Essential Research’s fortnight rolling average has Labor’s two-party lead unchanged at 54-46, the only change on the primary vote being a one point drop for Labor to 37%, with the Coalition on 37%, the Greens on 10% and One Nation on 6%. An occasional question on the attributes of the parties yields little change since it was last asked in May, the biggest movers being “have good policies”, “clear about what they stand for” and “too close to big corporate and financial interests” for Labor, all of which are down five points. Another question finds Labor more trusted to find Medicare, the NDIS, universities, the age pension and public schools, but the Coalition more trusted to fund independent and private schools (keeping in mind that not everyone would feel these things should be funded). Labor’s specific budget response proposals all get highly positive responses; more respondents oppose (39%) than favour (24%) removing the deficit levy on the top income tax rate; and an overwhelming majority (78% to 7%) expect the bank levy will be passed on to customers.
P.S. Yassmin’s show just axed by ABC.
Just catching up.
Hasn’t the the original Gonski already been legislated and signed off by the states? If so, isn’t the best result for nothing to change? Why let Turnbull fiddle?
Turnbull has been slightly more effective than Abbott at getting LNP policy through. In my opinion that is worse.
“Mr Black is a media adviser to Queensland Senator Malcolm Roberts”
Mr Black sounds repugnant. He is well suited to a media role in Canberra.
C@
Great support from the unions, which are providing cash in hand to cover bills etc, and lots of donations of food from local businesses. Every time I visit the picket line there are lots of people there, and the mood is very cheerful.
Visit from Sally McManus tomorrow morning – THAT should provide a rousing speech!
Brandis spends his entire life trying not to answer legitimate questions. He must be a very terrified little weasel.
Blast and damn them for cowardice.
http://www.smh.com.au/entertainment/tv-and-radio/abc-axes-yassmin-abdelmagieds-australia-wide-program-20170524-gwc3ot?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=nc&eid=socialn%3Atwi-13omn1677-edtrl-other%3Annn-17%2F02%2F2014-edtrs_socialshare-all-nnn-nnn-vars-o%26sa%3DD%26usg%3DALhdy28zsr6qiq
Player One,
Does that make the LNP is the manure you spread over the plants?
Keeping the imagery in the family tends to suggest you may be right. 🙂
Bemused, the 5.65mm ammo used by the police would only be in the sniper’s rifles. Also referred to as .223 caliber. It is used by many armies now as they worked out some years ago that it takes around 5 soldiers to evacuate an injured man whereas with the old 7.62mm (.308) round that was used by Digghers, a shot would more usually be fatal requiring no evac during battle. The old .308 would shoot through tree trunks of up to about 12″ (300mm) and take out any one behind them with a deformed bullet – hence the song “A walk in the light green’ (I was only 19). Light green marking on a map indicated light jungle, hence no BIG timber to hide behind from bullets.
Tom.
Spain just ran a reverse auction for 3 GW of renewables.
Participants were told that they could bid in to receive the forecast average spot price (43 Euros per MWh), plus a premium that they could specify. The cheapest 3000 MW worth of bids are accepted.
There were at least 3000 MW of capacity that bid in asking for a $0 premium.
Renewables do not need subsidies. They just need certainty.
And of course I forgot the link to everyone’s favourite site
http://reneweconomy.com.au/eu-energy-auctions-yield-record-low-onshore-wind-prices-17917/
Torchbearer
I agree. It’s pretty hard to second guess NSW Police’s decisions but it was screamingly obvious despite hundreds of millions in anti-terrorist funding that the police hadn’t bothered spending that money on an actual response.
I should add that almost every book I’ve read about police responses to terrorist acts/school shootings is critical of how slow the police are to act so I don’t think we can single out NSW police: it’s a worldwide issue.
Bemused, I used to be a pistol and rifle owner and have never heard of a pistol being barreled for .223 (5.65mm).
Tom
Zoomster,
Good to hear!
Visit from Sally McManus tomorrow morning – THAT should provide a rousing speech!
Am I to take that to mean you don’t want me to come down and tap dance for the guys!?!
😆
Found in the Hansard
https://twitter.com/inthehansard/status/866962326217342976
P1: more likely it is the herbicide
Diogenes @ #162 Wednesday, May 24th, 2017 – 4:29 pm
Sort of makes you question the whole “Terrorism”shtick which dominates the rhetoric of politics and the media.
More people die from falling off ladders than Terrorism.
c@tmomma @ #147 Wednesday, May 24, 2017 at 4:01 pm
Can someone explain to me how @yassmin_a comments evoke full wrath of News Ltd but Quadrant’s wish to see ABC staff murdered goes unnoticed?
