The Guardian reports that the latest reading of the Essential Research fortnight rolling average, which has been delayed a day due to Monday’s public holiday, has Labor’s two-party lead unchanged at 52-48, after it fell from 53-47 last week. Primary votes will have to wait until later today. UPDATE: Full report here, with primary votes at Coalition 38% (down one), Labor 36% (down one), Greens 10% (steady), One Nation 8% (up two).
Other reported findings focus on terrorism and a low emissions target, with the former including a 47% approval rating for Malcolm Turnbull’s handling of the terror threat, compared with 56% in October 2015, and 24% disapproval, compared with 17%; 74% saying the terrorism threat in Australia has risen over recent years; 46% saying the government should be spending more on counter-terrorism, compared with only 9% for less; and 44% saying there should be more restrictions on rights and freedoms to combat terrorism, with only 12% saying current restrictions go too far, and 19% believing the current balance is right.
With respect to carbon emissions, 44% favour a low emissions target and 20% an emissions intensity scheme, with 36% opting for don’t know; and 27% saying capture and storage from coal generation should count as a low emissions energy source, compared with 29% who disagreed.
Also this week:
• The Australia Institute has published a ReachTEL poll of the Environment Minister Josh Frydenberg’s seat of Kooyong, which after incorporating prompting responses for the undecided finds primary votes of Liberal 48.9% (58.2% at the election), Labor 25.5% (19.8%) and Greens 17.0% (18.9%), and a respondent-allocated two-party result of 56-44 to Liberal (63.3-36.7). The poll also records a 77.9-15.5 split in favour of a clean energy target,
• Western Australian Senator Chris Back has announced he will retire as of the end of July, leaving a vacancy for a three-year term that runs to mid-2019. Andrew Burrell of The Australian identifies two possible successors: Slade Brockman, former chief-of-staff to Mathias Cormann, who is rated the front-runner; and Matt O’Sullivan, chief operating officer of Andrew Forrest’s GenerationOne indigenous youth employment scheme, who ran unsuccessfully in the southern Perth seat of Burt at last year’s federal election.
victoria Friday, June 16, 2017 at 12:54 pm
phoenixRed
you may have missed my follow up post. I found it on Taylors twitterfeed.
It is tres interesting indeed. why would Rosenstein feel the need to issue such a statement?
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Obviously there is “something ” really damaging either out there or is known to exist ….. or it could be a plea to ignore some cooked up tape/movie …. only time will tell ….
Well at least you can form an argument. There are far more right-wing contributions that yours, but they tend to be off in the Malcolm Roberts range.
phoenixRed
yep. there are just so many ways to interpret the statement by Rosenstein. so many variables come to mind.
phoenixRed
this is an interesting take on it
Rosensteins statement tonight is a public message to FVEY to keep doing what they’re doing. Nothing more.
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trog sorrenson @ #1100 Friday, June 16, 2017 at 12:58 pm
You are employing P1 tactics.
There is no way you can call it exponential growth based on the data you cited.
But you don’t need to. It is a very high rate of growth and will result in a very high solar capacity by 2020.
No scientists for the Climate Change Authority? Malcolm Roberts perhaps?
http://www.huffingtonpost.com.au/2017/06/15/scientist-says-government-wants-to-destroy-the-body-that-gives-it-climate-advice_a_22187268/?utm_hp_ref=au-homepage
Gotta love this tweet from Gov Mike Huckabee
“Yikes! Robert Mueller called me; wants to talk; Don’t know what it’s about, but it will be leaked in NY Slimes or Wash Compost tomorrow.”
Shows the mentality of the blind followers of the emerging treasonous kleptocracy which is Trumpistan.
Doyley
I didn’t see that but am not surprised.
sprocket
i guess it hasnt dawned on Mike Huckabee that by reporting that information, he leaked information himself. funny that
victoria Friday, June 16, 2017 at 1:07 pm
phoenixRed
this is an interesting take on it
Rosensteins statement tonight is a public message to FVEY to keep doing what they’re doing. Nothing more.
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Just reading Bill Palmer ( Palmer Report ) and his take on it
Something serious is going on within the Department of Justice tonight, and to borrow a phrase from this week’s congressional hearings, something just doesn’t smell right. The DOJ released a surreal official statement under the name of Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein which, to put it mildly, doesn’t sound like it really came from Rosenstein.
