The fortnightly Newspoll in tomorrow’s Australian reverses the recent moderating trend in federal polling by showing Labor’s two-party preferred lead out to 55-45 from 53-47 last time. The only other numbers so far (courtesy of GhostWhoVotes) are personal ratings for Tony Abbott, which are little changed at 31% approval (up one) and 62% disapproval (up one). Stay tuned for primary votes and other leadership ratings. UPDATE: Newspoll also records a solid shift to Bill Shorten on preferred prime minister, his 40-37 lead from last time now out to 44-34, while his disapproval is down four points to 41% with approval steady at 34%. Full results courtesy of The Australian here.
Also out today was the regular fortnightly multi-mode (i.e. face-to-face plus SMS) poll from Roy Morgan, conducted over the last two weekends from a sample of 2797, which has both major parties down 1.5% on the primary vote – the Coalition to 35%, Labor to 36.5% – making way for Palmer United, recovering from a recent slump to 7% (up 1.5% on last fortnight), while the Greens stay steady on 12%. A big gap has opened on the two measures of two-party preferred, with Labor’s 54.5-45.5 lead on 2013 election preference flows blowing out to 57.5-42.5 on respondent-allocated. Interestingly, this has been echoed in recent respondent-allocated results from Nielsen, which is the only other pollster which publishes them. In its four monthly results since March, Labor’s lead has been between 1.5% and 2.5% higher on respondent-allocated than on the measure using 2013 election flows.
Stay tuned as usual for tomorrow’s Essential Research.
UPDATE: We indeed have Essential Research, and ReachTEL besides:
• Conducted for the Seven Network, the ReachTEL poll encompasses 3376 respondents and has Labor’s lead at 53-47, down from 54-46 at the last such poll on May 8. The primary votes are 39.6% for the Coalition (up 0.7%), 38.7% for Labor (down 0.9%), 10.3% for the Greens (down 0.9%) and 6.8% for Palmer United (up 0.8%).
• After a solid shift to the Coalition in last week’s fortnightly rolling average result, Essential Research is all but unchanged this week, with Labor leading 52-48 from primary votes of 40% for the Coalition (steady), 38% for Labor (steady), 9% for the Greens (steady) and 6% for Palmer United (up one). Among the remaining questions, of particular interest is one on approval of various government ministers, with Malcolm Turnbull easily leading a field of seven with a net score of plus 13%; Julie Bishop, George Brandis and Scott Morrison breaking roughly even; and Greg Hunt, Joe Hockey and especially Christopher Pyne trailing the field, on minus 11%, minus 12% and minus 18% respectively.
On climate change, 33% want the carbon tax dumped and replaced with nothing, while 16% want it kept, 22% want a shift to an emissions trading scheme, and only 9% favour the government’s “direct action” policy. A semi-regular question on trust in public institutions finds, for what reason I’m not sure, that the High Court, the ABC and the Reserve Bank are back where they were in June 2012 after big moves in their favour in March 2013, with each rating in the fifties for “a lot of trust” or “some trust”. The medical profession and law enforcement agencies score high on trust in use of personal information, with social media sites rating lowest.
The poll also inquires into Peter Greste and Julian Assange, with 39% thinking the government has not provided appropriate support for Greste, the view presumably being that it should have done more, while 20% say its support has been appropriate. A rather particular question on Assange has 69% opting for “it is a waste of money trying to arrest Julian Assange” against 13% for “Julian Assange should be arrested despite the costs”.
citizen
If WOW are raising their profit margins on certain items – consumers should shop elsewhere.
I don’t how Woollies is going to combat Bunnings who are well entrenched as the go to place for weekend shopping for the home.
So many people tell me they love Bunnings and that Masters is a poor shadow.
First Grand Slam win:
Nadal 19
Djokavic 20
Federer 21
Roddick 21
Hewitt 20
Kuerten 21
Agassi 22
Sampras 19
Courier 21
Edberg 19
and the youngest was Becker @ 17
The last Aussie 19 year old to beat a world number 1 was Mark Phillipousis defeating Pete Sampras back in 1996.
I right already…keep away from the women 😎
[Sounds a very dangerous mix.]
Certainly helps to stay sober enough to remember why you came into the shipping container in the first place.
🙂
I wont go to the local Masters because they don’t have humans at the checkouts.
I draw the line at those businesses.
http://www.tennis28.com/slams/agerecords_winners.html
although this says it was a Michael Chang who won the French in 1989*
*and who I didn’t remember at all until I googled him and it all came back!
Good to see the Malaysian Australian Nick Kyrgios doing so well, why does his nationality come from his father?
Everything
I think Federer smashed Sampras at 19?
It comes from his citizenship
[Centre
Posted Wednesday, July 2, 2014 at 6:31 pm | PERMALINK
citizen
If WOW are raising their profit margins on certain items – consumers should shop elsewhere.]
Unfortunately they rely on most people not checking prices as they wander through the store.
