Seat of the week: Kingston

Seat of the week continues mopping up South Australia in the wake of the recent state election, this week visiting Amanda Rishworth’s southern suburbs seat of Kingston.

Red and blue numbers respectively indicate booths with two-party majorities for Labor and Liberal. Click for larger image. Map boundaries courtesy of Ben Raue at The Tally Room.

A traditionally marginal seat that has strengthened considerably for Labor over the past decade, Kingston covers the outer southern coastal suburbs of Adelaide, from Hallett Cove through Port Noarlunga to Sellicks Beach, and extends inland at its northern end to Happy Valley and Morphett Vale. When created with the expansion of parliament in 1949 it was based further north around Glenelg and Brighton, its then southernmost suburb of Hallett Cove being the only area still in the electorate today. Glenelg was hived off to since-abolished Hawker in 1984, and Brighton was absorbed by Boothby in the rearrangement caused by Hawker’s abolition in 1993.

Kingston had a notional Labor margin of 6.8% upon its creation, but the landslide that ejected the Chifley government from office saw the defeat of their candidate Thomas Sheehy, who had been the member for Boothby since 1943. Pat Galvin won the seat for Labor in 1951, and retained it on variable margins until 1966. It was then caught up in the statewide convulsions of 1966 and 1969, which produced double-digit swings first to Liberal and then to Labor in both Kingston specifically and South Australia as a whole. The Liberals thus held the seat for one term before it returned emphatically to Labor with Richard Gun’s victory in 1969. Kingston subsequently changed hands with the next three changes of government, being held during the Fraser years by Grant Chapman (later to return as a Senator in 1987), during the Hawke years by Gordon Bilney, and for the first term of the Howard government by Susan Jeanes. However, Jeanes did not emerge from the 1996 victory with enough fat on her margin to withstand the GST backlash of 1998, when Labor’s David Cox prevailed by 763 votes on the back of a 2.5% swing.

David Cox held the seat for Labor for two terms in opposition before suffering defeat in 2004 by a margin of 119 votes, having been handicapped by the electorate’s acquisition of the McLaren Vale area in the redistribution caused by the reduction in South Australia’s representation from 12 seats to 11. There followed a swing to the Liberals of 1.4%, which was precisely what Liberal candidate Kym Richardson required to win the seat. However, Richardson’s narrow win gave him no buffer to protect himself against the move to Labor at the 2007 election, although the 4.5% swing was below the South Australian average.

The seat has since been held for Labor by Amanda Rishworth, who achieved the best result of any Labor member at the 2010 election in picking up a 9.5% swing. She was assisted in some degree when Kym Richardson’s comeback bid was scuttled after it emerged he was the subject of a police investigation into allegations he had impersonated a police officer as he sought to have a hotel manager withdraw an allegation of assault against his son. Police did not proceed with a charge of impersonating a police officer as the statute of limitations had expired, and he was eventually acquitted on a charge of attempting to pervert the course of justice. Going into the 2013 election she received a 0.9% boost when the redistribution caused McLaren Vale to be moved back into Mayo, a consequence of the electorate’s population growth. The subsequent swing against her was 4.9%, well in line with a statewide result of 5.5% and leaving her with a secure margin of 9.7%.

Prior to entering parliament, Rishworth was a psychologist and an organiser for the Shop Distributive and Allied Employees Association, which dominates the state party’s Right faction. She won promotion in March 2013 to parliamentary secretary for sustainability and disabilities, and was reassigned to the health portfolio following the September 2013 election defeat.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

382 comments on “Seat of the week: Kingston”

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  1. Whoo Hoo.

    My son and his wife are just about to leave the Canary Islands for Munich, after their delayed honeymoon.

    Isn’t flight-tracker a wonderful thang.

    Except when they’re 9kms from landing and they disappear from radar.

  2. Apart from references back to 2009, and before he became Liberal leader (not that that means it’s no longer in scope), but I can only find this on Abbott and no fault divorce:

    [**** I will stress this is rumour only, but it came from a knowledgeable source who works in the area of supporting families through separation / divorce *********

    Tony Abbott is rumoured to have a personal desire to abolish Australia’s no fault divorce system and wind back to the clock to finding cause for a divorce and an “at fault” party.

