The Essential Research fortnight rolling average records a one-point shift to the Coalition on two-party preferred for the second week in a row, which reflects an unusually strong result for them in last week’s sample. Labor’s lead is now at 52-48, with both parties up a point on the primary vote, the Coalition to 39% and Labor to 37%, the Greens down one to 10%, and One Nation up one to 6%.
Presumably in response to the Margaret Court episode, there are a number of questions on same-sex marriage, which records 60% support and 26% opposition compared with a 62-27 split in August last year. Sixty-one per cent support of the matter being determined by a plebiscite, with 27% favouring a vote by parliament. This compares with 59-25 in August, although Kevin Bonham notes Newspoll had it at 48-39 for a vote in parliament last September. Thirty-four per cent say they would be more likely to vote for a party or candidate who supported same-sex marriage, compared with 19% for less likely.
The poll finds 41% saying jobs on the Great Barrier Reef should be prioritised in a trade-off with jobs in the coal industry, compared with 12% for vice-versa and 21% denying such a trade-off was real. Apropos the Uluru statement, the poll records solid pluralities in favour even of of the more radical of its proposals. The poll also records 41% saying too much is spent on foreign aid compared with 16% for too little, although it also found the median respondent believed foreign aid accounted for around 2% of the budget, compared with a true figure of less than 1%.
We’re also now getting weekly attitudinal polling from YouGov for Fifty Acres, which will in due course expand to voting intention results. Its findings published on Friday recorded 45% support for a new verse for the national anthem recognising the indigenous as the first peoples, with 30% opposed; 53% opposed to a proposed increase in the refugee settlement program to 10,000 a year (no result for in favour was provided); and 52% support for same-sex marriage (no result for opposed was provided).
CT and BK
All Apple has done is just what Microsoft has done. Gone from 32 bit to 64 bit.
Software developers have had plenty of warning. IF they have not updated their apps to 64 bit thats their problem
I think Donald Trump and Steve Bannon, have made the strategic calculation that, if they foment a Sunni versus Shia clash, Saudi Arabia V Iran, and bring America in on the side of the Sunni despots, they will be able to entrench themselves in power at home in the USA, by also introducing their Anti the forces of Islam who are against the Saudis, policies, whose gestation was actually back in the Bush era with the Axis of Evil policy against Iran.
Socrates,
Labor has had a private members bill in Parliament since February. The proposed legislation would ban foreign donations, reduce to $1000 the level at which the name of donors would be required and introduce real time reporting of donations.
Turnbull and the government have done jack shit.
Cheers.
Hello, BK! From someone who is also an Anti the Apple Universe person. 🙂
Socrates,
You have swallowed the ABC/Fairfax Kool Aid, as Doyley has outlined in very specific detail. Are you also becoming more conservative as you age, like meher baba? 😉
The Apple hate is strong today.
If Apple does it its wrong. When Microsoft does it its fine
don @ #26 Wednesday, June 7, 2017 at 7:54 am
Ho ho. That article is a corker (my bold) …
Now, I wonder which countries might that be? Oh, that’s right – we already know that – China, India and the US – three of the biggest economies in the world, who emit over 50% of all C02.
I think the problem is that some people here still think “The World” means “Europe”. Boy oh boy … have you people got a few surprises coming!
Doyley
Thanks and I am pleased to hear that. Shorten should remind people of that. A bill for a federal ICAC would also be welcome. I do not suggest Shorten is personally corrupt. Or that the Liberals are any better. But too many in NSW Labor are compromised. They routinely do things for which public servants would go to jail.
c@tmomma @ #46 Wednesday, June 7, 2017 at 8:24 am
I think she was trying to say, I’m not such a racist bigot anymore …
and that there are fairies at the bottom of my garden. 🙂
P1
Still in denial I see.
You can claim all you like that decline is ridiculous. However experts say different and have published that different opinion.
There has not been an outcry over how wrong that is. Funny that
Catmomma
No. Saying parts of Labor are corrupt does not mean I vote Liberal. Just as saying the Anglican church harbours paedophiles does not mean I want to be Catholic. I’ll stick to being an atheist, with a commitment to the principles the Labor party was founded on, longing to find individual candidates who still live by them.
Speaking of which, good luck Jeremy Corbyn. Have a good day all.
Heard last night on our local Shock Jock radio station 6PR in Perth, some guy (with an English accent, but I will not hold this against him) suggesting, in response to the current terror problem, that all terrorists should be executed as well as their family.
That some here hold such views is very disturbing, but what is even more so is that fact that “Olly” Peterson?, 6PR’s current rev-up merchant, let this outrageous comment go through to the keeper without any kind of let or hinder.
For about an hour there was a continuous stream of like comments – a mixture of vigilantism and revenge.
While 6PR only has a small audience – mainly older males – these views, boldly stated, suggest that it would not be hard to find staff for any kind of concentration camp in good old, sunny WA.
