As reported by The Guardian, the Coalition has picked up a point on Essential Research’s fortnight rolling average for the second week in a row, reducing Labor’s lead to 52-48. On the primary vote, the Coalition is up one to 36%, Labor is down one to 36%, One Nation is up a point to 11% and the Greens are steady on 10% (UPDATE: No, actually it’s the Coalition steady on 38% and One Nation up one to 8% – the rest is okay). Further:
• On the question of who would be best to lead the Liberal Party, Malcolm Turnbull recorded 25%, up five since March; Julie Bishop 20%, down three; Tony Abbott 10%, unchanged; and 13% chose an unspecified “someone else” option. For Labor, Bill Shorten was on 20%, down one; Tanya Plibersek 13%, unchanged; Anthony Albanese 13%, up two; with someone else on 13%.
• Fifty-two per cent were of the view that economic inequality was worsening, with 26% saying it was stable and only 12% concurring with Scott Morrison’s suggestion that it was diminishing. No doubt relatedly, 82% supported forcing multinational companies to pay a minimum tax rate on their Australian earnings; 61% favoured a higher top-tier income tax rate; 71% a “Buffett rule” to force the wealthy to pay a minimum 30% tax rate; and 86% measures to inhibit the wealthy from minimising tax payments by sending funds offshore.
• Fifty-eight per cent expressed support for four-year terms, with only 24% opposed.
Another poll worth noting is a rare effort on voting intention in the Australian Capital Territory, conducted by ReachTEL for Anglicare and the Canberra Gambling Reform Alliance, which records Labor on 36.4% (down 2.0% since the 2016 election), the Liberals on 38.8% (up 2.1%) and the Greens on 13.3% (up 3.0%).
Guytaur:
I just saw on facebook he’d been listed as dead. WTF is going on?
Numbers on marriage equality
JoshButler: Currently 5 Lib MPs have indicated some support – Wilson Entsch Evans Zimmerman Wood – but unclear which of them would ACTUALLY cross floor
realDonaldTrump: A great day at the White House!
GT
I believe Wood is the only one to say he would cross the floor.
Morning all
Whilst Putin is now retaliating to the sanctions being imposed. Rex Tillerson Sec of state and former Exxon boss is taking a break. Hmmm,.
Lizzie
Ourt FVEYS partners have been working hard. And by all reports, the English have had a big part in providing info on the Trump investigation.
So by the looks of it SSM would pass the House, assuming all ALP MPs vote yes, plus Bandt and Wilkie even if the coalition don’t have 5 MPs to cross the floor.
Numbers in the Senate are a different story though.
Ides:
Yes Tim Wilson hasn’t committed, just ‘left the door open’ to the possibility.
Fess
I think itd pass the senate. Most of Lab, Greens, NXT, Leyonhelm, Dean Smith etc.
lizzie
All that matters would be that the man who stole his “precious” lasted fewer days than he did.
MrMoney @ #39 Tuesday, August 1st, 2017 – 7:59 am
Goodness gracious me. There should be a breakfast warning alert. Any number of those could well be mistaken for … entirely appropriately …
…. Turds.
If the HoR votes on same sex marriage, surely Malcolm will have to vote in favour. He can’t be that big a weasel. And boy, will that piss off the righties.
poroti
There’s a photo of TA as a child showing all his potential vindictiveness. His Dad must have had immense influence to push him so far into the ‘right circles’.
Backbench Libs can cross the floor, but not frontbenchers. Malcolm would have to oppose an SSM bill.
And some want to clear the top end of Australia too:
http://www.truth-out.org/news/item/41425-biological-annihilation-trillion-ton-icebergs-warming-levels-unseen-for-115-000-years
I have just deleted 18 messages from ‘Crikey comment – bludgertrack’. They are not connected to any posts I was ‘interested in’. This is very weird. I’m hoping that William’s assurances turn out to be true.
How about a great big scary number – $76 billion!
Kelly and Uren have an exclusive article in today’s GG, the total of the ‘assault ‘ on higher income tax payers would be $76billion (over 10years).
Thanks for this morning’s reading BK – you surpass yourself!
So Dutton & Hunt. Keepers creepers …
We’re headed for a military state if we don’t get an election soon and Dutton has his way. He’d have had a meteoric rise through the ranks of the Wehrmacht, I suspect.
