It’s been a quieter week on the polling front in the wake of last week’s bonanza, with only the regular weekly Essential Research and fortnightly Morgan added to the mix. The new additions do nothing to halt the momentum to Labor which emerged in the previous result, with shifts of 1.3% shift on the primary vote and 0.5% on two-party preferred. The latter gain is blunted by the fact that the Greens are down 1.2%, having failed of late to replicate a series of stronger results in early to mid-November. The two-party preferred measure is now being calculated with newly available preference flow results from the September 7 election, replacing modelled preference projections used previously. This hasn’t made much difference to the national result, but it’s helped eliminate an anomalous gain for the Liberals on the seat calculation in South Australia. The other change on the seat projection is an extra gain for Labor in New South Wales. It should be noted that the model continues to leave the Coalition well ahead of Labor despite the position of near-parity on two-party preferred, indicating the impact of “sophomore surge” effects on the BludgerTrack model in the seats Labor most needs to win. See the sidebar for full results.
There is a hell of a lot of commercial development in the Elizabeth/Salisbury surrounds, but take into account the damage to factories that supply Holden’s, such as the seat manufacturer in Salisbury that makes the seats for the next shift of cars (aka just-in-time manufacturing). There is food for the gmh canteen, the transport of the cars and parts, the workers who buy fuel or spend wages in the local shops.
This is going to be bad. A lot of new housing developments have gone up around here, as people go further out to get affordable homes. The youth unemployment level, in reality, has not been under 25% for decades. The area got a bad reputation right from the start because that dweeb Playford named the place Elizabeth, after the Queen, right before they settled UK migrants there. Then int the next generation, the Housing Trust dumped every single parent, disadvantaged family, person with mental health problems and person suffering from homelessness for whatever reason that they had on their books, in the old workers-duplexes in Elizabeth.
What a recipe for social stigma and concentration of disadvantage for an area!
Ruawake… the acid is more dangerous than the Uranium.
But this is a constant leftwing Greenie trick to try and scare everyone with “omg Nuklear!” when the reality is we already live in a world of radiation.
Your house is radioactive. The sun shines radiation onto you every day, with Beta and Gamma Rays hitting your body. The ground is radioactive. The soil is radioactive.
People need to understand this, then we can have a logical debate. Of course too much of anything is a bad thing, but we aren’t talking enriched uranium here we are talking about a slurry tank.
leone
[There has been a serious uranium mine spill near Jabiru, in the middle of Kakadu National Park. About 1 million litres of acidic radioactive material spilled from the processing tank, which split open.
But don’t worry, it’s OK , it all went onto compacted earth, tarmac and into drains. No-one is sayng where those drains drain to though. Grunt is onto it, so we can all rest assured that everything will be fine, no damage done, nothing to see or worry about folks. let’s go back to blaming everything on Labor……]
As you point out, a radioactive spill is bad news. In terms of environmental impact, it really all rather depends on whether the stuff stayed on-site or moved off-site. There is huge on-site liquid-holding capacity at Ranger. At the beginning of the Wet this capacity is unlikely to be under any pressure. Let us hope that the radioactive stuff was held at the minesite, that they can repair the tank and that they can pump the stuff back into the tank.
I assume the Holden Dealer network will remain, selling re-badged imports? Or will they become our local Chevy dealer?
I give Panesar 10/10 for courage. I doubt whether he saw some of the balls that were thwacking him.
Anti-Abbott riots in Indonesia, now happening in Timor
kezza
[Since it’s a smallish wattle bird]
I’ve got some very local.
Turning outside lights on at night seems to attract a crash landing from young ones.
I try not to.
Hi Puff if you are here – I’ve searched high and low for that particular post you’re looking for – to no avail at present.
Been through a series of variations of keyword searches multiple times and looked in detail at many, many of your posts for 2011. You really are a night owl.
But no success with what your after, unfortunately.
Google uses a webcrawler to index websites and if it missed indexing some portions of a website then google doesn’t have it. But more likely I’ve missed it.
I’ve emailed William and asked if he can locate the post in question via his moderators access to all of our posts and let you have a link to the post if possible.
Below are some of the google searches of your posts which may help to jog your memory of when you made the post –
https://www.google.com/search?as_q=Puff%2C+the+Magic+Dragon+2011&as_epq=&as_oq=passing+of+husband+OR+death+of+husband+May+2011&as_eq=&as_nlo=&as_nhi=&lr=&cr=&as_qdr=all&as_sitesearch=http%3A%2F%2Fblogs.crikey.com.au%2Fpollbludger&as_occt=any&safe=images&tbs=&as_filetype=&as_rights=
https://www.google.com/search?as_q=2011+Puff%2C+the+Magic+Dragon&as_epq=&as_oq=husbands+death+or+husbands+passing&as_eq=&as_nlo=&as_nhi=&lr=&cr=&as_qdr=all&as_sitesearch=http%3A%2F%2Fblogs.crikey.com.au%2Fpollbludger%2F&as_occt=any&safe=images&tbs=&as_filetype=&as_rights=#as_qdr=all&lr=&q=2011+Puff,+the+Magic+Dragon+husbands+OR+death+OR+or+OR+husbands+OR+passing+site:http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/&start=134
While I have asked Google to search in 2011 – it actually searches all over, but many of your 2011 posts are listed – but not the one you want.
Sorry about lack of a result, normally I’m pretty lucky at finding stuff etc.
Will think about it and may try again in a day or so – that has worked in the past.
Didn’t the Abbott Government take money out of the car manufacturing industry?
Instead of sending a lot of money o/s by way of the FBT, why doesn’t the Government use exactly the same money to support a local car manufacturing industry?
What makes finance industry spivs so attractive to Abbott?
Sean Tisme
Posted Saturday, December 7, 2013 at 4:31 pm | Permalink
Ruawake… the acid is more dangerous than the Uranium.
But this is a constant leftwing Greenie trick to try and scare everyone with “omg Nuklear!” when the reality is we already live in a world of radiation.
===========================================
Tell that to the people dying from radiation poisoning in Fukushima or Chernobyl.
rua
[I assume the Holden Dealer network will remain, selling re-badged imports? Or will they become our local Chevy dealer?]
Or trading as Saab?
[Anti-Abbott riots in Indonesia, now happening in Timor]
Good stuff!
Are the Greens still saying that Labor is the same as the Liberals and the Nationals?
They were telling us that very thing for six looooooooooooooooooong years.
dave – Add Arthur as a keyword?
I did not come into contact with Adelaide (or Elizabeth) until 1980. But I did read a good book on the history of the place. It makes fascinating reading.
It was a good place for people to live in the 60’s and 70’s but went downhill when the orginal settlers started ageing and their kids mostly all moved on. It was the concentration of disadvantage when FACS and the SAHT used it as a convenient dumping ground. Also when Port Adelaide was redeveloped, the unwanted were moved out to make way for yuppies, and a lot go moved to Elizabeth. You can still buy a solid three bed home on a quarter acre block (old Trust places) for just over 200k. There is noticable bulldoze/rebuild 2 houses on one block trend happening now.
Planning wise, the place is gorgeous. All powerlines undergrounded (in 1955!), 25% parklands, buses everywhere, fantastic hospital and TAFE, sports clubs everywhere, now there is a good ethnic mix with new waves of migrants (Africa, Asia).
Elizabeth/Salisbury was to get FTTH in the next year or so, probably to serve the industrial complexes but that will be a pipedream now.
[Didn’t the Abbott Government take money out of the car manufacturing industry?]
They tried to say they did not. The industry was offered $500 million to co-invest in the next design-manufacture cycle of hybrid-clean-diesel etc vehicles.
Abbott said he would not consider the funding because it was not in John Howard’s plan.
CTar will do. Ta.
dave:
From memory Puff used to refer to her OH as ‘my oldie’ or something like it.
Centre
[Anti-Abbott riots in Indonesia, now happening in Timor
Good stuff!]
It is, in fact, terrible stuff for Australia.
All our investment of blood and treasure in East Timor has been wasted by sleazy spy-fed cheating in negotiations with a tiny nation which had emerged from years of terror and murder (tacitly condoned by an Australian prime minister). The cheaing has been topped off by our First Law Officer doing his best to ensure that the East Timorese do not get justice in the Hague.
This is not just about Whitlam, Abbott and Brandis. It is about serial national moral hazard.
dave
Apologies if I am interfering, as I don’t know the background to the request from Puff, but she used to refer to her husband as “my oldie” sometimes. I doubt that “oldie” would occur in anyone else’s posts.
[Tell that to the people dying from radiation poisoning in Fukushima or Chernobyl.]
Actually there aren’t that many for Chernobyl. Thyroid cancers mainly.
Fukushima may be different, mainly because we have no idea what happened yet.
rua
Who offered the $500 million?
Thank you Dave.
Yes, try adding Arthur as a keyword may help. Also ‘wife’ ‘widow’. the date 17/05/2011 as a keyword might help too. I cannot remember how long after that date I wrote it.
‘Lyell McEwin Hospital’ even.
Thank you so much for trying to find it.
lizzie
it is ok. anything that might help.
Lizzie,
He was a bit older than me, hence the ‘oldie’. I was just a bit shy about letting anyone know, mainly because of the Puff Adder. It also explains my hatred (yes hatred) of the scheming miserable cruel botch.
Thanks for the tips folks – it all helps.
CTar1
[I’ve got some very local.
Turning outside lights on at night seems to attract a crash landing from young ones.
I try not to.]
Oh, I didn’t know that – that wattle birds work at night, that is.
I imagined they were all safe, snug and sound in their little nesty areas at twilight and beyond.
It makes it hard looking after my DIL’s cat: although the maggies seem to have his measure during the daylight hours!
Boerwar,
It is also an outrage that we are being governed to appease the basest 2gb listener crowd so that Abbott can position himself to win the next election.
puffy
I am a bit of a bullshit artist (as Mr Bowe has had occasion to point out) but I like you so am going to say that it would be a good idea for you to figure out a way of letting the hatred go. Hatred generally makes no difference to the hated object. Life has shown me over and over again that carrying hatred is like carrying acid in your veins – it chews you up.
kezza2
Put a big fat bell on the cat’s neck. If he hasn’t had one before it may work for a week or so until he works out how to not jingle it.
Protesters in East Timor have demonstrated outside the Australian embassy, claiming police fired at them with tear gas, as a spying row intensifies.
East Timor has accused Australia of secretly bugging ministerial deliberations in Dili in 2004 to gain leverage in negotiations on an oil and gas revenue-sharing deal.
http://www.skynews.com.au/world/article.aspx?id=931812
Boerwar,
I usually get to the place where I realise someone is not worth any more than my disdain. The woman is well on the way there. She can go into that cage with the present incumbent. 😉
Puff – this is the first post, will keep looking for more now –
Puff, the Magic Dragon.@2451 on Newspoll: 54-46 to Coalition; Nielsen: 56-44 | The Poll Bludger
BW
Thanks.
I forgot to say, the tick tocked.
[Who offered the $500 million?]
http://www.ausindustry.gov.au/programs/manufacturing/ats/Pages/default.aspx
thank you Dave.
I hope that some junior in Foreign Affairs has lasted long enough in the job to advise Bishop not to repeat the line she used in the US, wtte, ‘The United States and Australia are working together to restore order in the Philippines.’
Here are some things that Ms Bishop might consider before she lands in Manila:
(1) 90% of the Philippines was not directly affected by Haiyan. The amount of order/disorder in these areas would have been normal
(2) While there was some disorder in the Haiyan-ravaged areas much of it had to do with people who were, literally, beginning to starve.
(3) Implying that the Philippines was incapable of restoring order off its own bat was, of course, matronising and, in the context, inherently racist.
(4) It is a really stupid idea to do an excellent job of responding well, and generously, to a natural disaster in another country and then waste the goodwill by acting in a condescending, matronising way.
Bottom line for Bishop (and Abbott and Morrison): if you can’t say anything useful, STFU.
rua
Thank you.
Let’s hope that some of the stories going around are final-phase negotiation grandstanding and that Holden will survive.
[Let’s hope that some of the stories going around are final-phase negotiation grandstanding and that Holden will survive.]
Yep.
The money is there, legislated and budgeted. So Abbott would need to repeal legislation to stop funds going to GMH and Toyota.
His other option seems to be “tell em to piss off” and we can grab the money without the messy Senate.
Julie Bishop can’t work out why the Chinese are upset with her. Was it the comical exploding Australian Pavlova at the State Dinner, or the dancers in Panda suits?
[Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Posted Saturday, December 7, 2013 at 4:53 pm | PERMALINK
kezza2
Put a big fat bell on the cat’s neck. If he hasn’t had one before it may work for a week or so until he works out how to not jingle it.]
Been there done that. And still doing it. He’s a cunning little bugger, but he got his comeuppance the other day.
In fact, I just sent this story to my DIL (it’s her birthday today) about her cat:
[Anyway, I’ll let you get to, or back to, your celebrations.
Hamlet, Ginnie and I are raising a glass for you.
Speaking of Hammi:
We have a resident pair of magpies here, and each Spring they raise a chick. They’re very protective of the chick and they do so by swooping whomever or whatever they see as a threat. Because of this tendency, Hammi is pretty respectful, if not truly terrified, of them.
He oftens yowls to get inside when they’re on chick-protection rampage.
The other day I heard the parents and the chick kicking up an almighty racket in the back yard. I went to see what was happening.
There were two superbly-sleek male maggies sitting on the fence, and I thought, “Oh no, there’s going to be a territorial fight between the family and the two males.”
Dev can probably tell you how vicious magpies are when they perceive a threat to their territory, let alone if they’re protecting a chick.
That’s if he remembers the dreadful attack suffered by a magpie he and I had taken home (after I hit it with the car) and nursed back to health. When we took it back to let it go to be with its family, they didn’t recognise it and tore it to pieces! Frightful.
I tried to cover Dev’s eyes, and then to distract him, but we were both pretty distraught with the outcome of our interference with nature.
Anyway, while the maggies were all squawking loudly, they didn’t appear to be making any move to attack each other. But the baby magpie was dancing all over the place and kept rushing the kennel in the backyard.
I opened the door to get a closer look, expecting the maggies to fly off, but they stayed and screeched all the louder. Suddenly there was a tremendous yowl from the kennel.
I opened the fly-wire door, just as Ginnie arrived beside me. Before she could go out, a black bundle of scarified fur flew through the air, bolted through the narrow opening, flipped Ginnie for six and disappeared behind the couch.
Absolutely hilarious. Poor old Hammi. He has been pretty constantly in the house, ever since. Ginnie is still recovering her equilibrium from being upended by a mere cat.
Footnote: The two male maggies chirruped to the family, and the family chirruped back, then they hopped off the fence and fed with family for a while and then off they flew. Amazing behaviour. I suspect these male maggies are juveniles from the same family (i.e. raised by the same parents over the past few years). Fascinating.]
I don’t really know what to do, because, quite frankly, I do NOT want a litter box in the house. If you don’t tend it daily, it stinks. I got rid of it a year ago.
And I don’t want an animal locked in a house either. It seems unfair for a creature to have to live in a confined space.
He’s still wearing two bells, but somehow seems to be able to quell the noise – judging by the adult wattle bird deposited on the mat. Grrr.
dave
Job well done.
Puffy
I remember this post. Still Poignant………
Boerwar:
I have never seen JBishop behave towards our Asian neighbours in anything other than a condescending, patronising way.
Thanks all for the advice…I gave the wattle bird some quiet time in a small box with a couple of old towels, and some water. When I took the lid off it flapped around a bit and then flew off over the back fence 🙂
I have never seen JBishop behave in anything other than a condescending, patronising way
Al Dente
I think it went South when she played this as she met them.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=04QoA44c23A
confessions
[I have never seen JBishop behave towards our Asian neighbours in anything other than a condescending, patronising way.]
Her recent visit to Indonesia seems to have struck the right notes, so good on her. She can learn. The China stuff is something we just have to wear. I don’t have any problems with Australia’s position in relation to China. The problem is Abbottpuppy’s grovelling to Japan by telling the Japanese, in Japan, that Japan was Australia’s best friend.
That automatically makes Australia China’s worst enemy.
Hmmmmmmmmmmmmmm…. the Bank of Ghana just needs a few details so that it can shower me with money. Sounds like an Abbott promise, but.
What really astounds me is the coalition in the HOR during QT. They remind me of teenagers who have control of the school yard during recess. They are all as bad as each other. Turnbull actually annoys me more than the others at times.
Anyhow off to a dinner,
Have fun bludgers