Galaxy: 58-42 to federal Coalition in Queensland

A new Queensland-only poll of federal voting finds a nine-point reversal since Malcolm Turnbull deposed Tony Abbott.

Today’s Courier-Mail brings a Galaxy poll on federal voting intention in Queensland, which finds a dramatic reversal since the last such poll, which was conducted on Tony Abbott’s watch in late August. The Coalition is up nine on the primary vote to 50%, with Labor down eight to 29%. A 51-49 lead to Labor on two-party preferred has transformed into a 58-42 to the Coalition. The poll also finds 61% believe Malcolm Turnbull has the “best plan for Queensland”, compared with 14% for Bill Shorten. The poll was conducted by phone on Tuesday and Wednesday, from a sample of 800 respondents. It will presumably be followed shortly by a result on state voting intention from the same sample.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

934 thoughts on “Galaxy: 58-42 to federal Coalition in Queensland”

Comments Page 2 of 19
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  1. Howard’s battlers is a misnomer, in many cases it was the effective local MP that carried the seat, we saw this in Dunkley in 1998, Bruce Billson ran a strong local campaign which helped to get him re-elected, the same applied in several other seats and in some cases were helped by the ALP running poor candidates.

  2. MB

    I am talking generally, many on the left are good at talking about being compassionate but when they are faced with someone in real disadvantage, what do they do, in many cases they look the other way.

    People often fail to live up to their ideals. I don’t think that is a particular failing of those on the left. For example I think Ayn Rand was happy to take social security late in her life.

  4. DN

    I would say if you fit in the top 10% then yes you could be classed as being rich, my issue is more to do with calling income earners who after going to university or tafe, earn a good income and am able to purchase a nice house and hold an investment portfolio as being the rich.

    Most of the top 10% would have inherited it thus haven really earned it.

  8. Theoretically I would be classed in the top 10% income earners but am certainly not rich. Comfortable yes but not rich. We have always been a single income earner family so haven’t managed to accumulate more than a modest amount of assets.

  9. Class in Australia is an interesting area, its different to the class structure of the UK and Europe, its more fragmented and is easier to move around.

  11. They have bought into the neo-liberal framing that wealth brings happiness.

    There is plenty of evidence that people with more money are happier but once you reach about the median wealth, you don’t get happier with more money.

  14. Surely Abetz can take the hint that it might be time for him to retire, or doesn’t he know how to apply for any other kind of work

  18. I seem to recall many on the political right were strongly of the view that the good people of Queensland would never accept a Liberal PM like Turnbull, they had to have some kind of hard right nutjob.

    The Hard Right Nutjob would actually not go down well in Queensland. The long ‘rural socialist’ tradition of the National Party with all its emphasis on intervention does not gel with the economic scorched earthism of the hard right.

  21. I guess if the ALP win the next election then maybe Abetz might come to the realisation that he is a dud and passed it.

    Unfortunately he has not come to this realisation already – neither of course has Tony Abbott nor Kevin Andrews nor Bronwyn Bishop.

  22. Diogenes,

    Yes, research does confirm that.

    However there are many people like me who fall well below the median wealth.

    Despite all my challenges, I lead a blessed, fulfilling and happy.
    life.

    What makes me happy has little to do, for example, flying off overseas for an annual holiday or owning a 50 square two storey Mcmansion.

    So many people believe they are deprived if they are missing these material things. Heaven forbid that each child does not have a bedroom of their own with an ensuite!

    Envy and material greed are soul-destroying.

  23. “What does this incredible response from the polled voters suggest about the quality of our press gallery corpse?”

    Oh come on… you were one of those dolts who was probably posting about Abbott eating an onion by Fairfax and the ABC was Prime Time news.

    Bit late to complain about Operation Get Abbott now.

    Then we had the Knights and Dames thing… who was hurt by it? Was anyones life destroyed? Were there people put out of house and home because of it?

