 |
| Red and blue numbers respectively indicate booths with two-party majorities for Labor and Liberal. Click for larger image. Map boundaries courtesy of Ben Raue at The Tally Room. |
Covering coastal Adelaide directly to the west of the city centre, Hindmarsh was the Liberals’ only South Australian gain of the 2013 election, at which Matthew Williams unseated Labor’s member of nine years, Steve Georganas. The electorate was one of seven created when South Australian electoral boundaries were first drawn in 1903, its traditional orientation around the working-class suburbs of north-western Adelaide making it a Labor stronghold for much of its history. The creation of the electorate of Port Adelaide in 1949 made it somewhat less secure, pushing it southwards into more conservative Henley Beach, but only with the 1966 landslide was long-term Labor member Clyde Cameron seriously threatened. The watershed in its progress from safe Labor to marginal came with the abolition of Hawker in 1993, which drew Hindmarsh still further south into Liberal-voting Glenelg. Currently the electorate covers the coast from Semaphore Park south to Glenelg South, from which it extends inland to mostly Labor-voting suburbs including Kidman Park and Torrensville in the north and Morphettville and Ascot Park in the south.
The Liberals’ first ever win in the seat followed the aforementioned redistribution at the 1993 election, which cut the Labor margin by 1.2% concurrently with the retirement of John Scott, who had held the seat since 1980. The Liberal candidate was Christine Gallus, who had become the first Liberal ever to win Hawker in 1990, a feat she duly followed by becoming the first Liberal ever to win Hindmarsh. This was achieved on the back of a 2.8% swing, the losing Labor candidate being John Rau, who has since emerged as a senior figure in the state government. Liberal hard-heads rated Gallus’s vote-pulling power very highly, and were duly dismayed when she decided to retire at the 2004 election. Her departure created an expectation that the seat would fall to Labor’s Steve Georganas, a former taxi driver who won preselection for the 2004 election with backing from the “soft Left” faction. So it proved, but the 1.2% swing to Labor was only enough to secure the deal by 108 votes. The unsuccessful Liberal candidate was Simon Birmingham, who went on to enter the Senate in 2007.
Georganas’s margin increased by 5.0% in 2007 and 0.7% in 2010, but these were modest gains by the standards of Labor’s performance in South Australia, leaving him on a weaker margin than Labor colleagues in Makin, Kingston and Wakefield, which unlike Hindmarsh had stayed with the Liberals in 2004. The margin going into the 2013 election was nonetheless a solid 6.1%, having been boosted slightly by redistribution, but this was accounted for by a forceful swing to the Liberals of 8.0%, the largest in the state. The seat is now held by Matt Williams, who had previously been national business development manager with law firm Piper Alderman.
HJ, there are a fair few sport streaming sites. Close one and another pops up. Last night I again watched the test ,after watching some of the 9’s[ Saints were awful]. Luddites of the Tories . Socrates, Clarkies captaincy has been first class, even Ian Chappel thinks so , and Craig McDermot is the test teams bowling coach.
“@SenatorWong: A challenge to Marshall- tell us how will your cuts create jobs?”
“@ABCNews24: .@JayWeatherill: I say this to Steven Marshall, have the courage to stand up and reveal your cuts #savotes #saparli”
It’s a wonder Tone didn’t carry food parcels in the rusty ute. Prepared by Peta with her own fair hands.
Praise the Lord, Abbott visits drought stricken farms & it rains. For his next trick he should walk across a dam.
Someone thought the John Silvester article on Royal Commissions lacked punch.
Well I thought this had a fair bit of punch:
[Politicians from both sides put on their Eliot Ness faces when demanding zero tolerance on industrial corruption and union double-dealing.
The single biggest case of cheating in Australia was the Visy $700 million price-fixing scandal. After an exhaustive investigation, chairman Richard Pratt and the company he built were fined $36 million. The billionaire philanthropist was also dogged by claims he used bikies to intimidate workers in union disputes and paid bribes to win lucrative contracts.
When Mr Pratt died in 2009, politicians gave him a state funeral.]
Read more: http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/royal-commission-a-blunt-intrument-to-combat-corruption-20140214-32rap.html#ixzz2tRnIKgYW
mikehilliard
Posted Sunday, February 16, 2014 at 1:12 pm | Permalink
Praise the Lord, Abbott visits drought stricken farms & it rains. For his next trick he should walk across a dam.
==============================================
A very deep one while wearing concrete boots
Even now he’s PM Abbott can’t get out of stunt mode.
Rusty ute? Give us a break!
@ABCNews24: Opposition Leader @BillshortenMP to address the media in Adelaide shortly. Watch LIVE on #abcnews24 #auspol #savotes #saparli
Has Abbott developed any policy for ‘drought stricken farms’ ? or is he just going to allow Foreigners to buy up Farms to solve the issue?
Shorten on now
AA – LOL :))
I can think of better things to have a RC into, like the welfare sector, not because it is corrupt but because it is under performing and needs an overhaul.
It can look into mental health, disability services, aged care and a hoist of other areas which have for too long been badly handled.
Of course we could instead focus on the building industry but do we really think the culture of the industry will change because Eric wants it too be more like other industries.
mikehilliard
Before that he should practice on the NT’s Adelaide River
Have you noticed the frequency with which Bill Shorten uses the phrase “Abbott government”?