That was Jeepers
John Reidy
How about a great big scary number – $76 billion!
Kelly and Uren have an exclusive article in today’s GG, the total of the ‘assault ‘ on higher income tax payers would be $76billion (over 10years).
That’s almost as big as Abbott’s and Hockey’s attack on Health and Education in the 2014 Budget.
“A $1 billion concessional loan to the controversial Adani Carmichael mine project in Queensland’s Galilee Basin could expose taxpayers to a high risk of losing their money, according to an independent business analysis.”
Taxpayers have also been scammed over Murray-Darling water.
This government constantly wastes money through poor administration, blames Labor for being profligate, but won’t fund infrastructure that would assist the economy
Confessions – good point, and won’t Malcolm look a weasel if it passes and he didn’t even vote for it!
Jen
Nah. For that to happen the by election would have to be lost by either the Greens or Labor.
With prospect of Dutton as PM I can see Wentworth being lost by the LNP.
Crikey
…it’s a good thing we had allies feeding us intelligence on the Sydney plot, as according to International Cyber Policy Centre director Fergus Hanson, speaking to the Tele, vetting delays and lower wages were driving Australian intelligence workers away from national security roles toward private security firms or tech giants like Google.
False economy, a typical failure of the NeoLibs.
[Former Anglican Archbishop of Adelaide Ian George is at the centre of a major SA Police investigation over the role he played in disgraced St Peter’s College priest John Mountford fleeing Australia in 1992. In a shock development in the St Peter’s College abuse case, detectives are investigating if any of those involved in Mountford’s rapid exit from Adelaide perverted the course of justice or impeded an investigation into his activities. Google.
/news/south-australia/ian-george-investigated-over-how-st-peters-college-sex-abuser-priest-john-mountford-fled-adelaide-in-1992/news-story/1553779acdf9f88a4312d8faf6343bba]
From bk, thanks as always.
This is something I would like to see more of, police going after the enablers within organisations whose actions and inactions facilitated ongoing abuse and/or the avoidance of detection/apprehension by police.
Now that Trump is expendable to Moscow, he ought to worry that leaks unflattering to him and his entourage may go public. We know that Russian hackers pillaged Republicans as well as Democrats in 2016, while only the latter have been disseminated by Kremlin fronts. Not to mention Trump’s decades of shadowy financial dealings with Russian oligarchs, which the Kremlin surely knows all about. Putin is biding his time and, right now, he’s holding most of the important cards. He may ultimately decide Trump’s political fate, which now resides in Moscow’s hands.
OPINION
We Are Now in Cold War 2.0
Putin has given up on the White House—and that’s terrible news for Trump
By John R. Schindler • 07/31/17 10:14am
Here is link
http://observer.com/2017/07/trump-putin-russia-sanctions-diplomatic-operations/amp/
Lizzie
I concur with the fact that we have great allies doing excellent intelligence gathering. As far as I am concerned, good intelligence is paramount
Anton:
He could always resign the leadership and vote in support of SSM. Wouldn’t that be a huge FU to the Liberal party, ensuring marriage equality becomes law while its in govt.
There could no clearer a statement by the Liberal Party of what they stand for than to dump a leader twice because of progressive no brainer issues.
joshgnosis: “Same-sex marriage isn’t an important issue.”
“We will roll the PM if some backbenchers cross the floor to pass it”
Well it appears that of these will do just fine for Dutton
ItzaDream
MrMoney @ #39 Tuesday, August 1st, 2017 – 7:59 am
Will need a new pic.if fizza Trumble goes now looking at different potatoe types 16 in total
http://www.thekitchn.com/potato-varieties-64061
Oohhh the choices
Goodness gracious me. There should be a breakfast warning alert. Any number of those could well be mistaken for … entirely appropriately …
…. Turds.
Sara @_sara_jade_ · 20h20 hours ago
Turnbull asked about neg polling in WA. “I never had a warmer reception.” Looks at the floor. Hiding true emotions.
