With 30 days to go:
• Labor has resolved its preselection difficulty in Dobell by recruiting Emma McBride, a former Wyong councillor and head of pharmacy at Wyong Hospital. McBride is the daughter of Grant McBride, who held the local state electorate of The Entrance from 1992 to 2011. She had initially been a candidate for the original preselection process which had lately hit a brick wall with the non-ratification of Trevor Drake’s endorsement, but announced her withdrawal in May. It evidently took some strong persuasion by party administration to get her back on board.
• Centrebet has hiked the payout on a Labor victory from $4 to $4.80, with the Coalition in from $1.25 to $1.18, and there is now $4.80 to be had on a Labor win from Betfair against $1.26 for the Coalition. Sportsbet and Tom Waterhouse continue to offer $4 on Labor. Sportsbet has lengthened Labor’s odds in Petrie, Moreton and Parramatta but shortened them in Dobell, presumably on the back of McBride’s endorsement. Labor is now paying $2.50 in Dobell and the Coalition $1.50, compared with $3.50 and $1.25 at the start of the week.
[Given how the WA Prisons Department has been performing]
The buck stops with the Emperor. For a self-reliant self-responsible Liberal there’s an awful lot of buck-passing going in.
Compact Crank
Posted Thursday, August 8, 2013 at 5:00 pm | Permalink
@802 – Given how the WA Prisons Department has been performing, I see it as a good thing that they have lots of outsiders brought in to clean out the corrupt and lazy.
Withholding important information from the Minister to the extent he has to do unannounced suprise weekend visits to spot check prisons is a disgrace.
—————————————————-
those withholding were/are the current crop of “imported” high performance executive to manage the dept.
As I said earlier, only one from WA but none of them have worked in WA prisons, and most never in a prison.
Selection criteria appears to be – “spell prison”
FarQU @846 ALP debt spending has not been counter cyclical – it has been procyclical as evidenced by the strong figures that so many here are keen to point to (BISONs as they so lovingly refer to the numbers).
Now when it is time for some counter-cyclical debt funded spending we aren’t in the best position to do it.
ALP Morons – more interested in buying votes then looking after the Nation.
‘When is the ALP bringing in Death Duties and CGT on private homes?’
When are you going to stop making shit up?
When are you and Sean Tisme giving up the tag team act?
[when is he going to launch corruption investigations against Abbott…
Its already happening, malfeasance in office claims referred to AFP.]
With Ettridge as complainant.
[Labor faces trouble in Queensland seats, Coalition polling shows
BY:CHRIS KENNY From: The Australian August 08, 2013 3:09PM
THE Coalition has countered the Labor Party’s audacious Queensland push by revealing devastating internal polling in the Prime Minister’s home state.
A senior Liberal campaign source says that according to the LNP’s intensive marginal seat opinion polling, the ALP is not ahead in any of the key seats in the Sunshine State.]
Interesting….
And just to bring you into the 21st Century
Its named the Department of Corrective Services.
Name changed last century, but that’s where most Libs reside
Psephos
Is this the demographic you think labor should be after?
http://www.theage.com.au/federal-politics/federal-election-2013/when-stephanie-got-her-facts-wrong-one-nation-candidate-makes-gaffe-after-gaffe-in-tv-interview-20130808-2rive.html
glory
Hard
[Fisher
Flynn]
Possible
[Bonner
Dawson
Herbert]
Probable
[Longman
Forde
Brisbane]
Is the way I see it.
Mod Lib – trusting “leaked internal polling” is a mugs game.
Mod Lib
Queensland seems to be the great unknown, if that polling is correct then maybe the Liberals will push 90 seats.
adrian – where’s the ALP evidence that the Coalition want to and are going to lift the GST to fund Federal spending?
Where is the evidence that the Coalition proposal to replace the gold plated ALP NBN with a less expensive solution is a conspiracy with Foxtel?
[Mod Lib
Posted Thursday, August 8, 2013 at 5:07 pm | Permalink
….
A senior Liberal campaign source says that according to the LNP’s intensive marginal seat opinion polling, the ALP is not ahead in any of the key seats in the Sunshine State.
Interesting….]
You think; I have a bridge to sell you; interested?
Yes, we need to start seeing some marginal seat polling.
These massive swings from devastation to near status quo is all very well and good, but is it the heartland coming back or the swingers swinging from the LNP to the ALP…..that is the question!
Mod Lib
Newsltd is so predictbale
in the last month they have come out wiht these so called polls before newspoll
Newsltd has shown Abbott is in trouble
Actually, it’s not even “leaked internal polling”. It’s a Liberal flashing it in the face of journos. Take it with a grain of salt.
‘Mod Lib – trusting “leaked internal polling” is a mugs game.’
Particularly if it comes from prime mug and coalition spruiker, Chris Kenny.
mexicanbeemer
Posted Thursday, August 8, 2013 at 5:09 pm | PERMALINK
Mod Lib
Queensland seems to be the great unknown, if that polling is correct then maybe the Liberals will push 90 seats.