That sounds rather interventionist. Free market ideologues would prefer to let the hose flop around as it will, while what really happens in a ‘free market’ is that various hands fight over the hose and the strongest direct it to their plants, possibly over the fence, and/or water is wasted while rivals fight over the hose.
Oops, sorry, my last comment was with regard Tim Wilson’s analogy of conservatism as the hand that directs a garden hose, as quoted by C@t.
@ Steve777 – yes, but that one plant that gets all the water will grow up to be big and tall, and will help to shade the smaller plants from an overly harsh sun in the summer. Plus, some of the water that hits the tall plant will end up trickling down to the others.
It’s such typical grass warfare to criticise this tall tree, for actually doing something to help itself get ahead, and bring up quality of life for all plants around it too.
steve777 @ #170 Wednesday, May 24, 2017 at 4:39 pm
Colonic irrigation required?
bemused @11:47
Apparently police snipers didn’t believe they had any authority to shoot Monis and risked their careers and even liberty if they had shot him.
What then was their purpose in being there? Theatrics?
Bemused, I’m sure you know they were there IN CASE they were needed. The need wasn’t their’s to decide, it was up to their superior offices. As to ‘theatrics’ sometimes all that’s needed to defuse a situation is to show that you have superior force. Sometimes, but not always, as appears to be the case at Lindt. Then it’s for the superiors to decide whether to use the force. They apparently didn’t, and the Coroner seems to think they should have. 100% hindsight is infallible!
Theatrics is for amateur Know-it-alls
C@tmomma @ #164 Wednesday, May 24th, 2017 – 4:30 pm
Better not. It’s a proudly safe workplace and they wouldn’t want you falling in to the sink!
Well-played, VE. 🙂
I’m so bored with the Lindt cafe business. It was obvious a very long time ago the police messed up – and now whoopy do the coroner has found the ame. In the scheme of things it wasn’t such a big deal anyway. Some total loonbag with no real links to any organisation goes off half-cocked in a prominent central Sydney location. Yes it’s tragic a couple of people died but come on. It’s just another example of Sydney-centric media obsession.
Greensborough Growler,
It’s likely my performance would see me circling the plughole anyway. 😉
C@tmomma @ #177 Wednesday, May 24th, 2017 – 4:44 pm
Circling or gurgling?
Snipers are usually in a place of good vision and it is their job to record and communicate every movement that they can see. They will not have been allowed to shoot until given the order by the commander.
Tom.
Question –
Ok, there are a couple of different takes on this.
The first is that the Coalition currently have no ‘skin in the game’ as far as Gonski legislation goes. A new leader can come along and turn on a dime from their recent converstion to supporting the concept of needs based funding and say that was all a mistake, and go back to slogans about “it’s not about how much money it’s about how much you pressure the teachers” or whatever their post-2013 Abbott-era mantra was. If the Libs put up this Turnbull proposal, and it gets legislated and is around for the next few years, then the party will have ownership of the concept. Of course they can try and repudiate it, but it’s a much harder sell.
Secondly the sparkling jewel of opportunity for Labor in the recent Liberal conversion is that the Libs have been speaking – bragging – that they’re actually planning on reducing money going to ‘over-resourced’ schools. After the 2004 ‘school hitlist’ (and Latham implosion) Labor have been doing everything in their power to avoid being associated with anything that might be attacked along similar lines, and the Libs have just gifted them with a perfect out – the Libs themselves have publicly made an issue out of doing this. And it matters not one whit what the actual funding details are, what matters is that the Libs have shown they support the concept of cutting funds to elite private schools. Labor can take great advantage of that (it is a weakness of the Gonski 1.0 implementation by Gillard that she had to promise ‘no school will be worse off’), but it is much more powerful if these reforms get up via the Libs then Labor trying to leverage something that might not happen otherwise.
No one knows what will happen in the future – maybe Labor don’t need to worry about any of these political considerations if they win big enough to be able to pass stuff through the Senate with just the Greens – but they may not get there. There is no certainty about what the political situation will be after the next election even if the ALP seem guaranteed of controlling the House of Reps. I can understand the point of view that some of the measures Turnbull announced – like the needs based funding model, the medicare levy increase, the bank levy – should be passed (while not giving up the opportunity to make political hay out of protesting about how they should have been better) now when the opportunity is at hand. Improve things down the track when you’ve locked in your electoral win and favourable Senate…
I don’t know. I just think Labor need to be careful not to waste opportunities by pushing too hard. If they had gone a smidgeon easier on Turnbull back in the day over the CPRS we may never have had Abbott and we would not have had zero carbon price for all these years.
