Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor

The latest result from Newspoll lands slightly at the upper end of the government’s recent form.

Courtesy of The Australian, the latest result from Newspoll records Labor with a two-party lead of 52-48, down from 53-47 in the last poll (which was three weeks ago rather than the usual two, owing to Easter). Labor and the Greens are both down a point on the primary vote, to 35% and 9%, with the Coalition and One Nation steady on 36% and 10%. Malcolm Turnbull is up two on approval to 32% and down two on disapproval to 57%, while Bill Shorten is up one to 33% and down one to 53%. Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister shifts from 41-32 to 42-33.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,209 comments on “Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor”

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  1. mikehilliard @ #698 Tuesday, April 25, 2017 at 7:42 pm

    ML
    I always call my mum on Anzac Day, her dad was killed in PNG ’43. The day means many things but to her now 80 she still just wants her dad home. Always a sad event.

    That’s a very sad story MH. My family was lucky. My father and uncle both returned intact except maybe psychological scars.

  6. Poroti and BK
    My husband and I had a black Simca, loved that car, my greatest joy was the young bucks trying to burn me off and throwing the Simca into third gear and burning them off on the hills most incredible gearing

  8. CTar, grimace:

    My only foray into Anzacery today was watching the football game. Other than that it’s been TV off and avoiding facebook posts to do with today.

  10. bemused. re being in the sea. Look at Google Maps. Look where Bateau Bay is in relation to Woy Woy. Nor Nor East, just like I said. You are just a bit prone to going off half cocked, aren’t you.

  12. Every Anzac Day I gnash what teeth are left, and complain that we should be getting balance by including the many stories of the stupidity and villainy of the the military hierarchy, and the ruling classes – as well as the stories of sacrifice and heroism by the rank and file.

  14. Bemused,
    Assuming I am correct that you live on the coast.

    Yep. You can see the ocean if you stand on the roof.

    Have you noticed a yacht moored out there?

    Which one? There’s quite a few ’round these parts. 🙂

  16. fess

    I believe it’s Uncle Sam jailed.

    To quote wiki – Uncle Sam represents a manifestation of patriotic emotion

    I guess the point is Donald has “America” under lock & key.

  18. yabba88 @ #710 Tuesday, April 25, 2017 at 8:01 pm

    bemused. re being in the sea. Look at Google Maps. Look where Bateau Bay is in relation to Woy Woy. Nor Nor East, just like I said. You are just a bit prone to going off half cocked, aren’t you.

    So you live at Bateau Bay and C@t at Woy Woy?
    I did not know exactly where C@t lived, just mid North Coast somewhere.

  21. poroti
    The CCCP quote feature is not working.
    It was painted orange – a colour I knocked up myself (I was a paint chemist at the time).

  25. bemused. Look at Google maps, before you make an even greater prat of yourself. The coastline between Box Head, at the northern head of Broken Bay, and Newcastle ( and beyond) is NOT North South. It is close to straight, and, in actual, as opposed to alternative, fact, at an angle of around 24 degrees from due north, that is, slightly more easterly than nor nor east. If I was on a yacht, it would either be in somebody’s backyard, or on a trailer in the street. If I was due north of where CatMom has indicated her abode is situated, I would be somewhere west of Wyong, in Ourimbah State Forest.

    I suggest that you cogitate on your ignorance, and ability to make a fool of yourself, when you assume that your incorrect assumptions are correct. You are plainly geographically challenged. For your information, Newcastle is around 100 km north of Sydney, and 40 km east.

  26. mikehilliard @ #716 Tuesday, April 25th, 2017 – 8:08 pm

    To quote wiki – Uncle Sam represents a manifestation of patriotic emotion

    Apart from patriotism, he also represents freedom, democracy, and stereotypical “American values”, in a “this is what America stands for” kind of way.

    The cartoon is saying that Trump is undermining American values and all of the things that make America, America. Seemed fairly obvious to me, but then again I grew up there.

  28. confessions @ #708 Tuesday, April 25, 2017 at 8:00 pm

    CTar, grimace:
    My only foray into Anzacery today was watching the football game. Other than that it’s been TV off and avoiding facebook posts to do with today.

    I watched some of the game while I was doing my ironing, and unfortunately caught the full dose of ANZACery at half time.

    My wife was pestering me yesterday about going to the local ANZAC day march, which I really didn’t want to do, fortunately, she slept in and it was too late to go by the time she got up.

    I would feel two-faced going to an ANZAC day march. Unlike my wife’s family who have a long history of military service and sacrifice for the war effort, my family (with two exceptions) has a long history of draft dodging, dishonourable discharges and profiteering from the war effort.

