Egypt’s president and foreign minister met with White House adviser Jared Kushner on Wednesday.”

    http://www.france24.com/en/20170823-us-slashes-military-economic-aid-egypt-citing-poor-human-rights-record

    Tunisia is a disappointment. It seemed for a long while that it could be a stable European like democracy but the attacks on the coastal area from the radical south of the country is winning.

  32. White House Sets Up A System To Keep Deranged Trump From Seeing Fake News

    President Trump’s new Chief of Staff wants control of all info before it crosses Trump’s desk in an attempt to keep him from seeing unvetted information. But what about Twitter.

    New Chief of Staff John Kelly is doing his hopeful best to bring a semblance of order to the dysfunction and chaos that has defined Donald Trump’s short presidency.

    http://www.politicususa.com/2017/08/24/wh-institutes-system-trump-unvetted-news.html

  33. Trump Gets Destroyed By Sarah Huckabee Sanders Who Refuses To Defend His Mental Stability

    White House Press Secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders was asked for a response to Sen. Bob Corker’s questions about Trump’s stability. Instead of sticking up for her boss, Sanders refused to answer the question.

    Trump’s own White House Press Secretary couldn’t vouch for his mental state.

    By not saying anything at all, Sarah Huckabee Sanders told the American people everything that they need to know about Trump’s mental state.

    http://www.politicususa.com/2017/08/24/trump-destroyed-sarah-huckabee-sanders-refuses-defend-mental-stability.html

  34. ‘Violence and insurrection’: GOP ‘dirty tricks’ operative warns Trump impeachment will unleash ‘civil war’

    Longtime confidant to President Donald Trump and notorious Republican “dirty tricks” operative Roger Stone Jr. told TMZ that Trump supporters will turn violent and spark a “civil war” if their president is impeached.

    “Try to impeach him, just try it,” he said, becoming animated. “You will have a spasm of violence in this country and insurrection like you’ve never seen.”

    http://www.rawstory.com/2017/08/violence-and-insurrection-gop-dirty-tricks-operative-warns-trump-impeachment-will-unleash-civil-war/

  35. REVEALED: Trump’s inability to distance himself from white supremacists is costing him millions

    On Thursday, the Bethesda Hospital Group canceled a luncheon at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago resort in Palm Beach, FL, making it the 18th group to cancel an event at a Trump property.

    With groups routinely forking over $125,000 to $275,000 to host a gala at the so-called “Winter White House” and other Trump resorts and properties, the president is potentially out anywhere from $2.1 to $4.3 million.

    http://www.rawstory.com/2017/08/revealed-trumps-inability-to-distance-himself-from-white-supremacists-is-costing-him-millions/

  36. “Try to impeach him, just try it,” he said, becoming animated. “You will have a spasm of violence in this country and insurrection like you’ve never seen.”

    I think we all know that. Trump has encouraged the irrational and resentful to make him a hero.

  37. In this excellent article summing up the S.44 imbroglio, Anne Twomey correctly identifies the smartalecs in the Melbourne colony as in part causing the problem, by trying to avoid their fealty to Sydney.

    “Earl Grey might be best known for his family’s brew of tea, but he was also one of the earliest and most illustrious personages to be disqualified from an Australian Parliament. In 1848, Melburnians, who formed part of the Port Phillip District of New South Wales, were campaigning for the creation of their own colony. They argued that the Sydneysiders who represented them in the NSW Legislative Council knew as little about their wants and needs as someone in distant London. To make their point, they nominated the Duke of Wellington, Lord Palmerston, Lord Brougham and other British worthies as their candidates for election to the Legislative Council. They even went so far as to elect Earl Grey, who at the time was Secretary of State for the Colonies and happily living in London.

    The Sydney Morning Herald criticised the “flagitious mockery of the Port Phillip voters” in electing the Earl and suggested they be whipped for trifling with the solemn duties imposed upon them by their country. But they made their point. Earl Grey got the message and legislation was enacted in 1850 to create the colony of Victoria.

    Meanwhile, the Earl formally remained a member of the NSW Legislative Council until November 1850. He was not disqualified for having a foreign allegiance. His allegiance to Queen Victoria was no different from that of other members of the Legislative Council. Instead, he was removed for failing to attend Parliament, which was unsurprising given he had not set foot in Australia.

