We’re about half-way between the weekly BludgerTrack and when I’m anticipating the next opinion poll, this being the period of pre-budget calm before the storm, and a new thread is wanted. So I’ve decided to hang this one off the latest ANUpoll survey, an exercise conducted by the Australian National University two or three times a year to gauge the public mood on a specific area of public policy, and track the salience of various issues over time. The subject of the latest instalment, which was conducted by phone from a sample of 1200 in February and March, is tax and equity in Australia. Among various findings on tax that would be familiar from those who follow Essential Research, the report also finds support for increased spending on social services at its highest level since the series began in 1987. The report also finds that, in spite of everything, 56% consider the existing system “moderately fair”, on top of another 4% for “very fair”, while 22% rate it “not too fair” and 18% “not at all fair”.
The survey also features regular questions in which respondents are asked to name the first and second most important political problems, out of a list that presently includes 27 options. To make this easier to interpret, I’ve condensed results into various categories, which are hopefully generally self-explanatory (particularly economy/budget, environment and better government – security/external covers wars, terrorism, defence and immigration, while services covers health and education and such). The progress of these results since 2008 is shown in the chart below.
From which a number of points are clearly worth noting. Concern about service provision mounted to giddy heights after the 2014 budget, but promptly returned to normal after Malcolm Turnbull became prime minister. The combined result for the various economic issues is at a low point in the latest survey, having peaked in the years immediately following the global financial crisis. Security/external and crime/society, which are largely conservative concerns, are on an upward trend. “Better government”, I’m guessing, was a popular response among Coalition supporters while Labor was in power, but is not a correspondingly popular choice for Labor voters now it’s the Coalition’s turn.
I’ve been told to expect disturbances on the site from around 10am to noon, which I presume will cause issues with comments during this time.
William Bowe @ #1 Saturday, April 30, 2016 at 7:25 am
Oh Noes! How will we cope? 😀
Note that BK’s wonderful dawn patrol is at the moment only available on the previous thread.
Looks like BK’s hard work has been undermined again.
Musrum, I have just installed the latest and greatest, Version 5.25, on my desktop, and the comment box is back at the top, with no preview, and there are no page numbers any more.
So, let me get this right. The libs are going to offer tiny tax cuts to the rich (who won’t care) and nothing to average voters (who will be dreadfully pissed off) at a time of budget emergency. Sounds like a dreadful mistake to me. Labor should oppose them on fairness grounds and give tax cuts to average voters.
I don’t see the lack of comment numbers to be a huge problem. The date and time provide a satisfactory alternative. As for the Older/Newer Comments, you can usually get around this by specifying the page number in the address bar.
That’s the thing about tax cuts with our current system.
Tax cuts to lower income earners are enjoyed by all including the rich, whereas tax cuts to higher income earners only benefit the rich.
Musrum, 5.25 works well on my laptop, with preview etc working fine. It is just the desktop which has spat the dummy.
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This doesn’t work on my mobile. Older flies to the very top of older, then newer flies to the very latest post. With no page numbers, patient scrolling is all that’s left.
Reposted from previous thread.
Good morning Dawn Patrollers.
Michael Gordon – Behold! Malcolm Abbott.
http://www.smh.com.au/comment/behold-malcolm-abbott-20160429-goi6er.html
And Peter Hartcher follows through on the same theme as it applies to climate change policy. There is an interesting last sentence in the article.
http://www.smh.com.au/comment/new-malcolm-turnbull-becomes-the-old-tony-abbott-on-climate-20160429-goi8sc.html
Turnbull and Morrison must exorcise the demons of Abbott’s 29014 budget with this one opines the SMH editorial.
http://www.smh.com.au/comment/smh-editorial/turnbullmorrison-must-exorcise-demons-of-unfair-2014-budget-20160428-gohtiq.html
Laurie Oakes says Turnbull is no good at “doing scary”. Google.
/news/opinion/laurie-oakes/malcolm-turnbull-cannot-run-a-scare-campaign-like-tony-abbott/news-story/6d1b7445d2e820ae856c14368fa70936
Karen Middleton on the strange politics of negative gearing.
https://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/news/politics/2016/04/30/the-strange-politics-negative-gearing/14619384003190
Lenore Taylor bemoans the state of our politics as asylum seeker and climate change policy come back to centre stage.
http://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2016/apr/29/asylum-and-climate-change-are-back-in-the-news-and-the-response-has-been-pathetic
Anne Summers puts Turnbull’s love of negative gearing into perspective.
http://www.smh.com.au/comment/malcolm-turnbulls-indulgence-of-negative-gearing-out-of-kilter-with-stinginess-on-childcare-20160428-goh1hs.html
This Saturday Paper contributor who has worked at ASIC says it’s time heads rolled there and for them to toughen up.
https://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/opinion/topic/2016/04/30/heads-must-roll-corporate-regulator-asic/14619384003187
Phil Coorey talks about the laziness on the MSM in properly holding politicians to account. Well he could start doing it himself! Google.