One suggestion was to put oil rigs off the coast of WA to house incarcerated terrorists which, the listener spouting the view managed to demonstrate,l would be a great solution (nobody could escape and the sharks would get them if they jumped and who cares anyway?) and would somehow improve the economy due to all the new jobs created. All I heard was a resurrection of the prison hulks from the Thames.
Jeez, this was repugnant stuff and it is these very people who claim we all need to pull together and be Oztrayan.
P1
No, the world means the world, not a random selection of countries.
We have tried to make you understand that.
You also failed to understand that (contrary to your statement) renewables and not gas are nuclear power’s main competition.
‘A decade ago, nuclear and renewables produced roughly equivalent amounts of electricity; now, renewables produce more than twice as much as nuclear ..’
I note the positive figures for nuclear quoted come from the site you continually use as a reference point, which I pointed out yesterday was remarkably coy and seemed overly optimistic. The experts quoted in this article point to several faults with the assumptions made by the site.
I have no idea why, when it is repeatedly pointed out to you that the world does not consist of the USA, China and India, you slam others for not understanding what the world is.
Well, I do, but I’m still struggling to be polite here.
Socrates,
A good day to you as well.
Cheers.
MarkDiStef: Turnbull asked about Jim Molan’s secret tribunals and internment proposal: twitter.com/MarkDiStef/sta…
MarkDiStef: I just spoke to @Jim_Molan – architect of Australia’s boats policy – about what he’s suggesting re: detention/internment. Unedited answer: pic.twitter.com/mqZlIlOqUz
https://twitter.com/markdistef/status/871991807453704192
Its good to see a journalist being persistent over something that matters
The latest for P1 to ponder
‘Spectacular’ drop in renewable energy costs leads to record global boost
Falling solar and wind prices have led to new power deals across the world despite investment in renewables falling
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/jun/06/spectacular-drop-in-renewable-energy-costs-leads-to-record-global-boost?CMP=soc_568
https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/3739747/theresa-may-poll-terrorism-election-london-bridge/
The Sun’s poll has it 42 – 38 to the Tories. It’s 55 – 45 for preferred PM! The way the Sun story tries to bury that information makes it a tabloid masterpiece.
Oh dear!
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trumps-legal-dream-team-falters-as-dc-heavyweights-take-a-pass/2017/06/06/a6eb6e9a-4aea-11e7-a186-60c031eab644_story.html?tid=sm_fb&utm_term=.fbc281dc7b1d
Keith Olbermann’s latest. Joining the Trump-Russia dots:
https://youtu.be/m-aJD1a8xzU
Plus he lets us know about some other information that got lost in the covfefe uproar.
JohnJohnsonson: It’s important to remember that the glitter attack on Andrew Bolt was assault.
STILL PRETTY FUNNY THOUGH
zoomster @ #63 Wednesday, June 7, 2017 at 8:45 am
Zoomster, you are just repeating yourself now. The original claim was that “nuclear is declining world wide”. I have demonstrated that it is not – even the article Don just referenced acknowledges that. however, it is clear you have not read the supporting material that either side has provided, since several of your statements are simply incorrect. But it is also clear that your beliefs will not be swayed by either logic or facts, so I don’t see any point in engaging further.
No need – I’m out for a few hours. Knock yourself out.
‘I have demonstrated that it is not..’
Total delusion. Inability to admit when you’re wrong. Inability to even consider that you might be. Inability to analyse. Poor grasp of argument and logic.
I could go on, but it’s pretty clear now that there’s absolutely no point (sorry, folks, I always err on the side of assuming I’m dealing with a rational human being who is capable of understanding…it’s the teacher in me).
Prediction: P1’s response will be along the lines of “I know you are, but what am I?”
Nothing like strong and stable leadershit.
https://twitter.com/jessicaiscariad/status/872045255503126529
CNN Politics
5 mins ·
BREAKING: Fired FBI Director James Comey will dispute President Trump’s blanket claim that he was told he was not under investigation, according to sources familiar with Comey’s thinking.
andrew_lund: Police Minister @LisanevilleMP says @TurnbullMalcolm is “wiping his hands” of responsibility @9NewsMelb pic.twitter.com/BstdxhfhqO
https://twitter.com/andrew_lund/status/872229189797126144
Daniel Andrews doing an effective job of putting the parole / surveillance of terrorism suspects back to the Feds i.e. ASIO / AFP need to be actively involved, not just advising from afar.
andrew_lund: Vic AG @MartinPakulaMP “I think it would be a very problematic situation if we had politicians making individual decisions about parole”
It’s about time State leaders besmirched by Turnbull playing political games fought back hard and fast.
Cat
Yes. I hope all non LNP pollies jump on the bandwagon. Liarjholm should be first off the block. I won’t hold my breathe though.