  30. phylactella @ #712 Tuesday, April 25, 2017 at 8:02 pm

    Every Anzac Day I gnash what teeth are left, and complain that we should be getting balance by including the many stories of the stupidity and villainy of the the military hierarchy, and the ruling classes – as well as the stories of sacrifice and heroism by the rank and file.

    I’d like to see real, unedited, unsanitised stories of how our Government treats returned servicemen who come back mentally or physically destroyed. That’d put paid to the bullshit around how much respect and reverence we have for our returned military personnel.

  32. This is a US writeup of Pence’s visit:
    https://thinkprogress.org/u-s-will-honor-refugee-agreement-that-trump-called-worst-deal-ever-pence-says-a0a37021045b
    One comment at the end:

    Pence also met with the leader of an Australian opposition party. A hot microphone near the two could pick up parts of their chat, prompting staff to hustle pool reporters out of the room until the mic could be switched off.
    The last thing reporters heard the lawmaker say was that “he’d like to hear VPOTUS views on various issues, naming North Korea specifically,” according to the pool report.

  36. yabba88 @ #725 Tuesday, April 25, 2017 at 8:23 pm

    bemused. Look at Google maps, before you make an even greater prat of yourself. The coastline between Box Head, at the northern head of Broken Bay, and Newcastle ( and beyond) is NOT North South. It is close to straight, and, in actual, as opposed to alternative, fact, at an angle of around 24 degrees from due north, that is, slightly more easterly than nor nor east. If I was on a yacht, it would either be in somebody’s backyard, or on a trailer in the street. If I was due north of where CatMom has indicated her abode is situated, I would be somewhere west of Wyong, in Ourimbah State Forest.
    I suggest that you cogitate on your ignorance, and ability to make a fool of yourself, when you assume that your incorrect assumptions are correct. You are plainly geographically challenged. For your information, Newcastle is around 100 km north of Sydney, and 40 km east.

    Whoa there!
    I have already admitted I was wrong.
    What penance are you expecting from me?

  40. What, Cat. North West??? I am at, (in fact quite near but not exactly), -33.387605, 151.480948. You are in Killcare Heights. -33.520783, 151.371975 Believe it or not, the longitude ( the second number), indicates your displacement from Greenwich as zero, and the larger number, as in my place, indicates that I am east of you. I think you must have your west and east mixed up. As I said, I am a bit further east than nor nor east of you. Using the haversine formula the distance is 18 km, close enough, and the compass bearing is 34 degrees, 20 odd minutes, ie 34 degrees East, close enough. Nor nor east is 22.5 degrees east, north east is 45 degrees.

    I think my original nor nor east was close enough, and you and bemused need to reflect on the problems of being geographically challenged. If I was northwest of you I would be on Peats Ridge Road somewhere, west of Somersby.

  42. bemused, I thought we were having a nice little chat about cars. You decided to ridicule me to Cat, with a smart arse, but plainly inane, comment about yachts, without addressing me at all. As an actual, as opposed to self assessed, intelligent person, who knows what he is talking about, I took exception to your instant bullying action, and refuted it. If you don’t act like prat, then people will judge you differently.

  43. Yabba88,
    I have figured it out. I was looking at the map up the coast as the crow flies, and to my eyes Bateau Bay looks to not be jutting into the ocean as much as Bouddi National Park, where I am. However, if you look at the Latitude and Longitude, then you are right.

  44. yabba88 @ #742 Tuesday, April 25, 2017 at 9:16 pm

    bemused, I thought we were having a nice little chat about cars. You decided to ridicule me to Cat, with a smart arse, but plainly inane, comment about yachts, without addressing me at all. As an actual, as opposed to self assessed, intelligent person, who knows what he is talking about, I took exception to your instant bullying action, and refuted it. If you don’t act like prat, then people will judge you differently.

    Do lighten up old chap.
    You really are carrying on a treat about something quite trivial.

  48. #BREAKING the Family First Party is set to merge with Cory Bernardi’s Australian Conservatives Party. #pmlive
    https://twitter.com/SkyNewsAust/status/856828214596976640 (open tweet for video)
    Note, new replacement SA Senator for Bob day intends to sit as an INDEPENDENT, not with Cory in the new party, not as Family First.

    .@PeterDutton_MP says the decision to merge Family First with Cory Bernadi’s party is ‘inevitable’. MORE: http://bit.ly/2q9W6Gi #pmllive
    https://twitter.com/SkyNewsAust/status/856831464536756225 (open tweet for video)

    http://www.skynews.com.au/news/politics/federal/2017/04/25/family-first-to-merge-with-bernadi-s-party.html

  50. Family First is about to merge with Bernardi’s Australian Conservatives.

    Is this for real or another fake twitter rumour?

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