Morgan has released what it describes as the first major public opinion poll of 2014, though it could just as easily have dropped the major. It provides no indication of festive cheer softening attitudes towards the new government, showing the Coalition down 1.5% on the primary vote to 39% with Labor also down half a point to 38%, the Greens up half a point to 10.5% and the Palmer United Party steady on 3.5%. That translates to a 53-47 lead to Labor on 2013 preference flows and 52.5-47.5 on the headline respondent-allocated figure. As has been Morgan’s form for a while now, this poll combines its regular weekend face-to-face polling with SMS component, in this case encompassing 2527 respondents from the two weekends past. The first Essential Research result for the year should be with us tomorrow.
UPDATE: Little change also from Essential Research, which opens it account for the year with a result from the polling period of Friday to Monday only, rather than its two-week rolling average. This has the Coalition leading 51-49, with the Coalition, Labor and the Greens each up a point on the primary vote to 45%, 38% and 8% respectively, with the Palmer United Party steady on 4% and others down two to 6%. Also featured are the monthly personal ratings, showing a slight improvement for Tony Abbott up two on approval to 47% and down three on disapproval to 43% and a softening for Bill Shorten, down four to 35% and up one to 32%. Preferred prime minister is little changed, Abbott’s lead shifting from 43-33 to 42-31. The poll also finds strong opposition to fees for GP visits, with 28% approving and 64% disapproving, and 47% support for Australia becoming a republic at the end of the Queen’s reign against 32% opposed.
Boerwar maybe go reread my posts and you may find I have not been talking about AGW.
Good grief 44 tomorrow for Melbourne
[1351….Geoff]
…posts that are scarcely worth reading once let alone a second time…
briefly – In form today 🙂
[1352…victoria]
Do we know how often Melbourne has experienced sequences of several days in a row on which temps were in the mid-40’s?
dave
This lot are going to fall on their own petard.
Slow clap for Briefly 😀 but knowing him he did not read them the first time.
[The Kouk
Slimy weasel words from Crone and Shepherd at Audit Commission.
Talk about low altitude fliers]
MTBW – Someone I used to know well.
Capable of being a dickhead.
Hang on to your undies.
bemused
It looks like I have misled you. Crone is a former Howard advisor who works in the BCA!
Explains a lot of his smart-arsed attitude.
Ducati noises outside.
I may be absent for a while.
[1354
dave
briefly – In form today]
I’m experiencing Involuntary LNP Aversion Syndrome. It’s bad enough that climate change is in fact happening as predicted; but it’s made much much worse by LNP frauds pretending otherwise.
Briefly
Last time Melbourne had weather like this was Feb 2009
“Acting Prime Minister Warren Truss says he expects the government will..”: I’m confused, I thought Tony Abbott was the Acting PM. Surely this makes Truss the “Acting Acting Prime Minister”.
briefly @1355
In 1908 there were 5 days at or above 40 degrees. (One of the days was exactly 40.0 degrees).
2009 had 3 days above 43 degrees.
These are the only comparable examples I know of.
Deblonay
[I]”Having said that…I must say I dislike Dastirari as a typical NSW Right operator…and he reminds me of his oid Mate .. Arbib..(Captain America)..the NSW senator(who disappeared so suddenly….why???????????) and also a former US Embassy informer(spy 😕 ?)
what a crew
“” and the colour of his suit is irrelevant”[/I]
Actually suit explains all. Other than that, your instincts are 100% correct.
CozsSadly the suit and appearance is evidence that super smart Sam is not the great gift to Labor for the 21st century that he thinks he is but a more a retread of the 80s.
As for me – well I’ve posted about my Labor background here before, so am not going to do it again. Suffice to say Psephos, aka Adam Carr, is the solitary poster here who seems to understand what made Labor electable in 1972, what made it unelectable after 1974
and then made it electable again under Bob Hawke 1983.
And what has made it unelectable again after 2007 triumphalism.
That’s another reason why I am perplexed about Psephos postings re boat turnbacks. Labor is likely to end up bitterly regretting day it did not take Bob Carr’s advice.
As for Sam D – well he’s just another little spiv, same as Richo was back in late 1960s when I first laid eyes on him and Keating at a Young Labor Conference. But I don’t think Sam is near as bright and odious as Richo was and is, even to this day. Will last the distance about as long as Arbib did, imo.
Looking interesting.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-01-15/tweeting-public-servant-rejects-offer-to-settle-out-of-court/5201986
No doubt many Faux News style crud used here.
[‘A political organisation that employs journos’: how Fox sets the agenda
A new book sheds light on how Roger Ailes and Fox News have created a culture of intense fear — and then capitalised on it. So what do we learn about News Corporation and Rupert Murdoch?]
http://www.crikey.com.au/2014/01/15/a-political-organisation-that-employs-journos-how-fox-sets-the-agenda/
victoria@1358
Kouk laying it on the line.
Kouk hasn’t been writing for Business Spectator for a while either – murdoch owned there now – they may have boned him ?
[1365
dendrite
briefly @1355
In 1908 there were 5 days at or above 40 degrees. (One of the days was exactly 40.0 degrees).
2009 had 3 days above 43 degrees.
These are the only comparable examples I know of.]
Thanks…I wonder what the probabilities are of this kind of event at such intervals.
Meanwhile Adelaide is on track for its hottest day ever recorded tomorrow. Yesterday’s 45.1 was the 4th hottest. Today was a mild 43.7. Tomorrow is forecast to hit 46 – the hottest ever was in 1939 and was 46.1, so that’s under threat!
dave
The kouk is not impressed with these spivs
Bit more on Crone – very interesting – Howard’s man GST and Work Choices –
[ Crone is the Chief Economist and Director of Policy at the BCA. >He served on Howard’s personal staff as senior economic adviser for eight years.
The GST was one of his babies.
and
a former public service official who oversaw the contentious WorkChoices policy, ]
http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:7qxz_NVlL5IJ:vanguard.net.au/2008/pdf%2520files/dec13/Page%25205.pdf+&cd=6&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=au
I can’t stand this heat but I am lucky to have air conditioning and able to choose whether I want to go out or not.
I worry for some of those elderly residents living in small Housing Commission premises with only a fan to cool them particularly if they are in high rise.
I wonder what the homeless do on these days.
We can deservedly whinge but we should also spare a thought for those who are not so comfortable.
BK@1360
Yes, I have been ducking in every now and then and am across the discussion.
Such people are amazing.
Have you seen this:
http://www.smh.com.au/entertainment/movies/devil-baby-haunts-new-yorkers-20140115-30ur5.html
who are the Boston Consulting Group? They are giving pro-bono consultancy to the Audit Commission.
Just watching Get Smart. Steve Jobs must have watched this episode. Max and the Chief had to swap code words to prove their identity. The words ? Chief “Apple” to which Max replied “Macintosh”.
Geoff,
[Gosh why is everyone hating on positive people!]
Maybe it’s because your use of “adapt” is inconceivable.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G2y8Sx4B2Sk
Puff, the Magic Dragon.@1377
A major US/ Intentional business consulting mob.
Great – Faceless unelected US & Australian big end of town making and redoing the rules to suit themselves – again.
[Turnbull said “the idea that you would invest in a technology which will last for thirty years is pretty naive”, and said it was better to invest in technology “that works now” and upgrade as time went on…]
WTF?? Seriously?
I’m gobsmacked.
http://delimiter.com.au/2014/01/15/turnbull-facebook-qa-backfires-nbn-rage/
And another… the likes of Switser and co.’s argument appears to run similar to this.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U_eZmEiyTo0
[Boerwar maybe go reread my posts and you may find I have not been talking about AGW.]
So what are we adapting to and how is it going to happen in context of not doing anything?
zoomster@1381
Then why is he invested his own millions in French & Spanish(?) broadband?
[Turnbull said “the idea that you would invest in a technology which will last for thirty years is pretty naive”, and said it was better to invest in technology “that works now” and upgrade as time went on…]
The idea that you’d prefer to be able to see clearly for 100 metres in front of you when you can see the next five metres in front of you perfectly well and look up 19 times for the rest is pretty naive.
Make it all up as you go along. This is the LNP paradigm.
briefly
How is this heatwave evidence of climate change?
Now before Seany & co get excited we know that winters have become more mild can be linked to CC and the polar vertex seems to confirm the models as did the extra strong U.K storms of last week.
Puffy
The Boston Consultancy group are highly paid corporate adviser types.
Furthermore on Boston, why would you seek economic advice from corporate advisers instead of seeking advice from one of the large auditors who specalise on economic modelling.
I wonder if Turnbull will ask Google to do him a favour and install
https://fiber.google.com/about/
To the home for free.
More importantly what do they expect in return for doing the work pro bono?
[More importantly what do they expect in return for doing the work pro bono?]
Much more work?
Boston mob , HoJo , Abbott and Murdoch.
[Of the spivs , for the spivs , by the spivs.]
dave@1390
Beware of Yanks bearing gifts.
The difference between free stuff and paid stuff can often be free stuff ends up costing a lot more – one way or another.
I see you wusses complaining about the heat 😛
[I see you wusses complaining about the heat]
Wot heat? Lovely day today. 29 sea breeze. Perfect.
who are the Boston Consulting Group? They are giving pro-bono consultancy to the Audit Commission.
More than just a consulting group… Another right wing Trojan horse
http://dianeravitch.net/2012/07/12/what-is-the-boston-consulting-group/
@Ruawake/1395
Might be where you are 😛
[1392
poroti
Of the spivs , for the spivs ,…]
…by the wannabe spivs.
Milenko Mijuskovic
A contributor from you link. Be afraid….very afraid about what the mincing poodle has in mind for education. Charter schools are us are part of their scene. Rupert is also heavily involved in this education “revolution”.
[BCG heavily promotes online learning in K-12 and college. In “Unleashing the Potential of Technology in Education,” the consulting firm calls for an “aligned set of educational objectives, standards, curricula, assessments, interventions, and professional development,” all centered around online technology. Deeming charter schools the leaders of internet schooling, the “study’s” authors quote online profiteer and Democrat for Education Reform’s Tom Vander Ark, praises Rocketship for hiring low wage non-teachers, and thanks their senior advisor, Margaret Spelling, Bush’s U.S. Secretary of Education. The” report” also praises the conflict-of-interest-laden School of One in NYC and KIPP’s BetterLesson program..]
Bugler
Nice point!
+1