I’ve also noticed that Coles has done much the same by advertising “prices are down” on some items but others have increased in price.
Being retired, we have time to check prices including specials, however many working families with children just want to get in and out of the store.
Another issue is the increasing reach of Colesworths into smaller suburbs and country towns which would have once had an IGA type store.
Not in a Grand Slam final, I don’t think……he was 21y according to what I have found.
Byorn Borg: 11 Grand Slam Singles Titles.
Everything
Just the inevitable result of The Rodent’s kicking off the race to the bottom.
citizen @ 1011
True.
The more impressive figure is Rosewall’s win @ the Australian Open at the ripe “old age” of 37y!
gigi
It’s Bjorn Borg 😀
[poroti
Posted Wednesday, July 2, 2014 at 6:48 pm | PERMALINK
Everything
Just the inevitable result of The Rodent’s kicking off the race to the bottom.]
Actually, I think it was Keating that introduced Mandatory Detention.
Hunts appointment of an endangered species commissioner is bizarre.
Does anybody know if this person has any qualifications in the field, apart from being a Tory spear carrier with a dodgy history.
What’s next? will Godwin Grech show up somewhere?
[jeffemu
Posted Wednesday, July 2, 2014 at 6:43 pm | PERMALINK
I wont go to the local Masters because they don’t have humans at the checkouts.
I draw the line at those businesses.]
Another distinction between Bunnings and Masters is that Bunnings staff have knowledge of the products while Masters staff are far fewer and seem to know little about the products.
Should we change the way we mate?
This Kyrgios is huge, flexible, fast and powerful.
He’d make a fortune for breeding future tennis champions 😈
centre
No, it’s Björn Borg ….
Also, Woolworth’s has been accused for Health Checks trial:
http://www.canberratimes.com.au/business/retail/woolworths-under-fire-for-health-check-trial-20140701-zss1q.html
Dangerous I would think for Woolworths to be doing this, considering also hacking of credit cards, usernames/passwords, etc.
http://www.canberratimes.com.au/business/banking-and-finance/financial-planners-put-cba-on-notice-over-scandal-20140702-zstel.html
“The country’s peak body representing financial planners has taken a stand on the Commonwealth Bank, saying it will support a royal commission into the bank unless the bank agrees to form an independent committee to oversee a “full and fair” compensation process to customers affected in the financial planning scandal.”
A wise move.
https://newmatilda.com/2014/07/02/children-detention-7yo-nappies-sleeping-tablets-11yo
[Psychiatrist’s notes reveal shocking details of children suffering in indefinite detention. Max Chalmer reports.
The AHRC’s inquiry is the second it has run examining the practice of keeping children in immigration detention, which President Gillian Triggs has described as a breach of international law. Its first report, released in 2004, found children were being kept in detention for as long as five years and recommended capping the amount of time they could be kept in the future.
“Let no child who arrives in Australia ever suffer under this system again,” Human Rights Comissioner Sev Ozdowski wrote at the time.
Triggs said that in April this year, 929 children remained in Australia’s detention centres, with a further 177 on Nauru. Submissions made to the AHRC’s current inquiry called for Scott Morrison to be removed as the legal guardian of children in immigration detention, a move which would fulfil a recommendation made in the original 2004 report to strip the Minister for Immigration of the role.]
[Actually, I think it was Keating that introduced Mandatory Detention.]
Ah yes, but it has been Abbott who honed it into utter bastardry.
More jobs for mates:
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/media/broadcast/neil-brown-and-janet-albrechtsen-appointed-to-abc-board-nomination-panel/story-fna045gd-1226975543765?sv=54aa42d087618fdd0b1839ac6726f83c
[zoidlord
Posted Wednesday, July 2, 2014 at 6:54 pm | PERMALINK
Also, Woolworth’s has been accused for Health Checks trial:
http://www.canberratimes.com.au/business/retail/woolworths-under-fire-for-health-check-trial-20140701-zss1q.html
Dangerous I would think for Woolworths to be doing this, considering also hacking of credit cards, usernames/passwords, etc.
]
The doctors could always retaliate by selling chips, lollies and hamburgers at their surgeries!
Wasn’t Albrechtsten a Howard appointee to the ABC at one point?
Seriously this is the most cynical govt I’ve ever seen.
Right BB:
When Keating introduces the policy its fine, but when the Liberals continue it…”utter bastardry”
When Gillard uses rendition to Malaysia its fine, but when Abbott uses rendition to Sri Lanka…..”utter bastardry”.
Do you think it might be you?
Nick Kyrgios said he was angered by his mother’s comment that Nadal was too good for him to beat.
Loved the picture of him when he was little. His mother said he had to lose weight. They had to train him not to come back for a second bowl and to go for the salad instead of the creamy stuff. 🙂
[zoidlord
Posted Wednesday, July 2, 2014 at 7:01 pm | PERMALINK
More jobs for mates:
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/media/broadcast/neil-brown-and-janet-albrechtsen-appointed-to-abc-board-nomination-panel/story-fna045gd-1226975543765?sv=54aa42d087618fdd0b1839ac6726f83c ]
So Turnbull is sidelined by Abbott on this one. There is not even a token effort to disguise the blatant political bias.