    Oh but it’s gone lets all celebrate like it’s news or that it matters… because the left need these things to navel gaze over because apparantly they have nothing better to comment on

  24. At some point, heads will be removed from sand, revelations will be beheld: Shorten is hopeless. It’s that simple.

    Put in Tanya Plibersek. She likely won’t win this upcoming election but she’ll get much-needed grounding in the role and will give Turnbull a much better run for his money.

    And crucially, Plibersek will sound credible on foreign policy/ national security stuff.

    Shorten on these topics sounds forced, fake, anxiously trying to remember scripted lines; anxiously trying to remember which word in the much-rehearsed sentence he’s supposed to put the emphasis on.

    Result: A dog’s breakfast, and the people simply are not listening.

  25. blackburnpseph

    The long ‘rural socialist’ tradition of the National Party..

    They’re not known as “agrarian socialists” for nothing!

    As usual double standards apply – it’s okay for us, but for them.

  26. Then we had the Knights and Dames thing… who was hurt by it?

    Tony Abbott!!

    It was just politically damn stupid – and lots of politically damn stupid add up to a death spiral for any PM – just ask Julia Gillard.

  27. Pegasus

    That is what Dio is saying, having money that enables you too do the things you want does bring happiness, but on its own it doesn’t do a great deal such as in cases where the family is dysfunctional.

  29. Put in Tanya Plibersek

    Methinks Tanya Plibersek is in a particular category of potential leadership aspirant…

    Could she do the job? Yes
    Would she do well in the job? Yes
    Does she understand 100% what the job entails? Yes
    Does she want the job? Based on the answer to Q3 – quite possibly not.

  30. Mexican B

    That is what Dio is saying, having money that enables you too do the things you want ..

    It has a lot to do with “keeping up with the Joneses”, with status gained through conspicuous consumption.

    “Keeping up with the Joneses” is an idiom in many parts of the English-speaking world referring to the comparison to one’s neighbor as a benchmark for social class or the accumulation of material goods.

    To fail to “keep up with the Joneses” is perceived as demonstrating socio-economic or cultural inferiority.

  32. Pegasus

    That is different to saying that money buys happiness, it is better to have money than not have any, particularly at this time of year although having money allows you to do the things you want, poor people lack many of those opportunities.

  33. I had a very sad conversation once with a woman who had a stellar career.

    She said she always thought the next promotion would make her happy, but it never did. On one level she recognised this; on the other, she still thought the next promotion would be the One.

  34. The eloquent George Monbiot:
    http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/feb/03/society-consumerism-support

    It’s not that the old dispensation was necessarily better: it was bad in different ways. Hierarchies of class and gender crush the human spirit as effectively as atomisation. The point is that the void that was filled with junk could have been occupied by a better society built on mutual support and connectedness without the stifling stratification of the old order. But the movements that helped to smash the old world were facilitated and co-opted by consumerism.

    Individuation, a necessary response to oppressive conformity, is exploitable. New social hierarchies built around positional goods and conspicuous consumption took the place of the old. The conflict between individualism and egalitarianism, too readily ignored by those who helped to break the oppressive norms and strictures, does not resolve itself.

    So we are lost in the 21st century, living in a state of social disaggregation that hardly anyone desired but which is an emergent property of a world reliant on rising consumption to avert economic collapse, saturated with advertising and framed by market fundamentalism. We inhabit a planet our ancestors would have found impossible to imagine: 7 billion people, suffering an epidemic of loneliness. It is a world of our making but not of our choice.

  36. Well paid journalist like George Monbiot have little cred when it comes to talking about the poor, I dealt he would ever have experienced disadvantage.

  37. Its a bit like the story I read about the ABC where people would be viewed as being pretty progressive yet when the cleaner comes into the room they all would go quiet.

    I think its all fine to complain about selfishness but I just don’t buy well paid journalist making out that they have any real connection with what they clearly don’t as if they did then they would understand why no one actively seeks to be poor unless they are so inclined politically.

  38. Mexican B,

    It’s obvious we have totally different world views.

    Nevertheless, there are moments when I agree with a point you make.

    Time for me to depart {smile}

  39. Bad news .

    An emergency warning has been issued for people living in the Mullet Lakes area, in Bandy Creek, after the fire jumped containment lines on its western edge.

