Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor

The latest fortnightly Newspoll records a post-MH17 improvement in Tony Abbott’s personal ratings, but no dividend on voting intention.

Stephen Murray tweets that the fortnightly Newspoll in tomorrow’s Australian shows no change on two-party preferred, with Labor maintaining its lead of 54-46, and next to no change on the primary vote, with the Coalition steady on 36%, Labor down one to 36%, the Greens up one to 12% and others steady on 16%. However, Tony Abbott is up five on approval to 36% and down seven on disapproval to 53%, and has drawn level on preferred prime minister at 38-38 after Bill Shorten led 41-36 a fortnight ago. Bill Shorten’s personal ratings are also improved, his approval up four to 38% and disapproval down two to 41%.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,361 comments on “Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor”

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  1. mtbw

    What is ironic is that Abbott and some of his colleagues were educated in jesuit schools. The mantra of the jesuits is social justice.

    This article in the Oz last year is interesting

    [AUSTRALIA has just four schools under the care of the Jesuits: St Ignatius, Riverview, and St Aloysius in Sydney; Xavier in Melbourne; and St Ignatius, Athelstone, in Adelaide. Yet in the present parliament, the prime minister-elect, Tony Abbott, and the leader-in-waiting of the Nationals and hence the deputy prime minister-in-waiting, Barnaby Joyce, are Riverview old boys.]

    http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/jesuit-old-boys-now-our-leaders/story-fn59niix-1226718806547

  2. vic

    Abbott may have no choice if they keep going on the way they are.

    Where is Sir John Kerr when you really need him and yes I know he is dead 👿

  3. Well the whole respect our mandate quote tells us that there is still no negotiations going on between PUP and the LIbs.

    I am not expecting too much change to happen from Hockey trying to win Lambie’s vote this afternoon with this as background.

  8. [ poroti

    Posted Thursday, July 31, 2014 at 11:42 am | Permalink

    Scholarship is only one criteria for getting a Rhodes Scholarship. Good contacts and references from the right sort of chaps testifying to your “awesomeness” in the other criteria are a big help. Especially in the old days.

    Rhodes’ legacy specified four standards by which applicants were to be judged:

    -Literary and scholastic attainments;

    -Energy to use one’s talents to the fullest, as exemplified by fondness for and success in sports;

    -Truth, courage, devotion to duty, sympathy for and protection of the weak, kindliness, unselfishness and fellowship;

    -Moral force of character and instincts to lead, and to take an interest in one’s fellow beings.
    ]

    ————————————————

    Not too sure about the first two criteria ….. but from what we know about him now , he would definitely get an *F* on the second two …..

  10. Unbelievable – absolutely no mention of SUPER BACKFLIP:

    [PRIME Minister Tony Abbott would like Russian president Vladimir Putin to attend the G20 leaders summit despite continued frustrations over the MH17 disaster.

    THE suspected downing of the Malaysia Airlines plane by Russian-backed rebels has sparked calls for President Putin to be banned from the Brisbane meeting in November.

    But Mr Abbott believes it would be better Russia that attended the high-profile gathering.

    “I would like to be in a position for him to continue to attend,” he told Fairfax Radio on Thursday, noting it was still four months away.

    “There will no doubt be a lot of water flow under the bridge between now and November.” ]

    http://www.news.com.au/national/breaking-news/better-that-russia-attend-g20-abbott/story-e6frfku9-1227008399457

  11. I should mention there is another jesuit school in Melbourne. My children have attended same.

    The focus of their education has been social justice. It seems so far removed from what Abbott and Co are all about

  12. Palmer is smart. He wants a DD. He has told the MSM failed budget is a good reason. The MSM will have no choice but to conclude the failed budget with blocking in the Senate.

    Thus Palmer opens the way for the MSM to write how we need a DD to rescue the nation from a failed budget.

  15. [ The focus of their education has been social justice. It seems so far removed from what Abbott and Co are all about ]

    We shouldn’t forget that Abbott is a failed jesuit. Just as he is a failure at most everything else.

