Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor

The latest result from Newspoll lands slightly at the upper end of the government’s recent form.

Courtesy of The Australian, the latest result from Newspoll records Labor with a two-party lead of 52-48, down from 53-47 in the last poll (which was three weeks ago rather than the usual two, owing to Easter). Labor and the Greens are both down a point on the primary vote, to 35% and 9%, with the Coalition and One Nation steady on 36% and 10%. Malcolm Turnbull is up two on approval to 32% and down two on disapproval to 57%, while Bill Shorten is up one to 33% and down one to 53%. Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister shifts from 41-32 to 42-33.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,209 comments on “Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor”

  1. Maybe Abbott and a few other liberal party members should join Bernadi and co and they can call themselves Families of Australian Conservative Politicians First.

  2. chinda63 Wednesday, April 26, 2017 at 12:03 am

    I add also that they may also hoover up stray/disaffected PHONs, too.

    Like I said, there’s some serious money behind them, and the non-threatening name – Australian Comservatives – will also appeal to those who feel the Liberal Party no longer represents their interests.

    If Bernardi’s receiving a lot of his funding from overseas I wonder if that might encourage the two major parties to come to an agreement on banning foreign donations?

  3. Blanket Criticism Wednesday, April 26, 2017 at 1:54 am

    Maybe Abbott and a few other liberal party members should join Bernadi and co and they can call themselves Families of Australian Conservative Politicians First.

    How about Families Uniting Conservatives? Or, Families Uniting Conservative Australians?
    That would then make a member of the party a ….

  4. For those wishing to try out emoji:

    This page seems to work, I have been trying them on an old out of date PB page.

    http://www.amp-what.com/unicode/search/icon

    What you do is click on the emoji and then copy the code from the small popup window, then paste in your PB post. Sometimes it tells you that the code has been automatically copied.

    e.g.

    😎

    The emoji is made up of the characters:
    &
    #
    128526;

    all together on one line with no spaces.

  5. don @ #807 Wednesday, April 26, 2017 at 3:51 am

    For those wishing to try out emoji:
    This page seems to work, I have been trying them on an old out of date PB page.
    http://www.amp-what.com/unicode/search/icon
    What you do is click on the emoji and then copy the code from the small popup window, then paste in your PB post. Sometimes it tells you that the code has been automatically copied.
    e.g.

    The emoji is made up of the characters:
    &
    #
    128526;
    all together on one line with no spaces.

    Thanks Don. In particular the ref to old PB page.
    I am stuffing around with Chrome and Windows 7.
    Unfortunately many believe that Windows 10 will turn one into a toadstool while picking one’s pockets and forcing a Bernardi vote all at once.
    I will leave this now and only play around on my Windows 7 computer.
    The page you found is excellent and I will add it as a pinned tab.
    ☮ 😰

  6. Testing for emoji truncation using the above post. Looks OK on Musrum’s preview:

    don @ #807 Wednesday, April 26, 2017 at 3:51 am

    For those wishing to try out emoji:
    This page seems to work, I have been trying them on an old out of date PB page.
    http://www.amp-what.com/unicode/search/icon
    What you do is click on the emoji and then copy the code from the small popup window, then paste in your PB post. Sometimes it tells you that the code has been automatically copied.
    e.g.

  7. Dan Rather Puts The Media To Shame By Asking 2 Questions That Can End Trump’s Presidency

    Legendary journalist Dan Rather is asking the two vital questions whose answers have the capability of ending Donald Trump’s presidency.

    1. What did Mr. Trump know and when did he know it about Russian efforts to influence the U.S. Presidential election?

    2. Given indications so far, the President appears to have plenty to hide in his tax returns. Again, if he has nothing to hide why is he fighting so hard to keep them secret?

