Seat of the week: Bowman

Covering Brisbane’s coastal outer south, Andrew Laming’s seat of Bowman came within 64 votes of falling to Labor under Kevin Rudd in 2007, before going dramatically the other way as part of the statewide backlash three years later.

Bowman covers Brisbane’s coastal outer south from Thorneside through Capalaba and Sheldon to Redland Bay, and extends across the southern part of Moreton Bay to North Stradbroke Island. It has existed in name since 1949, but did not include any of its current territory until 1969, instead being based in Brisbane’s inner south-east. The 1969 redistribution caused the redrawn electorate to extend from the mouths of the Brisbane River in the north to the Logan River in the south, the latter also marking the Bowman’s southern extremity today. The area now covered by Bowman began to acquire its suburban character at around this time. With the redistribution of 1977, the southern part of the electorate came to be accommodated by the newly created electorate of Fadden. Bowman’s present dimensions were established when its northern neighbour Bonner was created to accommodate the Wynnum-Manly area at the 2004 election, setting Thorneside as the northern extremity of Bowman.

Bowman in its various permutations has been a marginal seat for most of its history, having been held by the Liberals throughout the Menzies and Holt years outside of a win by Labor as part of its near-victory at the 1961 election. It next changed hands with the big swing to Labor under Gough Whitlam’s leadership in 1969, and would henceforth go with the government of the day until 1998. Leonard Keogh held the seat for Labor from 1969 to 1975 and again after 1983, and also contested unsuccessfully in 1977 and 1980. Keogh was defeated for preselection in 1987 by Con Sciacca, who lost the seat to Liberal candidate Andrea West in 1996 before winning it back again in 1998. The Liberal member during the Fraser years was David Jull, who re-emerged as member for Fadden in 1984.

The reorganisation caused by the creation of Bonner in 2004 boosted the Liberal margin in Bowman by 4.4%, prompting Sciacca to unsuccessfully try his hand in Bonner. Bowman meanwhile was won by Liberal candidate Andrew Laming, an ophthalmologist and World Bank health consultant who added a solid 5.9% to the notional Liberal margin of 3.0%. Laming spent much of 2007 under the shadow of the “printgate” affair, in which he was investigated for allegedly claiming $67,000 to print campaign material for state election candidates, before being cleared two months before the election. After rumblings that the affair might cost him his preselection, Laming survived an 8.9% swing to Labor at the 2007 election to hold on by 64 votes. He had a much easier time of it in 2010, his 10.4% swing being strong even by the standards of Queensland at that election. There was a correction in Labor’s favour of 1.5% at the 2013 election, going slightly against the trend of a 1.3% statewide swing to the Liberal National Party.

Laming was promoted to the position of shadow parliamentary secretary for regional health services and indigenous health after the 2010 election, but was dropped after the Abbott government came to power.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,053 comments on “Seat of the week: Bowman”

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  1. [Barnett says the’ethical bar’ may be set too high for Ministers.
    ]

    So Barnett is suggesting the public want less ethical executive govt – idiot.

  2. [Rudd should have been handled very differently

    Indeed. He should never have been made leader in the first place, following up on a string of leader selection failures in Crean and Latham.

    by Jackol on Nov 5, 2013 at 5:03 pm]

    I think these blind statements are dishonest and are more to do with the conmmenters butt-hurtedness

    Rudd was doing as well as previous first term PMs, in fact quite a lot better, since he foresaw and implemented policies to allay the effects of the GFC and is why Australia avoided recession and the loss of thousands of jobs. To the anti-Rudd people that doesn’t mean anything, they prefer to ignore it….yet it was major achievement, and especially so for a first term PM in party that had spent more than a decade in Opposition.

    This freaking meme that Rudd was failing as leader only arose after his back-stabbing and initially took the form of character assassinations, then later other memes to trash him as a failure. Yet in the short space of time he was allowed, Labor coming cold into govt after a long time he did pretty well. It is very dishonest to slag him otherwise….but I understand that it is necessary for Gillard supporters who need to justify her. And others who simply bought into the meme and dont want to admit they have become part of a farce created by the power brokers.

  3. Rudd verses Gillard is pretty passé at this point. It’s over. Both headed far better governments than the thuggish nitwit PM and his gang of blockheads we have now.

  4. Why hasn’t The Govt made soothing statements to Indonesia, called in the DG of Spooks and made the diplomatic noises required to calm things down?

    The don’t want to, or don’t know how to?

  5. rua

    Bishop is observing the traditional SOP: official silence.

    This makes it all the easier for Marty to keep picking at Abbott’s scab.

  6. http://www.theage.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/labor-dilemma-on-temporary-protection-visas-for-refugees-20131105-2wyhz.html

    [Labor faces an internal debate over whether to shadow the Abbott government closely on refugee policy or oppose the government’s tough plan to restore temporary protection visas.

    With Parliament set to return next Tuesday, the Labor caucus will need to decide whether to wave the plan through or support a Senate block on the regulations to revive the Howard-era policy.]

  7. TP

    You are spot on unfortunately some on here can’t let anything go.

    We are in the mess we are in now because of what happened in June 2010 and the Party never recovered from it.

    It is for that reason I dislike Shorten and Howes and will never forgive them.

    BW

    Slurring TP does not enhance you one little bit.

  8. lizzie
    Labor is already claiming most of the policies as their’s. TPVs will make little real difference, one way or the other.

    The correct policy stance is to pass the Coalition policies and then criticise the Coalition for the next three years for stuffing up all the policies in practice.

  9. [Why hasn’t The Govt made soothing statements to Indonesia, called in the DG of Spooks and made the diplomatic noises required to calm things down?

    The don’t want to, or don’t know how to?]

    Don’t worry, Mark Kenny and Greg Sheridan will write it up as a diplomatic triumph.

    “Showing the nig-nogs how it’s done,” etc.

    They’re not long out of the pampongs, you know.

  10. Rudd had achievements but they will always be overshadowed by his damaging leaks and undermining his own party for three years.

    That is how he will be remembered.

    He should now just go, leave the Parliament so that Labor can rebuild. That can never happen with him there. Never.

    Gillard is getting on with life outside the Parliament. rudd has to do the same to a close it all.

    Failure to do so is just another gift to abbott – just as his white anting for 3 years was.

  11. rua

    If you are around I need a bit of advice if you will:

    I have Xbox on my latest computer and half of my music is in there and half in my Windows Media Player.

    Do you know how I could copy my Windows stuff in to XBox.

    I would appreciate some advice if you could.

    I am no tech head as you may have already guessed.

  12. The Age writing crap as usual.

    TPVs will not be accepted by the ALP, the oh lets wave through stuff reporting will end eventually.

    Did they miss Tony Bourke pleading with Morrison not to introduce TPVs as it will eventually bring women and children unaccompanied?

    If Abbott wants to pass legislation, get it passed in the Parliament.

  13. Labor faces an internal debate over whether to shadow the Abbott government closely on refugee policy or oppose the government’s tough plan to restore temporary protection visas.

    Temporary Protection Visas had no impact on asylum seekers when they were implemented on 20/10/1999. They should require that the government explain to the Senate what they think TPVs will accomplish and how they will work.

  14. MTBW

    [It is for that reason I dislike Shorten and Howes]

    According to your own rules, you can’t say this, because you don’t know them personally.

  15. zoomster

    Grow up!

    And by the way I got no response from you over your allegations that I got work in political offices because of my family affiliations.

    You never did withdraw that comment.

    You were wrong then and you are wrong now.

  16. MTBW@917


    dave

    What proof do you have of white anting! Murdoch journos?

    Ahh – the zoombie argument gets another trot.

    Have a read of “The Stalking of Julia Gillard” by Kerry-Anne Walsh. She worked for Fairfax.

    Albo doesn’t work for murdoch either and he has stated on the public record in a recent interview (during the campaign for the new leader of the party) that everyone knew rudd was leaking and damaging the party.

  17. Buddy’s Blues-Buddy Guy is well worth a listen if people have music streaming stuff.

    In fact any of Buddy Guy’s 60+ albums are worth listening to. 🙂

  18. Barnett:

    [“The bar is too high now – any father, any mother is going to help out their kid to get a driving test,” Mr Barnett told radio Nova 93.7.

    “There was nothing improper or wrong.

    “He’s a dad, it’s his son. Lots of people ring Troy’s office to voice that frustration and Troy’s office will ring through and make sure they get a response.

    “Troy’s son was treated no differently than anyone else.”]

    Except Troy is the relevant state Minister!

    Why are there different standards for conservative MPs than for others?

  19. [Ahh – the zoombie argument gets another trot.]

    The cat was belled on that one ages ago when Gillard freed journos of their secrecy in order to name the times she’d undertaken a whispering campaign against Rudd, as he’d done to her.

    None of them took her up on the offer.

  20. TPVs will not be accepted by the ALP, the oh lets wave through stuff reporting will end eventually.

    The ALP cannot afford to block the LNP agenda on boat borne asylum seekers.

    As has been pointed out, TPVs are basically irrelevant in the debate – if the government “stops the boats”, TPVs are pointless – if the government doesn’t “stop the boats” then the ALP will not be able to attack the government unless they have let the government do what it likes in this area. If the ALP pull a stunt on disallowing TPVs, then the LNP will have an excuse for any failures that they can blame the ALP for.

  21. MTBW@911

    TP

    You are spot on unfortunately some on here can’t let anything go.

    We are in the mess we are in now because of what happened in June 2010 and the Party never recovered from it.

    It is for that reason I dislike Shorten and Howes and will never forgive them.

    BW

    Slurring TP does not enhance you one little bit.

    I agree.

    That was a good post by TP which only stated the facts.

    I now bite my tongue because Shorten was elected leader and deserves a fair go.

  22. [If the ALP pull a stunt on disallowing TPVs, then the LNP will have an excuse for any failures that they can blame the ALP for.]

    They don’t join the Green disallowance stuff, they just say they do not approve of TPVs.

    Anyhoo the way Abbott is treating Indonesia they are probably buying boats from Malaysia to give to people smugglers.

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