  16. Re Daretotread @1215: unfortunately the pernicious doctrine of neoliberalism (and it is a ‘doctrine’) has taken root in the Anglosphere and it will probably take another major depression (which the grip that neoliberalism has on the West makes more likely) to expunge it. Neoliberalism is a far greater threat to the prosperity and welfare of the great majority of Australians than communism ever was.

  17. K17

    Perhaps Peter Mac were alert to the scam.

    When you think of it, the guts of the deed was “we’ll drop the back pay claim and you keep our workers employment secure”.

    Now why would a union organiser go along with this.

    $250K might be sufficient encouragement.

    Is Peter Mac the same as Thiess ……. a willing contributor to slush funds for the sake of industrial peace?

  19. Psyclaw

    It was ever thus … Corruption requires two parties.

    Norm Gallagher went to jail, can somebody refresh my memory as to what happened to the builders who bought him off?

  26. Rat Richo explains why he transferred $1m from his Swiss bank account to an associate of Eddie Obeid in Lebanon. The money in the account alleged proceeds of the torching of Offset Alpine premises for insurance payout.

    [“I don’t know the name so I can’t confirm that,” Richardson told the authors. ‘‘If I did that, it was under the instructions of ReneRivkin.’’]

    Is Richo in trouble? Or is the protection afforded by his new master Murdoch sufficient cover?

    http://www.afr.com/p/national/did_graham_richardson_send_to_the_FEmQClHq5kx2rnffIsuE1K

  29. Sarah Palin reveals the truth about Gaza in video for her online news channel

    WHEN it comes to dissecting and understanding serious world events and an issue as complicated as Gaza, Sarah Palin’s got it covered. Apparently.

    And to help the rest of us get a grip on the situation Ms Palin has kindly released a nine-minute ramble on the truth about the war in Israel.

    http://www.news.com.au/world/north-america/sarah-palin-reveals-the-truth-about-gaza-in-video-for-her-online-news-channel/story-fnh81jut-1227008397811

  31. My Brother in Law has lost his job as a Boiler-maker at a company making components for Submarine Corp. He is a fantastic employee (ex RAAF) but the jobs are gone. Thanks arskehole Abbott. (BIL would not have voted for LP).

  32. I must say I agree with this article:
    Festival of Disney Diggers no way to honour fallen
    [As the commemoration countdown of the Anzac centenary begins – those who don’t like crass commercialism should take cover.]
    I have become increasingly uneasy over the years at the way in which the memory of our soldiers in WWI & WWII has been manipulated and distorted.
    [Beyond the distasteful marketing, what’s wrong with mixing entertainment and commemoration?

    James Brown, a former army officer, argues it’s “entirely fitting and proper” to commemorate the war, but he’s repulsed by the way “Anzac is being bottled, stamped and sold”.

    Australia will spend $625 million on the centenary – 200 per cent more than Britain, he says in his recent book, Anzac’s Long Shadow: The Cost of Our National Obsession.

    Once, we honoured our war dead with silent contemplation. Now, he says, “we’re about to embark on a four-year festival for the dead which in some cases looks like a military Halloween”.]
    I couldn’t agree more.

  33. If my BIL has no job in a trade for which I know employers were begging for employees, how the hell is anyone with less qualifications going to get a job in SA even with 40 applications per month?

  35. Bemused,
    I agree.

    I read an interesting article a couple of years ago about how the AFL, RSL and the Federal government are using football to promote the Defence Force, and the AFL is using ANZAC Day /ADF to promote their commercial product.

    I look on the AFL/ADF exploitation of ANZAC Day with total distaste.

  43. [Bill Shorten ‏@billshortenmp 3m
    Saturday marks 1 year since @cpyne’s lie that @LiberalAus were on a ‘unity ticket’ with @AustralianLabor on #Gonski ]

  44. poroti @ 1330

    [What Bundeskanzlerin Angela Merkel was working on before MH17 and may still be.]

    No, that is not the way to deal with Russia. You have to stand up to Putin and abuse him at every turn, call him a murderer and other inflammatory things to get his attention and frightened him with your belligerence.

    Mutti Merkel is obviously a raw beginner in international affairs, particularly when it comes to Russia. She should study the master, our Tony Abbott.

  45. The Anzac Day thing really bothers my mother. She lived through WWII and knew plenty of people who died in it, fortunately none close family.