    With the exceptions of Rachel Maddow and some reporters at The New York Times and Washington Post, the press has not been up to the challenge that Trump is presenting.

    http://www.politicususa.com/2017/04/25/dan-puts-media-shame-2-questions-trumps-presidency.html

  8. ‘It’s not going to be a pleasant day’ for Trump: CNN panel relishes anticipated Sally Yates testimony

    Former acting Attorney General Sally Yates is scheduled to testify about Russia before the Senate Intelligence Committee on May 8th — and a CNN panel on Tuesday morning predicted there would be fireworks.

    http://www.rawstory.com/2017/04/its-not-going-to-be-a-pleasant-day-for-trump-cnn-panel-relishes-anticipated-sally-yates-testimony/

  9. Morning all. Beyond all the amusement Senator Bernardi might generate linking his supporter-less party with a now Senator-less group of supporters, we should keep this lot in perspective. They are a tiny group of people, who have only scraped a candidate over the line by lucky preferencing in the past. Really, they are a micro party. The defection of Gichuhi shows, once again, that once people know them they don’t trust them. Long may they go on splitting the Liberal party vote.

  10. Good morning Dawn Patrollers.

    Get the anti-emetic meds ready. Turnbull will be meeting Trump next week aboard an aircraft carrier in New York. The Churchilian tones will be rampant. And right in the middle of the budget build up too.
    http://www.smh.com.au/lfederal-politics/political-news/malcolm-turnbull-to-hold-first-meeting-with-president-donald-trump-in-new-york-20170425-gvsdbc.html
    James Massola on the Speech that Chris Bowen will make today on housing policy.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/housing-worries-interest-rates-lower-despite-crackdown-as-labor-sounds-alarm-on-stability-20170425-gvruep.html
    Mark Kenny writes that America is the world’s undisputed military superpower but it faces a strategic conundrum over North Korea’s nuclear intentions.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-opinion/north-korea-nuclear-standoff-there-are-no-easy-answers-20170424-gvrchh.html
    Amy Remeikis discusses the probable retention of the work for the dole scheme that has proven to be a waste of money and demonises the unemployed.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/federal-budget-2017-work-for-the-dole-a-demonstrable-failure-demonises-the-unemployed-say-charities-20170425-gvs8dl.html
    Bernardi’s mob and the happy clapper party will merge but it won’t have the new senator aboard.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/malcolm-turnbull-to-hold-first-meeting-with-president-donald-trump-in-new-york-20170425-gvsdbc.html
    Matt Wade reckons there is a word missing from Morrison’s vocabulary. Unemployment.
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/theres-a-missing-word-from-scott-morrisons-vocabulary-that-should-trouble-households-20170425-gvrxg3.html
    Katharine Murphy piles into Potatohead’s stonewalling after his Insiders appearance.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2017/apr/26/peter-dutton-says-his-claims-about-manus-violence-came-from-classified-information
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2017/apr/25/if-peter-dutton-has-alternative-facts-about-manus-violence-he-should-release-them
    When Australia struck a deal to transfer refugees to the US it gave Donald Trump leverage. With the new President happy to continue wars abroad, that’s looking like an increasingly dangerous compromise, writes Max Chalmers.
    https://newmatilda.com/2017/04/25/its-a-bad-time-to-owe-trigger-happy-donald-trump-a-favour/
    Will we be seeing the end to free to air cricket coverage?
    http://www.smh.com.au/business/media-and-marketing/channel-nine-urged-to-step-away-from-the-cricket-contract-by-analysts-20170425-gvruzl.html

