The latest fortnightly result from Roy Morgan finds Labor improving from an unusually weak result last time, their primary vote up two points to 38% with the Coalition down two to 38.5%. The Greens and Palmer United are both down half a point, to 12% and a new low of 1% respectively. However, the respondent-allocated two-party result is steady at 53-47, the preference flow evidently being less favourable to Labor compared with a fortnight ago, and the shift on 2013 preference flows is also rather modest, from 53-47 to 54-46. As usual, the poll was conducted over two weekends by face-to-face and SMS, the sample on this occasion being 3314. I believe this and the regular Essential poll are the only federal polling we’ll be seeing this week.
UPDATE (Essential Research): The only change in Essential Research’s voting intention numbers this week are a one point gain for the Greens to 11% and a one point drop for Palmer United to 1%, leaving Labor on 39%, the Coalition on 41% and Labor’s two-party lead at 52-48. Further questions have been framed with the looming budget in mind, the most striking finding being that 56% believe the Coalition’s policies favour the rich over the “average Australian” (20%), with Labor scoring a fairly balanced response over the available options. Relatedly, it is anticipated that the budget will be good for the well off (49% good, 9% bad) and business (32% good, 17% bad), but very bad for everybody else and for the economy overall (19% good, 33% bad). Eighty-two per cent of respondents signed on to the proposition that “some companies” and “some wealthy people” didn’t pay their fair share of tax. Out of seven listed economic issues, the cost of living rated highest as an issue of concern (87%) with the national debt and budget deficit tied for last place (63%). Opinion on the latest Iraq commitment is fairly evenly balanced, with 40% approval and 44% disapproval.
Confessions
Indeed.
Financial advisers and planners get a lot of flak and some deserve it but maybe through good luck more than anything I found someone who I have faith in and has done well for me.
I don’t know what life stage you are at but in my limited experience in its never too early to start talking to someone.
Bugger! they have my area down for FTTN not starting until Q3 2016.
🙁
So, thats after the next election and will probably get held up with an incoming ALP Govt trying to get us back to the better plan of FTTH. I hate the tories.
Plus they’ll be living in Labor electorates/Western Sydney and were faithful Labor voters, but are now going to vote coalition.
guytaur
Thank Google and lots of practice in searching for information in all sorts of books , documents and the intertubes etc.
Imacca
My suburb has no date …
rossmcg:
I’ve always thought financial advisers were for people my parents age, but I guess it makes sense to start thinking about retirement sooner than later.
imacca:
I got excited recently because I saw in the local paper stories and adverts announcing the arrival of the NBN to our town. I posted here to that effect, only to be informed by someone more knowledgeable about the matter that the current NBN isn’t actually the NBN as it was originally intended, but some lesser, watered down version of.
I can’t recall precisely what it was, but something about using the existing copper network, meaning speeds are considerably slower than originally planned when the copper network would be replaced. Or something like that anyways.
Confessions
I did my best saving after age 50, coincidentally the age at which I had to split my assets with my ex.
Good advice then proved worth its weight in gold.
You probably don’t need $1.7 million at retir Kent if you think of it as an annuity. You can reduce the capital over time as well.
How did spell check change retirement into retire Kent? 🙁
And that in Murdoch Media and Shoutbackradioland it will become “class warfare” and the “politics of envy”.
fess:
FTTN (fibre to the node) means that they have the fiber to a cabinet on the street, and from there use the existing copper to get the connection to your house.
Its capable of much better speeds than current ADSL, but only over a short distance, over good copper (lol!), and the cabinet on the street requires power supply. It is also has VASTLY MUCH less upgrade capability for speed simply because of its nature (using the copper).
FTTH (fibre to the home) does not require power to the street cabinets and needs far fewer street cabinets anyway. It will easily do faster speeds over longer distances and there are already well trodden upgrade paths, some of which merely require software upgrades (not requiring equipment upgrade as with FTTN) for fibre. Because its fibre such a network also has MUCH less in the way of maintenance costs and it is argued that it is more survivable in a disaster like a flood.
The Libs “multi technology” rollout is, in years to come, going to be seen as one of the great infrastructure complete and utter unmitigated fwark ups of the 21st century.
imacca
NBN has no plan yet for my area.
Poroti
All the ingredients are there for a Tory scare campaign.
It’s sort of ironic that they are so intent of protecting wealthy retirees.
As Keating is fond of reminding anyone who asks, Howard and Costello and their mates fought tooth and nail against his plans. He was the devil incarnate and compulsory superannuation to road to ruin.
Then they came to power and turned it into a rort for the wealthy
Looks like Israel is leading the way down the Australian path.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2015/04/21/israel-deported-them-then-isis-cut-off-their-heads.html
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2015/04/21/israel-deported-them-then-isis-cut-off-their-heads.html
Along with regressing our country’s response to AGW. I’m sure there’ll be plenty others by the time their period in office concludes.
Tim Wilson on The Drum bounded into the discussion saying ‘whatever you call it, it’s a TAX’. So there you go. It must be comforting to have a single thought stream that you can bring to bear on any subject.
If the Super proposals don’t get them scaremongering then this sure as hell will.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/shadow-treasurer-chris-bowen-flags-labor-intention-to-wind-back-negative-gearing-20150422-1mqpu7.html
Holy crap! That will set the reactionaries aflutter!
I didn’t think Labor was pretending it wasn’t a tax.
poroti,
Good to see the tax conversation has crashed and died without getting off the ground.
