Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor

The latest result from Newspoll lands slightly at the upper end of the government’s recent form.

Courtesy of The Australian, the latest result from Newspoll records Labor with a two-party lead of 52-48, down from 53-47 in the last poll (which was three weeks ago rather than the usual two, owing to Easter). Labor and the Greens are both down a point on the primary vote, to 35% and 9%, with the Coalition and One Nation steady on 36% and 10%. Malcolm Turnbull is up two on approval to 32% and down two on disapproval to 57%, while Bill Shorten is up one to 33% and down one to 53%. Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister shifts from 41-32 to 42-33.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,209 comments on “Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor”

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  1. The charity at the centre of a widening payments scandal that has drawn in a top public servant and former Liberal MP has made donations to the NSW Liberal Party, Fairfax Media can reveal.

    RSL LifeCare, the charity nursing home operator under investigation for the $2.5 million in “consulting fees” paid to its directors, donated a total of nearly $1500 to the NSW Liberals between 2015 and 2016, according to Electoral Commission filings.

    Guidelines from the Australian Charities and Not-for-profits Commission warn charities not to support political candidates or parties because having a political purpose can cause them to be disqualified.

    http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/charity-defends-donating-to-the-nsw-liberals-20170424-gvr92g.html

  2. Darn @ #494 Tuesday, April 25th, 2017 – 11:38 am

    Test
    🙂
    😉
    😀
    😆

    Indeed.

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    😔😕😖😗😘😙😚😛😜😝
    😞😟😠😡😢😣😤😥😦😧
    😨😩😪😫😬😭😮😯😰😱
    😲😳😴😵😶😷😸😹😺😻
    😼😽😾😿🙀🙁🙂🙃🙄🙅
    🙆🙇🙈🙉🙊🙋🙌🙍🙎🙏

  3. c@tmomma @ #488 Tuesday, April 25, 2017 at 11:30 am

    Sorry, Taylormade, you’re correct. It is Danni Roche.
    I found this opinion piece in The Maitland Mercury which seems an even-handed appraisal of the people lining up in this contest:
    http://www.maitlandmercury.com.au/story/4554253/coates-varnish-fading-as-olympic-battle-brews/

    Thanks C@t. Clears up a few things.
    I am not impressed by Coates sybaritic inclinations and some of his associations. I know little of his challenger, but am unimpressed by her backers.

  4. John Wren‏ @JohnWren1950 · 1h1 hour ago

    On #ANZAC Day, we remember the Australians & NZers who died fighting fascism. Today would be a good day for Dutton to resign. #auspol

  5. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/apr/24/marine-le-pen-beaten-french-presidency-front-national-emmanuel-macron

    Worryingly, the leftwing candidate, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, has so far refused to choose between Macron and Le Pen. If playing with fire in politics means anything, this was it. Mélenchon spoke dismissively of both, as if unable or unwilling to see the difference. He announced that his radical left movement, France Unbowed, would organise an online “consultation” designed to determine its position ahead of the run-off. It was as bewildering as it was disgraceful. And it was a deliberate attempt to deny or minimise what is now at play.

    Yet the choice France now faces could not be more clear-cut: an open, liberal message versus a closed, illiberal one. A platform of inclusiveness versus one of bigotry and nationalist hatred. A promise to strengthen the European project through reform versus a pledge to close borders, introduce protectionism and pull out of Euro-Atlantic structures. It’s also a choice between a candidate who resolutely criticises President Putin and his worldview, and one who consistently panders to the Russian autocrat and has been financially dependent on his networks….

    Wittingly or not, the far-left and the Catholic ultras could both help Le Pen – and produce a nightmare scenario….

    It’s worth noting that ultra-conservative Catholic groups around the Sens Commun movement, which supported Fillon’s campaign, have also said they won’t choose between Macron and Le Pen. If these trends lead to more people abstaining then, wittingly or not, the far left and the Catholic ultras would both help Le Pen on 7 May: a collusion of the extremes.

    The reactionaries from all sides collude in France as in England and the US.

  6. Lizzie, copy is easy;

    😀😁😂😃😄😅😆😇😈😉
    😊😋😌😍😎😏😐😑😒😓
    😔😕😖😗😘😙😚😛😜😝
    😞😟😠😡😢😣😤😥😦😧
    😨😩😪😫😬😭😮😯😰😱
    😲😳😴😵😶😷😸😹😺😻
    😼😽😾😿🙀🙁🙂🙃🙄🙅
    🙆🙇🙈🙉🙊🙋🙌🙍🙎🙏

  7. PhoenixRed

    Thanks for posting Schindler’s timely article in light of the Assange Snowden discussions here on PB yesterday! Yep. As I said Snowden was not a whistleblower

  8. Carole Myers‏ @CaroleMyers · 5h5 hours ago

    Google set up a twitter AI test acct to reply to tweets. In hours it was a racist, insulting monster, learning from the Internet. Like kids.

  9. Some of the report re Snowden/Assange. I doubt the groupies still won’t be convinced though………

    “Admitting what WikiLeaks really is puts certain events of the last several years into proper focus. In particular, the key role played by Assange and his helpers in getting Edward Snowden to Moscow in June 2013 must be reassessed in light of Pompeo’s statement. As I’ve explained for years, Snowden’s defection—first to Hong Kong then to Russia—was from the outset an espionage drama stage-managed by the Kremlin to harm Western intelligence. That Assange played a pivotal role, first in getting Snowden to steal more than a million classified U.S. and Allied intelligence files, then in shipping him to Putin, demonstrates that the official story about Snowden is a sham”

  10. confessions @ #504 Tuesday, April 25th, 2017 – 11:52 am

    AR:

    OMG how do you get all those emoticons?!

