Seats of the week: Fadden and Moncrieff

This week’s Seat of the Week double-up accounts for the northern two-third of the Gold Coast, served by Liberal National Party members Stuart Robert and Steven Ciobo.

Fadden

Teal and red numbers respectively indicate booths with two-party majorities for the LNP and Labor. Click for larger image. Map boundaries courtesy of Ben Raue at The Tally Room.

Fadden covers the northern part of the Gold Coast municipality, from Gaven and Labrador in the south through Coomera, Pimpama and Ormeau to Logan River in the north, with the Pacific Motorway forming most of its western boundary. This area’s intensive population growth has caused the electorate to be progressively drawn into the Gold Coast since its creation in 1977, at which time it contained none of its present territory, instead covering outer southern Brisbane and the Gold Coast’s rural hinterland. The redistribution caused by the expansion of parliament in 1984 drew it into Brisbane, extending as far northwards as Salisbury and Rochedale, with the Logan River as its southern boundary. It first infringed upon the Gold Coast when it acquired Coomera at the 1996 election, the migration being completed with the exchange of Redland Bay in the north for Southport in the south at the 2004 election. The ongoing population explosion caused it to shed nearly 14,000 voters inland of its current boundary at the most recent Queensland redistribution before the 2010 election.

With the exception of 1983, Fadden in its various guises has been won at every election by the conservatives, meaning the the Liberal Party prior to the 2010 merger and the Liberal National Party thereafter. The inaugural member was Don Cameron, who had held Griffith for the Liberals since 1966. The 1975-engorged margin was whittled away at the 1977 and 1980 elections, then overturned with David Beddall’s victory for Labor with the election of the Hawke government. Cameron returned to parliament a year later at a by-election caused by Jim Killen’s retirement in Moreton, which became the third seat he represented. The 1984 redistribution made Fadden notionally Liberal, causing David Beddall to jump ship for Rankin. The seat was then won for the Liberals by David Jull, who had held the seat of Bowman from 1975 until his defeat in 1983. Jull’s margins were less than 5% until 1996, but generally well into double digits thereafter.

Jull was succeeded on his retirement at the 2007 election by Stuart Robert, a former army intelligence officer. Robert was said to have played a role in “rounding up support” for Tony Abbott ahead of his challenge to Malcolm Turnbull’s leadership in December 2009, and was elevated afterwards to shadow parliamentary secretary in the defence portfolio. He was further promoted after the 2010 election to the outer shadow ministry portfolio of defence science, technology and personnel, which was rebadged as Assistant Defence Minister following the 2013 election victory.

Moncrieff

Teal numbers indicate two-party majority for the LNP. Click for larger image. Map boundaries courtesy of Ben Raue at The Tally Room.

Moncrieff covers the central Gold Coast from Miami north through Surfers Paradise to Nerang Head, and inland to Nerang and Highland Park. The seat was created with the expansion of parliament in 1984, previous to which the entirety of the Gold Coast had been accommodated by McPherson since 1949, and by Moreton beforehand. Moncrieff originally extended deep into rural territory at Beaudesert, before assuming its current coastal orientation with Beaudesert’s transfer to Forde in 1996. Prior to Moncrieff’s creation the entirety of the Gold Coast had been accommodated by McPherson, which had itself been created with the previous expansion of parliament in 1949. The Gold Coast had originally been contained within the electorate of Moreton, which has since migrated into Brisbane’s southern suburbs. The area has had conservative representation without interruption since 1906, with McPherson passing from Country Party to Liberal Party control in 1972, and Moncrieff being in Liberal and more recently Liberal National Party hands since its creation.

Steven Ciobo assumed the seat at the 2001 election after the retirement of its inaugural member, Kathy Sullivan, who had previously been a Senator since 1974, establishing what remains a record as the longest serving female member of federal parliament. Ciobo emerged through Liberal ranks as a member of the Right faction, associated with former ministers Santo Santoro and Warwick Parer and state party powerbroker Michael Caltabiano. He rose to the shadow ministry in the small business portfolio after the defeat of the Howard government, which was elevated to a shadow cabinet position when Malcolm Turnbull ascended to the leadership in September 2008. However, he was demoted to the outer shadow ministry portfolios of tourism, arts, youth and sport when Tony Abbott became leader in December 2009 and relegated to the back bench after the August 2010 election, which was generally reckoned to be a consequence of his support for Turnbull. Following the 2013 election victory he won promotion to parliamentary secretary to the Treasurer.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

621 comments on “Seats of the week: Fadden and Moncrieff”

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  1. poroti

    Naturally our working family had other servants for various functions.

