BludgerTrack: 50.0-50.0

The Coalition lead in Newspoll causes the two parties to reach parity on the BludgerTrack poll aggregate, while Tony Abbott pulls ahead of Bill Shorten on net approval.

New results from Newspoll, Essential Research and Morgan has put BludgerTrack back to the position of two-party parity it was at three weeks ago, after which Labor was up to 51.8% and then 50.9%. They have also ironed out the brief slump recorded by the Greens last week, who have progressed from 11.3% to 8.9% to 10.4%. This week’s gain has come entirely at the expense of Labor, with the Coalition vote unchanged. On the seat projection, the Coalition is back in majority government territory, the meter having ticked in their favour by two seats in New South Wales and one each in Queensland and Western Australia. After a quiet spot last week, new leadership figures have emerged from Newspoll and Essential Research, and they find Tony Abbott with a rare lead over Bill Shorten on net approval, although preferred prime minister remains in the stasis it assumed in early December.

Also note that coverage of the Western Australian Senate count is ongoing on the dedicated thread, with a Liberal victory in the final seat looking increasingly likely.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,173 comments on “BludgerTrack: 50.0-50.0”

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  1. kezza2@1640

    bemused

    Un-install any drivers for that printer you may have previously installed. Re-start your computer and do a fresh install.


    Actually there’s another printer installed on the computer. I asked my son today if that could be preventing the installation of this printer. But he was too distracted.

    Could that be the problem?

    To me it shouldn’t be, but maybe it is, for some illogical reason.

    BTW, the printer that is installed is no longer operative, or at least no longer available. I’ve never seen it.

    I agree it ‘shouldn’t be’ the problem, but if you no longer have the printer then why not delete the driver just in case?

  2. davidwh@1648

    Dave that’s certainly not my experience except where sport is concerned.

    These comments from Swampy ring bells with my experience –

    [ This attitude: pompous, dishonest and without knowledge of history is why I left Queensland. Truly, I think, the most ignorant society I have ever been in.

    Some were intelligent and inquisitive but most gloried in their anti-intellectual resentment. ]

    Each to their own.

    Traveling in Texas many years ago reminded me of being in Qld very much.

  3. Yes, the USA is really in a terrible state.

    A friend of mine went over there last year for a holiday and she could not believe the amount of homeless in the streets. In New York, the parks are filled with homeless people occupying spots to sleep at night.

    This from the worlds largest economy.

    Effen hell!

  4. briefly

    The candidates were Joe Kelly, 38, a clinical nurse working in Intensive Care Unit and Rehab Co-ordinator for Acute Stroke Patients. He works at a private hospital as he is an active Nurses Union member, and feared retribution from Newman.

    He also has a long history in Labor Politics, delegate to State Conference, National Policy Forum etc. He has an intimate knowledge of the electorate – P& C committees etc.

    The other was David Matters, 36, plumber by trade, but also established his own small business a few years ago. He has lived in the electorate most of his adult life, and played Aussie Rules for Coorparoo. He has established a good network in the electorate.

    He has a Union background and has recruited many people to join his Union, and fought long and hard for them.

    They both present well and have a common touch approach.

  5. Kezza

    Sorry I cannot help much with your problem, only suggest you get your printing done at a local tech shop etc – take the file on a memory stick.

    I throw out my printers once they cause me grief etc and get a replacement for under $80 which lasts for years apart from refills.

    Printing a few labels won’t cost much.

  6. I forgot to mention that both candidates have degrees in Business Management – one in health, the other in management and human resources.

    David Matters is an official of the ASU as a delegate and industrial negotiator.

  7. feeney@1659

    I forgot to mention that both candidates have degrees in Business Management – one in health, the other in management and human resources.

    David Matters is an official of the ASU as a delegate and industrial negotiator.

    Can the loser have a crack at another seat?

  8. Oh goodie, the Pope, Mr. Infallible himself, has deemed it appropriate to apologise and ask forgiveness for the systemic racket of child rape in his church.

    The Boston Globe called this move ‘unprecedented’. Let me make it clear – am apology for child rape is UNPRECEDENTED in an organisation that describes itself as the sole guardian of universal, absolute moral truth (how humble, how meek, by the way).

    Anyone convinced of this claim to moral supremacy? Anyone?

