This week’s Essential Research result ticks back a point to the Coalition on two-party preferred, who now trail by 52-48, from primary votes of 39% for both the Coalition and Labor (respectively up one and down one), with the Greens and Palmer United steady on 9% and 6%. Other findings:
• Perceptions of the Senate balance of power have not changed since last year, with 32% thinking it best when the government has a majority (up one), 25% favouring independents and minor parties holding the balance of power (up one), 8% preferring the opposition holding the balance of power (down two), 7% saying it doesn’t matter, and 28% saying they don’t know.
• Perceptions of the present situation are likewise unchanged on immediately after the election, with 36% thinking the micro-parties good for democracy (steady), 28% bad (up two) and 15% opting for makes no difference (down two).
• Twenty-seven per cent would sooner the Greens hold the balance of power versus 22% for Palmer United, with 34% saying no difference.
Other inquiries relate to respondents’ retirement and superannuation arrangements. Another polling nugget to emerge yesterday was a ReachTEL result commissioned by the Electrical Trades Union showing Queensland Treasurer Tim Nicholls facing a 13% swing in his affluent Brisbane seat of Clayfield, but nonetheless leading 57-43 on two-party preferred.
UPDATE (ReachTEL): The Seven Network this evening brings us a ReachTEL automated phone poll of national voting intention, as it does one a month or so, conducted to gauge reaction to Tony Abbott’s handling of the MH17 disaster. The poll shows a slight tick to the Coalition, which now trails 52-48 from primary votes of 36% for the Liberals, apparently not including the Coalition (up one); 37% for Labor (down one); 10% for the Greens (steady); and 8% for Palmer United (up one). Abbott scores strong ratings for his handling of MH17, being rated very good or good by 51%, satisfactory by 26% and poor or very poor by 23%.
[A bigger portion doesn’t think it makes a difference otherwise.]
Yes, but presumably only ALP supporters are largely split between Greens, PUP and Don’t Care.
I’m sure there’d be a chunk of LNP that Don’t Care but I’d be a bit surprised if a fairly solid majority didn’t say PUP.
[The confusing part is that another question ask if they prefer a Senate majority or not.]
I did find 31% in favour of a government majority to be higher than I’d have expected although it’s largely driven by a fairly strong LNP preference. It is interesting to think if some of these would tend on principle to say Don’t Care to the preference question, even if they had a definite ideological leaning.
[ rossmcg
Posted Tuesday, July 22, 2014 at 5:19 pm | Permalink
Rua
Thanks again. Doesn’t look like a place people should be kept 21 hours a day for three weeks
Maximum security gaol is probably better.
]
—————————————————
Nah … send them to a “soft option” – like Abu Ghraib
I think the 157 people on an Australian Customs Ship with no way of swimming home must be transferred to CI.
Problem is this busts a hole in OS Bullshit. The Minister for Denying the Sun shines during the day would have to accept every boat from India. Making his QT screeching all but redundant.
Or I wonder if Scott is thinking of keeping the 157 on the OP until 2016 when customs will cease to lease it. Problem solved – er sorry we forgot to tell you about the additional crew.
Did someone report that Lambie claims not to have been in a relationship for eleven years?
That is difficult to comprehend.
Rua
With Morrison anything is possible
Boerwar
Why?
Boewar
With Lambie anything is possible
[Boerwar
Why?]
x2
Bounce for the Monkey as predicted courtesy of MH17.
His popularity just had to improve – not good!
[ Boerwar
Posted Tuesday, July 22, 2014 at 5:31 pm | Permalink
Did someone report that Lambie claims not to have been in a relationship for eleven years?
That is difficult to comprehend.
]
————————————————
Boerwar – I’ve got a $100 voucher from National Hearing Care and a $50 voucher from Specsavers … I’ll send them on to you ….
[Did someone report that Lambie claims not to have been in a relationship for eleven years?]
It depends how she defines ‘relationship’.
HoJo positioning himself as the voice of reason
[“The Russians have said they will co-operate with all this – let’s find out if they are fair dinkum or not,” Mr Hockey told Sky News while on an official visit to New Zealand.
“Rarely are great things achieved by excluding people from the conversation,” he said]
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/jul/22/mh17-un-backs-resolution-demanding-access-to-crash-site-live-blog
@poroti/112
Is the communications link in NZ still too slow or something or is he late to the umm party?
Newman seems to have a few hiccups in his bikie backdown. $1.2 million of them.
[Queensland Premier Campbell Newman has accused a Gold Coast solicitor who is suing him of contempt of court and interfering with the administration of justice, offences that carry potential jail terms.
It comes as Mr Newman this week acknowledged a need to mend fences with the legal fraternity following a series of controversies.
The allegations against criminal lawyer Chris Hannay are contained in the Premier’s defence to a $1.2 million defamation suit brought against him by the solicitor.]
Lambie should post here at PB, she’d be a hoot. We guys don’t mind what she said 😈
Now what if a male made similar remarks about certain parts of the female anatomy?
There’d be a riot 😛
zoidlord
Joe is suffering from the effects of suddenly being surrounded by tory politicians who are not Batshit crazy and or religious zealots.
@ruawake/114
NORMALLY you WAIT for a court case to be completed to see if any changes need to change.
i.e. iiNet vs Movie studios as a prime example.
Reading the report into VLAD laws in Qld, 9 vicious bikies have been charged. Drug offences have increased. Plus 12 others have been arrested using VLAD laws who were not members of a Criminal Motorcycle Gang. What the flip?
Centre,
Lambie would love Bemused. There is no end to the prick!
