The latest fortnightly YouGov poll for Fifty Acres maintains the series’ established pattern of low primary votes for the major parties and strong minor party preference flows to the Coalition. There is a stable 50-50 two-party result derived from primary votes that would land it in the 52-48 to 53-47 range on 2016 preferences: 34% for the Coalition, down two; 32% for Labor, down one; 11% for the Greens, up one; and 9% for One Nation, up one.
Other findings from the poll are a 34-27 lead for Malcolm Turnbull on preferred prime minister, with an unusually high 38% preferring a “not sure” option; 60% support for same-sex marriage, with 28% opposed; 51% preferring a plebiscite on the matter, compared with 29% for a decision by parliament; 36% believing Turnbull’s position would be threatened by Coalition MPs crossing the floor on the matter, compared with 29% who thought otherwise; and 33% thinking referendums should be held more often, with 26% saying too many such proposals are being made of issues that should be left to parliament.
The poll was conducted Thursday to Monday from a sample of 1005.
This is my issue because it applies to me. How do I get ballot papers if an attempt to send them to me fails?
Question @ #1843 Thursday, August 10th, 2017 – 11:24 pm
Absolutely! I’m a little worried that some of the SSM supporters who were initially disenchanted and saying they would boycott will by that time have got so keen on fighting for Yes that they will be deflated if it’s all called off. But mass “voting” on this isn’t the right way.
I started the #do.your.job hashtag. Will reinforce tomorrow
Kevin Bonham @ #1846 Thursday, August 10th, 2017 – 11:28 pm
The difference is my prose cuts through and your turgid self indulgent monologues are glossed over and ignored thereafter.
You might have something to say. But, you just can’t communicate can you?
jenauthor
Interesting about the silent electors. The biggest flaw I can see in the ‘voluntary’ vote system is the fact that many are unable to avail themselves of this ‘voluntaryness’ because they either have no fixed abode, are not serviced regularly by Aust post or are silent voters.
This is discriminatory.
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Or are overseas voters.
KB
” I’m a little worried that some of the SSM supporters who were initially disenchanted and saying they would boycott will by that time have got so keen on fighting for Yes that they will be deflated if it’s all called off.”
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They’ll get over it 🙂
Greensborough Growler
Kevin Bonham @ #1846 Thursday, August 10th, 2017 – 11:28 pm
The difference is my prose cuts through and your turgid self indulgent monologues are glossed over and ignored thereafter.
You might have something to say. But, you just can’t communicate can you?
ooooohhh, I think KB has plenty to say and is in good command of the language, GG. He might post monologues, to which you append a snort.
Even if the High Court rules against this purely partisan political waste of money the dogs have been unleashed now.
Turnbull is about to lose all of any control he might have had of this.
In essence, this faux survey is a discriminatory way of entrenching discrimination against same sex relationships./
Nice one Mal!
Let’s hope the HC scuttles the whole thing. It will leave a foul stench in the air for a while, for which the LNP will get the blame.
briefly @ #1859 Thursday, August 10th, 2017 – 11:38 pm
A snort appendage sounds like something you get after blowing your nose!
Briefly, and who here doesn’t enjoy KB’s blog?
love KB’s Blog
a r @ #1842 Thursday, August 10th, 2017 – 11:24 pm
a r
That’s interesting about Qld. In my (mostly Sydney professional) circles, partner is almost the universal expression in longterm homosexual relationships, and while becoming more common in heterosexual relationships – a bit ‘what we are is none of your business’, often second or third long relationships, and seen as a clean nonsexist non patriarchal term – it’s nothing like a 60/40 split.
It’s the claim to ownership I find so offensive, as epitomised by that Vote NO posted earlier
Question, JB….yes, KB makes a difference…!
confessions @ #1809 Thursday, August 10th, 2017 – 10:52 pm
I am on a unity ticket with Confessions on this.
Jen:
If you want your hashtag to take off you need to remove the fullstops.
Fess – snap!
confessions
Jen:
If you want your hashtag to take off you need to remove the fullstops.
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Do you? it seems #doyourjob was used in the USA last year but #DoYourJob seems to not have a Facebook page.
Greensborough Growler @ #1854 Thursday, August 10th, 2017 – 11:34 pm
Cuts through? Your inane drolleries are not even as memorable as P1’s strategic blunders. You’re about as likely to cut anything in a debate as pink fluff stolen from the Mardi Gras and glued to some small slowly rotating rubbery whirring thing.
No GG, it’s the blowing out of another orifice
Kevin Bonham @ #1870 Thursday, August 10th, 2017 – 11:51 pm
You saw me!
As I scrolled up I just noticed that the YouGov poll is only 1005 — that’s a bluddy small sample … MOE????
well GG…where is Cyrano when you need him!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YpHwm5EFVbY
I am on a unity ticket with Confessions on this.