Despite this being a relatively brief statement, there’s a lot to unpack here. The reference to leaks that “do not identify the country” suggest that at least some of the Trump-Russia leaks surfacing in the media right now may be from overseas intelligence agencies. That’s not a surprise, as various leaks seemed to have come from the European intel community. But moreover, this statement doesn’t sound like something that Rod Rosenstein would write or release. Instead, we all know there’s only one person in the Donald Trump administration who’s obsessed with leaks.
The verbiage of this press release is too sophisticated to have been written by Donald Trump himself. But it’s precisely the kind of statement he’d want out there right now. So did he twist Rosenstein’s arm into putting out this release? Did he have one of his own handlers write it, and release it under Rosenstein’s name? Is recused-but-not-really-recused Attorney General Jeff Sessions behind this? Does Rosenstein even know that this press release has been issued in his name? Something incredibly bizarre is happening here. There is obviously more to come with this developing story.
“Well at least you can form an argument. There are far more right-wing contributions that yours, but they tend to be off in the Malcolm Roberts range.”
You’re saying I’m more coherent than Malcolm Roberts? You sure know how to dish out the compliments, Captain Haddock, you old charmer, you!
Bemused
Globally it is a very simple exponential. In Australia it fits a classic hockey stick.
I have noted the considerable effect of subsidies. What is disengenuous about that?
phoenixRed
As I keep saying. Nothing would surprise me. Nothing. I found Rosenstein’s statement rather strange indeed.
Obviously, watch this space!
So then, any impending leaks that do identify the country of origin can be trusted. Message received.
victoria Friday, June 16, 2017 at 1:28 pm
phoenixRed
As I keep saying. Nothing would surprise me. Nothing. I found Rosenstein’s statement rather strange indeed.
Obviously, watch this space!
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‘Curiouser and curiouser!” Cried Alice in Trumpland …..
trog sorrenson @ #1112 Friday, June 16, 2017 at 1:27 pm
That is not what you said and not what the data you pointed to says.
I suggest you spend some time away from P1. Its techniques are rubbing off on you.
http://www.theage.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/turnbull-ministers-should-be-held-to-account-in-strongest-terms-chief-justice-20170616-gwse63.html
Wow, it looks like these lunatics have refused to apologise and have dug a big hole for themselves. I suspect the next step is them being charged with contempt. Unbelievable.
mW is very different to MW
Everything is relative, except for my charm, that is absolute : )
trog sorrenson @ #1112 Friday, June 16, 2017 at 1:27 pm
The data simply doesn’t support your claim at all. It is disingenuous of you to keep claiming it does, and then to also keep offering spurious reasons why it doesn’t.
There are all sorts of factors at play here, many more than you seem to realize. But at the end of the day, the data is the data. And it is linear.
phoenixRed
it should be easy enough for Rosenstein to put on the record whether he made the statement independent of Trump or not.
This mongrel’s got at least 43 years in jail.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-06-16/brothers-4-life-leader-farhad-mumtaz-and-jamil-qaumi-jailed/8624102
Anton,
I believe the Turnbull government believes it is onto a winner with terrorism / national security and the statements by the three will play out well. Who cares about the national interest, who cares about judicial independence. Certainly not Turnbull as he latches onto anything to cover his arse.
Cheers.
victoria Friday, June 16, 2017 at 1:43 pm
phoenixRed
it should be easy enough for Rosenstein to put on the record whether he made the statement independent of Trump or not.
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The more I read on this Rosenstein …… mmmmm …..President Donald Trump nominated Rosenstein to serve as Deputy Attorney General for the United States Department of Justice on January 13, 2017.
In May 2017, he authored a memo which provided the basis for President Trump’s decision to dismiss FBI Director James Comey
Rosenstein said in a statement, “My decision is not a finding that crimes have been committed or that any prosecution is warranted. I have made no such determination. What I have determined is that based upon the unique circumstances the public interest requires me to place this investigation under the authority of a person who exercises a degree of independence from the normal chain of command.”
……………….. sounds like a Trump asskisser …..
Is there ANYONE left in the US who speaks with honesty and tells the truth or has their country before their own friggin neck ????
victoria Friday, June 16, 2017 at 12:52 pm
I have been following the reports on here, on Twitter and on the news. I am not disputing the links between Trump and the Russians, or the fact that Trump is a crook and is totally unsuited to the job he’s now in.
But, I find it hard to believe that Australia’s intelligence agencies could be the source of any “incriminating stuff on Trump”. I’m aware that we’re part of the Five Eyes alliance. However, I understand that our focus is on Asia. I doubt we would have many, if any, sources of intelligence in Russia. I also doubt that we, that is Australia, would have any incriminating signals intelligence between the Russians and Trump. I just don’t see how we would be in a position to collect it.