    The two nannies were just for little old me. One was a wet nurse. When I think about it, Abbott is on the right track. The only thing is that we actually needed TWO PPLs.

  2. SK

    [Did the Thursday evening game at the Adelaide Oval work? Good atmosphere? Transport hold up?]

    It definitely worked. The atmosphere was amazing.

    Transport in was a bit tight as the footy fans and office workers were all on the road at the same time but it was still much better than AAMI.

    Labor did a fantastic job building the stadium, with lots of help, and I think it’s worth a truckload of votes. It made you feel quite proud of the state being there.

  3. [confessions
    Posted Saturday, May 17, 2014 at 4:18 pm | PERMALINK
    Good to see Mike Carlton’s piece given prominence of The Age site. It has an astonishing 751 comments.

    I guess that explains the absence of PB’s coalition spruikers.]

    Yes, where the hell are they? Are they too ashamed to show their faces?

  4. Looking at Hockey’s list of family assets, I cannot believe that he would have any idea what poverty feels like.

    That remark about wtte “you should have a job” is unbelievably cruel and heartless.

  5. poroti

    I was looking at a photo of the two babus et moi just the other day, and I would have to say that it might well have been the last time in my whole life that I was completely spoiled for choice.

  6. lizzie

    You Labor Bludgers are all the same. When you are not begging for more Nanny Statism, you are cutting down tall poppies, indulging in the politics of envy, and trying to start a class war.

  7. Dees have won anothery.

    IMHO, Roos is a living testament to the existence of god.

    We need to watch him near water in case he tries to walk on it.

  8. Boerwar@344

    I only had two nannies.

    BW –

    With all the bloodshed going on around you at the time you were born in what became Indonesia – you may never have survived those times ?

    Lots of very bad two way stuff between Indonesians and Europeans right from the time the Dutch tried to regain control after WW2. Earlier even, the British were first in to disarm the japs and search for allied POW’s and civilians – then hand over to the Dutch.

    In fact the japs were used to keep control in Indonesia and a range of other places until they were shipped home.

    Part of the problem was the japs saw defeat coming and had formed a highly trained local militia in which Sukarno was promoted and decorated by the japs, including by the jap emperor I believe.

    They also promised ‘Independence’ as the probability of defeat loomed and the Indonesians declared Independence virtually as soon as the surrender was signed in Tokyo Bay.

  9. Boerwar:

    You had a wet nurse? Did your mother have PND or something when you were born? I can’t imagine a mother not wanting to breastfeed her own baby. It’s kinda sad in a way.

  10. W E P

    There are a couple of key strategies when it coming to becoming and staying rich:

    (a) don’t pay tax if you can possibly help it
    (b) don’t pay tax if you can possibly help it.

    It is their preferred way of ‘contributing’.

  11. confessions@268

    I just checked, and they are not, at least for private homes. That is ridiculous.


    RCD switches are mandatory in WA and have been for some years now.

    Well that’s a big tick for WA.

    Had that been the case in Qld, the 3 HIP related fatalities would not have occurred.

  12. Boerwar

    Well, sometimes I do feel a little sorry for the rich. They suffer so much stress trying to make keep their millions.

  13. lizzie:

    It certainly sets the context for the cigar smoking. If he were a strident anglophile he’d be the ultimate cliched toff.

  14. victoria@273

    comfessions

    My understanding is that safety switches have been mandatory on any dwellings constructed in past 25 years, but not enforced for existing homes prior to that date

    I think you might be right there victoria.

    The installation of smart meters was a great opportunity to rectify that and retro-fit all houses.