[THE FORMER deputy leader of the Liberal Party under John Howard, Neil Brown, and The Australian’s columnist, Janet Albrechtsen, have been appointed to the independent nomination panel overseeing board positions at the ABC and SBS.
Communications Minister Malcolm Turnbull had no say in either appointment and was only recently informed of them, with Mr Brown and Ms Albrechtsen hand-picked for the role by the highest levels of the Abbott government.]
Cow Rider ?
[ hand-picked for the role by the highest levels of the Abbott government.]
Credlin!
guytaur
“@JulianBurnside: RT We should all demand that the Christian Tony Abbott explain why he tolerates the criminal Morrison in his cabinet”
Is this a challenge to Morrison to sue him, Juilan would be counting on proving that Morrison has broken the law.
EFA @efa_oz 5m
RT @techliberty NZGOV refused music industry request to extend internet filter to copyright infringing material http://www.dia.govt.nz/Censorship-IRG-Meeting-Minutes-March-2014 …
centre
[I hope his minders can pass on some serious advice:-
Keep away from the women, they’re like the Greens in politics, they’re bad news 😐 ]
A faint possibility is that one day you’ll grow up.
[Joe Hockey to holiday during first week of new Senate where fate of his Budget will be decided]
http://www.news.com.au/national/joe-hockey-to-holiday-during-first-week-of-new-senate-where-fate-of-his-budget-will-be-decided/story-fncynjr2-1226975559228
He has been feckin’ invisible for the last month, now he needs a holiday.I wonder if people on Newstart are allowed a holiday Joe?
Everything…
[Malaysian rendition was hailed as a great advance.
Now we have Sri Lankan rendition, which, quell surprise, hasn’t received the same applause here.
What has Australia come to?]
This is poor, even by the low standards that you set.
The situations are not equivalent because the Tamils are apparently being rendered to the Government that they originally fled. A situation most unlike the Malaysia rendition policy.
Another point of contrast is that fewer refugees would have ended up in Malaysia following the implementation of the policy. If I recall correctly 5 refugees from Malaysia settled in Australia for each asylum seeker returned there.
Sceptic
Maybe, It was why I was careful with my note as I did not want to trouble William to snip the post to avoid a defamation lawsuit.
I really need to exchange that degree of mine for a Liberal party membership if I want a better paying job.
[
Dee
Posted Wednesday, July 2, 2014 at 6:39 pm | Permalink
I don’t how Woollies is going to combat Bunnings who are well entrenched as the go to place for weekend shopping for the home.
So many people tell me they love Bunnings and that Masters is a poor shadow.
]
My experiance has been Bunning hire old tradesmen and down to earth women for the floor, you can go and get pretty good advice. For example had to fix up the loo flushing, pulled out the washer, went to bunnings, got asked by the old codger, can I help, showed him the washer, oh yes that is a xyz, you need a abc universal kit. Masters are using the super-market model, young kids.
ET
No matter what else you say about the Malaysia solution, it was not sending the persecutors back to the persecuted.
[When Gillard uses rendition to Malaysia its fine, but when Abbott uses rendition to Sri Lanka…..”utter bastardry”.
Do you think it might be you?]
Or you?
oops
I transposed that.
Persecuted to persecutors. Sorry
Let’s hope that Andrew Bolt doesn’t fancy a gig as the head of the Australian Bureau of Statistics.
Half an hour of three word slogans?
[Key crossbench Senator Ricky Muir has arrived in Canberra and headed straight into a meeting with Prime Minister Tony Abbott.
The ABC understands the meeting lasted around half an hour and was “genial”.
A spokesman for Senator Muir says he is “hopeful of a good working relationship” with the Government.
It is the first time the Australian Motoring Enthusiast Senator from Victoria has met Mr Abbott.
The Prime Minister is believed to have congratulated Senator Muir on his election and the two men discussed budget measures as well as the Government’s policy to scrap the carbon tax and the mining tax.]
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-07-02/crossbench-senator-ricky-muir-meets-tony-abbott/5567212?WT.ac=statenews_act
[Let’s hope that Andrew Bolt doesn’t fancy a gig as the head of the Australian Bureau of Statistics.]
Nah he has sewn up the BoM gig.
Indeed rendition to Sri Lanka is worse than rendition to Malaysia.
If Morrison has handed over people seeking asylum under Australian jurisdiction without Australia making an assessment on their claims, he would appear to have breached his (and Australia’s) obligations. Whether the international treaties are enforceable in any way (The Hague?) who knows.
New Matilda exposes the endangered species of Lib staffers.
https://newmatilda.com/2014/07/02/abc-lateline%E2%80%99s-%E2%80%98fake-youth-worker%E2%80%99-wins-plum-abbott-govt-job