  9. Centre

    They lost first game against Greater western Sydney.
    They lost second game against collingwood
    They won third game against Adelaide, where Buddy played well
    Tomorrow they play North Melbourne.

  10. victoria@1658

    dave

    Do you see the American people revolting against the system anytime soon?

    Vic – Probably not soon. Think many struggle with the BS, but others are coming round to see special interests, big money and big business, including the military industrial complex are way ahead of them in every regard and they are at the bottom of the pile – on any category your care to name.

    Their role is low wages for most, as consumers who get to vote, but it changes nothing.

    When I was growing up in the 1960’s we all saw the US as able to do almost anything. Now I just shake my head.

  11. Bemused

    I certainly hope so, comrade.

    There are some surrounding seats but I think ballots were conducted there today, too.

    We were lucky to have two outstanding candidates to choose from.

  12. Imagine if a secular organisation… let’s say Apple or some other large, multinational entity took this long to apologise and ask forgiveness for the cover-up of child rape by its employees. Would the press be lined up to applaud the moral fibre of the CEO who finally did this or would the reaction be more like “about fucking time”?

  13. The Catholic church is, and has always been, held to a different standard due to its contacts and influence in the “Halls of Power” as it were.

  14. bemused

    Thanks for your help. I’ll uninstall the ‘really’ obsolete printers. And try again.

    dave

    [Sorry I cannot help much with your problem, only suggest you get your printing done at a local tech shop etc – take the file on a memory stick.

    I throw out my printers once they cause me grief etc and get a replacement for under $80 which lasts for years apart from refills.

    Printing a few labels won’t cost much.]

    The problem is, dave, I like to check with preview what I’m actually printing, that it’s what I want, and I resent time-wasting (although you could argue I have done that already) by wasting another person’s work time (not to mention trees, isn’t that what the paperless revolution is all about) with what I want to achieve.

    BTW, between pondering this problem over the course of the day, I have also denuded my yard of oak leaves, from the tree next door. Denuded a couple of cupboards of extraneous plasticware (all boxed up for a drop-off at Vinnies) and once again cleared the house of spider webs.

    Think I’ve mentioned before, it’s spider central here. De-cobwebbing has to be done at least once a week or I’d turn into Ms Haversham. Note: I’ve updated her marital status.

  15. dave

    Whilst the majority believe the system is not gamed, those who find fhemselves on the scrap heap will garner no empahy for their plight.
    In any case, those working three jobs now, were never part of the middle class. They were always working class, but now having to work more hours for their labor

  16. Everything

    “The Catholic church is, and has always been, held to a different standard due to its contacts and influence in the “Halls of Power” as it were.”

    I’d say that forms a part of it, for sure. The other part is that it’s a religious entity and therefore seen as beyond the realm of mere secular morality and power.

  17. #1668 is pseudo provocation masquerading as pseudo intellectualism. That’s why I reply “about” rather than”to” the post.

    The classic “why do dogs lick their testicles?” holds a clue to the answer.

  18. [victoria
    Posted Saturday, April 12, 2014 at 9:50 pm | PERMALINK
    Apparently co pilot made call after malaysian plane went off flight path]

    Not since 911 have so many cell phone calls been made to so many people from people inflight and have never gotten through.

    You’d think with the advances in technology since 2001 that ever fucker in every flight would be able to contact someone somewhere.

    But it hasn’t happened since.

    Funny about that.

  19. Victoria, cool, go the Cats if not the Swans 😈

    For those interested, my long term projection as it stands (reserve the right to change mind according to injuries and form) for the top 8 in the NRL (not in any real order) are:

    – South Sydney
    – Manly
    – Roosters
    – Bulldogs
    – Titans
    – Tigers
    – Broncos
    – Storm

    😯

  20. [psyclaw
    Posted Saturday, April 12, 2014 at 10:06 pm | PERMALINK
    #1668 is pseudo provocation masquerading as pseudo intellectualism.]

    Where I come from, we call it a question.

    [ That’s why I reply “about” rather than”to” the post.]

    Gosh yous is cleva! :devil:

  21. [Again, my experience of the place which was mainly North Queensland, but I found the place insular all over.]

    I think this is one thing most of us share. No matter where I am in Australia I find most people believe where they are is the centre of the universe and everybody from everywhere else is weird. The second part of that is of course true. Certainly most of the PBer’s seem to agree. But what would I know, I’m from Qld.