    May need to Google the headline…

    Read more: http://www.afr.com/business/legal/high-court-has-a-far-from-easy-task-in-assessing-the-validity-of-mps-citizenship-20170821-gy0yr6#ixzz4qhzA6mv9
    Follow us: @FinancialReview on Twitter | financialreview on Facebook

  38. Good morning Dawn Patrollers.

    John Hewson writes on how Turnbull’s lack of control is on full display.
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/turnbulls-lack-of-control-on-full-display-20170824-gy2y2u.html
    Australian Border Force and the Immigration Department have had a serious setback in a high-stakes legal battle with against their main workplace union, with the Fair Work Commission throwing out much of the department’s case. The result is a spectacular “own goal” that the DIBP’s brought upon itself by trying some tough legal tactics, according to the Community and Public Sector Union. Over to you Potatohead!
    http://www.smh.com.au/national/public-service/australian-border-force-immigration-department-face-setback-in-legal-battle-with-cpsu-20170823-gy2wqz.html
    Michelle Grattan says that the two mega issues dominating federal politics, the dual citizenship crisis and the marriage ballot, have little in common – except that Malcolm Turnbull desperately needs each to come out the right way for him. A NO vote in the postal survey would be a humiliation for Turnbull she says.
    https://theconversation.com/grattan-on-friday-a-no-vote-in-marriage-ballot-would-be-a-humiliation-for-turnbull-83002
    Katharine Murphy says Malcolm Turnbull is having a sliding doors moment. Looking ahead, two distinct scenarios could play out between now and the end of the year and then explains what they are.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2017/aug/25/despite-the-postcards-from-the-edge-auspol-has-yet-to-fully-enter-the-twilight-zone
    Anne Twomey writes that the High Court has a far from easy task with its determination over MP citizenship. Google.
    /business/legal/high-court-has-a-far-from-easy-task-in-assessing-the-validity-of-mps-citizenship-20170821-gy0yr6
    Does Barnaby have a citizenship escape route?
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/the-character-test-barnaby-joyces-possible-kiwi-citizenship-loophole,10647
    As predicted, the Catholic mafia is springs into action as Catholics are being told that casting a “no” vote in the “vital” same-sex marriage postal survey will ensure the “health and future” of Australian society.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/just-say-no-archbishop-denis-hart-rallies-catholics-over-vital-wedding-poll-20170824-gy36z7.html
    Josephine Tovey on how Trump’s rallies are revealing why his country is in such chaos.
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/trump-rallies-highlight-his-failings-20170824-gy2zxh.html
    Trump is lashing out at Republican leaders and luminaries now. Where to next?
    http://www.smh.com.au/world/donald-trump-lashes-out-at-fellow-republicans-again-over-debt-ceiling-mess-20170824-gy3rxl.html
    What hope is there for humanity when the White House is “adorned by a downright moron?” None, says Julian Cribb.
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/what-hope-is-there-for-humanity-the-answer-must-be-none-20170822-gy1b1i.html

