A ReachTEL poll, which I presume to have been broadcast on the 6pm Seven News, shows the Coalition with a two-party lead of 54-46, down from 55-45 at the last such poll three weeks ago. Malcolm Turnbull holds a 75-25 on a preferred prime minister question that allows no option for undecided, partly reversing a blowout to 81-19 that raised eyebrows in the previous poll. The poll also finds a remarkably even spread of opinion on Barnaby Joyce as Deputy Prime Minister, with 32% expecting him to be very good or good, 34% expecting him to be average, and 34% expecting him to be poor or very poor. More to follow.
UPDATE: Full results on the ReachTEL site here. The primary votes are 48.1% for the Coalition (down 0.4%), 32.8% for Labor (up 1.0%) and 10.1% for the Greens (down 0.7%). The personal ratings find Malcolm Turnbull taking a solid hit, with his net approval rating of plus 15.3% comparing with results of between plus 31.5% and plus 41.4% in ReachTEL’s three previous polls on his watch.
zoomster@891
Light has a big influence on when melatonin is released. Exposure to light until late in the night will disrupt this natural pattern.
I find a small dose of melatonin is as effective as a sleeping tablet.
Victoria
That is because Cassidy as host is leaving it up to the Gallery journos to do the dissecting.
I think thats fair enough. The problem is that Cassidy keeps control of the agenda and issues raised and we do not get the free flowing discussion you would get in the pub chat it is trying to emulate.
At least that is my take on the Insiders format.
[
http://auselections.com/
A new poll aggregator has made their debut!
]
Thanks Airlines.
[
“Emma Chisit”???? Surely that’s gotta be a joke site?
]
A New Zealander inquiring on price?
Emma’s forecast at this point has LNP down 1 seat to 89 and the ALP up 2 to 57…
befuddled
[ I find a small dose of melatonin is as effective as a sleeping tablet. ]
Please do us all a favor and take one now.
The Republicans are terrified because they know that if someone nominated by a Democratic President, even if a moderate, gets in, it is going to change the ideology of the Supreme Court.
Which might not sound that important but it actually is. There have been so many issues in the US that have arisen or worsened in the last few decades because of the 5-4 conservative break of the Rehnquist and Roberts Courts!
Bemused
My planet is one that watches events. It is not gloomy nor fear filled. However it is also one that actually looks at events as they are now, not as they were 30 years ago.
My planet is one that involved studying in depth the causes of WWI. How a crazy assassin triggered the death of many millions. Each party made a judgment call and each was wildly wrong. The only winner from WWI was the USA who came in late to pick up the peices. Everyone else were losers.
One other thing that makes the current situation dangerous is that the USA is a weaker nation than it was in 1988. Financially it is in debt, manufacturing has declined, crazies are running one of its major parties, racial tension is very high, it spends big on military but performance does not seem spectacular, infrastucture is old and not in good repair, it has a small merchant fleet, there is a very very stong anti government movement. These factors make it a weaker country than in the past. However weakness can be dangerous because it often leads to ill thought out responses.
zoomster@895
I am aware of some of the science surrounding light and melatonin.
The circadian rhythm is primarily driven by light and dark. So artificially altering the natural periods of light and darkness will disrupt it. Adolescents and others inflict this on themselves.
guytaur
Yes, it does seem to be the strategy of BCassidy on Insiders
I am only catching up with the News now, but I too laughed at Massola’s typical anti-Shorten article coming on the heels of some positive stuff from Conference yesterday.
James Massola’s vitriol against Labor, in shoddy articles that distort facts and just plain make things up, was why I finally gave up my Fairfax subscription.
The guy hates Shorten, and Labor. If I wanted to get that sort of vituperative stuff, I would buy the Daily Telegraph.
Anyhoo off to lunch. Talk later
Bemused,
I am glad you like it. Yes, I am right and you are wrong. I have an internationally acclaimed university, conducting ground-breaking research into sleep, behind my information. You have your beliefs.
Don’t argue with me, argue with The Flinders University. For people who have never heard of it because it is in South Australia this is from Wiki.
[
Flinders is a verdant university and a member of the Innovative Research Universities Group 1, and ranks in the 10-16 bracket in Australia and 36th in the world of those established less than 50 years. Academically, the university pioneered a cross-disciplinary approach to education, and its faculties of medicine and the humanities are ranked among the nation’s top 10. The university is ranked within the world’s top 400 institutions in the Academic Ranking of World Universities. The latest Times Higher Education rankings of the world’s top universities ranks Flinders University in the 251 to 300 bracket. ]
daretotread@896
Artillery fire is not ‘bombing’ and is nothing new in that region.