  22. Kezza –

    [ The problem is, dave, I like to check with preview what I’m actually printing, that it’s what I want, ]

    A local tech should be able to do that in a heart beat with the file you want printed is on a memory stick and then print if OK ? ie print centred etc where you want it etc.

    Sorry, but we may be taking at cross purposes.

  23. [kevjohnno
    Posted Saturday, April 12, 2014 at 10:20 pm | PERMALINK
    Again, my experience of the place which was mainly North Queensland, but I found the place insular all over.

    I think this is one thing most of us share. No matter where I am in Australia I find most people believe where they are is the centre of the universe and everybody from everywhere else is weird. The second part of that is of course true. Certainly most of the PBer’s seem to agree. But what would I know, I’m from Qld.]

    Wouldn’t worry about it, kev.

    Every time I’ve been in Qld, I’ve found the inhabitants to be well-informed Australians.

    Of course there’s the ignorami, but then they’re to be found all over the place. Especially in the Liberal-National parties heartlands.

    And I don’t mean they’re dumb, not by any stretch of the imagination, they just live their lives for their own benefit. They’re the competitors with the Joneses.

    And they think they’ve failed if they haven’t made or earned more than the folk next door; worse they love it when the folk next door get into trouble so that they can feel better than them, rather than giving them a helping hand up a rung.

    They’re too scared of helping people in case those very people get ahead of them.

    But that’s the crux of the philosophy of individualism – the heart of the LNP.

    It’s mostly about fear. Fear of failure. Fear of not attaining what matters to the material successful.

  24. dave
    [Sorry, but we may be taking at cross purposes.]

    Not at all. I didn’t even think that a printing service would be able to help. I just hate wasting peoples’ time.

    But, good idea. Thanks.

  25. victoria@1675

    dave

    Whilst the majority believe the system is not gamed, those who find fhemselves on the scrap heap will garner no empahy for their plight.
    In any case, those working three jobs now, were never part of the middle class. They were always working class, but now having to work more hours for their labor

    Vic –

    I am making different points –

    – Many of the previous middle class are indeed working multiple jobs, including huge numbers of people with college degrees who are flipping burgers or far worse on about $7 an hour with no benefits. Plus they still have huge student loans plus debts to the government for college.

    – These are people who were middle class but no longer. Retirement is fantasy for them as they will never have the means.

    – From what I read read few Americans now do not not believe the system is gamed. Most know it is and the pot is boiling.

    No one know how that will be resolved or when, but a lot of unhappy and increasingly desperate people.

    – The likes of WalMart deliberately underpay workers knowing the government will provide food stamps to their employees so that they can survive, eat etc but not much more. It is a deliberate employment strategy by the like of WalMart and others to get corporate welfare.

    Plenty of websites etc around to support what I am alluding to.

  26. @Spur212/1688

    The first paragraph should be:

    “Prime Minister Tony Abbott is poised to break every key election promise starting with cutting funding to the ABC, with the key question now being how much money should be cut.”

  27. [spur212
    Posted Saturday, April 12, 2014 at 10:28 pm | PERMALINK
    Very surprised to not see this posted here yet]

    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/abbott-to-break-abc-no-cuts-promise-20140412-zqty9.html

    Well, what else can we say about another Abbott broken promise. This time to the beloved ABC. Abbott’s trash-dog schmoozer’s on the job.

    [A spokesman for the Prime Minister referred questions about the ABC funding promise to the office of Communications Minister Malcolm Turnbull.

    A spokesman for Mr Turnbull said: “We don’t speculate on the budget”.]

    If I was Abbott, I’d be a bit wary about Friends of the ABC. If they’re hobbled, then Dog Help Us. But if they’re not, then Pity Help Abbott.

  28. The Abbott breaking election promise by cutting funding to the ABC story has been online for three hours plus and this place has been dead silent …

    I’m speechless!

  29. [ kevjohnno
    Posted Saturday, April 12, 2014 at 10:20 pm | Permalink

    But what would I know, I’m from Qld. ]

    Part of the point thats being made ie others view of Qld.

    It ain’t pretty.

  30. dave

    I do get the points you are making. Whilst i concur with most of what you say, i dont believe these people were ever middle class. I know they were most likely indentified as such, but in my view If a person has to provide his/her labor in exchange for money, than that person is working class.

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