————-
Nope the polls from newsltd hacks are normally the opposite ,
CC
[TH @829 – I’d prefer they have less debt]
Is that the best you can up with?
Pathetic effort.
I like the little juxtaposition created in part by myself mentioning Ettridge and then ML’s link to a Chris Kenny’s report based on hearsay a few levels removed.
Ettride and Kenny are chaff.
“When is the ALP bringing in Death Duties”
Inheritance tax? We can only hope. It works well enough in the Land of the Free. With a high threshold it captures some of the windfall of the children of the super wealthy.
Abbott and his cronies bad week
Guess what its newspoll weekend
Newsltd can not have Abbott behind in the polls
@CC/853
Attacking others is like weakest defense.
Graeme
Does it really or does it only pick up on those that happen to live in a suburb that has become expensive.
I have seen a handful of individual seat polls in the last 6 months, and from my memory all of them have shown about 5 to 20% swing away from the government.
Can anyone remember any individual seat polls showing a swing TO the ALP?
zoidy @873 – so you think the debt financed spending has been counter-cyclical? Prove it.
How delicious it is to see Murdoch’s public pwning of Abbott via the front page of the Tele.
It’s gonna be a creeper (the creep getting creeped)
ru @ 859
Dickson no chance?
Inheritance tax; we don’t need it; we have capital gains tax.
Dobell today was 55%-45% which equates to 2010
Mod Lib
where are these socalled swings against the government
Nup! It is very hard to see where the ALP can make gains.
Sure seats like Forde, Boothsby, Dunkley, Aston, Casey, Brisbane might but it is very difficult to see.
@CC/876
According to WA Barnett, yes.
Even NAB says it’s good and we don’t have enough.
Move it to Infrastructure and Productivity.
One Nation acting as a Proxy for the ALP – how nice.
The coaliton has hardly moved from its 2010
labor is around or has improved from 2010
Mod Lib
Getting desperate quoting Kenny of the Chris flavour.
if the coalition can not get over 45% primary vote , it remains in opposition
Just after 5pm – did you all have a meeting?
[Meguire Bob
Posted Thursday, August 8, 2013 at 5:17 pm | PERMALINK
Mod Lib
where are these socalled swings against the government]
Well there was Wilkie’s seat, I think Bandt’s seat, then there were definitely NSW seats (I think Reachtel??) Husic, Bowen and Shorten’s seats were all polled form memory……all of these were 5%+ swings away from the ALP.
Now we have these reports of leakes Qld polling showing “none” have the ALP in front as well. We dont know which seats, and whether that means 50:50 or something else, but I am just saying all the data from different states, different seats and different polling companies are showing the same thing: a swing away from the government.
This government needs a swing TO IT just to get to minority government even.
[Compact Crank
Posted Thursday, August 8, 2013 at 5:16 pm | Permalink
zoidy @873 – so you think the debt financed spending has been counter-cyclical? Prove it.]
I suppose it you world there was no GFC.
It’s pretty easy to prove, if the government spends and interest rates go up then they are not counter-cylical, example, Howards efforts. If they spend and the interest rate still goes down it is counter-cylical; Rudd’ effort.
A government should balance the economy not the budget.
[shellbell
Posted Thursday, August 8, 2013 at 5:16 pm | PERMALINK
Dobell today was 55%-45% which equates to 2010]
Link? I havent seen this one.
Mod lib
newsltd hack article what you linked to says this
A senior Liberal campaign source says that according to the LNP’s intensive marginal seat opinion polling
——————–
in reality
means Abbott is on his way losing the unloseable election
Zoidlord it is interesting that we have been having an interesting conversation about real issues yet the Libs have been silent until after it finished.
Well I just got here!
You need a few folk to be working to earn money, and pay taxes, so you guys can splash it around you know!!! :devil:
Railway in Quebec files for Bankruptcy ….. Culpability.
ABC in Oz files for Bankruptcy ….. Culpability.
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/election-2013/internal-alp-polling-shows-kevin-rudd-has-a-strong-lead-over-tony-abbott-as-preferred-prime-minister-in-dobell/story-fn9qr68y-1226693037828
Compact Crank
[
One Nation acting as a Proxy for the ALP – how nice
]
Ahem ! It was your venerated desiccated coconut who declared after 1998 that your party had to win back One Nation voters and set about adopting the required policies.
@mexicanbeemer/893
Yes I did notice that.
Quiet frankly it’s appalling on the liberal supporters to attack Labor.
Mod Lib
When Tone is PM and his government has a few problems and i am sitting at work i will think of you (with evil smirk) lol
879
Nonsense. We need both. Neither inheritance or capital gains should be untaxed as not taxing them is a way to make the rich richer over time without them doing anything to deserve it and they are separate taxes.
Capital gains tax taxes increases in property value upon the sale.
Inheritance tax taxes income received because someone died and their wealth needs to be owned be someone alive.