Tomorrow’s Courier-Mail carries results of a Galaxy poll of federal voting intention in Queensland, going off the same sample as yesterday’s state poll, and it’s the first of four such polls since the election to show Labor in front. Labor’s 51-49 lead on two-party preferred represents an 8% swing from last year’s federal election, and a three-point shift to Labor from the previous result in February. It also sits well with the current reading from BludgerTrack, suggesting serious problems for the government in what may be the most important state in the country in terms of marginal seats. Primary votes and such to follow shortly. UPDATE: The primary votes are 38% for the Coalition, 36% for Labor, 8% for the Greens and 12% for Palmer United. The poll also finds 36% believe the Abbott government has lived up to expectations, down nine points since February, 56% believe it has performed below them, up nine points, and 4% believe it has been better, down two.
UPDATE (Essential Research): The regular weekly result from Essential Research has both major parties down a point on the primary vote, to 40% for the Coalition and 38% for Labor, and the two main minor parties up one, the Greens to 9% and Palmer United to 6%. Labor gains a point on two-party preferred to lead 52-48. Further questions find a remarkable 43% saying the government should respond to its budget difficulties by calling an election, the breakdowns for party support suggesting this mostly bespeaks a desire to get rid of the government rather than secure the passage of its budget. Thirty-eight per cent say they would rather a new budget be introduced, including a majority among Coalition supporters. I’m not sure if the availability of only two options together with “don’t know” succeeds in capturing the full range of opinion on the subject.
Other questions find opinion on the state of the economy little changed since April, with a good rating of 37% (down one) and a poor rating of 26% (up two), but more thinking it headed in the wrong direction, up seven to 41% with “right direction” down four to 35%. Concern about job losses is up a point to 58%, with the “not at all concerned” response up three to 32%. Twenty-one per cent say the impact of the budget on employment will be good versus 49% for bad. Sixty per cent disapprove of sending troops to Iraq versus 28% who approve, and 36% believe current spending on anti-terrorism measures is about right, compared with 28% who want more and 19% who want less.
In my view the important “swinging” voters that Abbott is trying to hold on to – socially conservative working class voters – hates his budget and loves his racism – and they love Clive Palmer!
Think Big
How does Sweden deal with an a suspect located in a non European country like Australia?
guytaur
If they have an extradition treaty with that country, then they apply for extradition.
All countries have problems trying to extradite people from countries they don’t have treaties with, which is why Australia has been unable to prosecute some in the past.
That doesn’t point to a flaw in the legal system.
zoomster
The extradition process from Australia to other countries is different to the one the EU has amongst member countries.
The point being Sweden would have different processes in place for these countries that it has to deal with and the excuse of arrest before charging problem would be the same and has not come up to my knowledge before.
It seems to be a quirk with the EU system that the UK parliament has legislated to fix in the future in its jurisdiction
Let’s hope this is not jihad related. The presence and record of drugs use suggests maybe not. I’m hoping the ‘mud maps’ are to do with where to deliver/pick up drugs and the bombs are for inter-gang rivalry. this won’t stop the media making it sound like crazed muslims for awhile and give abbott’s xenophobia a boost – I can even imagine him and his commentators saying ‘on this occasion it wasn’t terrorists, but it shows the need to be vigilant against those who do not want to join team australia. abbott’s best chance of re-election might be some home grown terrorism.
and the relevant link
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/aug/15/resident-of-brisbane-chemical-cache-house-using-stolen-identity-say-reports
Sustainable future
The guy behind the cache of explosives is Daniel Fing. Apparently 7 years ago he was convicted of using explosives to blow up the car of either his ex girlfriend, or her boyfriend. Sounds like a nutjob
The yanks sure know how to deploy a police vehicle – this from the Ferguson kerfuffle
@KiaJD: Who do they think they’re fighting?RT @JustinnLamar Son, WTF!?! We didn’t equip our MRAP’s like this in Afghanistan! http://t.co/Ez9qdN6Jhw
Paddy O
His ‘dam’ is a copy of the Mosul one.
Built on a Gypsum soil base (water soluble!) and requiring concrete being pumped into the cracks from Day 1.
Sf
Found article
http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland/pullenvale-explosives-home-contained-terror-maps-reports-20140819-105luo.html
I found this article from 2012. We could ask Abbott if fhe Fing family are on Team Australia
http://newsstore.fairfax.com.au/apps/viewDocument.ac;jsessionid=2F42DAC53DF309359EF1CD408153F51E?sy=afr&pb=all_ffx&dt=selectRange&dr=1month&so=relevance&sf=text&sf=headline&rc=10&rm=200&sp=brs&cls=472&clsPage=1&docID=NCH120321787JJ6P5JKP
Article from 2007 re Daniel Fing
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2007-08-22/spurned-lover-admits-to-nsw-car-bombing/647050
Funny how Palmer is under fire for his racist comments. After all it was Brandis who told all and sundry that everyone has the right to be a bigot
Hilarious, Victoria.
guytaur
well, it appears the Swedish system operates perfectly well despite your ignorance of it, and that they have had no trouble getting extradition orders in the past – and indeed, have had no trouble getting one in Assange’s case.
