This week’s Essential Research result ticks back a point to the Coalition on two-party preferred, who now trail by 52-48, from primary votes of 39% for both the Coalition and Labor (respectively up one and down one), with the Greens and Palmer United steady on 9% and 6%. Other findings:
• Perceptions of the Senate balance of power have not changed since last year, with 32% thinking it best when the government has a majority (up one), 25% favouring independents and minor parties holding the balance of power (up one), 8% preferring the opposition holding the balance of power (down two), 7% saying it doesn’t matter, and 28% saying they don’t know.
• Perceptions of the present situation are likewise unchanged on immediately after the election, with 36% thinking the micro-parties good for democracy (steady), 28% bad (up two) and 15% opting for makes no difference (down two).
• Twenty-seven per cent would sooner the Greens hold the balance of power versus 22% for Palmer United, with 34% saying no difference.
Other inquiries relate to respondents’ retirement and superannuation arrangements. Another polling nugget to emerge yesterday was a ReachTEL result commissioned by the Electrical Trades Union showing Queensland Treasurer Tim Nicholls facing a 13% swing in his affluent Brisbane seat of Clayfield, but nonetheless leading 57-43 on two-party preferred.
UPDATE (ReachTEL): The Seven Network this evening brings us a ReachTEL automated phone poll of national voting intention, as it does one a month or so, conducted to gauge reaction to Tony Abbott’s handling of the MH17 disaster. The poll shows a slight tick to the Coalition, which now trails 52-48 from primary votes of 36% for the Liberals, apparently not including the Coalition (up one); 37% for Labor (down one); 10% for the Greens (steady); and 8% for Palmer United (up one). Abbott scores strong ratings for his handling of MH17, being rated very good or good by 51%, satisfactory by 26% and poor or very poor by 23%.
victoria:
I’m sticking with my original assessment of the RC: political witch hunt.
confessions
I believe the RC is precisely set out for the reasons as set out in the piece I posted
Oops i repeated myself!
[The RC so far has had hearings in Perth, Melbourne and Sydney]
Really? Never saw anything of the Commission’s jaunt over this way. But then I haven’t watched the commercial TV news for some time now.
[would I be correct in thinking that the Commonwealth’s position on the Sri Lankan asylum seekers is that because they are outside Australia’s migration zone they are not entitled to claim asylum, and yet how they are treated is still determined by the Migration Act?]
There are better legal minds than mine here, including some actually trained in the law, but as I understand it the tenor of the Commonwealth’s case is that in the contiguous zone they have non-statutory, inherent executive power to detain people in order to prevent what would be breaches of the Migration Act, but that in the exercise of such authority they are constrained neither by the Migration Act nor any other statutory or common law of Australia, nor indeed by international law.
You really do have to be spectacularly stupid to have your money in a retail fund. Why not just hold a sign that says: “Rob Me”.
These funds take about 1.2 per cent as fees every year. Imagine how that decimates wealth over 50 years.
Boerwar
A number of bottles of duty free were found to have survived.
[I don’t think it is a plot, BTW. I suspect it was that a mixture of carelessness, wodka and whackoes combined to create a very slack search effort.
In any case, around one third of the bodies are unaccounted for.]
Probably been moved to Diego Garcia by the fascist zionists
KEVIN-ONE-SEVEN@706
My spouse has some money in a fund that takes 50% of the value earned every year. I have tried to get them to roll it over to another fund, but (so far) to no avail.
Commercial superannuation funds are just daylight robbery.
Weather in Donetsk over the coming week looks mostly sunny with high temps around 30: http://www.accuweather.com/en/ua/donetsk/323030/daily-weather-forecast/323030?day=11
Player, can’t you just join an industry fund and tell them to go and get the money. That’s all I had to do.
If you are paying more than $6,000 a year to have your investments managed in a fund regardless of its size…switch funds!
[Telstra has told nearly 700 of its technical staff and contractors in Australia that their jobs will be shifted overseas.
The company has confirmed it will cut 670 jobs in Australia, in areas including cloud service delivery and network services will be relocated to Asia over the next 12 months.]
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-07-23/telstra-to-move-almost-700-australia-jobs-offshore/5619102
What a hoot:
http://www.theguardian.com/money/2014/jul/23/tony-abbott-consulted-rupert-murdoch-over-paid-parental-leave-book
What happened to the pink batts witch hunt?
CENTRE – I think I pay Aussie Super less than $1000 a year
Just looking at the front page of the New York Times, the MH17 story has all but disappeared.
