Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor

The recovery in Bill Shorten’s personal ratings from the previous poll has proved to be short-lived, but there’s otherwise very little change to report from the latest Newspoll.

The Australian has served up a static result from Newspoll, with the two-party preferred unchanged on a fortnight ago at 54-46, from primary votes of 39% for the Coalition (up one), 39% for Labor (steady) and 12% for the Greens (down one). The one exception is that the recovery in Bill Shorten’s personal ratings recorded in the last poll has proved to be painfully short-lived, with his approval down four points to 30% and disapproval at 58%. Tony Abbott, on the other hand, is unchanged on both measures, with approval at 30% and disapproval at 63%. Preferred prime minister is at 41-37 in favour of Shorten, compared with 40-35 last time. The poll also finds 43% supporting the China free-trade agreement with 35% opposed. I understand there was also a question on the trade union royal commission, but they may be holding back on that one.

UPDATE (Roy Morgan): The latest fortnightly result from Roy Morgan, which combines two weekends of polling conducted by face-to-face and SMS, with a total sample of 2653, has the Coalition down two points on the primary vote to 36.5%, but with Labor also down half a point to 35.5% – leaving room for the Greens to soar 2.5% to a record high of 16.5%. A weaker flow to Labor of respondent-allocated preferences means there is only a modest change on the headline two-party preferred figure, which goes from 54.5-45.5 to 55-45. On 2013 election preferences flows, the shift is from 53.5-46.5 to 55.5-44.5.

UPDATE 2 (Essential Research): No change whatsoever in Essential Research this week, unless you count a shift in “others” from 10% and 9% that makes no difference to any other party due to rounding effects, or a one-point gain for the Nationals at the expense of the Liberals. This leaves Labor with a lead of 52-48, from primary votes of 40% for the Coalition, 38% for Labor, 11% for the Greens and 2% for Palmer United. We also get Essential’s monthly leadership ratings, which have Tony Abbott slumping five points on approval to 33% with disapproval up four to 57%, Bill Shorten steady on 29% approval and down two on disapproval to 50% (his short-lived spike after the Dyson Heydon controversy presumably having passed Essential’s monthly series by), and Shorten taking a lead on preferred prime minister for the first time since March, at 35-32 compared with a 36-32 lead for Abbott last time.

The poll also gauged approval for Joe Hockey, who recorded an improvement when the question was last asked in the wake of the May budget, but is now back to his ear worst with approval down four to 30% and and disapproval up eight to 52%. Questions on the trade union royal commission found 42% saying Dyson Heydon should stand down as trade union royal commissioner, compared with 32% who thought he should continue, and 36% believing the royal commission to be biased against unions, the ALP or both, compared with only 29% who rated it as unbiased. Respondents were also asked if they would “support or oppose cutting income tax and raising the GST to 15%”, with 52% coming down as opposed compared with only 27% in favour.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,719 thoughts on “Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor”

Comments Page 33 of 35
1 … 32 33 34 35

  3. even if Abbott is replaced, it will not change the fact that the entire coalition cabinet is a policy free zone that has no idea what it is doing, with the nation sleepwalking towards recession and the impending housing bubble burst and rising unemployment.

  6. Obviously Abbott did good on 7.30. 😀

    Kiera
    Kiera – ‏@KieraGorden

    MY GOODNESS – what a disgraceful & moronic performance by Abbott on #abc730. He is truly frightening & a complete embarrassment!!! #AusPol
    2:53 AM – 9 Sep 2015
    48 RETWEETS42 FAVORITES

  7. Dio
    J Bishop is a lightweight. She spent most of her legal career having lunch at The Mediterranean restaurant, home of WA Inc excess. The defunct carcass of that slimeball restaurant is now (proudly) her office in Subiaco. Symbolic.

  9. Unmentioned here as yet is the weird light that comes into Abbott’s expression, the strange grin as he seems to go off into some little place of his own as he manages to get a roll on & can see the destination, a three word slogan, coming into reach. On splendid display tonight, I thought.

  11. Wixxy’s piece today on TURC and KJackson posed an interesting question

    The article quotes Eric Abetz telling Bill Shorten that he needs to get “on board” with the Commission. Why on earth would anybody climb aboard a train that was off the rails, on fire and headed for a cliff?

    The hide of Abetz to say anything at any rate given it was exposed long ago that either he or his office was in regular contact with Jackson after her phone records appeared as evidence here all the way back in July 2012. Perhaps someone in the Senate should ask Abetz about the amount of contact he or his office has had with Jackson or Lawler since the Commission commenced. That could prove interesting indeed.

  14. Just caught 7:30 … which I haven’t watched in 2 years …

    FMD how did it come to pass that that MORON became our PM.

    Seriously folks, a year 7 debater speaks better.

  16. Confessions @1547,

    Very interesting comment. I have had exactly the same experience: I have an 8GB wireless; never reached my limit, sometimes used as little as 2GB. Then twice this year I have reached my limit.

    One occasion I reached my limit after about a week – it all got used up in one night. I couldn’t see how I could have used it, and called Telstra. To their credit, they restored my allowance for that month, but it is still very strange.

  17. Briefly,

    I’m a bit troubled that I just spent so much time reading L G H’s posts and all I got from it was that he was saying: Anglo Saxon is the master race, F Off we’re full and I’m not racist but…. all within a thinly veiled facade of concern about the environment. Then when challenged about it resorted to the tried and tested ‘some if my best friends are foreign, but…’

    That’s about an hour of my life I can’t get back.