So, if we do have this incriminating stuff, where did it come from?
A R,
Not wanting to cut your lunch but Michael West just put out this request for assistance and I thought you might be interested 🙂
Behind the scenes we are working towards a site relaunch, around the time of the one-year anniversary next month. We are also asking those with a technical expertise to volunteer a smidgen of their time to maintain our site’s performance, appearance, reliability and reach. If you would like to lend a hand to independent journalism …
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Bemused
1) What I claimed was that a growth rate of 46%, which is the global average over many years, would deliver 450% solar pv by the end of 2020 based on December 31st 2016 solar pv capacity.
2) P1 cited data from the Australian Photovoltaic Institute which showed only a 15% compound annual growth from 2001-2017
3) P1’s data also showed a major increase in growth rate from 2010-2017.
4) I did a spreadsheet analysis, and found that the end point in 2017 was consistent with an internal annual growth of 70%.
5) Other PBers correctly noted that the data from 2010-2017 were linear
6) This takes into account the effect of a major uptake in solar pv conciding with big subsidies around 2010. These subsidies have progressively been reduced, with the effect being a flattening in the exponential curve.
The underlying growth in solar pv in Australia has been an exponential curve modifed by the subsidies.
If this were not the case:
1) We would not have seen a linear graph from 2010- to 2017. It would have been an S curve – going up after 2010, decreasing then rising again towards 2017.
or, alternatively:
2) Subsides of up to $8000 on offer circa 2010 had no major effect on the market.
I agree the graph is linear from 2010 to 2017, I just don’t agree it truly represents the underlying trend.
doyley
you are correct in that observation. But it should be made very clear that the statements as made by these MPs, actually prejudices the case against the Defendant, and in doing so, can help the Defendant. Not the other way around. There is a reason why we have independence in the rule of law. They are in fact damaging it in a very serious and dangerous way. Damaging the standing of the institutions is not good for short term political point scoring. it is disgusting and I have had a gutful of this mob. Turnbull and co have descended further than even under Abbott. how pathetic
antonbruckner11: “Wow, it looks like these lunatics have refused to apologise and have dug a big hole for themselves. I suspect the next step is them being charged with contempt. Unbelievable.”
Sorry, I just can’t get excited about the idea of a group of pompous, unelected elderly (mainly) men who like to play dress-ups and pass judgments on the rest of us giving dressings-down to elected politicians for having the insolence to criticise the actions of said pompous, unelected men.
The state judicial systems have made some interesting decisions in recent years: bail for Monis, parole for Adrian Bayley, a three year cut for Adrian Bayley’s non-parole period for raping and murdering Jill Meagher, parole for Yacqub Khayre.
I don’t really blame the judges, magistrates and government officials involved: it truly is the entire justice system of Australia and a number of other countries that’s all wrong IMO. (I’ve posted my detailed views on this subject before and can do so again if anyone is interested.)
But, even if the system is wrong, no actor within it should be immune from criticism for their actions.
Doyley – I agree. But it sounds like the CJ is lining them up for a contempt charge. I have never heard of that happening to a govt minister. Most people who are not RWNJs will be appalled. This is just pure arrogance. If I was representing them I would be forcing them to write a letter of apology to the CJ right now.
BC
It is not a given that Australia has the incriminating evidence. it is possible as part of the FVEY that they have collected some. Could be why so many top intel officials have been here.
It has been reported extensively that other foreign intel agencies have collected much info over time. so this latest statement by Rosenstein could actually indicate that they expect some damaging intel to be released by someone. which country it comes from. no idea.
trog sorrenson @ #1127 Friday, June 16, 2017 at 1:54 pm
Your deluge of words does not address the fact you referred to your data as showing exponential growth. It simply doesn’t.
Anton,
I agree. It would be so easy to bring a end to all this.
It must be remembered that the three are being represented by the SG and thus Brandis would have his hands all over it. I am in no way having a go at the SG but Brandis would be directing the response.
Cheers.
Victoria,
Yes, once again we are poorly served by our MSM. They are too busy concentrating on some leak from a Canberra ” snout in the trough ” dinner to properly report and analyse the implications of the actions of the three.
Cheers.
meher baba @ #1129 Friday, June 16, 2017 at 1:57 pm
I am not a noted defender of our legal system and the so-called ‘legal profession’, but the trio and the propaganda sheet which published their ravings went right over the top.
Doyley
I am in no doubt if these were Labor shadow Ministers, the msm would be at them like a bunch of hyenas.