While on the subject I liked Derryn Hinch standing up for the hostage victim in the Melbourne siege yesterday. There are times when he does make real sense
Morning all
BK I can well understand Trump getting the better of you. It is difficult to ignore the train wreck we are witnessing. With all the horrible loss of innocent lives in terror incidents and the like we have Trump causing chaos with his brain farts. It is impossible to say that his actions are not causing instability throughout the world.
And the confirmation that two Australians have died in The latest London attack, confirms the adage which sounds better in Italian (btw)
The world is a village……..
ASIO and the AFP have an A, for ‘Australian’, in front of them, not a V, hence they are Turnbull’s responsibility. Can the Victorian Parole Board really be blamed, therefore, if ASIO and the AFP are not feeding them information in a competent fashion?
Someone posted for the pedants an article about 35 words we get “wrong”. So as a follow up article.
https://www.theguardian.com/science/brain-flapping/2017/may/30/why-do-pedants-pedant
Turnbull is a disgusting piece of excrement. Again I say, did he forget the Lindt Cafe seige which happened on the Fed and State Fiberal watch. Monis was an accessory to murdering his exwife including a long list of other violent crimes. What was he doing out and about.
They really are shameless.
Guytaur,
Yes, I like Derryn Hinch too…when he agrees with me. 😉
Cat
Yeah that sums up Hinch. He does seem to have a blunt not nuanced view of the world
Fess
Don’t know if you recall an advertising campaign ages ago for Pantene Shampoo.
The catch cry for more beautiful hair after using the product was…..
“It won’t happen overnight, but it will happen”
Well every day that passes with this Trump imbroglio, I say this to myself.
Admittedly, it feels like forever for Trump to be ousted. Lol!
Gt
Yep. Talk-back radio requires that.
And speaking of ‘disgusting pieces of unthinking excrement’, in Australia we have Jim Molan.
Thanks for the heads-up, guytaur.
As I replied to Mark Di Stefano, wrt Molan’s Internment proposition (which worked so well when we locked up the Japanese in WW2, didn’t it?)…’For every person put behind the fence, 5 more radicals will be created outside.’
Victoria
The whole Qatar thing has me worried the US is not moving fast enough on Trump.
I am so staying up on Thursday night.
‘Its good to see a journalist being persistent over something that matters’
Of course he is not a part of our esteemed MSM.
Guytaur
You know my view that Trump shouldn’t have even been inaugurated! We are now in June and this wrecker is still there causing damage in every way. Sigh
Victoria
I am of the view that the election should have been redone. Its one thing I greatly value in Australia if their is a question of legality we just re do the election to make sure there is no questioning of the legitimacy of the vote.
I’ve been reading on an English blog about individuals who pay for political face-book ads. I assume this is happening here (I’m not on facebook). But it looks quite fascinating. Here is a flavour of what one blogger has done:
“For the police cuts attack ad, I actually had three ‘mini-campaigns’ but using the same ad:
One campaign for all 60 CON/LAB marginals
One campaign for 10 CON/LD Marginals
One campaign specifically for Hastings (Amber Rudd’s constituency – I really want her to lose it)
The ‘main ad’ has been viewed 2,094,300 times and been shared 13,572 times. It cost remarkably little money because, it clearly touched a nerve in many people, and they shared it rapidly. It went viral. I think I only paid for about 50,000 views, which is a small amount of money.
The positive message is that are not powerless in the face of the right-wing press anymore. We do not have to bow down to the agenda of Murdoch or Dacre, we now have the power to fight back – and beat them at their own game.”
Guytaur
The system in the U.S. allows for VP to take over, failing that the Speaker and failing that the next one in line who happens to be Orin Hatch. A new election does not feature in the picture.
Victoria
Yes. A major flaw in their system when its the legitimacy of the election that is in question. That succession thing does nothing to address that.
Another leak
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/06/06/us/politics/comey-sessions-trump.html?_r=0
From my previous linked post
WASHINGTON — The day after President Trump asked James B. Comey, the F.B.I. director, to end an investigation into his former national security adviser, Mr. Comey confronted Attorney General Jeff Sessions and said he did not want to be left alone again with the president, according to current and former law enforcement officials.
Mr. Comey believed Mr. Sessions should protect the F.B.I. from White House influence, the officials said, and pulled him aside after a meeting in February to tell him that private interactions between the F.B.I. director and the president were inappropriate. But Mr. Sessions could not guarantee that the president would not try to talk to Mr. Comey alone again, the officials said.
Fyi, the first ‘March Australia’ after the draconian Abbott/Hockey 2014 Budget used facebook to disseminate our memes and to highlight articles which analysed the outcomes of the Budget. We got daily fb statistics on how many times our posts were shared and viewed. We think it went a long way to getting our message out and turning out people to march against the Budget. 🙂
Guytaur,
Donald Trump is all about getting people over a barrel that he then uses to compromise them and question their integrity should they question him. Eg, Trump Tweeting that he had tapes of Comey/Trump conversations.
C@t
I recall going to the rally in the Melbourne CBD in response to the Budget. It was a huge turnout.