    In reality he is unlikely to garner enough support from the liberal party to bring these “reforms” in if he does find himself prime minister later in the year.]
    http://www.essentialbaby.com.au/forums/index.php?/topic/1096603-abolition-of-no-fault-divorce/

    It’s from a baby forum, so doesn’t hold much weight for me.

  3. victoria:

    I think it’s good to target specific religious and cultural minority groups on this.

    I can’t believe how out of touch this govt is.

  4. confessions
    Posted Sunday, March 30, 2014 at 8:31 pm | PERMALINK
    kezza, Puffy:

    What?! I was semi kinda joking.

    FMG, surely not?]

    Don’t you pretend it’s just a joke.

    Here’s Abbott in 2009.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2009-07-14/abbotts-divorce-proposal-ludicrous/1352668

    Considering the stupid bastard can introduce knights and dames without consultation with cabinet, what do you think the dickhead will do on this belief?

    He hasn’t changed his mind.

  5. kezza:

    Yes, I found the same articles.

    I had no recollection of Abbott’s prior statements on no-fault divorce. But it doesn’t surprise me one bit. Abbott has set the bar very low in terms of my expectations. Even lower as PM if that’s even possible.

    I said earlier this govt appears to have no real agenda for its first term apart from settling old ideological scores. Given Abbott is on public record on reversing no-fault divorce laws, surely we have to conclude that’s on the agenda somewhere?

  6. When you’ve watched Abbott buttering up to women, giving them the come on, over the years, and you just know that he’s succumbed to getting his end in, you know what a bleeding hypocrite he is.

    Especially when he tells everyone he’s told his daughters to avoid copulation before marriage. What a dick.

    The fact that he couldn’t sire a boy child fills me with immense satisfaction.

    He must have been able to supply X chromosomes only. What a feminine twat. Must kill him. Ha fucking ha. Could’t have happened to a nicer misogynist.

  7. I suspect Tones will have been warned that there is to be no more freelancing and captain’s picks. Howard’s rebuttal of the dames and knights decision would have been devastating for Tone – his hero basically saying he was out of touch. The resentment is clearly building and Turnbull poking fun suggests he isnt afraid of Abbott.

  8. ething ?

    Bolt wrote 2 offending articles (2009) in particular ( all his articles are offensive that’s his stock )

    He was sued in the Federal Court for breach of the Racial Discrimination Act part IIA Sections 18D &C. ( not for any money!)

    Justice Bromberg delivered a blunt assessment of both the racial offence caused by Bolt and his professionalism as a journalist.

    From Crickey http://www.crikey.com.au/2011/09/28/bolt-decision-guilty-of-discrimination-judge-declares/?wpmp_switcher=mobile&comments=0
    ….
    And it wasn’t just racial hatred at stake — Bolt was also a sloppy journalist, Bromberg said, that had cynically penned the pieces in a bald-faced attempt to be “destructive of racial tolerance”. The provocative “manner” in which Bolt bent his keyboard was crucial.

    “The reasons for that conclusion have to do with the manner in which the articles were written, including that they contained errors of fact, distortions of the truth and inflammatory and provocative language,” he said.

    Bolt could have been sued for deformation ( including imputation of fraud by Bolt against some named in the articles) …..

    http://defamationwatch.com.au/?p=184

    In his judgment Bromberg found against Bolt & took into account in balance the ” .. the silencing consciousness upon freedom of expression involved in the Court making a finding of contravention” see par 25 in link below..

    http://media.crikey.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/Eatock-vs-Bolt-federal-court-judgement.pdf

    So this is all about Bolt being found to be a useless sloppy lazy inaccurate journalist…. that’s what hurts the delusional fool….. nothing to do with freedom of speech. Maybe he should have been sued for defamation