**Brandis would be directing the response.**
Then the Three should keep their toothbrushes handy.
simon katich @ #1137 Friday, June 16, 2017 at 2:12 pm
It would be hilarious if their incarceration brought the Govt down. I doubt they would be granted pairs.
And more generally, we had agencies at the federal level who knew about the history of the nut-bag. The Victorian government offered to hand the oversight of parole to federal agencies, but Turnbull said they were “shirking responsibility”, and insisted that State politicians should provide the oversight. In one fell swoop he both undermined the judiciary AND refused to take responsibility.
The last thing the federal government wants is federal oversight, judicial, political or otherwise. It might make sense, but comes with far too much responsibility.
I am inclined to agree
Bill Kristol @BillKristol
The Rosenstein statement suggests there must be a heck of a Trump story coming based on alleged information from anonymous foreign officials
MB
whingeing about “unelected/activist judges” is pure tea party bullshit. Would you prefer US judicial elections?
There is a big difference between legitimate criticism and subjudice coordinated attacks on the integrity and motivation of the judiciary (“ideological experiments” and “divorced from reality”).
trog sorrenson @ #1127 Friday, June 16, 2017 at 1:54 pm
What “underlying trend”? The data is quite clear. Stop making a fool of yourself.
My God. I know all members of this government are fucking imbeciles, but I am stunned. Even the GG was smart enough to grovel.
Maybe I was wrong and these idiots will get a bit of porridge. Unless they have decided to try and engineer a crisis I can’t for the life of me see what they’re playing at. One side or other is going to have to back down or this is going to get ugly real fast and the end is impossible to predict. But playing chicken with the CJ in the hope she’ll be the one to back down seems very high stakes and shows absolutely no regard for who might get hurt if she doesn’t.
**It would be hilarious if their incarceration brought the Govt down. I doubt they would be granted pairs.**
I am sure if they were found guilty their opinions on tough sentencing and no parole would be taken into account by the Judge in deciding their punishment. What is good for gooses is good for toads.
There is a big difference between legitimate criticism and subjudice coordinated attacks on the integrity and motivation of the judiciary (“ideological experiments” and “divorced from reality”).
This.
It’s a dangerous game these dickheads are playing. I don’t know if it’s because they’re desperate, stupid, or just evil (non-exclusivity noted). Whatever they think they are up to it’s not hard to see it developing into a constitutional crisis to rival the Dismissal if the CJ did follow through and give them room and board at her Maj’s.
victoria Friday, June 16, 2017 at 2:21 pm
I am inclined to agree
Bill Kristol @BillKristol
The Rosenstein statement suggests there must be a heck of a Trump story coming based on alleged information from anonymous foreign officials
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Maybe these “foreign” sources have decided that Trump is no longer an asset to them and he is basically a lame duck dead man walking and his continued presence is actually doing THEIR own agenda more harm than good …… so the coup de gras of some kompromat is the best and quickest way to get rid of him ???? ……… expert espionage thriller writer Tom Clancy would have given his right arm if his imagination could have thought up a plot like this …
question @ #1139 Friday, June 16, 2017 at 2:21 pm
My count is that we have only had one death as a result of terrorism on Australian soil this century. Curtis Cheng.
Monis and the clown at Brighton were simply criminals who sought to increase their notoriety by claiming to be ISIS sympathisers.
OTOH cops have shot several wanna be terrorists, or crooks seeking notoriety, and an innocent civilian.
Forgive me if I don’t lose any sleep over terrorists in Australia.
And in the UK, the building fire death toll will far exceed that of all terrorist attacks this century.
I acknowledge that it is the efforts of security services which are containing the wanna be terrorists to this level of ineffectiveness and their efforts should be maintained.
meher
Once a decision is made by the judiciary, then it’s OK for people to criticise it.
Members of the government criticising a decision whilst the judges are in the process of making it risk being seen as leaning on the courts to come up with a decision the government wants.
Any suggestion of the parliamentary arm of our system leaning on the judicial part to get a particular outcome should be treated with alarm.
C@tmomma @ #1126 Friday, June 16th, 2017 – 1:52 pm
Sounds interesting, but I can’t find that request anywhere on the site? Looks like it’s currently running Yet Another Hacked-up WordPress Instance™…
I can understand the appeal of that approach to a certain extent, though I also wish people would seek out technical advice before setting down a path that tends to lead to performance and reliability issues.
player one @ #1142 Friday, June 16, 2017 at 2:24 pm
For once our resident troll has a point.
You are in a very sad place Trog.