  15. It would make a bit of a joke of their contribution to helping the budget if it was all saved for them thru a trust or some other rort

  16. Boerwar

    It would be strange to look at such images of a world that for you was normal but today for the people around you may as well come from another planet.

  17. Boerwar
    re Putin
    _________
    You seem to be unable to discuss Russia etc ,l with any degree of commomsense ,but only in terms of personal vitriol directed at me

    I have simply ststad the facts that the whole matter is more opaque and diverse than you seem prepared to realise

    As to your attacks on me … I have never praised Putin but tried to say that it is a comples issue…fo
    r which I suffer your [personal attacks. I deplore this
    I have never praised Putin in any way but merely sought to understand certain facts re the Ukrainian crisis and Russia…we have to do this…unless as some I suspect do…we want a war with the Russians..with who knows what effects on the world

    Odd too that many of the citics of Putin in the Oz elites and here on PB .have no critique of China ..like all out leaders who can’t get to Beijing quickly enough on taking office and make the ritual kow-tow to the rulers in Beijing’s Forbidden City

    I don’t recall Gillard.Rudd or Bishop ever saying piblically how bad the Chinese record on Human Rights is and how deplorable…least of all to their faces

    Anyway I have decided to have no more of these debates with you…as I have tired of your putting words in my mouth and damning me in silly terms … as some Putin apologist
    I don’t emjoy that type of abuse,so I will have nothing more to say to you on this site …so try and erase me from your comments

  18. dave

    It was less than relaxing.

    Stray shots used to fly over the house from time-to-time and shopping trips sometimes happened in armoured cars.

    We were eventually evacuated by a refugee ship on which around 80 babies gotten born during the voyage.

    Luckily for us, Morrison was not on the barricades when we arrived.

  19. Anne Summers today:

    [If you want to encourage women into the economy, it would make sense to acknowledge and address the pay gap as well as some of these less tangible obstacles to women being able to enjoy employment parity with men.

    Instead, the government has now announced yet another set of consultations into the gender reporting requirements of the Workplace Gender Equality Act legislated by the Labor government and administered by the Workplace Gender Equality Agency (WGEA).

    Employment Minister Eric Abetz had to retreat earlier this year from his blitzkrieg against the legislation. He wanted to abolish WGEA – something the National Commission of Audit has also recommended – and now he seems determined to consult it to death. A government that really wanted women to work would be enthusiastic about a law that required organisations to report on how many women they employed, what levels they worked at and how much they were paid.

    Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/comment/up-go-the-barriers-for-women-20140516-zrek8.html#ixzz31xDtBngb ]

  20. Chrissy Pyne having a good whinge about the FM being hassled at the Uni yesterday “not appropriate” is what he said.

    I am thinking that what this Government has done to students is what is “not appropriate”.

  21. [You Labor Bludgers are all the same. When you are not begging for more Nanny Statism, you are cutting down tall poppies, indulging in the politics of envy, and trying to start a class war.]

    I think the nanny statism and tall poppies thing is a meaningless cliche unless you would like to illustrate specific examples – the class war is hilarious pal as Billy Joel said ‘we didn’t start the fire, it was always burning’

    the lazy, largely stupid, tax avoiding privileged and wealthy have always been after us and always will, they just don’t like us fighting back because they are lazy and largely stupid.

  22. Boerwar@376

    dave

    It was less than relaxing.

    Stray shots used to fly over the house from time-to-time and shopping trips sometimes happened in armoured cars.

    We were eventually evacuated by a refugee ship on which around 80 babies gotten born during the voyage.

    Luckily for us, Morrison was not on the barricades when we arrived.

    I found this interesting –

    In the Ruins of Empire: The Japanese Surrender and the Battle for Postwar Asia by Ronald Spector

    http://www.commentarymagazine.com/2007/08/17/book-review-in-the-ruins-of-empire/

  23. If Whinging Sloppy and his missus earned their 4 homes and farm by hard work and real productivity, good on them.

    And who said that family trust tax concessions is a form of entitlement. It’s not. It’s just recognition by the state that you’ve worked hard.

    I’m sure the treasurer would agree.

  24. Deblonay

    Stop doing internal socialist agitprop blather and address these issues straight on:

    Do you approve of Putin’s campaign of murder of journalists?