Australian ‘Christian’ Lobby seems to be a player in internal Liberal politics. Tells those MPs pushing for a parliamentary vote that people won’t vote for a party that doesn’t keep election promise to hold SSM plebiscite.
http://www.acl.org.au/why_trashing_an_election_promise_undermines_trust
Barney in Go Dau @ #75 Tuesday, August 1st, 2017 – 9:05 am
Worth noting too BiGD that this was driven by the dead boy’s mother
Dutton as PM would be worth it to watch the Moderates (sic) contort themselves to justify backing a man one of his own cabinet colleagues called a fascist.
Oh and watching the non Murdoch media contort themselves to make out that Shorten is the greatest threat to the nation as well as being the luckiest man in politics as well as imminently going to be replaced by Albo.
And watching Trumble contort himself trying to convince himself how he was such a success despite achieving possibly less than Abbott and being replaced by an evil tuber.
Yes it would be a complete disaster and a disgrace, but that’s been the situation since 2013. The schadenfruede would at least have us laughing through the tears.
Just realised the Kiwis have an election next month.
Wikipedia puts National on 46 (-1%), Labor on 27 (+1.9), Greens on 12 (+1.3) , NZ First on 10 (+1.3)
It looks like this would make a Lab + Greens + NZ First coalition viable, whereas last election it wasn’t without additional support from all 3 of the other parties.
Anyone know more about NZ elections got anything to add?
VE
NZ first + lab + greens seems a bit of a mess
LOL
lizzie
There is hope! I only had one email to delete this morning…they’re definitely slowing down.
WB
My ‘CTar1 Tuesday, August 1st, 2017 – 7:39 am’ took a bit longer than 10 minutes to appear on the mobile after I posted from and could see it on the lap top.
It ‘slotted’ itself in between some later time stamped comments that were already visible on the mobile in the right place.
ratsak @ #86 Tuesday, August 1st, 2017 – 9:18 am
Oh they’ll manage. The subversion of principles to accomodate a shift to the right in the pursuit of power and the preservation of some non-negotiable ideology is well within their skills, as was touched on here yesterday with the shift in the Catholic vote to the right in Oz and the USA.
And for the witless population, it’s frog in the boiling water stuff. I remember thinking I, and probably the country, wouldn’t be able to deal with a second Howard term. He is the bastard prick who flicked the switch and sent us down this track in the first place. But no, here I sit, Howard, Abbott, (Turnbull will disappear in a black puff of anger), and now Dutton.
Makes you almost look forward to the 6th mass extinction. (Great link booleanbach)
lizzie – The variation in font size is a problem on the mobile, for sure.
Some to small to even try reading.
I’ll be sticking to using my lap top.
zoomster @ #90 Tuesday, August 1st, 2017 – 9:29 am
And I had my first comment email free night.
Will no one hold a mirror to their can’t break an election promise bullshit. They wrote the book.
[ItzaDream
Barney in Go Dau @ #75 Tuesday, August 1st, 2017 – 9:05 am
[Former Anglican Archbishop of Adelaide Ian George is at the centre of a major SA Police investigation over the role he played in disgraced St Peter’s College priest John Mountford fleeing Australia in 1992. In a shock development in the St Peter’s College abuse case, detectives are investigating if any of those involved in Mountford’s rapid exit from Adelaide perverted the course of justice or impeded an investigation into his activities. Google.
/news/south-australia/ian-george-investigated-over-how-st-peters-college-sex-abuser-priest-john-mountford-fled-adelaide-in-1992/news-story/1553779acdf9f88a4312d8faf6343bba]
From bk, thanks as always.
This is something I would like to see more of, police going after the enablers within organisations whose actions and inactions facilitated ongoing abuse and/or the avoidance of detection/apprehension by police.
Worth noting too BiGD that this was driven by the dead boy’s mother]
Is this a reflection of authorities having an aversion to go after these organisations?
ratsak
Abbott or Dutton?
Thinks…
Freaks out. Runs offstage, screaming.
CTar1
On sleepless nights, PB will be lost to me. 🙁
Well said ItzaDream.
Meanwhile the CPG do their part in maintaining the charade, keeping whatever is the talking point of the day in the public eye for the required 30 seconds, as the boiling frog becomes ever more inured to the latest outrage.
Barney in Go Dau @ #96 Tuesday, August 1st, 2017 – 9:37 am
Absolutely. The Newcastle experience of ‘blind reporting’ for example.