So the Coalition are going to copy the Tories in Britain and bring in a global tax deduction limit, eh?
You can have work-related deductions, equities, capital gains tax deductions or negatively-geared property investments but you can’t have it all if it goes over a defined limit?
Good luck with impressing the base with that one, Scott! 😀
Re Vic state politics. If we want to find out what people really think of Skyrail need to grab a coffee in Centre Road or McKinnon Rd or perhaps in Oakleigh shops on a Thursday
Bemused could go under cover in Oakleigh on Thursday
For those interested in the cricket New Zealand v Australia and don’t have Foxtel
http://firstrowau.eu/watch/410304/1/watch-new-zealand-vs-australia.html#
daretotread@906
The US military is far ahead of any other.
Whatever weaknesses the US has, its military strength is not one of them.
Bemused
Stop showing ignorance. Turkey has NOT been involved in Syria until THIS morning. They have used deniable proxies for sure – the Turkmen and ISIS, but actual Turkish army is new, new, new, Comprehendo.
Also they have bombeed with PLANES – you know those things in the sky the Meangh airbase which the kurds captured two days ago. That is the FIRST time turkish plaes have entered Syria, certainly since the Russian brought in their big defences.
victoria
can’t help you with that one, being the Queen of rural Victoria.
Wouldn’t worry about it much, would think it’s one of those NIMBY things which – in the long run – die out as the benefits of the concept sink in.
I’ll go back to watching cricket when they get honest and put the betting odds up on the scoreboard, where they should be.
[For those interested in the cricket New Zealand v Australia and don’t have Foxtel
http://firstrowau.eu/watch/410304/1/watch-new-zealand-vs-australia.html# ]
My anti malware software blocks that site.
marian_maio: Donald Trump: Justice Scalia’s Death ‘Massive Setback’ for Conservative Movement – Breitbart https://t.co/5ojvB1VkTM
IAStartingLine: Longest court nomination was 125 days. No way GOP Sen can block twice+ that long w/o terrible electoral fallout over being obstructionists
The reality.
========================
24 has crossed to ALP conference for Luke Foley address
Silver Bodgie
Thanks for the link….works fine for me….hopefully not because malware is getting through my firewall 🙂
Puff, the Magic Dragon.@911
Interesting.
I have had the good fortune to study at 3 universities but don’t rely on their reputation.
I rely on information I have previously read but acknowledge research is still being conducted and yielding information.
But surely the now pervasive artificial lighting of relatively high intensity has had a profound impact on the normal day/night cycle and its effect on humans?
bemused@924
That does apply. However it applies to all ages and not just to teens who have a different sleeping cycle.
guytaur
[ marian_maio: Donald Trump: Justice Scalia’s Death ‘Massive Setback’ for Conservative Movement – Breitbart https://t.co/5ojvB1VkTM ]
The comments on that site are astounding. Here’s a couple:
[ Buy your guns now if you don’t have enough firepower to protect your home. ]
[ To avoid any battles with the Senate, Obama should nominate the Republican nominee to replace Scalia. ]
[ A major loss for America … Suspicious timing would be a understatement. ]
[ Couldnt’ be just a coincidence that one of the last truly conservative justices dies while the marxist muslim in chief is still in office. ]
[ Well if a liberal justice is appointed, we can bid welcome to 5+ million illegal immigrants as they are given amnesty. ]
Some Americans are just batsh#t crazy!
billie@914
I am tempted.
I think there is a lot of irrational fear driving the negative reaction.
Ground level rail cuts a swathe through communities and is highly unsightly with a strip of un-maintained wasteland either side of the track. Frequently it is elevated by embankments which are again unsightly.
The elevated rail I have seen overseas is a vast improvement on what we have at present. It allows free movement where previously it was obstructed. It will be quieter if properly constructed. It frees up a lot of land for other uses.
daretotread@917
I have only read reports of shelling and suggest you go to the link billie provided. It also makes the point that the Turks have previously fired across the border in certain circumstances.
Puff
[ I rely on information I have previously read but acknowledge research is still being conducted and yielding information. ]
This is as close to a concession as you are ever likely to get. I’d take it and quit while you’re ahead.
bemused
Even in an Australian context. The skyrail concept has a little forerunner on the Eastern Suburbs line. The one featured in Midnight Oil’s Power and the Passion.