    Do you approve of Putin’s homophobia campaign?

    Do you approve of Putin’s grab of the Crimea?

    Do you approve of Putin’s use of gas blackmail to force the Ukraine to dismember itself?

    Four simple yes or no options. Over to you, pal. Based on your previous record, all we will get here is absolute silence or some more bullshit about me being a russophobe or a closet zionist.

    After, Tovarisch, four legs good, two legs bad, nyet?

  25. During a post budget interview on Tuesday night Joe Hockey admitted levies and co-payments were really just taxes. The next day he denied it. First they lied, now they’re lying about lying.

  26. poroti:

    Yeah, I know. That’s why I wondered if Boerwar’s mother had an illness or condition which meant she couldn’t breastfeed.

    Of course these days we have baby formula.

  27. “@latingle: “@InsidersABC: The #insiders panel tomorrow: @latingle @lenoretaylor & Niki Savva. @mpbowers talks pics with @mearesy” oh & @TonyAbbottMHR”

    Well not watching this week.

  28. [RCD switches are mandatory in WA and have been for some years now.]

    RCD’s are mandatory in Qld as well, BUT only for new houses or when a home is sold. Retrofitting is not required.

  29. don@316

    Jackol@297

    ‘gotten’ is a perfectly legitimate word.

    Just because some English people have forgotten how to properly conjugate one of their own words doesn’t mean casual American-bashing is warranted.

    http://www.etymonline.com/index.php?allowed_in_frame=0&search=gotten&searchmode=none

    Thanks very much for that, much appreciated.

    I’ll add “forgotten”, “begotten”, and “misbegotten” to my mental list of ‘gotten’ derivatives.

    Gotten is a lovely word, rolls off the tongue.

    OK, OK, you guys win. I am persuaded. 😛

    But it still jars with me for some reason buried deep within my psyche.

  30. dave

    Spector’s ‘Eagle against the Sun’ is good, IMHO but it suffers from an essentially US-centric view of asian history.

    Around forty years ago I developed a view that the west’s involvement in Asia (largely defined) was best viewed as a temporary phenomenum. A significant personal factor in this thinking was that my participation in 400 years of Dutch colonial history in the Indies lasted about a year. Our loss of the Vietnam war cemented that view.

    When I see lines such as, ‘China has been the largest single economy in the world for 18 of the last 20 centuries’ it makes instant sense to me.

    In other words, while many US historians viewed the Pacific war as the ultimate outcome of imperial competition between Japan and the US, and that thereafter the US would dominate asia, I believed that it was all very temporary.

    Much of what followed in terms of the US trying to reshape Asia was essentially a failure before it even started. The US is still trying, BTW, and Australia is foolishly fully engaged with the US in what I regard as the last gasp end game of post WW2 US Asian strategy.

  31. [And who said that family trust tax concessions is a form of entitlement. It’s not. It’s just recognition by the state that you’ve worked hard.]

    The state needs to learn the difference between working hard and playing while capital grows.

  32. Part of my post @ 51….

    Australia is overall one of the lowest taxing countries in the OECD & most efficient Government sector

    AFR & Lib(ertarian )s love to focus totally on personal tax rates, ignoring how the top marginal don’t actually pay it!
    http://www.afr.com/p/national/top_rate_nation_oecd_would_make_VgqkALrQY8BEAPEDigQD8I

    Australia’s total tax take is 29 LOWEST out of 34 in the OECD

    http://www.budget.gov.au/2012-13/content/glossy/tax_reform/html/tax_overview_02.htm

    It makes perfect sense to increase the GST & cut personal income tax loopholes , the problem is how to compensate those on lowest tax rate & not paying tax now.

    If Tax income is not increased there will,eventually be no Government & no services… just what the Lib(ertarian)s want!
    This is something Swan never tried to fight, instead getting sucked into must have a Surplus!

    Abbott will wedge Bill on GST

  33. Boerwar

    [Tovarisch, four legs good, two legs bad, nyet?]
    Funny you should say that . The Russians have a saying . “A horse has four legs but still stumbles” 🙂

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