Next to no change on the BludgerTrack poll aggregate this week, with the weekly Essential Research being the only new poll conducted over Easter. However, Labor makes a net gain on the seat projection, making gains of one apiece on Victoria and Queensland and dropping one in Western Australia. The state-level seat measures should be a bit more volatile, now that I’m using trend measures to calculate each state’s deviation from the national total rather than the crude post-election averages I was using until last week.
For those wishing to discuss elections in Britain and France, note that there’s a dedicated thread for that. And while you’re about, please take advantage of our sensational Crikey discounted subscriptions offer.
I live this from the science march:
live = love
I’m not sure if anyone has posted this in Salon: The coming British bloodbath: Theresa May’s “snap election” will be an epic disaster for the left. But why?
Just thought of a job for Tony Abbott. Malcolm could make him our special emissary to North Korea. What could possibly go wrong?
” Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour Party may be wiped off the map in the surprise British election. What the hell went wrong? ”
Asked and answered. It’s Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour Party.
“Just thought of a job for Tony Abbott. Malcolm could make him our special emissary to North Korea. What could possibly go wrong?”
I reckon Tony and Kim Jong-un would get on fine.
A statement of the bleedin obvious, so obvious you have to wonder why it even needs to be made at all.
https://thewest.com.au/news/sharks/premier-mark-mcgowan-says-shark-attacks-a-harsh-reality-of-ocean-use-ng-b88453898z
Unfortunately while there are idiots around like Andrew Hastie and Josh Frydenberg these facts need to be reiterated.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/houses-of-parliament-politicians-own-an-estimated-370m-of-property-20170420-gvp2g5.html
Have you seen this? Read it and weep!
And we are expected to cop it?
confessions @ #208 Sunday, April 23, 2017 at 1:42 pm
It needs to be made because a shark attack is highly emotive, which is compounded by the victims generally being very photogenic.
Conversely, falling out of bed is boring and deaths on the road are so common that they are a statistic and nobody is really interested unless they are personally impacted.
The “harsh reality” is West Australians will always face a “very small” risk of being attacked by a shark when they enter the ocean, Premier Mark McGowan said as he ruled out a cull to protect human life.
________________________________________________________________
One of the most sensible and truthful utterances from a politician in recent times.
‘The Australian’ has been running a shark campaign for well over a year.
In relation to the WA attack, Fred Pawle – their go-to shark expert and occasional writer on the topic (and who has yet to declare any possible conflicts of interest) announced that his opponenents had ‘blood on their hands’.
There have been 11 shark deaths in WA over the last 6 years . So in raw numbers and per capita that sort of number means the issue gets a regular work out in the Wild West. It’s a hardy annual as they say.
To be fair, a politician who uses their accommodation allowance to buy a property in Canberra instead of renting one/hiring a motel room, is making a very wise decision.
Boerwar
I know you will just love this 🙂
http://www.2gb.com/podcast/fred-pawle-and-bill-leak/
poroti @ #213 Sunday, April 23, 2017 at 2:04 pm
As Deming would say, “There is a stable (ie predictable) system for people to be attacked by sharks”.
Be alert if you hear Jaws music when you go to bed or sit on a chair 🙂
http://www.abs.gov.au/AUSSTATS/abs@.nsf/DetailsPage/3303.02014?OpenDocument
[Steve777
Sunday, April 23, 2017 at 1:18 pm
Just thought of a job for Tony Abbott. Malcolm could make him our special emissary to North Korea. What could possibly go wrong?]
He could take his Pollie Pedal mates on a tour of North Korea. They seem to have a lot of bicycles for them to choose.
He isn’t that surfer they pull out every now and then to tell readers that he’s been surfing at X spot for decades and can say categorically that sea levels are not rising, is he?
BK
WA has a lot of areas where seals lob in to breed that are pretty close to the coast. Great Whites love em, So I wonder what happens when people swim/surf while wearing their seal impersonation suits, I mean wet suits, or paddle lying on their boards, hands and feet dangling so as to look even more like a seal from below where the Great White lurk ? 🙂
Zoomster
That is fine but they are not only having one property they are buying three or four.
Smartphone=1; Bob Katter=0
boerwar @ #212 Sunday, April 23, 2017 at 1:59 pm
What is it about News Corp and their insistence on elevating obscure pet issues to hysterical levels which are out of all proportion to their impact on anybody who doesn’t want to engage in hate mongering or wanton destruction with impunity.
Some nerdy signs from the Science protest —
https://www.buzzfeed.com/tamerragriffin/march-for-science-signs?utm_term=.hgA9nY4jK#.nn7RW36L7
I wonder if one of our other gifted cartoonists were to shuffle off the mortal coil, there would be the sort of calls for canonisation that we’ve had for Bill Leak.
S777
They were notably mute on Clarke.
http://www.smh.com.au/video/video-news/video-national-news/dutton-on-manus-shooting-i-have-facts-you-dont-20170423-4t8js.html
Gawd Dutton is a fool with a huge ego.