As has been already pointed out, the changes to the UK law do not preclude Sweden successfully expediting someone without charge in the future.
I do encourage you to read the article I’ve now linked to twice – being ignorant is never a good look.
Kakuru
Abbott and Co are so hilariously hypocritical on a daily basis. Comedy capers comes to mind
zoomster
Yeah I am ignorant and the UK changing their law is a figment of my imagination.
Not much change in Essential:
52 ALP (+1)
48 LNP (-1)
Primary LNP 40 (-1), ALP 38 (-1), Greens 9 (+1), PUP 6 (+1)
Josh Taylor @joshgnosis 3m
Oh dear, Border Security. http://www.tvtonight.com.au/2014/08/dear-border-security-this-is-not-helpful-either.html … pic.twitter.com/5YzkKvMYsq
Dear Border Security, this is “not helpful” either.
By David Knox on August 19, 2014 / Filed Under News 0
http://www.tvtonight.com.au/2014/08/dear-border-security-this-is-not-helpful-either.html
zoid
Snap 🙂
vic
Unusual surname, to say the least.
So Essential Poll is using random number generator?
*face-palm*
newmatilda @newmatilda 3m
Sloppy Joe Backs Away from Apology, Uses Boat Metaphor To Ram Home Point: Joe Hockey was “really, genuinely so… http://bit.ly/1rQEF8n
zoidlord:
The khaki effect seems to be wearing off.
victoria:
The Abbott government is a caricature.
…and remember Parliament resumes on Monday. I think we’ll see the Government’s numbers slide backwards pretty quickly.
LNP primary numbers will be back in the 30s soon enough
Ellis starts well. I think he loses the plot about whe he starts talking of Palmer telling the GG to call an election
http://www.independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/qa-and-the-palmer-method,6790
good! let’s hope he’s a one-time/current/pre-selected member of the LNP – it’s the natural home of tea party nut-jobs.
Can I still have a bet on some commentators/politicans linking this to a ‘risk of home grown jihadists’? (with the replacement of ‘booga, booga,booga’ scary noise with their preferred ‘musso, musso, musso’).
According to Essential 60% disapprove of sending troops to Iraq, vs 28% approve.
The LNP should stop using metaphors. They only show how little they understand.
43% want a new election if the govt can’t get its budget through parliament, vs 38% saying start over with a new budget.
Fascinating.
Abbott will not bring the budget legislation to parliament in the first week – in fact, he’ll probably have to go overseas for part of the week. The order of business will be ‘1. Condolences for MH17 and legislation to pay compensation to families’ 2. anti-terror legislation 3. something to do with boats, 4. something to do with power prices. 5. some other bullshit abbott will decide as a distraction – e.g. national sucker punch legislation, etc.etc.’, 6. media ownership laws and bill to have 4-corners and media watch done by andrew Bolt and Gerard Henderson; 7. maybe some sort of national political donations laws (‘don’t ask, don’t tell’) and an amnesty for any federal NSW PM with seats to the north of sydney and the initials JH or AA/TA that are going to have to face difficult questions about siphoning developers’ money from federal fund raising to state campaigns.
‘fess
The 28% are most likely aged between 13 and 15.
confessions@233
43% + 38% = 81%
Does that leave a mere 19% either happy with the budget or undecided?
not a very ‘Team Australia’ name.
confessions @ 233
Buyer’s remorse is winning. 🙂
Is this why Scott tried a good news stunt?
CTar:
Incidentally, but unsurprisingly the party split on that Iraq question is 39% of the approves vote coalition.
“@ABCNews24: #BREAKING: Police in PNG have arrested and charged two suspects for the murder of Iranian asylum seeker Reza Barati #asylumseekers”
CT
I think onomastic scholars would have a field day studying how someone with the surname Fing turned out to be a nutter.
sf
To be a true Aussie you need to ad ‘Maattee’ here above after name.
Just Me:
Here’s hoping.
Incidentally, and again unsurprisingly, on the budget question, the party split shows 19% of those who want a new election vote coalition. Vs 67% of Labor voters, 52% Greens and 55% vote other. 😀
Dio
Are these people who study people who eat laundry detergent?
No thats omotastic. 😆
Ouch
rua – Thanks.
Dio (the rotten bastard) was confusing me.
Diogenes@247
So, what vicarious liability attaches to Morrison?
That idiot Dutton:
Its NOT free, d*ckhead. We pay for it through a progressive taxation system called the medicare levy.
This makes it universal, progressive, and far more efficient than private provision.
You want to mess with it because its so successful, and completely exposes all your brainless hokey neoliberal ideoligical canards as the guff they are.
FFS media – next time this Tory shitstain open his brainless yap to say “FREE”, pull him up on it. Because he’s bullshitting you and the public. Im pretty sure you paid your medicare levy last year, working journo. So did Joe Public.