  9. From 2009

    [Under Mr Abbott’s plan, couples would be given the option of being married under a new law akin to the now-defunct Matrimonial Causes Act, a fault-based system of divorce…….”Something akin to Matrimonial Causes Act marriage ought to be an option for people who would like it,” Mr Abbott said. “Even though [marriage] is probably the most important commitment that any human being can make, in fact there are many, many contracts which are harder to enter and harder to get out of than this one.”]

    http://www.smh.com.au/national/battlelines-are-drawn-with-a-nod-to-family-tradition-20090711-dgp1.html#ixzz2xRG9HPeI

    😆 from the link

    [“I think it’s inconceivable that he [Mr Turnbull] won’t lead us to the next election, and I think Malcolm is very much in the mainstream of the Liberal Party thinking,” Mr Abbott said.]

  10. Grrrrrrrrrrrrunnnnt!

    Actually my younger brother reminds me of the idiot Abbott.

    After 6 (six) girls no less, his wife finally gave birth to a boy. Oh joy.

    Did that little sonny jim get the best of everything. You bet. And he’s just as stupid as Abbott.

    Except, thankfully, his wife gave birth to a boy child. He’s now calmed to idiocy.

    Abbott’s daughters must look at him with complete incomprehension. Mum’s okay, she’s working for a living; dad’s fucked if he isn’t riding a bike.

    Or telling us what to do with our bodies.

    And being a hypocrite, like Pell.

    Do you think they care?

  11. “I think it’s inconceivable that he [Mr Turnbull] won’t lead us to the next election, and I think Malcolm is very much in the mainstream of the Liberal Party thinking,” Mr Abbott said.

    LOL I bet Team Abbott no longer subscribe to this line of thought.

  12. I seriously can’t imagine not taking Dad to task over his archaic beliefs – when I was 14, not 18, 19 or 20.

    I can’t imagine Dad telling me to save myself for my husband, after growing up knowing of his infidelity; his hypocrisy.My supposed half-brother, then to be told my dad had fucked someone who had cheated on him.

    But, I suppose I can seriously take advantage of money, when that’s all the only measure of success that’s been instilled in me.

  13. Am curious if there has been much of a stink in WA about the reduced GST carve up for the West.
    Given WA was another of Abbott’s besties before the election was wondering if there was any blowback against the federal coalition, particularly before the senate recount.

  14. Henry:

    [Treasurer Joe Hockey has imposed an end-of-year deadline on State treasurers to lower the GST threshold to make consumers pay more for online purchases.

    Although other States would like the $1000 GST-free threshold reduced, WA Treasurer Mike Nahan is reluctant to do anything that leads to WA losing more GST revenue to other States.

    Dr Nahan also indicated yesterday that WA was in no rush to take up Mr Hockey’s offer of a “bonus” payment if States privatised assets and invested the proceeds in building new infrastructure, saying his priority remained paying off State Government debt.

    The treasurers’ meeting in Canberra was dominated by talks on infrastructure and the GST.]
    http://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/wa/a/22258537/hockey-gets-tough-on-online-goods/

    Our new Treasurer might be an IPA hack, but so far he’s showing more balls than Buswell ever did in standing up to the federal govt.

    I admit to surprisement at this point in time.

  15. Thanks confessions but am sure i read somewhere WA’s GST carve up was being reduced to it’s lowest level ever, something like 4.5%. Given Abbott’s we hear your pain WA rhetoric re: the GST distribution before the election I thought the reduced amount would have the state in apoplexy.

  16. Henry:

    It’s been in the news here, but hasn’t really dominated from what I’ve seen.

    If this were happening under a federal Labor govt though, you can bet it would be amplified big time.

  17. The cuts to the WA GST share only dominated the news when Colon was yelping that Labor were ripping WA off.

    Now that Abbott/Hockey are doing it all is OK….Liberals- hypocrisy is they name

  18. No doubt the local media let it go through with meek acceptance. Imagine if such an announcement had happened under Julia.
    Sigh…some things never change.
    Thanks connie and Aussie.

  19. If Abbott was literally stabbed in the back by his colleagues, it would be reported as an orderly transfer of power.

  20. Roger Miller@326

    If Abbott was literally stabbed in the back by his colleagues, it would be reported as an orderly transfer of power.