Channel 7 news – Reachtel Polling – seeing the PM’s approval soaring !!!!!
…. a defining moment ……
[Lambie should post here at PB, she’d be a hoot]
Oh yes! And she’d give the mad Kezza a run for her money in terms of just saying what springs into her mind.
I wonder if William can contact “Crikey’s man in Canberra”, Bernard ‘Tony Abbott Man of the Year’ Keane to ask her to drop into the PB lounge?
[Channel 7 news – Reachtel Polling – seeing the PM’s approval soaring !!!!!
…. a defining moment ……]
This will be the test.
Can he sustain it? Howard reinvented himself through tragedy and media support, Abbott may yet do the same… Watch this space!
And the Libs have really benefitted in that Reachtel Poll. Up 1, Labor down one.
[Newman seems to have a few hiccups in his bikie backdown. ]
Revenge of the pink jumpsuits. How serendipitous.
Someone (Kevin Bonham, I think) asked the other day for predictions on what effect MH18 would have on the polls. I was going to say I was expecting a short-lived spike in Abbott’s approval rating but not much impact on voting intention. Honest I was.
MH17, even.
Gary @ 123
[And the Libs have really benefitted in that Reachtel Poll. Up 1, Labor down one.]
Clearly it’s all over folks. Move over Menzies and Howard, Abbott will now become the longest serving PM in history because of his superb handling of the greatest crisis the country has ever faced.
GG
[Lambie would love Bemused. There is no end to the prick!]
You are a disgrace!
While the Australian MSM seem to be gushing with praise for Abbott, his name is rarely mentioned in overseas media. They seem more concerned with telling the story from a number of perspectives, including developments with the release of bodies and handover of the flight recorders.
A host of countries are sending technical experts to either examine the wreckage or identify human remains. Their leaders do not seem to be engaging in the sort of over-the-top comments made by Abbott.
[125
William Bowe
Posted Tuesday, July 22, 2014 at 6:12 pm | PERMALINK
Someone (Kevin Bonham, I think) asked the other day for predictions on what effect MH18 would have on the polls. I was going to say I was expecting a short-lived spike in Abbott’s approval rating but not much impact on voting intention. Honest I was.
]
Are you channelling Gerard Henderson?
He was excellent at political predictions, just never told us about them until after the fact 😉
[Lambie would love Bemused. There is no end to the prick!
]
Crude, but apt.
[While the Australian MSM seem to be gushing with praise for Abbott, his name is rarely mentioned in overseas media. They seem more concerned with telling the story from a number of perspectives, including developments with the release of bodies and handover of the flight recorders.
]
Correct, for example, Australia has barely rated a mention in the French press, and certainly not Mr Abbott.
[ Peter Brent @mumbletwits · 49m
Operation Build the PM’s & Government’s Authority.]
Believe twas zoomster who called this first.
[It depends how she defines ‘relationship’]
Your place or mine?
darren,
Sometimes, you have to be crude to be kind.
MTBW
I thought GG was a holy catholic. Catholics can’t think about matters sexual …… if’s a sin against holy purity, as you will recall from the Brigidines!
So how can he go around thinking of penises and their size.
Beats me.
[confessions
Posted Tuesday, July 22, 2014 at 6:24 pm | PERMALINK
Peter Brent @mumbletwits · 49m
Operation Build the PM’s & Government’s Authority.
Believe twas zoomster who called this first.]
Everything in this government’s mind is now apparently an “operation”.
So the return of MH17 victims is “operation bring them home”. Maybe that is to counter Morrison’s “operation kick them out”.
My guess is that no other government is calling its humanitarian mission to repatriate victims an “operation”.
psyclaw,
If I have upset you, never mind. I’ll be back later to do it again.
psyclaw
He pretends to be one and lacks any class at all.
http://www.smh.com.au/world/mh17-dutch-father-writes-emotional-letter-to-vladimir-putin-20140722-zvoq3.html
Read this and weep!
citizen:
So far there’s every indication that this govt views almost everything through a militaristic lens. I can only see it getting more so not less however.
Greensborough Growler
watching from afar
pure GOLD form this lurker
[Harriet Alexander @h_alexander 7m
The scene outside Schiphol airport in Amsterdam this morning pic.twitter.com/Qp2Wpl49Dz ]
Wow.
Little Big Man still excelling.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-07-22/newman-accuses-lawyer-chris-hannay-of-contempt-of-court/5615686
citizen
Several members of the government seem to become a bit excited around men in uniforms.
confessions@145
That link doesn’t work.
The transcript from the High Court hearing re the 157 from Friday is up.
http://www.austlii.edu.au/au/other/HCATrans/2014/150.html
It appears Hayne J has formed in his own mind the relevant issue for the High Court to resolve (maybe in conjunction with other judges)being the power to move people after only a rudimentary assessment.
It seems Merkel QC wants to run with some high wide and handsome factual allegations which the Commonwealth is taking up time addressing. Hayne J is not going to let that happen and just needs the parties to twig to that before he shoves his way of doing it down their throats.
The Channel 7 Reachtel was on Abbott’s handling of MH17 – a tad different from a leader approval rating. I suspect most people think he’s handled it ok and hence the positive rating. One sunny day doesn’t make a summer
shellbell
Does that lead to a response that doesn’t delay the result?
Just heard a Channel 7 bozo on FM radio. Apparently it is easy for anyone to get access to the crash site, he gave an example. “Ï had to show my press pass and passport at least half a dozen times in a klm.”
The media reporting is becoming disgusting.