With 30 days to go:
• Labor has resolved its preselection difficulty in Dobell by recruiting Emma McBride, a former Wyong councillor and head of pharmacy at Wyong Hospital. McBride is the daughter of Grant McBride, who held the local state electorate of The Entrance from 1992 to 2011. She had initially been a candidate for the original preselection process which had lately hit a brick wall with the non-ratification of Trevor Drake’s endorsement, but announced her withdrawal in May. It evidently took some strong persuasion by party administration to get her back on board.
• Centrebet has hiked the payout on a Labor victory from $4 to $4.80, with the Coalition in from $1.25 to $1.18, and there is now $4.80 to be had on a Labor win from Betfair against $1.26 for the Coalition. Sportsbet and Tom Waterhouse continue to offer $4 on Labor. Sportsbet has lengthened Labor’s odds in Petrie, Moreton and Parramatta but shortened them in Dobell, presumably on the back of McBride’s endorsement. Labor is now paying $2.50 in Dobell and the Coalition $1.50, compared with $3.50 and $1.25 at the start of the week.
Centre
Given Richo’s predictive record that probably means the LNP will retain 8 HOR seats.
The odds have more meaning now than closer to the election.
[ruawake
Posted Thursday, August 8, 2013 at 6:18 pm | PERMALINK
I have the list for ALP campaign NFD in Qld this weekend. Out of 9 seats only 2 are held by the ALP.]
What is an NFD?
Richardson wrote off Gillard many times to. Eventually he got it right.
Centre
Posted Thursday, August 8, 2013 at 6:17 pm | PERMALINK
Graham Richardson reckons Labor will gain 2 or 3 tops in QLD but will lose in NSW and TAS and maybe a seat in Vic.
You are probably looking at 78/79 seats for Coalition.
Centre
Posted Thursday, August 8, 2013 at 6:17 pm | PERMALINK
Graham Richardson reckons Labor will gain 2 or 3 tops in QLD but will lose in NSW and TAS and maybe a seat in Vic.
You are probably looking at 78/79 seats for Coalition.Centre
Posted Thursday, August 8, 2013 at 6:17 pm | PERMALINK
Graham Richardson reckons Labor will gain 2 or 3 tops in QLD but will lose in NSW and TAS and maybe a seat in Vic.
You are probably looking at 78/79 seats for Coalition.Centre
Posted Thursday, August 8, 2013 at 6:17 pm | PERMALINK
Graham Richardson reckons Labor will gain 2 or 3 tops in QLD but will lose in NSW and TAS and maybe a seat in Vic.
You are probably looking at 78/79 seats for Coalition.Centre
Posted Thursday, August 8, 2013 at 6:17 pm | PERMALINK
Graham Richardson reckons Labor will gain 2 or 3 tops in QLD but will lose in NSW and TAS and maybe a seat in Vic.
You are probably looking at 78/79 seats for Coalition.Centre
Posted Thursday, August 8, 2013 at 6:17 pm | PERMALINK
Graham Richardson reckons Labor will gain 2 or 3 tops in QLD but will lose in NSW and TAS and maybe a seat in Vic.
You are probably looking at 78/79 seats for Coalition.
———-
Likely labor win then
Richardson did predict abott to win by 10 seats in 2010
—
guytaur
that is good news – BBC on murdoch – lid is lifted on the 5 years can of worms – what a smelly infestation it is to – all other wrongs pale by comparison – drown the mangy puppies
‘OMG, there are faceless men in the LNP?!!’
No, say it isn’t so! Do they have secret beers at public Bavarian beer cafes and get dressed up as Nazis?
[Jesus I hate George Brandis DH.]
Spider – he is dispicable … I’ve had email exchanges with him …. ’nuff said
@strom_m: Kudos @edmundtadros “@FinancialReview: Poll of Polls now features *9* sources of data. http://t.co/7pEkFxxt3y … http://t.co/yFkydDCdq0
ru
What does
NFD
mean in that context?
I know it can mean
No Fucking Doubt
but that’s not what you mean?
Just saw a GST add for Labor. Short and biting. Quotes by Abbott and Hockey. Very good.
Crank
[Now when it is time for some counter-cyclical debt funded spending we aren’t in the best position to do it]
All that spendings going at the same time all over Australia. Debt is debt’s the word from the Liberal party. We’re the party of surplus is the word from the Liberal party. Bullshit the lot of it.
Gary
Posted Thursday, August 8, 2013 at 6:20 pm | PERMALINK
Richardson wrote off Gillard many times to. Eventually he got it right.
———–
Yes Richardson predicted Gillard to lose by 10 seats in 2010
so going on his record he will be wrong for another 100 + predictions
‘Didn’t take you long to pick up the Newscorpse talking point
I don’t have access to The Australian since the paywall.’
Yes, but I’m sure you have a fax machine. Or has Menzies House cottoned onto this new fangled e-mail thingo yet?
No Richardson is highly respected and his record is not too bad at all.
He thinks Abbott will win but Labor will do much better that Rudd is PM.
what about libs covert school policy (it us in print) to fund all schools as ‘independent’ via coupons direct to parents and dismantling education departments – the disparities will grow and grow … imagine abbott let loose on hospitals
Just because Richo says it doesn’t make it so.