    With Unicode:

    https://unicode-table.com/en/blocks/emoticons/

    All the emoticons here are Unicode emoji’s. And they all have character codes requiring 3 (or more) bytes to represent, which is why they’re so problematic for this blog (it appears to consider the multi-byte characters ‘malicious’, and truncates posts at the first one it encounters).

    To get them to actually appear, they need to be escaped. For instance, to get ‘🙃’, what you actually have to type is ‘🙃’.

  11. Lizzie
    Tuesday, April 25, 2017 at 11:58 am
    John Wren‏ @JohnWren1950 · 1h1 hour ago

    On #ANZAC Day, we remember the Australians & NZers who died fighting fascism. Today would be a good day for Dutton to resign. #auspol

    It’s also well worth recalling that the Great War was a depravity of the Imperialist order – a conflict made inevitable by the imperatives of French Chauvinism.

  12. BW,

    The decision is likely more about whether it is better to take them out now or wait till they have nuclear powered missiles that could reach the US mainland.

  13. Since the day Donald Trump was elected president, speculation has swirled as to if—and when—he would be impeached.

    So when ATTN: Editor-in-Chief Matthew Segal sat down for an interview with vocal Trump critic Bill Maher, it was only natural for him to ask the “Real Time” host that question.

    Maher replied that it depended chiefly on one thing: the 2018 midterm election.
    He believes that if Democrats continue “waking up” and are able to take control of the House and Senate intelligence committees, “yes, then he could absolutely be impeached.”

    http://www.attn.com/stories/16662/bill-maher-predicts-whether-trump-will-be-impeached?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=direct-share&utm_campaign=shares

  14. From this distance, the choice facing the French people appears to be between a fascist and someone who isn’t a fascist, as would have been the case had Fillon got into the second round instead of Macrom. The choice couldn’t be clearer.

  15. Went and rechecked my fungus during a pause in the rain.

    It’s fallen over (unfortunately) but also opened out, so that now that it looks like a very white mushroom with a warty top – so almost definitely an amanita.

    Amanita Muscaria is, of course, the ‘fairy tale’ toadstood, with the bright orange/red cap spotted with white; if you think of one of those in pure white, that’s what my specimen looks like.

  16. Lizzie,
    John Wren‏ @JohnWren1950 · 1h1 hour ago

    On #ANZAC Day, we remember the Australians & NZers who died fighting fascism. Today would be a good day for Dutton to resign. #auspol

    I recently read “1914: the year the world ended” by Australian historian Paul Ham.
    I do not think that the above statement about ANZAC day is correct. Well worth finding the Ham book and reading it. It is a far more complex and nuanced story than I had previously understood WW1 and it’s antecedents. Far more horrifying.
    The other book that blew me away and told the story of what took place in Turkey generally and Gallipoli particularly was “Lawerence in Arabia” by Scott Anderson, that book explains much of the modern world and how it came into being. Both come with the highest of recommendations, please let me know what you think once you have read them.

  17. I turned the TV on at some time this morning and caught part of the ANZAC ceremony at the Australian War Memorial.
    Much the same as previous occasions, but one thing I thought interesting. The services used to be very Caucasian in composition but now there is a sprinkling of other faces. I noticed one young lady of Asian appearance who appeared to be an Air Force officer cadet. Good to see! Also a Naval officer of Asian appearance.

  18. President Trump has instructed his advisers to make cutting the corporate tax rate to 15 percent a centerpiece of his tax-cut blueprint to be unveiled this week, according to people with knowledge of his plans, even if that means a significant reduction in revenue that could jettison his campaign promise to curb deficits.

    Cutting the corporate tax rate to 15 percent from its current 35 percent level was one of Mr. Trump’s marquee campaign promises, part of his vision of carrying out “maybe the biggest tax cut we’ve ever had.” But he has yet to publicly embrace the move since taking office, and his decision to do so now could set up a showdown with Congress over a proposal that would most likely blow up the deficit.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2017/04/24/us/politics/trump-corporate-tax-rate-15-percent.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=story-heading&module=first-column-region&region=top-news&WT.nav=top-news

  19. Zoomster
    Try Fungimap. They have an online Field Guide. One group is “Stalked puffballs”, but there are no white ones.

  20. Zoomster
    By coincidence I had just read an article that mentions 14 signs of facism that is on a sign at the US Holocaust Memorial Museum. By golly the LNP could tick a few boxes !

    Obsession with national security
    Corporate power protected
    Labor [sic] power suppressed
    Disdain for intellectuals & the arts
    Rampant sexism
    Religion and government intertwined
    Obsession with crime & punishment
    Rampant cronyism & corruption
    Powerful and continuing nationalism
    Disdain for human rights
    Identification of enemies as a unifying cause
    Supremacy of the military
    Controlled mass media
    Fraudulent elections

    https://www.indy100.com/article/donald-trump-muslim-majority-travel-ban-list-early-warning-signs-fascism-holocaust-museum-7554621?utm_source=indy&utm_medium=top5&utm_campaign=i100

  21. Dovey

    I should attach to my posts: Copying a Twitterpost does not mean that I agree with it. I just present thoughts from others.
    Also: I do not read books about war. Sorry.

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