  11. Section 2 . . .

    Some urban planning fights are occurring within the NSW government.
    http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/transport-department-criticises-plans-for-3000-new-homes-on-sydneys-northern-beaches-20170425-gvrv59.html
    Adele Ferguson says that the looming announcements of increasing bank profits will require careful handling.
    http://www.smh.com.au/business/banking-and-finance/looming-bank-profits-require-delicate-handling-20170425-gvrv2g.html
    Now there is a call to add another verse to the national anthem to reflect Australian values. FFS!
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/coalition-mp-andrew-laming-calls-for-new-national-anthem-verse-to-reflect-australian-values-20170425-gvs49l.html
    Peta Credlin is still making life impossibly difficult for the Liberals says Aaron Patrick in the AFR. Google.
    /news/politics/national/peta-credlin-is-still-making-life-impossibly-difficult-for-liberals-20170424-gvr7da
    It looks like the end is nigh for John Coates at the AOC.
    http://www.theage.com.au/sport/olympics/more-bullying-claims-emerge-to-haunt-coates-ahead-of-crucial-presidency-vote-20170425-gvs9gq.html
    Ivanka Trump elicited groans and laughter on Tuesday from some members of the audience at a G20 conference in Germany after she defended her father’s attitude and record on women. Little wonder.
    http://www.smh.com.au/lifestyle/news-and-views/ivanka-trump-jeered-while-defending-her-fathers-record-on-women-at-g20-conference-in-berlin-20170425-gvsct5.html
    As many as 4500 more public service jobs could be cut if the Turnbull government continues its efficiency dividend push in next month’s federal budget, the peak public service union has warned.
    http://www.smh.com.au/national/public-service/federal-budget-could-see-up-to-4500-more-public-service-jobs-cut-union-warns-20170418-gvmtv4.html
    Why France is Islamic terrorists’ prime target.
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/paris-shooting-why-france-is-islamic-states-preferred-terrorist-target-20170425-gvryhs.html
    Now for the second round vote in France – the one where they vote with their heads rather than their hearts.
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/smh-editorial/french-vote-with-their-heart-now-for-the-head-20170420-gvolmb.html

  12. Section 3 . . .

    Meanwhile the campaign of the French presidential frontrunner, Emmanuel Macron, has been targeted by hackers linked to Russia, according to researchers with a Japanese anti-virus firm.
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/apr/25/hackers-have-targeted-election-campaign-of-macron-says-cyber-firm
    Would you pass the government’s proposed English language test for citizenship?
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/would-you-pass-the-governments-proposed-english-language-test-20170425-gvrpzf.html
    This academic says that the new citizenship test fails on three counts. Google.
    /news/opinion/new-citizenship-laws-fail-three-commonsense-tests/news-story/a892866aa78b72a13a7a05b46ca1493e
    Peter Lewis writes that playing politics with immigration will ruin Turnbull’s hapless government. The last paragraph is a ripper.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2017/apr/26/playing-politics-with-migration-will-doom-turnbulls-hapless-government
    Employers are finding that VET graduates are severely lacking in skills and knowledge.
    http://www.smh.com.au/small-business/trends/looks-good-on-paper-but-no-clue-in-reality-when-vocational-training-falls-short-20170425-gvrqhy.html
    Former national security adviser Michael Flynn likely broke the law by failing to disclose foreign income he earned from Russia and Turkey, the heads of the House Oversight Committee said on Tuesday.
    http://www.smh.com.au/world/former-trump-adviser-michael-flynn-likely-broke-the-law-by-failing-to-disclose-foreign-payments-committee-20170425-gvsd54.html
    Disturbing signs of a trade war between the US and Canada are emerging. Google.
    /news/politics/world/donald-trumpcanada-spat-show-trade-war-risks-20170425-gvsd8y
    Bill O’Chee on why so many charities are going under.
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/the-hermit/australians-are-generous-so-why-are-many-charities-facing-oblivion-20170425-gvsaw0.html
    Malcolm Turnbull has long been a conservative, consistently overrated, and a man lacking loyalty, judgement and political nous, writes Ingrid Matthews.
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/alas-poor-malcolm-we-didnt-know-you-much-at-all,10234

  13. Section 4 . . .

    Seth Meyers has delivered a ruthless assessment of “ignorant” Trump’s first 100 days. A working link to the segment follows the Huffington post link.
    http://www.huffingtonpost.com.au/2017/04/25/seth-meyers-delivers-ruthless-verdict-for-ignorant-trumps-fir_a_22054747/?utm_hp_ref=au-homepage
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6giEeB3fMBs
    And legendary journalist Dan Rather is asking the two vital questions whose answers have the capability of ending Donald Trump’s presidency.
    http://www.politicususa.com/2017/04/25/dan-puts-media-shame-2-questions-trumps-presidency.html
    Michael Gorey says we should stop bashing Canberra and take pride in our beautiful capital. He gives Miranda Devine a good serve.
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/the-hermit/australians-are-generous-so-why-are-many-charities-facing-oblivion-20170425-gvsaw0.html
    Jennifer Hewett says that Anzac Day has shown how much the politics of patriotism have changed. Google.
    /opinion/columnists/anzac-day-shows-how-much-the-politics-of-patriotism-have-changed-20170425-gvs5pn
    Are Patrick and the MUA headed for another big waterfront stoush?
    http://www.smh.com.au/business/workplace-relations/mua-and-patrick-at-battle-stations-as-peace-deal-looks-to-be-in-tatters-20170425-gvryzm.html

  14. Section 4 . . . Cartoon Corner

    Andrew Dyson and Morrison’s budget.