The answer to conservatives is that there is a group in our society getting a free ride. Time for those that can afford to contribute more to start pulling their weight.
You might even invoke the concept of “leaners and lifters’ to support the case.
zoomster
Tim Wilson has his own unique take on the world 😉
http://www.abc.net.au/radionational/programs/latenightlive/what-anzac-day-overlooks/6409722
Has this been posted?
Plus the real prospect of a GST increase and broadening to fund further company tax cuts – all on top of companies moving profits to low tax countries.
All set against a range of services already cut plus the many other cuts that would have been if the Senate had passed them.
Ross
If you are not a bully do not join in pack attacks.
Sorry you may have picked the wrong moment to jump on use of FFS, given I rarely swear and was facing extreme provocation. Not to mention the continued BULLYING by Darren, GG and today it would also seem I must add CTARI to the list. I argue with Briefly and Zoomster but I would not call them bullies (MTBW has cause for concern re Zoomster.
I was hauled over the coals for calling someone a twat but Darren gets away with 5 times now on last count calling me crazy. I am frankly fed up with it and the lack of action by others.
Poor old Kezza was banned but those who behave in the same way if more subtly get spared. At least Kezza had an opinion that was original whereas GG and Darren just spout the recent line from pub or RW factional meeting.
mari
No. Ta for the link. As one of his “poddies” I have been a bit remiss in keeping up with him lately.
Thanks, dtt – but the way I see it, I have cause for concern re MTBW.
Poroti 776
I wouldn’t either , twitter is good for info like this.
Hope you saw my thanks last night for my bagpipe UTube you sent me
Whatever the Liberals and their boosters say, Labor can just point out that the Liberals keep talking about shifting the tax burden to the less well off.
Zoomster
In what regard? I do not bully people as you do.
I don’t think that I am smarter than everybody else on the blog and nor do I ask others to ask to approve of my opinion.
Get over yourself!
Hope not
http://www.theage.com.au/business/the-economy/jobless-rate-headed-for-7-this-year-and-could-go-higher-says-blackrock-20150422-1mqu7q.html
DTT
Pack attack? I mentioned In passing that I found the use of abbreviations for obscenities puzzling.
I made no other comment on what you had written, in fact I barely read your posts but that was in the first line so it was hard to miss.
There are far worse attack dogs on here than I will ever be .
victoria:
As has been noted many times in the past, the only achievement Abbott’s govt can genuinely lay claim to is losing Australians their jobs.
I really, REALLY hope this is a one term govt.
Jordan’s evidence before the Senate committee into tax avoidance was extraordinary.
Two weeks before, when asked to provide unredacted documents to Senator Sam Dastyari’s committee that would identify companies being audited by the Tax Office, the commissioner had drawn back on the brink.
http://www.afr.com/news/policy/tax/how-chris-jordan-turned-the-tables-at-tax-inquiry-20150422-1mqzrh
Shadow treasurer Chris Bowen flags Labor intention to wind back negative gearing
Property speculators will be starving in the street!
fess
Shorten has made the point several times. Hope he continues to hammer it home.
Wtte that Abbott and his govt have wasted two years of everyones time
I don’t think the Liberals can easily defend against that image, when they keep asking other people (business, the states, etc) to run their arguments for them (e.g. on the GST). Given how they shredded their own credibility following the election their protests will ring hollow.
confessions
Plus their “success” in reducing carbon emission growth by way of the cunning plan of seeing the demise of a number of manufacturers.
Ross
Probably a case of bad timing. I have been suffering from a sever attack of Darrenitis, mixed with a dose of GG disease and Ctari.
Would it be too cheeky for him to suggest it’s time for the adults to return to running the country? 😉
poroti:
And even on that front the issue is running away from them with China, India and the US stepping up. Not to mention increasing calls for stronger reduction targets across the globe.
We’re looking like the proverbial shag on a rock with our numpty do-nothing-but-bleat govt.
Thats life for an IPA drone. 🙂
Ah, MTBW, how good of you to prove my point.
Tim Wilson on The Drum bounded into the discussion saying ‘whatever you call it, it’s a TAX’.
So is the GST and the IPA-Murdoch-LNP Coalition want to increase that one.
Mari R @randlight Apr 20
To me, ANZAC spirit means reflecting on horror & carnage of war. Money being spent on ceremonies etc, shd be spent looking after veterans
This condensed version on what Kakuru said and I tweeted last night and was amazed at the huge response has come alive again tonight and seems to be even bigger, from it appears mainly different tweeters, all in agreement, which is even more surprising, only a couple little quibbles as they misread the tweet, but then “came on board”
As I have typed this I see in open window to twitter another 50 notifications are waiting.
imacca
As soon as I heard the “adults in charge” line from the Libs I was OMG!!! We’re doomed. When Dubya Bush won the election that was a line run by the Repugs claiming that the “The adults were back in charge in the White House.” and so all will be good now.
For good reason as it turned out. We have elected our very own antipodean Dubya.
Wonder how much Labor will “Wind back” Negative Gearing, let’s not forget that majority of MPs are investing in Housing so they are and have been deliberately thwarting their own policy.
zoid
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/how-property-investing-politicians-have-skin-in-the-game-on-the-negative-gearing-debate-20150327-1m8s36.html
Although this is admittedly a high number, it isn’t the majority of MPs.
It only takes one or two politicians to screw a policy around to benefit them, Zoomster.
Politics is about them, not us and how much they can screw the little guy around.
It is why there is such trouble with Tories in UK on Housing.