  39. Section 2 . . .

    Donald Trump’s divided states of America have been laid bare by a new survey and a fresh volley of tweets in which the president attacked fellow Republicans and depicted himself replacing Barack Obama in a “solar eclipse”.
    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/aug/24/trump-approval-rating-division-poll
    Reports last week NXT MP Rekekha Sharkie had withdrawn support for the Government were just another case of mainstream media fail.
    https://independentaustralia.net/article-display/massive-media-fail-on-rebekha-sharkies-withdrawal-of-support-that-never-was,10646
    Senators Canavan and Roberts have changed their tune regarding key details of their citizenship status, as the High Court began hearings on the case that has rocked Federal Parliament and placed the future of seven MPs under a cloud. Funny that!
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/citizenship-saga-will-not-be-resolved-until-at-least-october-high-court-hears-20170824-gy31ds.html
    Something big is slowly stirring in the undergrowth of British politics. Fact by fact, announcement by announcement, the case for Britain to remain in the European Union’s single market and customs union is growing stronger and more irresistible by the day.
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/aug/24/case-britains-ties-europe-severed-falling-apart-brexiteers-migration-norway-option
    John Howard is still engaged in the culture war! Google.
    /national-affairs/dont-rip-up-our-proud-history-says-john-howard/news-story/4fd1189c540b7cf77bf8c302547626f5
    Van Badham rips into Cormann’s “reds under the bed” speech.
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/aug/24/is-sabre-rattling-at-the-spectre-of-communism-all-youve-got-left-mathias-cormann
    Humiliation and not help is what’s in store for welfare recipients caught up in the Federal Government’s trial drug testing scheme, charity and medical groups warn, as opposition to the controversial plan continues to mount.
    http://www.huffingtonpost.com.au/2017/08/24/humiliation-not-help-in-store-for-drug-tested-welfare-recipients_a_23159432/?utm_hp_ref=au-homepage
    The fears of public servants and their families about forced moves to unappealing regional towns in government decentralisation decisions will come under scrutiny from a parliamentary inquiry.
    http://www.canberratimes.com.au/national/public-service/decentralisation-locations-should-have-appeal-for-public-servants-committee-20170824-gy3f1j.html
    Michael West on the robberies that occur every day in airports.
    https://www.michaelwest.com.au/airport-robbery-a-narrow-escape-from-spanish-bandits/
    Clover. Really?
    http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/new-cloud-arch-bigger-and-triple-the-price-20170824-gy2xr1.html

  40. Dreyfus on ABC 24 saying he’s ‘absolutely confident’ that Labor members are ‘clear’.

    I think Labor should be very cautious about categorical statements on this.

    I hope him saying that means that all members paperwork has been through a very thorough review in the last couple of weeks.

  41. Section 3 . . .

    Roy Masters is concerned about how News Corp might be able to control major sport rights through a monopoly.
    http://www.smh.com.au/sport/race-is-on-to-stop-news-corp-running-a-sports-rights-monolopy-20170824-gy3i16.html
    Gillian Triggs shared the stage with Sam Dastyari at the Sydney University last night and slammed the Coalition’s failure to call out extremism and blamed the government for hyping up fear through terrorism, unrestricted migration and conflict. Google.
    /national-affairs/national-security/coalition-using-terror-to-hype-up-fear-says-gillian-triggs/news-story/a7bf5d932c171d99a54c1bc9dfa88f18
    Sean Nichols looks at the proposal to weaken regulation and oversight of NSW casinos in the light of the CBA money laundering scandal.
    http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/commonwealth-scandal-shows-danger-of-winding-back-casino-oversight-20170824-gy2zx7.html
    Labor’s plan to tax discretionary trusts at a flat 30 per cent rate is “a real difficult nut”, according to tax commissioner Chris Jordan. Shorten is set to address the National Small Business Summit this morning with the issue of trusts firmly on the agenda.
    http://www.smh.com.au/small-business/finance/gee-its-going-to-be-hard-tax-commissioner-chris-jordan-casts-doubt-on-labors-plan-to-tax-trusts-20170824-gy2xw0.html
    David Jones boss John Dixon says there is no end in sight to the weak consumer sentiment that has seen shoppers steer clear of his stores.
    http://www.theage.com.au/business/retail/david-jones-profit-falls-25-per-cent-as-consumer-sentiment-worsens-20170824-gy3csa.html
    More trouble for the delightful Ibrahim outfit.
    http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/john-ibrahims-bookkeeper-margaret-staltaro-misses-court-after-admitting-drug-charges-20170823-gy286h.html
    The chief of Orica says Australia is now paying “desperation prices” for gas.
    http://www.smh.com.au/business/energy/australians-now-paying-desperation-price-for-gas-orica-boss-says-20170824-gy30lg.html
    What was our spy chief up to?
    http://www.smh.com.au/world/its-unacceptable-children-are-deemed-collateral-damage-in-dutertes-war-on-drugs-20170824-gy305e.html
    The work of a cleaner can be more hazardous that construction work, according to figures from Safe Work Australia.
    http://www.smh.com.au/business/workplace-relations/cleaning-can-be-more-dangerous-than-construction-work-20170822-gy1f1o.html

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