The BludgerTrack yo-yo moves in Labor’s direction this week, returning to almost exactly where it was a fortnight ago after lurching to 50.1-49.9 in favour of the Coalition last week. The movement last week was driven by a 51-49 lead to the Coalition in Nielsen, while this week’s comes on the back of three strong results for Labor from Newspoll, Morgan and Essential, with the former having the greatest weight in the model. The primary vote results are notable for having the Greens at a new high for the current term, and a look at the charts suggests the recent move in their favour is more than just statistical noise.
On the seat projection, Labor is up 11 this week after losing 10 last week, the distribution of gains being two from New South Wales, one from Victoria, four from Queensland, two from Western Australia and one each from South Australia and the Northern Territory. This is the second week in a row that four seats have shifted on the Queensland projection, emphasising the point that the state remains a target-rich environment for marginal seats. Newspoll also provides a new set of results for leadership ratings, which produce only negligible shifts on last week’s numbers.
BK
Looks good from what i can see on tv
Boerwar
Crows, but not confidently!
BK
Technically not a home ground advantage for either but the Port tradition has to count for something…
Will they have a capacity crowd at Adelaide Oval? Pity not on FTA TV in Melbourne.
guytaur@2787
This just makes no sense.
Western Australian voters are encouraged to do their bit for electoral behaviour research, and possibly “win a voucher for $500 on iTunes, Apple Store or Google Play”, by completing UWA’s Senate election survey:
http://wasenatesurvey.csp.uwa.edu.au/
Crows and Port having a bit of a group wrestle. So uncouth.
A few dust ups already!
Mungo from last September
[Strap yourself in, we’re all going back to the future
…………….But already there are some ominous signs that it won’t stop there – that the Abbott regime intends to regress a long way further back than the first decade of the 21st century.
………Abbott has been compared – by his own daughters among others – to the loveable but dumb movie character Forrest Gump and appears to take the line as a compliment; so perhaps his rejection of science and the research that goes with it is simply the man following his instincts]
http://www.theage.com.au/comment/strap-yourself-in-were-all-going-back-to-the-future-20130920-2u5ax.html
Crimean Bravehart?
Bonny Prince Ivan?
The Azov Boat Song?
bemused
Yes it does. Ukraine Borders have been defined and accepted in the UN.
Just like every country in modern times
According to The Australian 9 out of 10 MP’s kicked out of parliament under Jenkins and Burke were opposition MP’s.
So much for previous Labor speakers not being biased.
At least Browyn Bishop is making watching parliament interesting, though I do miss “ORRDDAAAA ORRRDDAAAA” from Jenkins
Maybe the Mad Monk Monicker was spot on.
No boats for 100 days
http://www.theage.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/no-boats-in-100-days-tony-abbott-claims-victory-20140329-35pvp.html
[“Yes it does. Ukraine Borders have been defined and accepted in the UN.
Just like every country in modern times”]
I wonder what would happen if the Russians told the U.S to get out of Guantanamo, which is like their own little Crimea
I don’t blame her any more because it is hard to blame someone who is descending into senility.
It will be up to Abbott to drag this particular chestnut from the fire.
But then he is showing increasing signs of being barking mad himself.
Debionay
In other words the Crimeans do not worry about it enough to protest in the streets etc to get a democratic referendum up
Why are so many people falling down? Is the surface bad?
Excellent. After three years of no more boats everyone will be wondering what all the fuss was about.
Frodo
How is it that you manage to miss the real point in almost all your posts? Are you very young, or a very muddled thinker? Or both?
guytaur@2811
Rubbish.
You said “If the Crimeans wanted out from Russia they could do what Scotland is doing.”
The Crimeans just voted to leave Ukraine and join Russia. So presumably you are happy with that.
lizzie
I understand that smoking cane toad skins does that.
bemused
After Russia invaded not before
@Frodo/2812
9-10 times pffft, nothing compares to 98.
Again with your nonsense about impartiality.
@Victoria/2814
Wasn’t there one trying to land on the island, some one posted afew days ago?
The Crows seem determined to kick themselves out of this match.
[Western Australian voters are encouraged to do their bit for electoral behaviour research, and possibly “win a voucher for $500 on iTunes, Apple Store or Google Play”, by completing UWA’s Senate election survey:]
thanks done!
z
That was a long… long…. time ago.
Bishop is ejecting Labor MPs three times as often as Jenkins was ejecting Coalition MPs.
[I wonder what would happen if the Russians told the U.S to get out of Guantanamo, which is like their own little Crimea]
They are nothing at all alike, but I’m pretty sure the US would say get stuffed, maybe with a selfie.
9 out of 10 is less biased than 10 out of 10.
guytaur@2823
I see. And what were the casualties in that “invasion”? 😐
Finally we are getting some rain!
Bishop gave a yellow to the whole Opposition during the week. I don’t think that Jenkins did group warnings.
…to put that in perspective, if Bronnie was observing the 9/10 ratio, there would have been at least 9 Liberal MPs kicked out by now.
BBishop is the worst speaker I”ve ever seen.
BK
I suggest that reading Frodo’s posts would be better than watching the Crows right now because they are both worth zero.
Bronnie will be keen for parliament to resume. She was left stranded on 99 chuckings. One more to make her maiden century as speaker.
WeWantPaul@2798
You’re right that Pell didn’t need a diversion. He’s already been rewarded for his decades of unchristian activities by being made second-in-command in the Catholic church. This horror of a human being is now odds-on to be the next pope!
It’s Abbott who needed the diversion.
Boerwar
Yes. The Crows are not worth a spit!
How many people get kicked out is really neither here nor there unless the numbers are dreadfully close, which they are not.
The real mischief is in her inconsistent, erratic and extremely partisan judgements about POOs.
Then again!
BK
They must have sensed your umbrage. Some Crow finally understood what the two big white sticks were for.
2815
Guantanamo is more Gibraltar than Crimea. Small (in area and population), historically mainly naval enclave, geographically unconnected to the nation that controls it. Crimea is a whole region with a significant population. Ukraine is slightly more geographically connected to Crimea than Russia is.
bemused
Saying it was an invasion and wrong in accepted international law is just the facts.
As for results I think Crimea will not return to the Ukraine. What I think is happening is the US is trying to stop it going any further.
So your taking back your earlier comment player one ?
What does your statistic actually mean William ?
Perhaps Morrison/Abbott could extend Operation Sovereign Borders to include the Ukraine and Crimea…
Tow back tanks
Turn back tanks
Is that the JPod who plays for the Crows? He is soooooooo slow.
JPod – yes.