As I type, polling booths in South Australia are set to close at any tick of the clock. I do so from the studios of ABC Television in Adelaide, where I’ll be standing in for Antony Green, who spends the evening grappling with Tasmania’s high-maintenance electoral system. Obviously I won’t have much to offer in the way of live commentary on this site, but here’s a thread where you can call the toss as the results roll in.
Can I just say I am laughing my head off about the result in SA.
The national media has been treating it as a fait accomplit for days (face, meet EGG), with no better reason in the ABCs case it would seem than to please their masters
And Abbott has turned a sure win into a complete disaster for the SA Libs with his hands-off approach to amnufacturing (despite all his empty nonsense in the Fed campaign about “still being a country that makes things).
Whatever happens with postals and cross benchers, a most satisfying result!
Pesphos:
Sorry, thought you were talking William and his crew on the ABC.
thanks to diogenes i got 26/1 had $10 on labour on betfair yesterday.
go team red
Carey
ABC Tory bias?
Psephos,
according to the ECSA website Multicultural is polling .2% with 10% counted. I cannot see how they are winning on those figures but I might be wrong. There will be leakage away from the preference flows because of below the line voting.
X-team is up to 12.2 and trending upwards which might indicate that they might get close to a second seat. Probably will not quite get there though.
The Greens look to have a swing against them in the LC despite a swing towards them in the lower house.
Carey:
Agreed. There’s no point in prolonging this Tas nonsense. SA is where the action is, and once again ABC24 is absolutely bloody clueless.
@ ltep 200
Pretty much. The way I’m reading it, it’s indicating a net change of one MLC from the X-Team to the Liberals, for a total of:
8 Labor, 8 Liberal, 2 Green, 2 Family First, 1 Xenophon Team, 1 Dignity for Disability
Arrnea – my comment was more aimed at Tasmania.
I’ll cheer a kick in the groin to the greens in any jurisdiction I can get it.
William has done well on the ABC’s SA coverage.
Yes, the Multiculti lady has dropped off the Council list now. Still it’s a poor result for the Greens.
Oh God please don’t tell me the Greens leader in Tassie is going to go on and on for half an hour as well is he????
I will say, if ALP get across the line, it is appropriate that the ALP will see the Adelaide Oval and RAH opened under their watch.
Bloody hell Ive just had a looks at the seats – lots of seats swinging *TO* ALP.
LOL!!!!
Our media are turkeys.
Carey
I suppose they are waiting for Hodgman.
YIKES! I don’t remember ever hearing a leader acknowledge the Aboriginal land before.
Well done! 🙂
thorn rick
[thanks to diogenes i got 26/1 had $10 on labour on betfair yesterday.]
26/1!!! That is ridiculous.
William says ABC Computer is now calling it as Mitchell to Libs and Ashford to Labor, so barring prepoll changes it’s
Labor 23
Lib 22
Indies 2
BK@209
Yes. Good for him.
Building up his exposure – more to come no doubt.
Mitchell has ticked over to the LIB ahead column on the ABC website – by a mere 142 vote (less than 0.1%).
[Oh God please don’t tell me the Greens leader in Tassie is going to go on and on for half an hour as well is he????]
They don’t get moments in the sun very often.
Meanwhile I’m going to howl at the moon if I hear anymore Tasmania ra-ra bullshit.
@ my 218
My bad, the <0.1% is the predicted Liberal margin, not the 142 votes.
Libs now ahead in Mitchell…
William – laying in the Caveat, over and over “According to the ABC Computer”.
He has reservations ?
[The national media has been treating it as a fait accomplit for days (face, meet EGG), with no better reason in the ABCs case it would seem than to please their masters]
To be fair, everyone expected the Libs to walk this election in. As I said, federal Labor wrote this election off a year ago. What has happened? Marshall has turned out to be yet another SA Lib turkey, but that wouldn’t have been the major factor, since Weatherill is a goose and the voters had a choice of two kinds of poultry. What swung this election was ANTHONY JOHN ABBOTT.
SA is looking Baaaad for the Fibs. 🙂
Where does the SA (almost) result put the credibility of polls?
