ReachTEL: 54-46 to Labor

The second big-sample ReachTEL automated phone poll in consecutive weeks confirms last week’s result on voting intention, but also finds majority support for the deficit tax.

The Fairfax papers have run another of ReachTEL’s large-sample automated phone polls of federal voting intention, such as it has been conducting on a semi-regular basis for the Seven Network, most recently just a week ago. This one was conducted on Thursday night from a sample of 3241, and as with last week’s poll it has the Labor lead at 54-46, from primary votes of 39.8% for Labor (up 0.2%), 37.8% for the Coalition (down 1.1%), 10.5% for the Greens (down 0.7%), 7.0% for Palmer United (up 1.0%, and adding to their recent upward trend). Other questions find majority support for a deficit levy when the question specifies it being “between 1 and 2 per cent” and “imposed on high income earners to help reduce debt”, which was favoured by 53.7% and opposed by 32.4%. However, 42% said it has made them less likely to vote for the Coalition against 22.8% for more likely. Raising the pension age to 70 is also unpopular, being supported by 21.2% and opposed by 68.1%.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

606 comments on “ReachTEL: 54-46 to Labor”

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  1. This speech is my recital, I think it’s very vital
    To rock (a rhyme), that’s right (on time)
    It’s Tricky is the title, here we go…

    It’s Tricky to rock a rhyme, to rock a rhyme that’s right on time
    It’s Tricky…it’s Tricky (Tricky) Tricky (Tricky)
    It’s Tricky to rock a rhyme, to rock a rhyme that’s right on time
    It’s Tricky…Tr-tr-tr-tricky (Tricky) Trrrrrrrrrrricky

    [Verse 1]

    I met this little girlie, her hair was kinda curly
    Went to her house and bust her out, I had to leave real early
    These girls are really sleazy, all they just say is please me
    Or spend some time and rock a rhyme, I said “It’s not that easy”

    It’s Tricky to rock a rhyme, to rock a rhyme that’s right on time
    It’s Tricky…(How is it D?) It’s Tricky (Tricky) Tricky (Trrrrrricky)
    It’s Tricky to rock a rhyme, to rock a rhyme that’s right on time
    It’s Tricky…Tricky (Tricky) Tricky

    [Verse 2]

    In New York the people talk and try to make us rhyme
    They really (hawk) but we just (walk) because we have no time
    And in the city it’s a pity cos we just can’t hide
    Tinted windows don’t mean nothin’, they know who’s inside

    It’s Tricky to rock a rhyme, to rock a rhyme that’s right on time
    It’s Tricky…(How is it D?) Tricky (Tricky) Tricky (Tricky)
    It’s Tricky to rock a rhyme, to rock a rhyme that’s right on time
    It’s Tricky…Tricky (Tricky) Tricky (Tricky) huh!

    [Verse 3]

    When I wake up people take up mostly all of my time
    I’m not singin’, phone keep ringin’ cos I make up a rhyme
    I’m not braggin’, people naggin’ cos they think I’m a star
    Always tearin’ what I’m wearin’, I think they’re goin’ too far
    A girl named Carol follows Daryll every gig we play
    Then D dissed her and dismissed her, now she’s jockin’ Jay
    I ain’t lyin’, girls be cryin’ cos I’m on TV
    They even bother my poor father cos he’s down with me

    It’s Tricky to rock a rhyme, to rock a rhyme that’s right on time
    It’s Tricky…(How is it?) Tricky (Tricky) Tricky (Tricky)
    It’s Tricky to rock a rhyme, to rock a rhyme that’s right on time
    It’s Tricky…Tr-tr-tr-tr-tr-tricky (Tr-Tr-Tr-Tricky) Tr-tr-tr…

    [Verse 4]

    We are not thugs (we don’t use drugs) but you assume (on your own)
    They offer coke (and lots of dope) but we just leave it alone
    It’s like that y’all (y’all), but we don’t quit
    You keep on (rock!) shock! Cos this is it…

  2. Koukoulas;

    many of the spending cuts and tax in the budget will merely cover the quite massive cost of Abbott government pet projects such as paid parental leave, extra defence spending, abolishing the mining tax and carbon price, all of which have to be covered by cuts elsewhere or tax hikes before any ground is made at reducing the budget deficit.

    What we are seeing is the Coalition government returning to type – that is having a high taxing strategy to cover high spending in its pet sectors of the economy. The Fraser government did it, Howard did it in spades, and it now looks like Abbott is following suit.

    Get set for a big footprint from the Abbott government into the economy as the tax to GDP ratio approaches new highs to match a spending level not much smaller than Abbott inherited from Labor.

  3. Ha ha ESJ – “put some stick about” – very good. I just hope you don’t throw your fiancé off the roof like FU did.

    One thing is for certain though – your lot are a house of cards.

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