How long can the Lying Friar and Murdoch keep it going?
http://www.nytimes.com/
KEVIN-ONE-SEVEN@711
My problem is in motivating my spouse to do it!
[What happened to the pink batts witch hunt?]
This is a tick the box guvmint, they ticked the box.
[ Just looking at the front page of the New York Times, the MH17 story has all but disappeared.
How long can the Lying Friar and Murdoch keep it going? ]
How long is it till the next election?
[I should expand on what I mean by stupid, and by that I mean it is a stupid budget to import policies and direction from the US that have demonstrably failed to make the US and better fairer or richer place for 99% of its population.]
I’m reading a book called “Plutocrats” about the rise to the global super-rich. One argument in it is that it’s not really the top 1% who are getting richer, it’s the 0.01% who are booming.
Many thanks to Poroti and Psyclaw for their explanations.
Psyclaw, it was indeed a beautiful day, and having had the day off, naturally I went to the cinema… lol
Abbott’s PPL serves two purposes which appease the far right:
1. It redirects government revenue in a way that lowers taxes for the highest income earners, hence resulting in smaller government.
2. It encourages Australians to breed more therefore lowering the need for a higher migration intake.
Classic Monkey ideology!
Let’s call it the way it is 😎
Anyone hazard a guess on the current dynamic of Abbott vs Hockey vs Turnbull?
Interesting Clinton praised Bishop today.
Should we be thinking of Bishop as “FU” in the “House of Cards” sense?
Did anyone read Crabbe’s facile piece on ABC today
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-07-23/crabb-abbott-v-putin-the-grudge-match/5616468
Boerwar
“There is not much evidence that most, or even many of the passengers, were subject to intense heat.”
On what basis do you say this?
You seem to have been following a different downing to the one I refer to, MH17.
1) It was less than one third through its journey ie still had tonnes of fuel on board
2) The fire on impact was huge, intense
3) How could you know the body scatter pattern and the number of passengers that remained with the main body of the plane at the fiery site?
4) Some parts were still flaming today
5) ABC’s Philip Williams standing right at the main fiery site yesterday referred to several small body remnants within 6 feet of where he was standing, in full camera view but not discernible to viewers
6) Where do you think the missing bodies are?
7) What is your “Plan B ” explanation if/when the count of full bodies is less than the manifest list?
roger bottomley@725
Crabb is not a journalist. She’s a second-rate TV personality with pretensions. Why would anyone bother to read anything she wrote?
Thnx Mike, but that RC seems to have disappeared.
K17
You shouldn’t be paying any more than $6k for a premium privately managed fund.
Agreed Player One.
“A large number of British weapons and military components which the MPs say are still approved for Russia are contained in a hard-hitting report by four Commons committees scrutinising arms export controls.
Existing arms export licences for Russia cover equipment for launching and controlling missiles, components for military helicopters and surface-launched rockets”
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/jul/23/arms-export-licences-russia-pm-embargo-report
I guess this is just the free market at work, lucky Britain doesn’t sell missiles to Putin or it would have been very embarrassing , oh I see they do sell missiles.
Roger
In his speech Clinton spoke just one sentence about Bishop, then immediately spoke for about 5 minutes about the Dutch FM’s UN speech, its poignancy, its class etc etc
On the 2 commercial TV news bulletins I saw tonight, the 5 second grab of Clinton was 100% comprised of the sentence about Bishop. Clinton’s words did not reflect at all on her subject matter.
The clip created the impression that it was part of a substantial reference Clinton had made about Bishop. It was in fact the full reference.
I think his mention of Bishop was just a courtesy to Australia, since he was talking here.
Martin B – you may have perhaps come across the Abbott Government’s potential solution to this problem – they may have to try and persuade a country like New Zealand to take the Sri Lankans on that boat. If the High Court decision on the Malaysia swap is to be followed then the government cannot return the refugees to Sri Lanka where they are fleeing (and thus breaching Australia’s non-refoulement obligations) and also cannot be returned to India where they originated, as India has not signed the Refugee Convention. Cambodia is perhaps a dud as allegedly they will not take refugees sent against their will.
Psyclaw or Poroti, does the Migration Act apply in this situation? Has the government been trying to avoid it’s obligations to refugees as outlined in the Act?
Jimmy Doyle
I recommend Calvary, in King St.
psyclaw
[I think his mention of Bishop was just a courtesy to Australia, since he was talking here.]
Spot on. I watched his address today. Of course our useless msm twist it around to act as cheersquad for the coalition
Jimmy Doyle
Re the Migration Act.
I don’t know.