    Simon Letch on Morrison and unemployment.

    Michael Leunig’s view on Australian values.

    And Broelman’s.

    The instant gratification presidency of Donald Trump.

    A well aimed dig from Cathy Wilcox on negative gearing.

    David Rowe and Americans’ punishment.

    Andrew Dyson and AFL footy on Anzac Day.

    Matt Golding’s Doomsday clock.

    Jon Kudelka on the ground in Kabul with Turnbull.
    http://www.theaustralian.com.au/opinion/cartoons/kudelka/image-gallery/8d1d6295a5d4de435ee608ff718b2351

  15. Thanks BK, the 2 articles: Morrison not mentioning ‘unemployment’; and the preview of Bowen’s speech, reveal how bankrupt the government is.

  16. BK thanks for the link to this story about the NSW Transport department objecting to a government development proposal.
    http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/transport-department-criticises-plans-for-3000-new-homes-on-sydneys-northern-beaches-20170425-gvrv59.html
    This story highlights the decline in transport infrastructure planning in Australia I have observed during my career. When I first started working we would build upgraded road links (we should have built rail) to new outer suburbs and made developers pay most of the cost. In the 90s in almost every state developers lobbied/corrupted governments (Labor and Liberal) stopped charging developers to build the links. By the noughties we stopped building the links as development proceeded and came in later to build gargantuan tollroads, imagining “user pays” would solve everything. So now we have overcapacity road and rail links, a funding shortfall, and still ridiculously expensive houses. Outer fringe developments should not be permitted any more until developers are again required to pay for the works they necessitate, if at all. Governments deserve to fall over how scandalously bad this sector has become, though I fear the relevant ministers will then simply move to becoming lobbyists for the relevant financiers. As Anna Bligh and others have proven, that also happens with both Labor and Liberal ex politicians. Corruption is bipartisan these days.

  17. Morning all.

    Given that Trump is so unpopular and is running a dysfunctional, erratic govt, I doubt there will be much benefit back home for Turnbull from meeting with him. Of course the media will amp up to ridiculous levels of praise like they always do. But it’s not as if Trump is Obama who was widely regarded and actually looked Presidential.

  18. Thanks BK.

    Peta Credlin is still making life impossibly difficult for the Liberals says Aaron Patrick in the AFR.

    There was a positively puke-inducing speech by Rowan Dean in amidst interviewing Hastie last night where he practically fell at Credlin’s feet because of something she’d written for Fairfax. She might be hopelessly out of tune with mainstream Australia, but the rightwing reactionaries sure love her.

  19. Joining the ranks of BK thankers.

    None should miss the especially full on demolition job Ingrid Matthews does on Turnbull – Saving Private Newspoll. Wow.

    Thinking of Turnbull meeting Trump on an aircraft carrier in New York, it’s hard to predict who will look the more stupid, but my money’s on Turnbull.

  20. Good Morning.

    I see I missed the boat on the jokes about the FF and Australian Conservatives merger.

    On the Trump Turnbull meeting its going to be a disaster for him. The last conservative US President to hold a presser on an aircraft carrier was George W Bush with his Mission Accomplished banner.

    On a more serious note I hope Turnbull can advise restraint about North Korea but will not hold my breath.

  21. confessions @ #831 Wednesday, April 26th, 2017 – 8:04 am

    Thanks BK.

    Peta Credlin is still making life impossibly difficult for the Liberals says Aaron Patrick in the AFR.

    There was a positively puke-inducing speech by Rowan Dean in amidst interviewing Hastie last night where he practically fell at Credlin’s feet because of something she’d written for Fairfax. She might be hopelessly out of tune with mainstream Australia, but the rightwing reactionaries sure love her.

    They are hoping that she is the Margaret Thatcher Australia never had!

