The BludgerTrack poll aggregate records a slight move back to the Coalition this week, which is more to do with the reduced impact of last week’s Newspoll outlier than this week’s ReachTEL and Essential Research results, both of which landed right on trend. The Coalition is up 0.7% on the primary vote, 0.4% on two-party preferred and one on the seat projection, that being in Tasmania, where the Liberals scored strongly in the unpublished ReachTEL breakdown. No new figures for the leadership ratings this week.
guytaur @ 2299 – that would suggest that the govt’s other poll numbers haven’t improved.
ABC radio just reporting that labor still holds commanding lead on 2pp but did not give figure
guytaur@2299
Still leaves 1 in 3 people that approve of Abbott. Think about that the next time you’re in a lift
Re Uni Fee Deregulation – composition of the Senate is likely:
[
For: L/NP + FF + LDC = 35 votes
Against: ALP + Greens + Lambie = 36 votes
Absent: Lazarus
????: X, ex-DLP, Motorist, PUP = 4 votes
]
So its probably gone – Pyne needs 3 of the four undecided to get it through. If the DLP guy is really in thevtradition of Chifley and Curtin he wouldn’t have a bar of it.
As I’ve said before, if any of this abomination is passed, it should include one votal change – defer the start date by two years and let the voters have their say on whether it’s such a great idea.
Work to Rule 2303
‘aint it the truth. The wonder’s that so many people still would vote for Abbott.
[[2304
guytaur
As I’ve said before, if any of this abomination is passed, it should include one votal change – defer the start date by two years and let the voters have their say on whether it’s such a great idea.]
Unfortunately, Abbott is convinced he was elected with a mandate to rip up the social contract. He and the rest of the Liberal Party are absolutely convinced of their own righteousness.
guytaur@2299
It was 36 last time so that doesn’t work. 33 will be his worst since mid-July if confirmed.
Canberra university warns Senate against ‘fraud on the electorate’ over fee deregulation: http://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2014/dec/01/canberra-university-warns-senate-against-on-the-electorate-over-fee-deregulation#comments
KB
The ABC report on Abbott’s ratings , did say it was his worst figures for five months
KB
Yes we will have to wait for confirmation. Always possible I misheard what the 5 pt drop referred to.
steve777 – I saw that. At what point are the regional/non sandstone universities going to realise that that Universities Australia is only interested in promoting the neo-liberal interests of the Group of Eight?
Very late for Newspoll to be published, if it is going to published tonight…
It’s weird that the ABC has it… and no one else.
Someone has scrapped a barnacle and the thing leaked to the ABC
If you want the transcript of the ABC report. Tony Delroy Nightlife What the papers say 11:30 pm. If too long a wait for News to publish.
Strange days indeed when Newspoll results appear on the ABC before they appear in The Australian!
Tony Delroy Nightlife “What the papers say” has been giving poll previews for ages, every time they discuss what’s on all the front pages, usually with staffers from each paper. Its just that usually someone else has got it first here or on twitter, so no one notices.
jeffemu@2314
Can’t they use any of that efficiency dividend to get it to market?
Where’s the bloody Ghost or that James character. It is way past this old farts bedtime and I am getting tired.
jeffemu – right with you – i give up – night all
Usually when I wait up this late for a poll I end up disappointed! Abbott’s approval down is positive though. Yes where’s James?
I am giving it to 12:30
I am not sure of publishing times for Morning Papers online
[TONY Abbott’s approval rating has dropped to a five-month low and Labor continues to hold a substantial two-party-preferred lead over the Coalition, despite the Prime Minister yesterday insisting this year had been one of “very considerable achievement” by his government.
The latest Newspoll, conducted exclusively for The Australian at the weekend, shows the government and the opposition are tied on a primary vote of 37 per cent. Bill Shorten retained his lead as better prime minister, as satisfaction with Mr Abbott’s performance fell for the fourth consecutive survey.
Mr Abbott’s stocks fell three points to 33 per cent in the past fortnight and tumbled by eight points since reaching a high mark of 41 per cent in mid-September when there was strong support for his handling of foreign affairs issues including his response to the downing of Malaysia Airlines flight MH17.]
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/tony-abbotts-approval-rating-on-the-slide-newspoll/story-e6frg6n6-1227141412133
Maybe the poll is hidden in fine print on page 15 or so…
Tables:
http://resources.news.com.au/files/2014/12/01/1227141/405992-141202newspoll.pdf
The infidels – release the poll.
So it’s 54-46
No 2PP, but someone who is esp interested can calculate that, yeah?
http://resources.news.com.au/files/2014/12/01/1227141/405992-141202newspoll.pdf
Re post 2304. Why is Lazarus absent?
Sorry, looks like 54-46.
Ho hum.
TPP is on the table confessions
Darn – Lazarus is apparently in hospital.
Lazarus was taken to hospital with kidney stone problems Darn.
Thank you confessions
Newspoll story in the Australian: http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/tony-abbotts-approval-rating-on-the-slide-newspoll/story-fn59niix-1227141412133
Can someone wake up Work To Rule and let him know the poll result.
The Liberals are making a comeback!
COAL 37
ALP 37
Grns 13
Other 13
PPM [BS] 43-36 [TA]
Abbott 33-57 net -24
Shorten 39-43 net -4
Thanks Jimmy and Jeffemu.
Let’s hope Abbott doesn’t get his pox legislation through because someone was carted off to hospital.
cud chewer – it’s the narrowing.
Polls have flatlined to quote Robb
What party is lazarus?
Darn
Pair provided
This is the second consecutive newspoll where Shorten has led Abbott on PPM.
Darn – Pardon my ignorance at this stage, but how was Laz and the other PUP intending to vote.
New thread.
Thanks Guytaur. Never thought of that.
jeffemu – PUP have been saying they’ll vote against uni deregulation, but Palmer has shown in the past you cannot trust what he says.
If PUP decide to oppose Uni Fee Deregulation, then assuming that Lambie and Muir vote against, Mr Lazarus’ absence won’t make any difference.
If the PUPs roll over as is their form, assuming that Lambie opposes and Muir supports, Mr Lazrus’ absence means Pyne still needs one more (X or Madigan, assuming that Leyonhjelm and Day support).