Maxine Mckew getting very close to gloating listing LNP campaign fails
[The odds have more meaning now than closer to the election.]
Why is that Centre?
Because you won’t be able to get on closer to the election 😛
“@betterrant: Best quote ever on #TheDrum “Peter Costello would beat himself off with a stick”. I think you meant ‘him’ @samanthamaiden”
G S T
Mofos!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Richo says a lot of things and hangs out with Alan Jones. You can work it our from there.
[Not everyone in an expensive postcode is super wealthy.]
Indeed, most of them are poor, especially the who ones who earn 150 thousand.
In 2007 it was expected that Labor would do really well in QLD – Rudd being a Queenslander and all – but by the last week of the campaign we were hearing that certain polls were showing that they would be struggling to win more than one or two seats there. A few days later it turned out to be about ten as I recall. So you’ll forgive me if my BS metre is on red alert at the moment, especially since this alleged internal polling has appeared just in time to coincide with Peter Beatty’s reappearance. It all looks just too convenient.
We will get a much better idea about how things are really going when the reputable polls all appear early next week.
Centre
[G S T
Mofos!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!]
GST I understand. What is
Mofos?
Psephos
[
Who cares what One Nation candidates think? One Nation must be down to its last 100 loonies by now.
Jaymes Diaz, by contrast, is the Liberal candidate for a key frontline marginal seat. ]
Diaz was the inaugural winner yesterday.
[Indeed, most of them are poor, especially the who ones who earn 150 thousand.]
Families on $150k in the inner city suburbs of Sydney with 2 kids would be needing to go to the soup kitchen for a feed every now and then :devil:
Richardson is being paid by newsltd
He is not going to go against the newsltd/abbott coalition agenda
Abbott must be in front campaign
adrian
Posted Thursday, August 8, 2013 at 6:20 pm | Permalink
‘OMG, there are faceless men in the LNP?!!’
No, say it isn’t so! Do they have secret beers at public Bavarian beer cafes and get dressed up as Nazis?
——————————————————–
funny
What a loser Peter Costello turned out to be?
I remember him accusing Beazley of being weak!
Beazley fought 2 elections as a Labor leader, Cossie didn’t have the ticker to even be opposition leader, all he had to do was hang round to become PM.
Costello – you deserve it!
1027
I did not know that nobless/richess oblige was law in NSW/inner Sydney now.
Maxine McKew has “deep reservations” about Rudd’s PNG Rendition policies.
Good on you!
The Henry Review should have had the GST on the table – it should have been considered as an option but Rudd and Swan were too scared to include it.
Mod Lib
[Families on $150k]
Your standard useless post.
TH
Ask Shows On, stuffed if I know 😆
The Mo stands for mothers…..you will understand if I don’t give you the rest!
[What is an NFD?]
For me to know and you to find out on Saturday. 😛
Darn@1024
As Kevin Bonham said above, best to ignore internal polling altogether. Internal only becomes external for a reason.
b @ 1033
The Labor Party opposes regressive taxes.
Do you know what a regressive tax is?
Can you understand how a regressive tax works?
Diogs
Will you provide a full list at the end of the campaign of your iDIOt of the day?
The boats have slowed.
Like where you read it first.
That’s right Mod Lib, where you read it first!
What did you read, right here first?
That NOBODY will pay a people smuggler for a boat ride to Australia if they can’t get into Australia 😛
Centre – Cossie a throw away.
Thanks for the no value ‘fish’.
[blackburnpseph
Posted Thursday, August 8, 2013 at 6:34 pm | Permalink
Diogs
Will you provide a full list at the end of the campaign of your iDIOt of the day?]
To be real classy it would be a growing list with a link to the videos.
adrian
[‘OMG, there are faceless men in the LNP?!!’
No, say it isn’t so! Do they have secret beers at public Bavarian beer cafes and get dressed up as Nazis?
]
Quite possibly as it turns out.
[Ardent Nazi took Liberal to extremes.
He was also the last, and most powerful, of the central and eastern European Nazi collaborators and war criminals who infiltrated the Liberal Party from the 1950s and coalesced with Australian rightists to form the “Uglies” faction.]
http://www.smh.com.au/news/obituaries/ardent-nazi-took-liberal-to-extremes/2006/03/03/1141191845008.html
Centre
The GST is also largely discretionary as well – as a consumer you can pay $4 on a $40 product or $40 on a $400 more expensive version of the same product. The reason that the GST is not pulling in is that there has been large scale retail price deflation. Also, the economy is relatively flat and there is less activity in the construction and professional services sectors.
Nick Dole @NicholasDole 6m
Labor has written back to Libs, agreeing to Sunday debate at NPC, broadcast by ABC and split to all networks.
Who was weak?
Karma on weak Costello 🙂
Drum now doing Murdoch
Interesting that they are using PNG as part of their attack run.
Is it a weak link ?
Graeme@871
Yet the surviving 6 heirs to the Walmart fortune have more wealth than the bottom 42% of Americans.
http://www.motherjones.com/mojo/2012/07/walmart-heirs-waltons-wealth-income-inequality
Many of the countries we usually compare ourselves have Inheritance taxes.