    Literally stubbed? Being facetious or that ‘literally’ snuck in there 🙂

  21. Thomas. Paine.
    Posted Sunday, March 30, 2014 at 5:38 pm | PERMALINK
    ASIO Suckhole Pilbersek demonstrating that the two party system is failing. More power to minor parties.
    ————you have fallen a long way since your brave defence of rudd – your comments are not deserving of your historical name, assuming your name is fictive. can’t wait for missile from you – as i said, big disappointment, you seem lost for anything to say other than bitter regret

  22. You really are a Slave aren’t you, G?

    Trying to convince Roger Miller he meant “stubbed” instead of ‘stabbed’.

    Twat.

    And instead of saying, oops, got that wrong, you try to convince us all that, it’s okay, stubbed = stabbed.

    It’s not okay.

    Miller’s exactly right. If it happened to Abbott,it would be orderly, given the sheepen stupidity of of the CPG.

    If it happened to Shorten, it would be business as usual, by the CPG.

    Why don’t you waken yourself up to the bias of the CPG. You probably can’t see it for the forest.

  23. Abbott may have problems re Gas
    _________________________
    The main gas suppliers in this country would be happy to dismiss the domestic market and sell direct to overseas markets notably China.who hsve s huge appetite for gas for industry and domestic use
    Unless Abbott moves to secure our gas supplies there may be a lot of trouble ahead for consurmers… and unless the gas companies are allowed to hike their prices they may play rather dirty poll

    The media recently looked at the closure in Sydney of a major glass factory which found gas prices so high as to cut their profit margin greatly

    In the same area ,the usually reliable “Asia Times” is reporting( SEE BELOW) what may be the biggest gas deal in history now looming when Putin visits China in May
    The Chinese plan to buy a Trillion dollars worth of Russian gas over the next 10 years,and raise their already huge usage by 25%
    They and the Russians plan to make the deal in rubles and yuan and no longer use the US dollar…which will be a big nlow to the US dollar on the markets

    “Asia Times”comments on what it calls “Pipelineistan” ..that network of pipelines spread across the 5 Central Asian states..and which will link Russia and China in the biggest deal in history…much bigger than…”North Stream “the new line betwen Russia and Germany along the Baltic seabed,and a similar new one…Southstream… across the Black Sea to the Balkan states who are all energy poor

    Does Abbott have much understanding of these vast events now underway
    Australia like Iran,Qatar and Russia is a major gas producer, but

    what are his policies for domestic consumers rights

  24. Abbott may have problems re Gas
    _________________________
    The main gas suppliers in this country would be happy to dismiss the domestic market and sell direct to overseas markets notably China.who hsve s huge appetite for gas for industry and domestic use
    Unless Abbott moves to secure our gas supplies there may be a lot of trouble ahead for consurmers… and unless the gas companies are allowed to hike their prices they may play rather dirty poll

    The media recently looked at the closure in Sydney of a major glass factory which found gas prices so high as to cut their profit margin greatly

    In the same area ,the usually reliable “Asia Times” is reporting( SEE BELOW) what may be the biggest gas deal in history now looming when Putin visits China in May
    The Chinese plan to buy a Trillion dollars worth of Russian gas over the next 10 years,and raise their already huge usage by 25%
    They and the Russians plan to make the deal in rubles and yuan and no longer use the US dollar…which will be a big nlow to the US dollar on the markets

    “Asia Times”comments on what it calls “Pipelineistan” ..that network of pipelines spread across the 5 Central Asian states..and which will link Russia and China in the biggest deal in history…much bigger than…”North Stream “the new line betwen Russia and Germany along the Baltic seabed,and a similar new one…Southstream… across the Black Sea to the Balkan states who are all energy poor

    Does Abbott have much understanding of these vast events now underway
    Australia like Iran,Qatar and Russia is a major gas producer, but

    what are his policies for domestic consumers rights??

    http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Central_Asia/CEN-02-270314.html

  25. [You really are a Slave aren’t you, G?