    She asks every year, why is it like this now? she remembers the era when it was a day for a March and remembering. Now it is a day for the media to try and make money.

    I blame Bob Hawke. He took veterans back to Gallipoli, I think for the 70th anniversary and it turned into a media extravaganza.

    Then Anzac Day became into an excuse for Aussie backpackers from all over Europe to gather at Gallipoli and honour the fallen by getting pissed.

    Nobody knew better than Howard how to wrap yourself in the flag and so if has grown.

    I like Keating’s approach, he has never been to Gallipoli and declares he never will.

  46. Re Raaraa @1265: the PM’s daughter is given a ‘chairman’s scholarship’ to a private college. The scholarship is of a type that no one at the college had heard of, is not advertised, cannot be applied for and the award of which is kept secret. The PM doesn’t declare it on his register of interests. The head of the college is a major donor to the PM’s party. And shortly after winning government a change of education policy that greatly benefits private colleges.

    Where are the screaming headlines? Imagine if something similar had happened with PM Rudd or PM Gillard.

    And even assuming good faith on Abbott’s part and a genuine memory lapse when it came to his register of interests, what sort of drongo would think there wasn’t a problem with accepting this award?

    I note in passing that the value of the scholarship is worth 20 times that of a certain bottle of wine. Certainly worth a few questions in Parliament. Or maybe hounding someone to the verge of a mental breakdown, as happened a couple of times in the last Federal Parliament.

  47. [I am sure St Ignatius is weeping!]

    Meanwhile, a goodly proportion of Labor front benchers came from St. Pat’s Strathfield. Sons of solid Catholic trades people.

    Alas, a goodly proportion of those up before the beak and/or mentioned in despatches at ICAC came from St. Pat’s too. One small saving grace was that Counsel Assisting ICAC also called St. Pat’s his alma mater.

    This only serves to prove that St. Pat’s has produced a healthy balance – in life as in virtue – between those making the laws and those breaking them.

    Around the late 1980s the Christian Brothers disappeared from the St. Pat’s campus, to be entirely replaced by lay teachers. Now only sports pavilions and toilet blocks bear the names of those called to the brotherly vocation.

    What I put it down to is the “pre-Brothers” and “post-Brothers” divide. While most “pre-Brothers” St. Pat’s old boys have abandoned the technical practice of Catholicism, they were well-schooled in its ethics and tenets. Some things stay with you forever. These are mostly Labor supporters, or MPs.

    For those who received a non-religious education at St. Pat’s there seems to be only ICAC, Burwood Magistrates Court, or careers as spivs in the Liberal Party on offer.

  49. rossmcg:

    [I like Keating’s approach, he has never been to Gallipoli and declares he never will.]

    I remember Keating saying this. I also remember agreeing wholeheartedly.

    These pilgrimages to old battle sites remind me too much of the way medieval Christian pilgrims used to head to holy sites to look at holy relics. A rather tawdry tourist industry grew up around that too.

    Anzac Day could be better spent trying to establish peace in the present rather than commemorating wars of the past.

  50. rossmcg@1345

    The Anzac Day thing really bothers my mother. She lived through WWII and knew plenty of people who died in it, fortunately none close family.

    She asks every year, why is it like this now? she remembers the era when it was a day for a March and remembering. Now it is a day for the media to try and make money.

    I blame Bob Hawke. He took veterans back to Gallipoli, I think for the 70th anniversary and it turned into a media extravaganza.

    Then Anzac Day became into an excuse for Aussie backpackers from all over Europe to gather at Gallipoli and honour the fallen by getting pissed.

    Nobody knew better than Howard how to wrap yourself in the flag and so if has grown.

    I like Keating’s approach, he has never been to Gallipoli and declares he never will.

    My mother lost an uncle killed by an accidental rifle discharge during the Cowra breakout round-up. Other than that, my family was unscathed physically although I think my father carried some mental scars.

    Yes, Gallipoli has been altered from a place I might have once gone to for quiet reflection to some kind of a bogan festival with booze and flag wearing.

    When in Singapore I did make a point of going to the Kranji war cemetery and found myself shedding a quiet tear.

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