    Homes are under threat in Wylie Bay Road, the southern end of Dempster Road, Tarook Road, Bandy Creek Road, the western end of Merivale Road, Daw Drive, Thistle Avenue, Lalor Drive and Tranquil Drive.

    “You are in danger and need to act immediately to survive. There is a threat to lives and homes,” WA’s Department of Fire and Emergency Services said in a statement.

    The bushfire continues to run in a westerly directly and is described as out of control and unpredictable.

    https://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/wa/a/30156476/one-of-three-wa-fires-still-a-watch-act/

  40. And from the Gibson footy club president.

    Gibson Football Club
    3 hrs ·
    A MESSAGE FROM CLUB PRESIDENT GEOFF HARRIS

    This is the first chance I have had to be in contact with you all. It has been a constant battle with the bushfires since Tuesday. The devastation this fire has caused is unimaginable and horrific to say the least. The massive loss of land, crops, machinery, livestock, houses and infrastructure and ultimately the death of Freddy and the three workers.

    I struggle with tears in my eyes ….to know what to say. He was everything to so many, a loving husband, a dedicated Dad and a great mate to us all. To not have him at our footy club seems unimaginable but unfortunately true.

    It is our duty now to help out wherever we can, first and foremost helping Rosanne, Emma, Tom and Riley through their grief and on the slow and long process of rebuilding their lives. We also need to support the rest of the Curnow families, Mick and Jenny, Darren and Kelly, Greg and Donna.

    This fire has changed our community forever. There are a lot of people who are very fragile with the losses they have been dealt. Look out for your neighbours and mates as we all work our way back to our normal lives. It is very important to keep talking to each other. Get around a mate if you think they are struggling, give them a hug and tell them we will be ok. It will be a slow process but if we stick together I know we will make it through.
    Please be safe everyone, Geoff.

  41. Pegasus@88

    Mexican B,

    It’s obvious we have totally different world views.

    Nevertheless, there are moments when I agree with a point you make.

    Time for me to depart {smile}

    MexicanB has a word view unlike any other.

  44. Yes the great hypocrite Ayn Rand, I’ve never understood the right’s liking of her views

    The right seem to gravitate towards hypocrites like moths to a flame.

  46. …many on the left are good at talking about being compassionate but when they are faced with someone in real disadvantage, what do they do, in many cases they look the other way.

    Those on the right almost without exception think we should spend more on defence, ‘border protection’ and ‘security’, paid for by others’ taxes. They want their private choices in health and education subsidised by other peoples’ taxes.

  47. Bemused

    How am I not consistent?

    If anything I am more of a broken record around here although there have been times when my views have evolved.

  48. A leading defence strategist has urged the Foreign Investment Review Board (FIRB) to consider national security, not just economics when it considers bids for the nation’s largest electricity grid.

    The sale of the New South Wales poles and wires, or Transgrid, is estimated to raise $9 billion for the State Government.

    The successful bidder would be the biggest player in the national electricity grid and own part of the Federal Government’s fibre optic network, as well as control much of the nation’s backup electricity supply.

    There are several contenders, but one of the leading bidders is the Chinese government-owned State Grid, which is partnering up with Macquarie Infrastructure.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-11-21/firb-urged-to-consider-national-security-in-bid-for-transgrid/6961370

  49. Steve777

    That isn’t relevant to what I wrote.

    If anything the right such as Hockey put on an act when in opposition during the Malaysian solution debate.

  50. A leading defence strategist has urged the Foreign Investment Review Board (FIRB) to consider national security, not just economics when it considers bids for the nation’s largest electricity grid.

    The sale of the New South Wales poles and wires, or Transgrid, is estimated to raise $9 billion for the State Government.

    The successful bidder would be the biggest player in the national electricity grid and own part of the Federal Government’s fibre optic network, as well as control much of the nation’s backup electricity supply.

    There are several contenders, but one of the leading bidders is the Chinese government-owned State Grid, which is partnering up with Macquarie Infrastructure.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-11-21/firb-urged-to-consider-national-security-in-bid-for-transgrid/6961370

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