    Trying to convince Roger Miller he meant “stubbed” instead of ‘stabbed’.

    Twat.

    And instead of saying, oops, got that wrong, you try to convince us all that, it’s okay, stubbed = stabbed.

    It’s not okay.]

    Kezza, are you being funny here intentionally?

  26. It all seemed so easy. Instant notoriety for Oerth: the center of the plane search and all those weeping relatives on the world’s TV screens that night.

    Tourism, glamour,national parliamentary condolence motions, dramatic interviews in front of Poseidon sub hunters, handsome young wing commanders…

    Except…

    Rather than descending on Perth to be closer to the search for the missing flight MH370, dozens of Chinese relatives of those on board the plane have flown to Kuala Lumpur to remonstrate with the Malaysian government.

    Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/world/chinese-relatives-flock-to-malaysia-for-answers-on-mh370-20140330-35rgb.html#ixzz2xRsb3ofC

    and…

    Finding the black box flight recorder of the missing Malaysia Airlines passenger jet is simply ”untenable” as things stand at the moment, the US Navy officer who will lead the search has conceded.

    While many objects have been picked up by the vessels in the past two days, none of them have been identified as part of MH370.

    Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/national/mh370-search-captain-mark-matthews-paints-pessimistic-assessment-of-black-box-search-20140330-35rrs.html#ixzz2xRtkVtSS

    Dear, dear… and with a WA Senate by-election due too.

    Of course, it’s probably still in a hanger on Diego Garcia.

  27. for deblonay (the old russophile who must be sleeping and dreaming on russian Lebensraum ridding corrupted western europe once and for all of fascism – for what worth i have been saying below for weeks – this is after all a site/blog about electoral processes — comment not mine below but of interest

    ——————
    also don’t think the issue with Crimea is done either. Russia may have it for now but I serious doubts about their ability to hold on to it. According to leaked FSB data only 34.2% of Crmieans actually voted in the so called “referendum” which is far below the 50% threshold that was required for it to even be adopted. This data is being vetted by the honorable Mustafa Dzhemilev and is consistent with all polling of the region since Ukraine’s independence which never showed majority support for unity with Russia.

  28. o no deblonay alive – …

    so, more. today putin rings obama. now who fears who? i think prospect of sanctions bite … and would never trust putin to pour milk. interesting few days

  29. deblonay

    1) do you want putin to annex all or part of ukraine?
    2) would you support russian annexation of any other territory?
    3) do you identify any what you term fascist elements in russia?
    4) if yes to 3) more or less than western europe?

  30. Well, you can keep me company while I track my kids on TUI63M.

    Should land at Munich within the hour – and a bit.

    http://www.flightradar24.com/TUI63M/30090ac

    Regarding the lost Malaysian Flight.

    Jeez it’s hard not to go with BB, given his straight-shootin’ up till now.

    Still, I wonder why they think it’s in the Indian Ocean. I guess it’s because there’s been no sight of it anywhere else.

  31. That they acted as though they found likely debris given guessed flight paths and durations and speed an altitude, a total wild guess…beggars belief. total BS.

    Got to wonder at the value of JORN if it couldn’t identify and have a track for this..then what is its purpose…likewise the US spy facility…nothing?

    Awaiting a stories of ghosts planes like ghost ships…flying around…

  32. Jolyon Wagg

    [I think you will find that BB is taking the piss with the whole Diego Garcia thing.]

    Nyeh. I thought that at first, ndt at second, and at third. But to keep on, is that really taking the piss.

    Or hoping to take the piss, when it all goes awry?

    Dunno.

    It’s a good theory, though.

    Cos not a lot of else is making much sense.

    Except for another ‘ghost ride’ a la hypoxia.

  33. I the thing is in the Indian ocean according to the current theory then the chances of finding it are nil….since the likely crash site could be just about anywhere.

  34. GhostWhoVotes ‏@GhostWhoVotes 46 secs
    #Newspoll Jan-Mar Quarterly 2 Party Preferred: L/NP 48 (-3) ALP 52 (+3) #auspol
    Expand

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