In Kings Cross it goes right past buildings just before it turns into a tunnel. There also seems to be no problem with the Circular Quay part other than visual pollution of the station given the view it is blocking.
Thats it for complaints. Like in Singapore the reality is people have no problem with elevated railways.
guytaur@925
To what extent is that induced by their behaviour? e.g. late nights playing computer games and conversing with friends on social media?
It certainly seems to have drawn a lot more attention than it did when I was a teen.
P1
You won’t get any arguments from me about some Americans. They make the Troppo cases in the Northern Territory look sane.
guytaur@930
Agree, but your Australian examples are not in suburbia. That will be new AFAIAA.
bemused
The difference is that now teenagers are seen and not hidden invisibility at home with no communication.
eg. Lots of 60’s American tv shows about teens wanting to use the phone at late night to talk with friends usually featuring girls.
bemused
they play computer games late at night because they can’t sleep, not the other way around.
Read the Dr Karl article.
Is there something poetic about a man going out and blasting the hell out of innocent quail and going back to his motel and dropping dead?
Though I understand that Obama was seen slipping out of his hotel room in the early hours of the morning and jumping into a waiting car.
bemused
See Western Rail line. Elevated via road bridges and the like. Summer Hill for example the rail line goes along the top floors of apartment blocks if you want a suburban example.
The death of Scalia is shaping up to be an interesting battle. Could overshadow the US presidential primaries:
[ http://www.vox.com/2016/2/13/10987112/scalia-replacement-republicans ]
It will also put a lot of pressure on the Republican nominees, who will have to say whether or not they support the blocking of a re-appointment.
[My anti malware software blocks that site.]
Tried a few browsers and none really liked it… a bit suss. I didn’t really want to create an account. One browser played the audio…
The audio would be fine for me, I would have thought I could get that legit. Anyone know if that’s available from a New Zealand radio stream or whatever?
Question
Look on website of NZ radio. Unless Geo block in place you will be fine.
Many radio stations broadcast to the world with no geoblock.
The concern I have about the elevated rail is that it is done properly.
For an example of a monumental Victorian rail stuff-up see this article.
http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/vline-crisis-tracks-on-365b-regional-rail-link-to-be-torn-up-this-weekend-20160212-gmsude.html
Looking at the photo I see not just a curve, but an ‘S-bend’ with relatively small radius.
Surely there are clear standards for track construction that would say you just don’t do this? Socrates will probably be able to give an informed comment.
Rather than build that monstrosity it seems they should have built the new viaduct and straightened the track.
Unfortunately I doubt any accountability will ever be sheeted home as it should be.
There should be a full and open public inquiry into this fiasco.
guytaur@934
You mean a lot less distractions at night? Agree. And there a lot of the problem lies I think.
zoomster@935
What’s the link again?
So what did they do before computers and computer games?
Trick question, I know the answer as I lived through it. We went to sleep.
[The immediate and easily foreseeable impact is staggering. Last week, the Supreme Court issued a stay delaying the implementation of Obama’s Clean Power Plan. The stay indicated that a majority of the justices foresee a reasonably high likelihood that they would ultimately strike down Obama’s plan, which could jeopardize the Paris climate agreement and leave greenhouse gasses unchecked. Without Scalia on the Court, the odds of this drop to virtually zero. The challenge is set to be decided by a D.C. Circuit panel composed of a majority of Democratic appointees, which will almost certainly uphold the regulations. If the plan is upheld, it would require a majority of the Court to strike it down. With the Court now tied 4-4, such a ruling now seems nearly impossible.]
http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/02/how-scalias-death-will-change-everything.html
guytaur@937
Do you have a good link for that with photos? I would love to see it.
Everyone wants to live in a country village 6km from the City centre with access to excellent road and rail.
bemused
No just travelled on it. Its just part of the Western Line. However I will do a search for you. I assume you will too of course.
[So what did they do before computers and computer games?
Trick question, I know the answer as I lived through it. We went to sleep.
]
Not a trick question at all. In my case, I read with a torch underneath the blankets. Given that you seem to think personal experience trumps science, that means that that was what all the other teenagers were doing too.
guytaur@947
The line out to Parramatta?
That is conventional construction and only elevated by bridges and embankments. The ‘sky rail’ will be much different to that. A vast improvement in fact.
bemused
[What’s the link again?]
Knew you hadn’t bothered to read it.
Scroll back and educate yourself.