I thought that the libs had it in the bag.
17/18 booths in on 2PP in Ashford showing a 1.5% swing to the ALP and a solid retain.
i know couldn’t believe it when i logged in yesterday took me 5 secs to think about it and lay bet.
still not home yet though.
It’s pretty clear Labor will govern in SA either as a majority or with Independent support. Bloody good effort given all the issues they have faced and the “it’s time” factor. I think SA labor has a lot of thanks to send to Liberal governments elsewhere who have performed poorly for some months.
[To be fair, everyone expected the Libs to walk this election in. As I said, federal Labor wrote this election off a year ago. What has happened? Marshall has turned out to be yet another SA Lib turkey, but that wouldn’t have been the major factor, since Weatherill is a goose and the voters had a choice of two kinds of poultry. What swung this election was ANTHONY JOHN ABBOTT.]
Agreed.
Manufacturing jobs.
Look out Napthine.
Ashford not in the “in doubt” column anymore, computer’s called it for Labor.
don
The polls were actually very close. The final Newspoll was 52-48 which was spot on.
Bring on WA Senate rerun.
More than enough reasons to kick the tories in the butt.
With 23 ALP, 21 LIB (22 likely), 2 IND, I honestly can’t see the Liberals forming Government.
Gonna be a cliff-hanger with Mitchell. This is where we see if it’s a majority or a minority government.
Not sure I would be calling Ashford with 6k votes yet to be counted….
@230… considering the swing TO the ALP is 1.8% on 0.6% margin, I don’t see how it’s not clearly for the ALP now. Again, the postals/pre-polls cannot overcome that.
Don Farrell reconfirms that he’s out of politics.
He’s also saying the people of SA have clearly rejected Marshall and the Liberals which is a bit rich when you are behind in the popular vote.
Oh yes they could…..not saying they will, as I have no idea how Adelaide postals and pre polls go…..but federally you wouldn’t call a seat with 6k votes to be counted when the lead was only 600 votes.
[With 23 ALP, 21 LIB (22 likely), 2 IND, I honestly can’t see the Liberals forming Government.]
It still feels too early with those postals and absentees yet to be counted.
I’m stunned this result is as close as it is. I honestly expected the coalition to romp this election in.
What on earth has gone wrong for the Tories?
Swing against Labor in Mitchell down to 1.9% on ABC’s prediction (7/9 booths in on 2PP, 8/9 on PV), not enough to knock it over.
That’d be 24.
Psephos
Repeating
The , ah, south, ah Australian election, is aah, a massive, a massive repudiation of, ah, Bill Shorten and the ah, carbon tax. The liberal party was coming, ah, from long, long way, a long way behind and winning seats, ah winnings seats from the union dominated, the union dominated ah, labor Party was a great feat, a great feat by thee Liberal party in an election fought solely, fought solely, fought solely on ah, state issues.
Weatherill has already been on the phone to Brock!
Anyone remember the theory that Weatherill’s righteous public ass-kicking of Don Farrell put the final nail in SA Labor’s coffin?
It appears that South Aistralian voters didn’t have that much of an attachment to the guy. Who would’ve thought? 😉
Of course , Mod Lib and Crank and Edwina have to acknowledge the tide is at its highest and now it’s on its way out ……..for the Rightists.
[What on earth has gone wrong for the Tories?]
They elected Abbott leader.
So where’s that “moderate” guy who heckled us for saying it’d be close and being sceptical of claims it’ll be another 1993 election?
[Weatherill has already been on the phone to Brock!]
I’d also be on the phone to Don Farrell to try and mend their relationship.
The problem with these long bloody speeches is that it eats up time talking about the election that is actually interesting.
[Anyone remember the theory that Weatherill’s righteous public ass-kicking of Don Farrell put the final nail in SA Labor’s coffin?]
Yes, I said that. I still think it showed Weatherill to be petulant and paranoid. But that was obviously not enough to overcome the aversion of marginal seat voters to the Libs.
It must be a Tassie tradition for long speeches on election night. Preparing for next election?