Ditto Bemused.
bemused @ #1866 Thursday, August 10th, 2017 – 9:48 pm
JOHN BOY @ #1875 Thursday, August 10th, 2017 – 9:54 pm
Ditto here and so will all of our local branch. Boy are we itching for a chance to fight.
As I scrolled up I just noticed that the YouGov poll is only 1005 — that’s a bluddy small sample … MOE????
yes.. I worry it will fuck with WB’s BludgerTrack trend…
Gosh imagine if that warmonger Hillary was elected!
One author, Ishbel Addyman, varies from other biographers and claims that he was not a Gascon aristocrat, but a descendant of a Sardinian fishmonger and that the Bergerac appellation stemmed from a small estate near Paris where he was born, and not in Gascony, and that he may have suffered tertiary syphilis. She also claims that he may likely have been homosexual and around 1640 became the lover of Charles Coypeau d’Assoucy, a writer and musician, until around 1653, when they became engaged in a bitter rivalry. This led to Bergerac sending d’Assoucy death threats that compelled him to leave Paris. The quarrel extended to a series of satirical texts by both men. Bergerac wrote Contre Soucidas (an anagram of his enemy’s name) and Contre un ingrat (Against an ingrate), while D’Assoucy counterattacked with Le Combat de Cyrano de Bergerac avec le singe de Brioché, au bout du Pont-Neuf (The battle of Cyrano de Bergerac with the monkey of Brioché, at the end of the Pont-Neuf). He also associated with Théophile de Viau, the French poet and libertine.
Those were the days!
Unless there is an overwhelming position taken by the LGBTI community to boycott the survey, I can not see how a non LGBTI supporter of ME can do anything but vote yes.
We have no skin in this game apart from our support and to abstain or vote informally would reduce the chances of yes winning and be a kick in the guts to those we support.
a r @ #1842 Thursday, August 10th, 2017 – 11:24 pm
Queensland IS different.
That is well known.
WB has reassured us he will belt Yougov with a sledge hammer before applying it to bludgertrack
Unity for Equality!
jenauthor @ #1845 Thursday, August 10th, 2017 – 11:26 pm
George Pell is controlling his mind.
Kevin Bonham @ #1872 Thursday, August 10th, 2017 – 11:51 pm
My old man told me never give anything away. There’s plenty of money to be made in second hand pink fluff!
I’ll bow to your greater knowledge about the 1001 uses for rotating rubbery whirry things.
Plus, my inane drolleries are what keep you coming back for more!
Months of this ahead of us now, Bludgers
George Pell is controlling his mind.
HA
Question
WB has reassured us he will belt Yougov with a sledge hammer before applying it to bludgertrack
Thank you comrade
JOHN BOY @ #1875 Thursday, August 10th, 2017 – 11:54 pm
I sense you might be missing the point that Confessions and I are old sparring partners.
jenauthor @ #1871 Thursday, August 10th, 2017 – 11:51 pm
You should try ear plugs.
JOHN BOY @ #1877 Thursday, August 10th, 2017 – 11:56 pm
It is not too bad for a national figure.
The MOE doesn’t decrease linearly but as the square of the sample size.
In other words, you have to go a lot bigger to make a lot of difference to the MOE.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/aug/10/modern-slavery-uk-nca-human-trafficking-prostitution
The occurrence of slavery was raised a few days ago….it’s not at all a thing of the past.
Kevin,
If you’re still here.
Don’t you and William just work with the Primary numbers when you do your aggregates?
If so YouGov isn’t that far away from the other polls.
briefly @ #1879 Thursday, August 10th, 2017 – 11:57 pm
It’s great that PB indulges you and lets you reminisce about your youth!
bemused @ #1889 Thursday, August 10th, 2017 – 10:08 pm
Well I guess we are talking about *unusual* marriages, so very apt really.
Goodnight all
Greensborough Growler
briefly @ #1879 Thursday, August 10th, 2017 – 11:57 pm
One author, Ishbel Addyman, varies from other biographers
Not much has changed…specially the bit where rivalry is conducted by the exchange of satirical texts… 🙂
I sense you might be missing the point that Confessions and I are old sparring partners.
Nah, as a lurker of 4 years before John Boy account spoke, I’ve noticed, lol.
It is the way to go – the ONLY sensible way for a Labor voter that is..
Dream of Equality, bemused 🙂
briefly @ #1878 Thursday, August 10th, 2017 – 11:57 pm
Tertiary syphilitic noses were subject to collapse into an ugly ‘saddle’ shape as the cartilage of the nose eroded – a disfiguring sign of shame, or deformed with the bulbous deformity of excess granulation (inflammatory) tissue. Much room to speculate on M. Bergerac and his nose therefore, including the Renaissance Rhinoplasty!
When I was a new graduate, the Professor of Medicine took me aside to counsel me to be sure to pick a speciality for which there was no imminent cure. People used to make a living out of syphilis came his warning … . until they discovered penicillin. Dermatology was the safe bet – never get better and never die!