I think that will be decision one for the HC followed by decision two as to whether it’s application is OK, then maybe followed by decision three as to if no Migration Act coverage, is Moriscum acting legally vis a vis any other statutes, (domestic or international) or the Common Law.
Apologies, my post at 733 should have been addressed to psyclaw, as he brought up the issue of where the goverment intended to send them. Martin B, you’re saying that the government is intending to claim that the Migration Act does not apply in the contiguous zone?
Psyclaw – It’s easy to see why the government does not want the Migration Act to apply as then the HC decision on the Malaysia solution would apply. I just don’t understand (and I saying this as a law student) how the government can say they are acting to prevent a breach of the Migration Act by detaining the passengers in the contiguous zone, and yet claim that their actions are not covered by the Act?
Vic
What you say is true, plus ten tonnes of jingoism and perhaps one small teasponful of legitimate “domestic bias”
They provide anything but accurate news.
BTW, had one hour of driving this morning and had Leon Delaney (avery moderate and sensible talkback host) filling in for John Laws.
Several older callers rang in about MH17 with totally incorrect assertions. One explained that he was correct in his views because he had “watched the news on several commercial channels every day since the crash”.
His words confirmed to me how lucky we are to have the www and PB, and BK’s links, and other commenters’ links, as incredible sources of info.
Those who are unfamiliar with the digital world and rely totally on MSM are forever doomed to be in the dark, and will inevitably be misled.
Of the 300 or so passengers in the Pan Am Lockerbie disaster remains of 10 victims were never found, all seated in the same adjacent rows on the plane.
Reading the Lockerbie accident investigation it is clear the forensic scientists will get to the bottom of precisely what happened….
http://dnausers.d-n-a.net/dnetGOjg/Lockerbie.htm#Medical
psyclaw
Unfortunately, Majority of people get the news from the commercial networks.
John Oliver: How is the #CommonwealthGames still a thing? http://t.co/L91DgGQpf7
It had to be asked 😉
Where do you think the missing bodies are?
Same place as 3000 9/11 bodies….in a gaseous state
Boerwar
I don’t think you can assume the Gaza population growth would be the same without the blockade.
Jimmy Doyle
Don’t ever try to understand the wheeling and dealing of conservos as they shift and shake around the periphery of the law.
Shortly after The Rudd government was elected there were 2 HC cases brought on by a couple of the last ASs still on Nauru after Howard.
The cases were about the Howard government’s processing on Nauru which for the first time knocked refugee request success rate to about 65% …… they bragged about it.
The assessments were being done by a private contractor acting on government instructions to NOT apply the Migration Act, but to use the criteria out of the Act.
The scheme strategy was that by not using the Act there was no compulsion to follow the appeal provisions in the Act. So no appeals were allowed and about 33% of the ASs were sent packing.
The HC found that this was all illegal saying:
1) They must use the Act
2) That by using the Act’s criteria, they were in fact using the Act, and that they could not just ignore slabs of the Act ie the appeal provisions.
The conservos’ motto is “never give the suckers an even chance”.
Does the ABC think that CSI are going to find the guy that fired the missile?
A number of bottles of duty free were found to have survived.
May have survived the crash but not the militia
The “idle suggestion” given by Haynes as a template for the case is instructive:
[“The plaintiff asserts and the defendants deny that the decision to take the plaintiff to a place outside Australia was beyond power, whether the power given by the Maritime Powers Act or non‑statutory executive power, on the ground that (a) the decision was not made for the purposes of investigating any contravention of any relevant law” ‑ query whether you add “or to prevent a contravention of any relevant law having regard to” what I understand to be the defence of the Commonwealth parties that the vessel was detained to prevent a contravention, but let me leave that uncertain – “(b) taking the plaintiff to a place outside Australia would take much longer than taking him to the nearest place in Australia”.]
[Martin B, you’re saying that the government is intending to claim that the Migration Act does not apply in the contiguous zone?]
I am no kind of lawyer, but from discussions with friends who are, yes, I understand that to be the case: outside Australian territory, Australian law doesn’t apply.
I watched Abbott’s presser earlier this evening about the bodies still to be recovered. There was lots of grisly detail about exposure to heat and animals. I can’t imagine anything more distressing for families of the victims. I hope their TV sets are turned off. Is there really any need for Abbott to say such things, except to put himself in the limelight? Every time journalists tried to pin him down to the consequences of his rhetoric – how many Australian troops does he want there guarding the site, for example – he squibbed it.
If he really wants to show leadership, less time in front of the cameras might be a good start.