  18. 1617
    SirGitOfSmeg

    That’s about an hour of my life I can’t get back.

    I’m sure you’re not alone though must have a lot more patience than most 🙂

  20. The ABC has had enough of Tony:

    Headline:

    Tony Abbott says stopping boats has helped economy towards ‘sustainable surplus’, calls on ABC to talk up economy

    First paragraph:

    Tony Abbott says stopping boats has helped economy towards ‘sustainable surplus’, calls on ABC to talk up economy

    The ABC has finally declared that the Emperor does not have new clothes; he is in his underwear.

  21. Abbott: “… The roads are building..”

    Some time in the past, Abbott uttered this malapropism, and it must have got a laugh in his office, or from some pet bootlickers in NewsCorpse.

    So he now pulls it out each time he recites what a jolly good government he is leading, “the roads are building”, accompanied by a smirk which says “what a clever and witty boy I am”.

  22. Have just watched the Leigh Sales and Tony Abbott interview, did anyone else notice the male cough in the background a couple of times and Tony Abbott immediately stopped talking in mid sentence.Chris U yes??.

    Also the look on Tony’s face at end of interview when he said goodnight, he knew it wasn’t a good interview, seeme to be almost crying.

    Guess Malcolm Turnbull will be on the phone to Mark Scott complaining about the aggressive Leigh Sales :devil:

  24. Evening all.
    A couple of points about the NBN, fraudband:
    * An important performance criteria is upload speeds, if we are to be connected properly upload speeds are important, the Internet with the web as an example were always meant to be peer to peer, with users uploading content.
    * Reliability and consistency of service, one identified source of productivity improvements over the next decade is cloud computing, where businesses rely on always on Internet at a guaranteed quality of service.
    * A true network, with most of the population able to access and afford to use a high minimum level of service, this will allow people to launch new services knowing that they have most of the population as potential customers, rather than having different ‘tiers’ of service.

  25. ‘Tony Abbott says stopping boats has helped economy towards ‘sustainable surplus’, calls on ABC to talk up economy

    The man’s an idiot. Either he believes the crap he talks or he exoects us to.

  26. Re my 1620

    I’m just not concentrating tonight. Utopia was too funny. But not as funny as the actual first paragraph:

    Prime Minister Tony Abbott has called on the ABC to talk up the economy, and shirked questions on key economic indicators by citing the Government’s record on stopping the boats.

  30. Just watched the 7:30 interview, Sales was much better than previously,
    I may be being charitable, but when Abbott was launching into his mantras, Sales was working under give him enough rope principle.
    Abbott looked completely out of his depth and importantly other Liberals would think the same.
    He really cannot get away from his 3 word slogans from 2010 and 2013.

  31. SirGitOfSmeg@1617

    Briefly,

    I’m a bit troubled that I just spent so much time reading L G H’s posts and all I got from it was that he was saying: Anglo Saxon is the master race, F Off we’re full and I’m not racist but…. all within a thinly veiled facade of concern about the environment. Then when challenged about it resorted to the tried and tested ‘some if my best friends are foreign, but…’

    That’s about an hour of my life I can’t get back.

    Obviously you have not heard of cccp.

    To use the Crikey Clear Comment Preview script, install in order:
    Firefox
    Greasemonkey
    cccp
    or:
    Google Chrome
    Tampermonkey

    cccp

  33. Utopia is brilliant, preceded by possibly the worst programme on TV, How Not To Behave. Best and worse of ABC on the same night.

    Might catch Tones if he was that good.

  37. Leigh Sales was certainly not being friendly in that interview.

    She did the whole talking at the same time as Abbott was.

    Even the ok at the end was I know you are not going to answer and the viewers do too.

  38. Sales did much better. I think women would find Abbott very menacing in person, and possibly Sales did in her previous interview in his office. I suspect it was a bit like visiting a serial killer in prison, you know they can’t get to you but they are seriously scary to be near.

  41. That look on tony’s face at the end of the interview. It was a shocker and he knew it.

    All that was left was for Sales to ask how a 15% GST might apply to a birthday cake

  42. guytaur #1637

    Leigh Sales was certainly not being friendly in that interview.

    Oh dear! Malcolm certainly won’t like that!

    Communications Minister Malcolm Turnbull has come under fire after he advised two of the ABC’s most prominent journalists to adopt a “less aggressive” style of interviewing while defending them against accusations they are biased.

    In a rare appearance on Network Ten’s The Bolt Report, hosted by conservative columnist Andrew Bolt, Mr Turnbull described budget interviews by Lateline’s Emma Alberici and 7.30’s Leigh Sales as “very aggressive” and recommended a “more forensic” approach.

    http://www.smh.com.au/entertainment/tv-and-radio/less-aggressive-malcolm-turnbulls-advice-for-abc-journalists-leigh-sales-and-emma-alberici-20150517-gh3f7f.html#ixzz3lF70ftVC

  43. Show unsurprisement

    Peter van Onselen
    Peter van Onselen – Verified account ‏@vanOnselenP

    @StupidLaborVote nah I’ll be advocating for the govt getting a second term. Bc I think govts need two terms. They have been disappointing
    1:55 AM – 9 Sep 2015
    1 RETWEET2 FAVORITES

  50. “@esseeeayeenn: That was a horrific train wreck of an interview.
    Tony didn’t even mention the Grocery Code of Conduct once.
    @abc730 #auspol”

Comments Page 33 of 35
1 … 32 33 34 35

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *