Nielsen has this week thrown a spanner into the BludgerTrack works, producing a dramatic shift on the basis of a result that’s yet to be corroborated by anybody else. The big mover is of course the Greens, who have shot up five points to the giddy heights of 15.4%, a result I wouldn’t attach much credit to until it’s backed by more than one data point. Only a small share of the gain comes at the expense of Labor, who have accordingly made a strong gain on two-party preferred and are in majority government territory on the seat projection. A further point of interest with respect to the Nielsen poll is that the two-party preferred response on respondent-allocated preferences, which is not published by Fairfax, is at 54.5-45.5 considerably stronger for Labor than the headline result from previous election preferences. This may reflect a swelling in Greens support from the ranks of disaffected Labor identifiers, and a consequent increase in the Greens preference flow to Labor in comparison with the 2013 election result – which may in turn suggest the headline two-party result from the poll flattered the Coalition a little.
The other aspect of the latest BludgerTrack result which may raise an eyebrow is the strength of the Labor swing in Queensland, which also blew out excessively in January before moderating considerably thereafter. The Queensland breakdown from this week’s Nielsen played its part, showing Labor ahead 53-47 for a swing of around 10%. However, in this case the Nielsen is not out on a limb, providing the model with one of five Queensland data points from the past four weeks which all show Labor in the lead, with two-party results ranging from 51.1% to 56.5% (keeping in mind that sample sizes are in some cases below 200). The scattered state results provided by Morgan are not included in the model, but its poll release last week reported that Labor held a lead in Queensland of 51-49.
Nielsen also provides new data points for leadership ratings, and in keeping with the general weakness of the poll for the Coalition, their addition to the model puts Bill Shorten’s net approval rating back in front of Tony Abbott’s, and returns the narrowing trajectory to the preferred prime minister trendlines.
zoomster@1441
I wouldn’t really say that about me.
I am OK with most Indian Curries but not the really fiercely hot ones that cause you to experience ‘the ring of fire’ the following day.
My favourites are Beef Rendang (Malaysian and Indonesian) and Thai Massaman. These are relatively mild, particularly the Massaman which is hardly a curry at all.
The recipes for Rendang seem to vary so an Indonesian Rendang will taste rather different to the Malaysian version and there are probably variations from region to region.
Highly recommended and enjoyed by my 4yo grand daughter from a quite early age.
Kezza, because one main self-protective areas of “social skill” lying is to protect one’s privacy, then it is very much an individual matter. Privacy means different things to different people.
However on the assumption that you are not just game playing, I will bother to give you an example which as a feminist I would have thought you would already know.
A very small proportion of adult sexual assaults are reported. A still smaller proportion of victims agree to press charges.
The reason ……. privacy. It is often referred to as further abuse by the legal process. Here are some examples.
Victims may not want their prior sexual history trotted out. They may not want others to know of the fact that they were “silly enough” to get raped. They may not want their aged parents to find out, and be worried. They may not want their partner to find out. They may not want their kids to find out. Or there acquaintances or workmates. If a teacher, they may not want the schoolkids to find out.
Since lying about these things in court has serious consequences, their only option is not to proceed.
However in their private life, victims will rightly lie the very same things, about what may have happened, for the very same reasons they did not report or legally proceed with the matter.
I assume you have read Lizzie’s comment about “white lies”. By and large society accepts white lies, but they are in fact lies, and they serve a social purpose.
confessions
Tragic I know, but I find fhe BOF saga fascinating. 😀
[1402
confessions
Pretty much. The increasingly presidential nature of Australian politics has been apparent for a while now.]
Fair point.
mari@1443
There may be some very hot Malaysian curries, but I have not encountered any. Of course Malaysia has an Indian minority who probably do the hot curries.
confessions
[the NT govt looks to be mired in chaos and dysfunction.]
The whole lot of them could fit in a mini bus and a faction in a phone booth so it is natural that it be “volatile”.
I noticed Mike Seccombe this morning referring to the so-called “Sunshine Act” in the US, which “compel(s) all medical professionals to publicly declare individual payments…greater than $10…on the basis that sunlight (is) the best disinfectant”.
This reminded me of the old vampire movies where Dracula had to curtail his nefarious activities once the sun came up.
So sing along with Count Tony (carrying through with his knights and dames routine) as he laments any scrutiny on his government’s modus operandi.
Cue: “Sunshine on my Shoulders” by John Denver.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ybeke7_d1zE
Sunshine on my scheming is so crappy
Sunshine on my lies can make me cry
Sunshine on AWH doesn’t look so lovely
Sunshine friggin’ always shrinks my pie
:- (
If on everyday I could con you
T’would be on a slack media I’d depend
I’d have RC’s just into the lefties
And a wind-up notice to ICAC I’d send
:- (
Sunshine is like a cross to Dracula
Sunshine is like kryptonite to Superman
Sunshine means no on-water operations
Sunshine means on news can’t slap a ban
:- (
If I couldn’t doctor terms of reference
I’d run the risk of the truth will out
Without Rupe’s support and a cowed Auntie
Guided democracy would be down the spout
:- (
Sunshine is like garlic to a vampire
Sunshine, to our interests, an antidote
Sunshine means we can’t crap on willy-nilly
Sunshine friggin’ always is a joke
Sunshine never ever floats my boat…
poroti@1447
Agree.
I have tried quite a number but singled out the Massaman as particularly mild. So mild you could confidently give it to a non-curry eater.
vic
You sound like you had a good childhood, and you never had to fear your dad. Mum always used dad as a weapon, unless she did it herself.
It didn’t make any of us hate mum, but we certainly hated dad.
Possibly because it was a totally unfair physical confrontation. Mum was such a dot, in size.
Mum changed after she had my two younger siblings. They never got belted. Never even got smacked. I like to think that that was when she started to become ‘liberated.’
Dad never tried to beat me again until I was 17. So Sister Annette’s threat lasted for five years. By then, I was home from boarding school, used to being independent, and not afraid of him in terms of the law, although afraid that his anger might turn physical.
Once I grabbed a broom to defend myself, yelling that I would the police. He stopped. In family folklore that was the time I became a witch. You know, broomstick.
You don’t stop loving your dad. You start to understand them. My poor old dad had to look after his family from the age of 13. And he did it to the best of his ability for 70 years. His mother and his four siblings, and then his wife and family and almost 40 grandkids. He never understood feeble females.
Dave #1436
It’d be interesting to be a fly on the wall as they enter the studio for Insiders, as they wait for the show to begin, and as they exit.
During the usual guest interview I guess they at least pretend to be studiously attentive to what’s going on ….. far easier for Secombe than to actually look Gerard or Piers in the eye (not that I think Gerard would actually look up and out …. he seems to be almost in a foetal position on many Sundays, and staring downwards).
victoria:
It is indeed fascinating. And there’s still more of all this yet to play out!
poroti:
Yeah, but this lot really, really do appear chaotic and dysfunctional!
psyclaw
Yeah, I thought once I had drawn you out, it had to have something to do with sexual activity or proclivity.
And this is the basis of all lying.
The most basic bodily function, after breathing and evacuation of rubbish, it all boils down to what we humans privately think about sex.
If we weren’t so lied to about sexual activity then it might become less an evil, something to lie about, if adults weren’t so obsessed with it.
While my younger sister and brother missed out on the luxury of physical assault, they weren’t so lucky with the next nun at our primary school.
There they were assaulted by a nun obsessed with sexuality. They had to put their heads on the desk, surrounded by their arms – and no peeking – and to raise a finger if they’d had impure thoughts.
When one child bravely asked what constituted an impure thought, she told them in graphic detail. And if they raised a finger, she ostracised them.
What a way to get kids to concentrate.
I mean what is it to you about what anybody else thinks about sex? Why would I lie if you asked if I masturbated, for instance? Or fantasised about having sex with my mother or father or brother or sister? I could say yes or no. And you wouldn’t believe me, one way or the other. I could be lying or telling the truth. How would you know?
If I asked you if you fantasised having sex with children, and you said No, would I have to assume you were telling the truth or telling a lie. It’s a fucking stupid question.
You’re in a no-win situation. So what’s the bloody point of it. It doesn’t give you insight into anything, unless it’s an insight into your own sordid imagination.
bemused
The Green is my curry of choice for introducing peeps to spicy food.
Another fantastic recipe is the Sri Lankan Kukul Mas dish. This is a mild recipe . Normally they will require 20+ hot chillie pods but the spice list makes for some amazing smells and flavours.
[Roasted Curry Powder:
1 tablespoon uncooked rice
4 tablespoons coriander seeds
2 tablespoons cumin seeds
2 tablespoons fennel seeds
2-inch (5-cm) cinnamon stick
1/2 teaspoon fenugreek seeds
1 teaspoon black peppercorns
1 teaspoon black mustard seeds
1 teaspoon turmeric powder
5 cardamom pods, shelled
5 cloves
2-inch (5-cm) piece pandanus (optional)
2 sprigs curry leaves]
http://www.seriouseats.com/recipes/2012/05/s-h-fernandos-sri-lankan-chicken-curry.html
But why do I have to like curry? Why can’t I just not eat it?
[1449
confessions
Just Me:
Even from way down here, the NT govt looks to be mired in chaos and dysfunction.]
They certainly are now. 😀
[“For what do we live, but to make sport for our neighbours, and laugh at them in our turn?”]
Particularly pleased that Dave Tollner is on the nose. Thoroughly deserved.
[1456
poroti
>confessions
>the NT govt looks to be mired in chaos and dysfunction.
The whole lot of them could fit in a mini bus and a faction in a phone booth so it is natural that it be “volatile”.]
Ah, the joys of a small pond. 🙂
Teachers much prefer dissimulation to outright lying. Most of the report cards they write are masterpieces of dissimulation, which they have become expert at to avoid telling the truth.
Kezza
[When one child bravely asked what constituted an impure thought, she told them in graphic detail. And if they raised a finger, she ostracised them.]
They might have responded that until that moment, they hadn’t thought of that, but they were now concerned that the nun was putting impure thoughts into their heads.
😉
[1289
AussieAchmed
The Abbott lie that pensions would not be touched is compounded by the very fact that his pension, nor that of all polticians, including $275,000 a year Hockey, is not asset tested, is not means tested and they don’t have to wait until 70yrs old. Abbott will have a pension of over $300,000 per year
These are the people who are making the decision that you will work until 70yr old and that your assets, that is the home you live in, will be used to assess how much they can reduce your pension.
{Plus a similar post by zoidlord yesterday.} ]
Some pigs are more equal than others.
Diog
indeed. I had some truly shattering experiences after telling the truth to parents. Strangely, I thought that was what they wanted…
Being charming and smiling a lot was a much safer option.
1465
In case Mirabella persuades the government to have you deported to India?
z
[indeed. I had some truly shattering experiences after telling the truth to parents. Strangely, I thought that was what they wanted…
Being charming and smiling a lot was a much safer option.]
It has to be said that I have the same problem as a doctor.
Princeton study concludes the US is no longer a democracy: more accurately categorised as an oligarchy.
http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/princeton-experts-say-us-no-longer-democracy
[Particularly pleased that Dave Tollner is on the nose. Thoroughly deserved.]
Agreed.
zoomster:
The best part about being able to cook is that you can eat whatever the hell you like.
Just Me
Edit needed.
[Ah, the joys of a small
pondpuddle. :)]That said , my time in Darwin and the NT remains one of life’s best EVA times. A testament of my love of the NT is my name of the Wisdom Bar’s “Wall of Wisdom” . 🙂
z
It can be really hard to tell how much “truth” any person wants. As TS Eliot said;
“Humankind cannot bear very much reality.”
poroti@1464
Ah, poroti, you are obviously much more into it than I am.
I usually cheat by using a packet mix.
I was thinking you would be more into haggis from your Scots roots and maybe a Hangi from your NZ background. 😀
zoomster@1465
You could say that about any food.
You are just missing out on something enjoyable.
Fran
[They might have responded that until that moment, they hadn’t thought of that, but they were now concerned that the nun was putting impure thoughts into their heads.]
Exactly what happened. Previously sheltered children were now becoming promiscuous.
I had a thought it was to do with making more children available (wrenched away from <16 yo wenches) to be adopted by good Christian families.
Why were so many good Catholic families unblessed by children? Aversion to sex? Infertility? Money-making?
A strange thing for a church to be involved in child-trafficking. But they were.
But I thought that Giles’ lot just won a mini election. Now it seems that was an outlier.
Diogenes
I felt sorry for the doctors who were trying desperately to pretend to my OH that his condition might improve. Above his head I nodded, and smiled, and said “I understand”, just to put them out of their misery.
Diogenes@1468
It was all clarified for me in the Blues Brothers where Elwood (I think) says: “I didn’t lie… I just… bullshitted.”
So, no need to lie… just bullshit a bit. 😆
Diog
along the same lines, I once heard someone on the radio say that rationalisation was more important to survival than sex!
bemused
but what if I simply don’t like it…which is what happens to be the truth?
1402
confessions
Pretty much. The increasingly presidential nature of Australian politics has been apparent for a while now.
I blame lazy journalist more content to focus on personalities rather than looking into policy & encouraging discourse. Continuation of the age of the selfie & celebrity.
They treat everything like a football match …. the BOF saga included
zoom
[but what if I simply don’t like it …]
An inglorious end to any friendship with curryphiles that have just discoevered this fact?
Kezza
Don’t kid yourself.
You didn’t “draw me out”.
Nor is the lying I am referring to only about sexual matters.
I chose the sexual assault stats and further abuse of victims by the legal system because they constitute a well known area where on the stand, victims would like to not answer the questions or lie, but the consequences of lying are severe such that they just decide that their ongoing privacy is more important than having the offender put on trial.
There are many areas of human frailty where the probability of lies being told is high.
A psychologist who beats his own kids, a lawyer who once stole a car (joy ride), a minister of religion who assaults his wife, a policeman who is an alcoholic, a pokie addicted employee who pilfers from the boss ……. in an appropriate circumstance all will deny their actions and lie. Here the cost of honesty might just be too high.
The list goes on …… and despite your narrow perspective, these are not sexual matters, and you don’t need to be a member of the “secret question club” to be aware of them.
zoomster@1486
There are numerous curries.
You are rejecting all on the basis of one bad experience.
Your choice.
The Cake Is a Lie!
It’s interesting to me the amount of Proddo (Protestant) families who adopted a second child, after the first natural birth.
That’s where the vast bulk of the proceeds of the misdeeds of young Catholic girls ended up.
And it was no different in my sister’s child’s case.
Were the Protestant women too proud to push for the second time. Or too overcome by giving birth or having sex to go at it again.
Why did so many of them adopt other women’s children when they could so easily have had their own?
Or, what was the cause of infertility in so many Proddo women?
The only Catholic women I knew who didn’t have their own children were because of 1st cousin marriages. And they deliberately didn’t conceive because of genetics, but adopted kids.
No wonder the parliament has been overtaken by the Catholics in Australian politics. Too contumely to procreate their own, the Proddos took in the Catholic cuckoo children. And just look what they’ve done.
The poor old Catholic children, the interlopers consumed the Proddo diet of lying. And they, having taught their adopted children to lie so grandly, do so without flinching. Just like we Catholics did.
Liars, all of us.
But they’re excused by the likes of psyclaw, because after all it’s just the human condition.
Diogenes@1468
Never a truer word was spoken.
I am a long term chalkie.
As one example, you couldn’t say that a student didn’t hand in assignments – if they didn’t hand them in, then it was your business to make them do so.
How, I have no idea, since the lash has been disallowed in the teaching profession for some time now.
Instead, I used to say “J….. does not always hand her assignments in on time”
In some cases, I have been waiting for twenty years for those assignments to be handed in, but I live in hope.
bemused
Such “exotic cuisine” contact only happened after leaving Sheepens land. A proper Hangi is still one of the best meals Eva.
A hangi in Quinceland. Totally love the address “Dead Horse Lane, Dalby, Queensland.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b-cci7PuvzY
don@1493
Well at least one educationalist has the answers to such problems. 😀
http://www.frankdando.com.au/
Check it out.
Don’t do your work during the week? No problem, see you Saturday.
zoomster@1465
Of course you don’t have to eat it.
But just the barest hint of curry can enliven a very ordinary dish.
I like goulash and other such stews, and I find that a small amount of curry in a dish that does not actually require it, maybe what is for example ostensibly irish stew, can add flavour without hotness.
If you do make stews, try adding a quarter of a teaspoon of dried curry powder to a big pot of stew. It won’t make it in the least hot, but it will add flavour.
Another good thing is to add a half teaspoon of one of the bottled curry pastes to a stew, again it does not make it hot, but it gives zing to a bland dish.
But an eye watering curry can be a thing of beauty.
[psyclaw
Posted Saturday, April 19, 2014 at 7:06 pm | PERMALINK
Kezza
Don’t kid yourself.
You didn’t “draw me out”.
Nor is the lying I am referring to only about sexual matters.]
Oh, don’t kid yourself, yourself.
Ask yourself why, so many hours after I had asked you about it, that’s all you came up with? It’s pathetic.
You still haven’t answered my question.
You asserted that there are some questions that always elicit a lie.
What are they?
Or were you lying?
Your answer that some professions do misdeeds against a given philosophy isn’t a question. Or an answer.
What are the actual questions.
If you can’t give the questions, then just say so.
[George Brandis says people who say the science is settled on climate change are “ignorant and medieval”.]
Brandis is believed also to be challenging mathematicians who state dogmatically that the square root of 9 is never 5.
He believes that they are also ignorant and medieval, and that they need a strong lecture from Piers Ackerman on allowing free speech.
poroti@1494
I was introduced to that cuisine on the picket line during the Patricks dispute.
A bunch of huge Maori’s rocked up and put it on for all comers. I think they even fed the cops, or at least some of them.
[1477
poroti
Just Me
Edit needed.
“Ah, the joys of a small
pondpuddle.” 🙂 ]Geez, you know how to crush a man’s dreams. 🙁
😉
[That said , my time in Darwin and the NT remains one of life’s best EVA times.]
It can be a nice little puddle at times.
Just about to hit the best time of year here, early-mid dry. I will think of you all down the southern ways, freezing, while I decide if it is cold enough to shut the front door and break out my long sleeved shirt. Happened nearly three times last dry. 😛