/opinion/columnists/malcolm-turnbulls-advocacy-not-slogans-leadership-experiment-is-over-20160427-gogku2
I’d say the Nurofen mob got off lightly for its egregious deceptive behaviour.
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2016/apr/29/nurofen-manufacturer-fined-17m-for-misleading-customers
Has Turnbull sent Australia down a dangerous road with the scrapping of the RSRT?
https://newmatilda.com/2016/04/29/turnbull-sends-australia-down-a-dangerous-road/
Section 2 . . .
Sinodinos – the not so artful dodger.
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/sinodinos-the-not-so-artful-dodger,8941
Kristina Keneally pours scorn on Arfur.
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/apr/29/open-letter-to-senator-arthur-sinodinos-from-kristina-keneally?CMP=share_btn_tw
Manus Island and Nauru – this is not our Australia.
https://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/news/politics/2016/04/30/manus-nauru-detention-this-not-our-australia/14619384003189
Mike Seccombe on the failed state of PNG.
https://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/news/immigration/2016/04/30/the-failed-state-png/14619384003181
Nice goings on in Bankstown.
http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/police-investigating-shooting-at-bankstown-shopping-centre-20160429-goi0zr.html
Sean Nichols asks where are the non-Anglos in the NSW parliament.
http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/women-on-the-rise-but-parliament-remains-a-poor-reflection-of-multicultural-nsw-20160428-goh6fo.html
Morrison’s blocking of the sake of the big Kidman property has the Chinese fuming.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/federal-election-2016/scott-morrisons-decision-to-block-s-kidman-and-co-sale-leaves-investors-fuming-20160429-goievx.html
The chart that is scaring climate scientists.
http://www.smh.com.au/environment/greenland-ice-sheet-melting-has-started-early-20160429-gohx1z.html
Paul Bongiorno on how the government has tried to refloat the vote in SA.
https://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/opinion/topic/2016/04/30/coalition-attempts-win-votes-with-submarine-politics/14619384003179
Another example of short termism.
http://www.smh.com.au/business/federal-budget/job-insecurity-is-driving-the-best-and-brightest-out-of-medical-research-20160427-gog9hh.html
Section 3 . . . with Cartoon Corner
More union corruption? Don’t think so!
http://www.domain.com.au/news/six-melbourne-lj-hooker-estate-agency-offices-suddenly-close-20160429-goigc8/
Google has been forced to restructure its businesses involving Australia.
http://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/google-restructures-to-avoid-hefty-penalties-in-australia-as-tax-bill-hits-16-million-20160429-goi8fl.html
There’s a range of penalties Arfur could face having refused to show up at the Senate inquiry.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/sinodinos-could-face-range-of-punishments-over-refusal-to-front-inquiry-20160428-gohulu.html
The ACTU has unveiled its priorities in front of the election.
http://www.smh.com.au/business/federal-budget/federal-budget-2016-actu-backs-crackdown-on-tax-breaks-for-rich-20160429-goi6o9.html
Alan Moir is concerned about Potatohead’s sense of direction.
Cathy Wilcox on Arfur. Now you see him . . . .
What a ripper from David Pope on Turnbull’s 30 minute city thought bubble!
Ron Tandberg with some home truths for the Liberals.
Mark Knight on the tensions building within the CFA in Victoria.
http://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/2af00a8fbb86d84107c1547cb49ef356?width=1024&api_key=zw4msefggf9wdvqswdfuqnr5
MUST SEE! David Rowe’s Dutton Island.
A long read in Good Weekend.
http://www.theage.com.au/good-weekend/scott-morrisons-relentless-rise-to-power-20160418-go8qty.html
lizzie
That sounds like a real pain. I’ve never tried to access PB from a mobile device so I can only really offer insight from my experience using the laptop/desktop pc.
I can see parts of cccp not working etc.
I’m going to not try and fix cccp whilst they are still making changes (I’ll be chasing my tail).
Hopefully I can pacth it this afternoon.
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When PB was designed for only one platform, I found no problem on my mobile. Now I’m so frustrated that sometimes I just want to give up. But I can’t. I’m addicted!!
Morning all
Thanks BK for today’s offerings…….
Meanwhile
Peter van Onselen
Peter van Onselen – Verified account @vanOnselenP
My column in today’s @australian here: http://www.theaustralian.com.au/opinion/columnists/peter-van-onselen/election-2016-nothing-to-fear-but-fear-campaigns-on-both-sides/news-story/938eec5ff742154468c63df3db2d5e6c … #auspol
Even Colombia has legalised ssm……….
Sky News Australia
7h7 hours ago
Sky News Australia @SkyNewsAust
Colombia legalises same sex marriage http://bit.ly/1O0hh2I
Embedded image
The Today Show
1h1 hour ago
The Today Show @TheTodayShow
“The problem with Scott Morrison’s approach is… He’s playing politics.” – @bowenchris on the 2016 Budget. #9Today http://snpy.tv/1SzCIgu
Lizzie
As per piece posted by you re ScoMo. Interestingly, it reports that he and Turnbull have been good friends for 20 years.
victoria
I think ‘friends’ has many meanings !!