Fifield has called the Quadrant comments “sick and unhinged”.
Voice Endeavour – good one.
BK – colonic irritation analogies might work. “A cleansing torrent that clears out all the…”. But that would be something that ends Tory rule.
Here we go again!
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-05-24/martial-law-declared-in-philippines/8554248
For once I agree with Fifield.
Zoom, my sympathies at having to deal with those reptiles at Centrestink. But the whole process is Working As Intended, on at least two fronts:
– To make it so tedius, difficult, boring and (at least somewhat) humiliating to apply for payments that only the truly desperate will put themselves into that Hell to do so; and
– To inflate the “cost” of welfare by large-scale administrative spending, to set up later justifications to axe it.
Make no mistake, the Liberal Party views America as a utopia for their ideology, and will stop at NOTHING to make sure Australia becomes a cheaper, nastier version of the USA.
steve777 @ #182 Wednesday, May 24, 2017 at 4:51 pm
But . . . but they might actually enjoy it!
Tom
And no wonder – a 5.56 NATO round is 5.74cm in length i.e. a rifle sized round.
As a comparison the much favoured .40 S&W pistol round is 2.88cm in length.
I often wonder what would be going through the minds of the half-decent government ministers when Barnaby is Acting PM.
voice endeavour @ #160 Wednesday, May 24, 2017 at 4:29 pm
Let’s be specific … it’s not ‘renewables’, it’s ‘wind’ …
Only 1 MW out of 3000 went to solar. To get even that 1MW I’d say that group probably had to bid below cost.
We should certainly build more wind farms here in Australia. However, we would need to build heaps because they are not very reliable – we don’t have the consistency of wind they have in some parts of the world. SA is a good example – some days it gets 70% or more of its energy from wind .. and then on other days it gets virtually nothing from either wind (or solar for that matter) and has to depend almost entirely on gas.
No doubt the religious mafia will put the frighteners on sufficient MPs to nobble this voluntary euthanasia bill in Tassie.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-05-24/euthanasia-debate-begins-in-bid-to-legalise-assisted-suicide/8554352
Alias – Can’t quite figure out if you’re being callous, or ironic.
There’s trouble afoot for the board of Ardent Leisure, the owners of Dreamworld.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-05-24/dreamworld-owner-ardent-leisure-facing-board-push/8554982
Steve777 & BK:
“BK – colonic irritation analogies might work. “A cleansing torrent that clears out all the…”. But that would be something that ends Tory rule.”
Once you clean all the ordure out of a conservative, there’s nothing left!
Jackol,
I agree on the CPRS, but why let Turnbull cut education funding and change legislation the ALP put in place?
Why help Turnbull? He isn’t benign. The budget makes taxation less progressive, and gives $65Billion in tax cuts to corporations, while cutting education. All things I would expect the ALP not to support.
The other side of Mal.
https://twitter.com/MarkDiStef/status/866952370424393728
Looking at the Manchester thing, and the assurance that “No Australians have been reported as killed/injured”, the comment only goes to underline my feeling there is an inverse relation between how far away such atrocities take place and to whom.
A bomb going of in Iraq say, killing 80 people – and a dozen other places where these events are common, barely raise any interest/concern at all.
However, on Oz bod within 20 kilometres of any kind of similar event in say Paris, London or Manchester is of immediate concern to our Foreign Minister and our local media. I know it is kith and kin stuff but it is also selective compassion.
Question – I didn’t say they should support all of the budget measures (and I don’t think Emerson or Albo have expressed anything like that either). I think the ALP can and should oppose the business tax cuts, the removal of the deficit levy, the cuts to higher education and the tightening of screws on university students and those on welfare.
As to the schools funding – as I said there are reasons why it might be desirable to lock the Libs into some form of support for Gonski, and the original Gonski deals were not any sort of gold standard because of the “no school will be worse off” baseline, which can now be ditched if Labor play their cards right.
Well, it doesn’t matter what the original source of the electricity is, we are going to be paying more for it. Lots more:
Households facing ‘price spike’ as regulator loses key court case
http://www.smh.com.au/business/households-facing-price-spike-as-regulator-loses-key-court-case-20170523-gwbrjv.html
And the disruption continues..
I thought that LNG was cheap in the US – still can’t compete with solar.
http://reneweconomy.com.au/stunning-new-lows-in-cost-of-large-scale-solar-and-battery-storage-13929/
“I often wonder what would be going through the minds of the half-decent government ministers when Barnaby is Acting PM.”
There is a fundamental error in this statement.