For anyone following the AOC election Tracey Holmes has just published a piece on the ABC online.
“Death threats, bullying, intimidation and blackmail — that’s what Australia’s most senior Olympic official is dealing with two weeks out from an election in which he hopes to retain his position.”
Will be a non event in my opinion even though it is probably time for some new blood. The voting rules heavily favour the incumbent John Coates, who also has Mark Arbib and Graham Richardson in his corner who know a thing or too about manipulating elections.
‘The Australian’ prefers to talk about any other minor environmental issue rather than global warming.
So, they jump the shark with serial drivel about sharks.
‘The Australian’ almost never mentions global warming records.
It has been mute on what is happening to sea-ice globally.
It never refers to the impact that global warming has had in destabilizing the ME.
It never refers to the 60,000 jobs that depend on the Great Barrier Reef.
OTOH, it loves talking about how wonderful coal is.
Given that the dying Reef is a major environmental disaster that has already commenced, ‘The Australian’ only once did a major piece on it. And then only when it had been challenged on how silent it was on the state of the Reef. Naturally the piece was heavily qualified and set in the general framework of contested science.
The dying hand of Rupert Murdoch and his dying rag are dragging the Reef to death with them as they go.
Join the dots.
Dutton has the facts. And if he doesn’t like them, he has alternative facts.
Steve777
Dutton is an ego maniac and a fool!
zoomster:
Some of those signs are really good. I esp like the one ‘build this wall’ with a wall depicted between the White House and a church.
WA has had 11 shark deaths in 6 years. That is terrible for the victims, their families and friends. The rate of shark deaths come in at about 0.7 per million people per annum, somthe odds are comparable to that of winning a grim Lotto. It compares with about 40 drownings per annum (16 per million) in WA and about 120 road deaths per annum (just under 50).
P
I tried to listen to it but my stomach started heaving.
In his last years, following what seems to have been an ABI, Leak took to kicking the weak and the vulnerable in the guts.
In his last years he never took on Murdoch, the miners, the coal burners, or the banks.
That is all anyone needs to know about Leak.
That Murdoch hagiographers sanctified him dots the ‘i’s, crosses the ‘t’s and underlines Leak’s true value: paid hack in harness to power.
Tracey Holmes is, IMO, an excellent sports journalist and sports commentator.
If you know any genuine hard-working scientists, you’ll know why this is amusing.
https://arstechnica.com/science/2017/04/107-cancer-papers-retracted-due-to-peer-review-fraud/
!
¿
¿Qué?
The ban on official Long Tan commemorative memorials extended to include Anzac Day this year.
http://www.skynews.com.au/news/world/asiapacific/2017/04/23/vietnam-anzac-memorial-ban-remains.html
CTar1
I’s from Barcelona
Poroti – Barcelona = Perth …
I went and checked over at the thread on the British and French elections, but no comments for 17 hours, so I’ll ask here if anyone knows when we’ll start to see some results from France.
CTar1
Faux Spanish “style” houses were quite the go there a few decades back so there may be some truth there 🙂
Exit polls will be published 4am EST, and the actual result should be clear about three hours after that, unless it’s particularly close. And yes, you’re encouraged to discuss it here:
https://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2017/04/21/see-england-see-france/
From http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-04-22/north-korea-accuses-australia-of-blindly-following-the-us/8464252 …
I can just imagine how our sophisticated Julie “hit back” …
Bemused
“Sunday, April 23, 2017 at 9:09 am
Hey Socrates, did you see what I posted Friday night about Box Hill in Melbourne?
Buildings up to 30 storeys planned.”
Sorry I went out just after you posted this and only read the article now. Sadly that is the sort of thing I was warning about – intense high rise plonked into the middle of a low rise area. This smacks of a developer dominated process. You do not need 30 stories to make offices or public transport viable. Large areas of central London, Paris and Berlin, with superb amenity and services, are around six stories, no more. Anyone in a house downsun of a 30 story tower will feel like they are living in a cave.
Thanks, William.
Best for this thread to stick with faux Spanish style housing and whether or not Trump is going to blow a gasket with the science marches being bigger than his inauguration and whether George Trumble could possibly be any more obsequious to Pence, and the like.
Jeezus you’re a rude prick, BW
The English – only suffered, during WWII? No casualties.? None worth mentioning.?
What about the Dutch? They gave up after 5 days; didn’t even bother defending their colonies.
But let’s cheer the real victors, the Russians, the Chinese & the Yanks, for winning WWII.
I’m sorry your family ‘suffered’ during WWII, in Singapore, but let’s be clear here, England did its bit to win the war, when no other fcker would help.
If you really want to give accolades to Russia, China and America, then perhaps you should explain why they were so reluctant to end it more quickly; instead of the hero-worship you award them.