  22. BK

    As usual you serve up a morning briefing in the Dawn Patrol that has become part of the business model for the likes of The New York Times Washington Post etc. Very much appreciate what you do especially on heavy news days like today.

    Thank you.

  23. Socrates

    The embedded video in the article on Sydney’s proposed expansion makes the point that as manufacturing carries less importance and the focus is on financial services, firms are clustering in the city centre, whereas factories were more decentralised, and this is adding to transport/residential problems.

  24. Peter Lewis describes Malcolm’s persuasive skills to a T.

    So here’s the rub: a conservative government campaigning to protect local jobs and industries is about as credible as a Labor government campaigning on economic management. Regardless of the policies and the intentions – it just doesn’t pass the public sniff test.

    Which is why you can predict if the government is going to persist with its nationalist fervour it will move on from workers quickly and focus on ways to manufacture fresh panics around terrorism and national security.

    And when it does, the prime minister will wilfully flay away like the barrister he has always been, believing in nothing but the brief in front of him, too tangled up in his own words to see the case is slipping through his fingers even as he speaks.

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2017/apr/26/playing-politics-with-migration-will-doom-turnbulls-hapless-government

  25. corybernardi: Press conference with @dennishood & @rbrokenshire 11am today, Balcony Room, SA Parliament House.
    @FamilyFirstAust @AuConservatives #auspol

  26. Socrates, as you highlight, all new planning is bereft of foresight, but that Allambie Heights development is insanely poorly planned, up Tumble Down Dick Hill, where the Bahai temple once stood in white splendid isolation. To be served by buses.

    Mona Vale Road is a goat track. The only way out of the new suburb will be
    *east to St Ives/Pymble
    *coastward to Mona Vale
    *south to Seaforth (at least where the new tunnel is planned to kick off, albeit only to add to the Nth Sydney choke point)

    And then what, FFS. The only decent solution I could imagine is a rail connection to the North Shore Line, with allied expansions of suburbs like Duffy’s Forest, Terry Hills, up to and including St Ives. Completely impossible on just about every count though.

  27. Morning all

    Thunderstorms and heavy rain in my neck of woods. Cold as well!!

    Bk
    Appreciate today’s offerings.

    PhoenixRed
    I posted report last night that FBI comey was in Nz meeting with reps from Fveys.
    In the meantime I have reconsidered my feelings on Carter Page. I am now thinking he is the main conspirator in this whole imbroglio. His embarrassing interviews are merely part of some kabuki act

  28. BK
    Thanks for the excellent Dawn Patrol.

    Now there is a call to add another verse to the national anthem to reflect Australian values. FFS! 😮

    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/coalition-mp-andrew-laming-calls-for-new-national-anthem-verse-to-reflect-australian-values-20170425-gvs49l.html

    The dude who wants an extra verse for the National Anthem is a wonderful example to the kiddies. He is the sort of optimist that is sadly lacking in the current Federal Government. 🌈
    An optimist indeed since the number of those who know the second verse is vanishingly small. 🌋
    Anyhow, children, below is my contribution towards an elusive third verse.

    ♫Oh, Brown Bear, this Ozzie’s a wonderful place,♪
    But the people who run it are a fecken disgrace. ♫♪
    ♫They don’t know their arse from their elbow indeed ♫♪
    And the whole fecken place’s coming apart at the seams. ♫♪

    ♪♫All together now ♫Feck ’em all, stuff ’em all …. tra la de booms ♪

    Here’s another good one girls and boys..

    ♪We wuz going down the drain makin’ ninety miles an hour
    When the whistle broke into a scream
    We’ll be found in the wreck …. ♪♫

  29. Guytaur
    A desperate and unethical politician, leader of Australia, meets a mentally deranged politician, leader of the free world, on an aircraft carrier.
    Meanwhile, we worry about sharks.

  30. Lizzie

    Abbott a dangerous individual in this regard. Prodding the bear in the name of national security. Turnbull is no better than Abbott. I am not surprised in the least.
    Whilst I have said countless times that the threats in our own society from those with crazy ideas etc is very real. Our law enforcement to date have done a great job. We have had a few near misses. We don’t need our leaders to prod and poke on terrorism and national security. It does not keep us safer

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *