Essential Research: 52-48 to Labor

Little change this week on voting intention this week, but a barrage of negative results for the government on matters related to climate change and renewable energy.

Essential Research, which now comes to us courtesy of The Guardian Australia, records no change this week on two-party preferred, with Labor maintaining a lead of 52-48. On the primary vote, the Coalition is steady on 36%, Labor is down a point to 34%, One Nation is steady on 10%, and the Greens are up a point to 10%.

Also featured this week are a semi-regular question on climate change, which finds 60% saying it is real and attributing it to human activity – up six points since the question was last asked in December, with 25% favouring the normal fluctuation response, down two. A remarkable 65% approve of Labor’s 50% renewable energy target by 2030, with 18% disapproving, and 71% say the federal government is not doing enough to ensure “affordable, reliable and clean energy” (albeit that that’s a few too many positive adjectives for my tastes), with 12% saying it’s doing enough and 3% too much. Only 16% offered that recent blackouts were the result of too much renewable energy, with 45% instead blaming failures of the energy market and 19% opting for privatisation. Nonetheless, a solid 31% offered support for building new coal-fired power stations, with 45% opposed.

Other findings: 29% approve of the Liberal-One Nation preference deal in Western Australia, with 38% disapproving; and 82% support penalty rates, with only 12% opposed.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,397 comments on “Essential Research: 52-48 to Labor”

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  1. Blanket

    I read something very early this morning saying Trump is like Yeltsin.

    The implication, not stated, is that he wants to be like Putin, but ..,

  2. I say again for anyone wanting a good feel on where the Trump imbroglio is at. Listen to Louise Mensch and Malcolm Nance podcasts. Btw Nance was the guy who told Milo to f off on Bill Maher last week

  3. Kezza2
    Saturday, February 25, 2017 at 6:18 pm
    …”John Smith
    Nice sidestep. But you didn’t answer the question”…
    You didn’t really ask me a question…
    But the answer to the question you didn’t particularly ask is…
    FLAT NO, NOT EVEN IF I WAS LAYING IN A GUTTER WITH THE ARSE OUT OF MY PANTS AND NOT 2 BOB TO RUB TOGETHER…

  4. @Victoria

    Do you have a link or name for the podcast? I have to catch a bus so will give it a go. I was a fan of Mike Murphy’s Radio Free GOP during the US election campaign. He is a conservative, but a staunch anti-Trumper. It’s nice to know they’re out there.

  5. bk @ #2231 Saturday, February 25, 2017 at 6:06 pm

    I couldn’t agree more. What possible use is Shakespeare this day and age for a compulsory subject?
    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-02-25/playwright-questions-hsc-changes-to-english-curriculum/8296632

    Have you ever read the book “Cultural Literacy”?
    Writings such as Shakespeare’s and the King James Bible have had a profound impact on our civilisation and our language is littered with expressions drawn from them.
    Without at least a rudimentary knowledge of such sources, you are not a “Culturally Literate” person.
    I have come to this realisation later in life and wish it had been pointed out to me when studying English Literature at school. Or maybe it was and didn’t click at the time.

  6. Admittedly I only started following Louise Mensch when I read her belief that FBI director Comey was forced to send letter re Clinton investigation etc. Basically it was confirmation bias for me as I felt from the get go that Comey was between rock and hard place. This was due to the Guiliani boasting an October surprise. Having Louise Mensch saying what I felt, got my interest. Considering she is a bona fide tory!

  7. Kezza2
    Saturday, February 25, 2017 at 6:25 pm
    …”John Smith
    Ahh, so it is You”…

    I own a 3 year old child who has a fundamental intellect more impressive than the one you possess.

  8. bk @ #2260 Saturday, February 25, 2017 at 6:33 pm

    bemused
    It was “taught”without either meaning or relevance.

    My teaches were a mixed lot, but in the last couple of years quite good.
    The relevance bit needed more work, mut the meaning bit was well covered.
    BTW, I really do recommend reading “Cultural Literacy”, there is an Australian version, and its sequel “A Dictionary of Cultural Literacy” which suffers from being a bit US centric in parts. The latter book used to be on the Internet to read. I will see if I can find a link.

  9. BK

    bemused
    It was “taught”without either meaning or relevance.

    No wonder. I was very fortunate to have a teacher with a masters degree from Cambridge. With the Shakespeare came the whole box and dice re history, language , society etc .Without that it would have been a meaningless boreathon. As we all thought it would be when we started ! Turned out anything but.

  10. kezza

    lizzie

    Feeling fractious?

    I wouldn’t think so.

    How about a little reticent but with boundaries?

    And putting up some interesting stuff often early in the day.

  11. poroti @ #2275 Saturday, February 25, 2017 at 6:46 pm

    BK

    bemused
    It was “taught”without either meaning or relevance.

    No wonder. I was very fortunate to have a teacher with a masters degree from Cambridge. With the Shakespeare came the whole box and dice re history, language , society etc .Without that it would have been a meaningless boreathon. As we all thought it would be when we started ! Turned out anything but.

    I think I got a ‘lite’ version of that. But still pretty good.

  12. lizzie

    I had to get up at 3 this am because I couldn’t stand another minute of News Radios’s high rotation of Trumps somethingorother. So, I reckon, blame Trump, with Our Very Own Stupid, Tony Abbot, a close second.

  13. Kezza2

    The mannerisms of both are enough to put me off my food. Trump’s voice, his pouty mouth and the prissy finger and thumb gesture go stale very quickly. And that’s interspersed with Abbott’s jutting jaw and mad monk expression. Yuck!

  14. With respect to the Reel Meaning of Life, I note that some mischievous Bludgers have gone straight from the sublime, straight past the ineffable to wallow in the the deplorable.
    Not Parramatta!
    ,,,,,,!

  15. Aaaarrrggghhh!!!!

    Don’t start me on Trump’s latest ‘fingernails on blackboard’ mouthings of “Doodes” and “Bad hombres”. Does he think he will connect with the yoof this way!?!

    Of course the guy is as cunning as a rattlesnake and he knows those sort of miscegenated mashups of speech will only make what he says stick more firmly in your mind.

  16. Don
    It didn’t help me one bit! I got everything I needed from studying French and Latin to learn the structure of our language and later in life read things that I found of interest to broaden my outlook. In my working life my use of language improved immeasurably.

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