Doing the rounds on Facebook: 54,000 jobs lost since the coalition took office.
https://www.facebook.com/BillShorten/photos/a.466317820071451.94571.464998863536680/622944931075405/?type=1&theater
The media continue to prove they are lacking in ethics and professional standard. Prove that they are having a continuing love affair with Abbott as they do all they can to keep the lord and master Murdoch happy
Headline
PM brings rain to desperate farmers on his tour of drought affected areas like Bourke and Longreach
What a crock of siht!!. This ranks up there among the most pathetic headlines ever written.
SA Premier presser now 24
Shorter Weatherill do some work stop being lazy to journos on costs
Geez, the press seem a bit agro towards Weatherill.
[Geez, the press seem a bit agro towards Weatherill.]
They know he’s not going to win the election, so feel justified in pushing him. They’ll probably be nice as pie to the LOTO, just as they were with Abbott in the federal election campaign.
Abbott is going good.
Promised to create one million jobs in three years. That calculates to a projection of 167,000 jobs in the first 6 months.
167,000 + loss of 54,000 = 221,000
Abbott is 221,000 jobs under par!
I thought the promise was to create 2 million new jobs or maybe i am incorrect.
Broncos are through to final 4.
Eel v Shark next.
Go Parra 😛
The more you look the more you realize what a filthy lying hypocrite Abbott is.
Beemer
Over two terms I think?
Still, he’d promise to sacrifice a family member for his benefit, you know all in the name of the church.
The journos know Weatherill is toast so they’re just going in for the kill.
The other day he did a 25-minute press conference (long), said he had time for one more question, answered it and walked off amid more questions. The news story that night was “Weatherill dodges questions amid poll slump”.
You’ll notice he’s just standing there and taking it today.
Marshall’s longest press conference this year has been 11 minutes.
BK
You have a good premier there. Hope he does remain and not just to annoy the F out of Abbott.
@MB/172
Yup, 1 million in first 5 years, another million new jobs in the next 5 year period after.
It was also a Pledge.
Centre
Posted Sunday, February 16, 2014 at 1:51 pm | Permalink
Abbott is going good.
Promised to create one million jobs in three years. That calculates to a projection of 167,000 jobs in the first 6 months.
167,000 + loss of 54,000 = 221,000
Abbott is 221,000 jobs under par!
================================================
221,000 minus 1 x 3 star general
220,999
O so Tone has brought himself a decade to achieve what the economy will most likely achieve naturally.
How brave
Qanda tomorrow
Eric Abetz – Liberal Senate Leader
Tony Burke – Shadow Finance Minister
Heather Ridout – Businesswoman & RBA board member
Yassmin Abdel-Magied – Founder of Youth Without Borders
James Allan – Professor of Law, University of Queensland
Good to see Qanda has dumped the irrelevant token comedian from their panel.
You would think the punters would have wised up to how useless the media (in general) are by now.
Abbott’s job promise was meaningless as population growth will almost certainly produce such an increase without him doing anything. Well it was until he became PM. Now it looks like he wants to make it a real challenge to “create” that many jobs.
gloryconsequence
Nah, they have EricA this week. A great parody comedy act.
gloryconsequence @176
That’s a bit inside the beltway.
All that matters if voting intention has hardened since what Farrell did or if the undecideds are still open.
If it’s hardened, then there’s nothing Weatherill can do. If they’re still open, there’s still a chance.
The journos will always try to go in for the kill but that doesn’t really matter as that’s not what influences voting intention (it might feel like it does, but it doesn’t).
I think people will tune out after the first couple of weeks and we’ll see a massive surge to the Independents, Family First, Xenephon and maybe even The Greens if they’re lucky.
Taking a look at the SA campaign paraphernalia, The ALP seem to have done a decent job at it this time. The organisation feels much better than the federal campaign last year in my opinion. Much more professional
Can I put a begging post up for the dogs (and cats, pigs etc) of the Outback? AMRICC provides vets and treatment for camp-dogs, and this is an animal welfare issue which gets no real publicity. Increasing the health of the dogs increases the health of the community. Could you please share this link for me?
http://www.amrric.org/donate
[Good to see Qanda has dumped the irrelevant token comedian from their panel.]
Was Barnaby Joyce unavailable?
[They’ll probably be nice as pie to the LOTO, just as they were with Abbott in the federal election campaign.]
They already have been. I recall the other day, them making a front page story of what a gosh darn all-round great guy Marshall is because he has a sister with cancer. I didn’t care that it was a story (those pieces are common) but the fact that it was the front page headline.
But, as has been astutely pointed out, they know that the Government is finished so they’re going in for the kill (aware that the public have no problem with editorial bias when it reflects their views.)
[Even now he’s PM Abbott can’t get out of stunt mode.
Rusty ute? Give us a break!]
Goose/Gander Dept.: Who supplied the ute?
Good to see Qanda has dumped the irrelevant token comedian from their panel.
Tony Jones not hosting any more?
FWIW, I think the result will be around 52-53% to Liberals, with them getting around 25-26 seats. I don’t really know how well the indies are sailing, so I’ll just predict status quo there, for now.
BB,
Maybe it was Kevin Rudd.
BK
Barnaby is the “Yokel” comedian.
GG
😆
GG
[Maybe it was Kevin Rudd.]
He bought it for a song from Godwin.
Children of the Liberal Govt
Liberasl
Don’t like public transport
Don’t like public education
Don’t like public broadcasters
Siht – they even like the public
AA
The Liebrals detest the peasants.