I find ScoMo’s ruthless ambition and vaunted christianity a strange mixture.
lizzie
ScoMo is a bona fide nut job in my view
The Waffler is a hopeless failure.
At the presser yesterday to waffle-announce his new cities thought bubble he spruiked about Edward Glasser’s (name????) new book about cities of the future….”Lucy and I love it and we’ve gifted copies of it to so many friends, blah blah blah”.
So Alberici then has this man on Lateline last night, quite a long I/V.
I sat there in amazement as the guy presented point after point which were antagonistic to the Waffler’s views on just about everything.
Most notably he contradicted everything Waffler is saying about negative gearing, which he (Glasser) says serves no purpose in housing market.
Here is Lateline episode psyclaw refers to
http://www.abc.net.au/lateline/
Talk later bludgers
Our Sophie is in a class of her own! Bitis arietans
http://nofibs.com.au/attention-grabbing-indivotes-mirabellasophie-gives-coalition-bigger-headache-camklose-comments/
Thanks for the link Vic.
You bail me out by providing links so often. Taa!
[ lizzie
#22 Saturday, April 30, 2016 at 8:40 am
victoria
I think ‘friends’ has many meanings !!
I find ScoMo’s ruthless ambition and vaunted christianity a strange mixture. ]
Not so strange. Never get in the way of a cardinal having a red hot go at becoming Pope!
don
One comment by ScoMo in the article – his wife became pregnant after many years of IVF as a reward for her faithfulness. Whether he meant faithfulness to her religion or her husband wasn’t entirely clear, but I felt a frisson of ‘little woman’ patronisation.
Various RWNJs in Murdochland are happily proclaiming that the tide has turned for Turnbull due to the PNG court decision on Manus Island and Labor announcing measures to curb CO2 emissions. However Oaks reckons Turnbull just can’t run a scare campaign like Abbott.
Meanwhile news.com.au runs articles like “Barrier Reef ‘dead in 20 years’” and “Sub standard: why the $2,000 we are each spending on submarines will probably be a terrible waste.”.
Then there is this weird “leak”:
Lizzie
“he described the birth of their first child as a blessing from God, rewarding his wife’s religious devotion.”
It was Cheesus that dun it!
psyclaw
More like patience and medical engineering. Perhaps ScoMo could show his gratitude by refusing cuts to Health.
Morning all.
We have comment numbers again! And thanks BK for today’s reading Lenore Taylor calls it like it is. Again.
Lenore
http://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2016/apr/29/asylum-and-climate-change-are-back-in-the-news-and-the-response-has-been-pathetic?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
An injured person would be nervous going to see Slater and Gordon about any claim on the basis of a reasonable fear that the claimmay be too heavily compromised so as to enable Slater and Gordon to recover costs which they need given their precarious financial position.
Slater and Gordon have always been in a position of conflict having to satisfy the diverse interests of injured persons and shareholders since their float .
Lenore in July 2013. when Rudd was making a dash for the election.
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/jul/19/rudds-boat-fix-sense-sailed
citizen
I wonder when the LNP will realize that Mal is just a useless waffler and that Abbott would have been the perfect man to lead this type of negative campaign? Abbott must be smacking his lips in frustration!
Tony Abbott is losing support in Warringah.
lizzie @ #37 Saturday, April 30, 2016 at 9:46 am
Cue PVOesque WOW!
I didn’t think it was possible for MT to look even more hollow, but somehow he’s managing it!
lizzie
Nah! One of the basic tenets of happy clappers like ScoMo is that Jesus shows his approval of such people by rewarding them with money to afford things like expensive healthcare interventions.
Those who can’t are obviously not worth bothering with.
lizzie @ #29 Saturday, April 30, 2016 at 9:15 am
You have hit the nail on the head. I have had a close look via a relative at the happy clappies, and this trivialisation and denigration of females is endemic.
It is most evident at marriage ceremonies, where the bride is very literally given into the care and under the dominion of the groom and the pastor. She is a chattel, no more.
Later, all major household decisions apart from those delegated to the wife such as cooking, the cleaning of the house, and care of children, are at the whim of the husband.
Question
[I was quoting Abbott]
Yes … That’s what a strawman is. Purport to respond to someone while putting up, or mixing their words with, other (or another’s) words.
Wot numbers? Not on my mac or ipad!
The above gives your comment as #45 on my MacBook Air.
LIZZIE – Fascinating. Amazing how well the Bishop and the Abbott managed to keep their branch numbers below 100. Talking about fiefdoms.
Weird, no numbers on Safari or Firefox, so it’s not a browser issue.
Numbers are a cccp addition.
Just realised that cccp breaks on a new thread (no pages) . Fix is up ver 5.26