As I type, polling booths in South Australia are set to close at any tick of the clock. I do so from the studios of ABC Television in Adelaide, where I’ll be standing in for Antony Green, who spends the evening grappling with Tasmania’s high-maintenance electoral system. Obviously I won’t have much to offer in the way of live commentary on this site, but here’s a thread where you can call the toss as the results roll in.
Light and Newland are back in Safe Labor Retain territory.
Let’s be frank – the Libs should have bolted this in, irrespective of where it ends up tonight or over the next week. If it is a hung parliament, well that will be interesting – you wouldn’t want a by-election.
Federal implications?
Labor 20
Lib 20
Indie 2
Five to go
Hung parliament would be most likely.
I’m calling it.
We won’t know tonight.
The two indies being Such and Brock? Which way would they jump if they had to choose.
LIB swing 0.4% in Elder (2.0% margin), out of doubt zone, safe ALP retain.
ALP just ahead in Elder and Ashford. They will lose those on prepolls etc which will favor Liberals.
who is that crinkly biddy with the excess pearls on abc 24?
The ABC is now giving Adelaide to the Libs.
Brock is proLabor
Such is more of a Lib but he’s annoyed the Libs campaigned hard against him and says he will base his decision on his second preferences.
[ Brock is proLabor ]
I would have thought Port Pirie would basically be Labor leaning?
Looking like the Libs will scrape through, but not a terrible position for Labor to fight back from.
If the Liberals can’t win an outright majority in SA then WTF is up with that?
They should’ve hit this election out of the park like they did in Tas. Are we seeing federal implications, or is this more of an indictment on the SA Liberals?
The SA result is a clear indictment against the failing of the SA Liberals and Marshall’s leadership. They should be winning it easily but they are not and they only have themselves to blame.
@ confessions 113
Possibly a bit of cold feet over Abbott, but I would think the major issue with the Libs not being able to get over the line easily here is the truly shambolic campaign they’ve run at the state level.
[who is that crinkly biddy with the excess pearls on abc 24?]
Member for Adelaide i think?? 🙂
Both ABC and ECSA give Lee to Libs – so much for Mulligan for next leader.
This is getting worse for Labor I think.
Not sure I’d read anything into that Lee computer call looking at the vote figures.
Looks like the voters were waiting with feather dusters.
Ashford, Bright, Hartley and Lee – any advance on that?
psephos
Depends on where the indy prefs go.
Gary Johanson 863 11.2%
I’m not trusting the computer calls on the ABC lol
Edi
If the LOTO Marshall is so bad that he struggles to win what should be a stroll in the park election, what sort of premier will he be?
Couldn’t get knifed in his first term could he?
[Both ABC and ECSA give Lee to Libs – so much for Mulligan for next leader.]
That would be one out of the box.
who is that crinkly biddy with the excess pearls on abc 24?
I’m still waiting for someone to tell me who the bald guy is!
😉
Seriously though, he should make a career out of this…
[but I would think the major issue with the Libs not being able to get over the line easily here is the truly shambolic campaign they’ve run at the state level.]
Well I haven’t had any exposure to their campaign, but my experiences of the WA Liberal campaign a year ago, that was in parts shambolic, that it wasn’t enough to derail the thumping victory they achieved.
Either people want a change of govt (or in the case of WA a majority govt), or they don’t.
I’m pretty sure the Lee call is as bogus as the two 30+% swing calls for the ALP were earlier.
Early LC votes are giving over 10% to X-team. Guess Darley is retaining his seat.
Labor only on 24%.
[Member for Adelaide i think??]
Vicky Chapman, Member for Bragg.
who is that crinkly biddy with the excess pearls on abc 24?
I’m still waiting for someone to tell me who the bald guy is!
😉
Seriously though, he should make a career out of this…
William’s SA counterpart?
Doesn’t say much whoever he is.
Further to my 127, Lee has been removed from the seats changing hands and is now a Safe ALP Retain, with a 2.9% swing to the Liberals only.
So Bright, Hartley and Mount Gambier are the only Liberal gains booked at this point (but Ashford is highly likely to go too, the ABC just hasn’t got enough votes in yet to make a prediction).
Mitchell looking good for the Liberals.
Seems the Libs will win Hartley off the ALP and Mt Gambier off an indie.
Jay Premier tomorrow?
ABC calling 21 seats for ALP, 21 for LIB, 2 IND.
Hoo boy.
OK the ABC seems to have changed its mind about Lee, giving Mulligan 55% (while calling it “Liberal retain.”) But their website is all over the place so who knows?
What seats is William calling?
@Edi_Mahin 132
ABC Prediction shows an 0.2% swing to the ALP in Mitchell, so I wouldn’t say that.
ABC computer projecting Adelaide retain to the Libs.
[What seats is William calling?]
I haven’t seen any William calls yet. He’s just riffing off the ABC computer.
They got Lee wrong. Lee holding for Labor.
Bright and Hartley only definite gains from Labor.
Adelaide holds for Libs.
21 all with two indies.
@135 … considering the ABC computer’s cock-ups, best not to bother watching the website without the TV correcting their mistakes
ABC now listing Wright as ALP retain (2.9% swing against out of a 4.9% margin).
That’s 22 seats. With the backing of the two independents, they are in government.
Arrnea, listening to ABC Radio coverage and they were basically giving to Wingard who they interviewed and told him they were predicting him winning.
However earlier they were giving Newland and Mawson to the Liberals as well so they might be wrong.
A Liberal party hive buzzing with queen bees in a hung parliament. Pinch me!
Lee has been corrected in the ABC computer… back in the ALP column, safe retain
Who thinks Such would support a Labor government?
Leon Bignall on ABC telling us what it means to be an MP. Good stuff!
@Psephos 145
I wouldn’t put it past him, perhaps in return for the Speakership.
Another crap night for the Greens, I note in passing. They’ve probably lost two seats in Tas.
So Ashford and Mitchell and the indies will decide it.
“@GhostWhoVotes: #savotes Seat Projection (48.3% counted): ALP 23 (-3) LIB 22 (+4) IND 2 (-1)”