Western Australian election live

A thread for discussion of the Western Australian election count.

And they’re off. Polls have closed, and the first results should be in in half an hour or so. I’ll be part of ABC Radio’s coverage, which you can hear on local radio in Western Australia and around the country on News Radio. Here’s a thread for you all to discuss the action as it occurs.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

487 comments on “Western Australian election live”

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  4. Bemused: “I think the more remote booths used to be slower reporting in the past”. Yes, I stand corrected. My memory has dragged up recollections from the late 60s when early results showed Labor winning round Narrabri (whatev that electorate was) because the town booths reported sooner than the outlying small ones. But all quicker since people (including electoral officers) have had mobile phones, and Antony’s results for the last 10 years have shown that – the results based on the first 500 or so votes are always scary!

  5. C@t
    “‘Difficult times’!?! Colin Barnett presided over a Mining Boom!”

    But do they spend the spare cash in the city or the regions? So difficult! No wonder they went into debt. Running here in SA is easy. There is never any spare cash.

  7. There was a an interesting insight into Barnetts character in a story this week.

    He has spent a bit of time slagging McGowan this campaign but McGowan passed on the opportunity to respond, saying he had hardly ever spoken to him.

    We pass in the corridor and he doesn’t acknowledge me, he said.

    Funny. Shorten for example has said several times that for all the shouting Abbot had several times shown a generous nature on personal matters.

  11. I wonder if all those years ago Gough would have thought “it’s time” would become an excuse for losing an election.

    It was time all right. Time to get rid of a government that had sent the state broke.

  12. Trying to estimate upper house for Agricultural using primaries from lower house seats.
    2xNAT, 1xLIB, 1xSFP, 1xALP, with PHON ahead of ALP by 250 votes.
    Of course votes will vary, but the last one looks like it will close.

  14. Col was gracious, now bugger off…
    Well done to Fess & Briefly and all those who worked hard for this victory.
    We deserve this win & will be a hands down better govt than this mob of chair sniffers.
    They burned through $40 000 000 000.
    Where the fuck did it go?

  19. @Fulvio Sammut
    What writing?
    They did not have any lower house seats before. And it way to early to talk about the upper house.

  31. Timothy, my post was directed to a particular smartarsed green over a comment she made.

    She knows what it’s about.

  32. I have never before seen a Labor victory of this magnitude. Federally or any state.

    2007 seemed bigger at the time.
    This has Federal implications. Trumbule is now a lame duck.

  37. OK, I just spent a bit of time on AustLII reading the election funding sections of the WA Electoral Act (sections 175LA to 175LK). Candidates/parties who have received 4% of the vote in a district or region get approx $1.40 per vote. BUT it’s capped to match their electoral expenditure. So PHON will get something, but they won’t make yuge windfall profits like Pauline did at least once in the past.

  38. LU
    no point crying over spilt beer. Especially if it is West End. In fact, I often go out and buy a long neck of West End and just pour it down the sink. Quite cathartic.

  40. Its generally dangerous to try and predict upper house off lower house results. Australians are much more willing to vote for minor parties in the upper house than the lower. The complex preference flows from the preference webs make it a bit of a mugs game too unless you’ve been scrutineering/observing to get a sample.

    @Timothy Reichle
    That the Greens are dead (again) and useless (forever) and that those voters are heading back to Labor of course. Its a pet obsession of some people.

  42. So as it stands Labor will end up with somewhere between 37 and 40 seats. (I have not seen any projection below 37). What is the LC looking like?

  44. SOC,
    I’ve made a few batches of homebrew that pour themselves. Good for the lawn, not so good for drinking.

    On a completely unrelated note, napisan is not a cheap alternative for milton solution.

  45. PHONey only ran in about 60% of lower house seats – so their 4.4% is an average of about 7%. So they will get the public funding in most seats.

    They could well get 3 LC seats on current voting. Labor plus Greens have about 52% of the vote statewide but could end up with only 18 of 36 LC seats because of the crazy gerrymander. Hopefully get 19 which will be a chance to get rid of the gerrymander – but the Greens need to sort themselves out on this.

  46. McGowan needs to constantly remind the people of WA what a mess the great economic managers have made of that state. And I mean constantly. This myth needs to be hammered home until it is dead, buried and cremated.

  47. BUT it’s capped to match their electoral expenditure. So PHON will get something, but they won’t make yuge windfall profits like Pauline did at least once in the past.

    Hope they kept all their receipts. 🙂

  49. Since the WA elections site says they’ve only counted a total of about 100,000 LC votes so far, I don’t think you can expect A Green’s computer to make much sense of the results yet. (And I’m sure it’s better than a Pentium 266MHz – a smack for the cheeky person who said that!)
    Good night all, and pleasant dreams in anticipation of the Liberal Party-room meeting in Canberra week after next.

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