With 31 days left to go:
• ReachTEL has published the results of an automated phone poll of 702 respondents in Kevin Rudd’s electorate of Griffith, and it points to a 4% swing to the Liberal National Party – enough to pare back his margin to 4.5%, and raise doubts about Labor’s prospects in Liberal National Party marginals. The primary votes from the poll are 45.6% for Kevin Rudd, 41.0% for LNP candidate Bill Glasson and 8.0% for the Greens.
• Jaymes Diaz, the Liberal candidate for the crucial western Sydney seat of Greenway, has been a big hit on social media over the past day or two, and not in a good way. Quizzed by a Ten Network reporter about the content of his party’s six-point plan to “stop the boats”, Diaz could manage only one, offering only the clumsiest of platitudes in place of the other five. He was eventually put out of his misery when a minder intervened to bring the interview to a close. Heath Aston of Fairfax offers some interesting background on the circumstances behind his endorsement.
• Also earning raspberries has been David Bradbury, Labor’s member for the equally important western suburbs seat of Lindsay, who queried a radio interviewer about being a Liberal Party member and ominously asked him to reveal what his surname was.
• Labor appears to be in a muddle over who it will run in Craig Thomson’s seat of Dobell. Former Gosford deputy mayor Trevor Drake emerged as the only nominee for preselection a month ago, but the party executive has declined to ratify his endorsement. However, Kevin Rudd has been rebuffed in his approach to one his youthful senior advisers from his first tenure as prime minister, current Coles executive Andrew Charlton, who says he is not available due to family reasons. Ean Higgins of The Australian reports the party had been alerted to a finding by Gosford council’s conduct committee that Drake had failed to disclose interests when council considered development applications from a firm for which he acted as a solicitor, although it cleared him of breaching its code of conduct. Higgins also reports concern over “presentational difficulties” relating to Drake’s status as a former Liberal Party member, and the fact that he doesn’t live in the electorate.
• Two agencies have moved their odds slightly in the Coalition’s favour in the wake of Monday’s poll results. Tom Waterhouse has the Coalition paying $1.24, down from $1.27, with Labor out from $3.50 to $4, while Centrebet has the Coalition in from $1.27 to $1.25 and Labor out from $3.60 to $4.
So the upshot is our media really has no clue about McBride’s profession??
now its being said hird is not standing down
o twitter
=======================================================
McGlynn @anncherie49 1m
WTF? Julie Bishop accusing @KRuddMP of being in some form of psychotic state! @Lateline
Retweeted by Frank Calabrese
From previous PB reports, I thought Ms McBride initially did not want to stand.
Expert pharmacologist reports are often used in cases involving the effect of alcohol on persons
In the age of Google, this McBride woman has remarkably little about her online.
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Ann McGlynn @anncherie49 3m
WTF? Julie Bishop accusing @KRuddMP of being in some form of psychotic state! @Lateline
Retweeted by Frank Calabrese
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AshGhebranious @AshGhebranious 7m
Bishop talks war. New ‘front’. Stupid racist cow. This is not a shadow foreign minister, its a foreigner lifeform #lateline
Retweeted by Bridget O’Flynn
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LeonnAdam Bridget O’Flynn Geoff Pearson julia day
6:04 AM – 7 Aug 13 · Details
myknittingwool
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Reply to @AshGhebranious @BridgetOFlynn
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Simon Banks @SimonBanksHB 8m
.@juliebishopmp confirms LNP plan to rip up agreement with PNG on asylum seekers, just as it appears to be working
Retweeted by Bridget O’Flynn
==========================================================
why so they can turn back boats for votes
Ducky:
[After months of trying, Sussex Street bosses finally convinced Emma McBride to stand in Dobell.]
Sounds like it’s been a project to secure her preselection.
Thanks. Aliquid quotidie novi.
@Mod Lib
There was also a radio show – Cactus Island or some such thing, a fun parody of pretty much everyone.
Labor better take the lead in the polls soon or PB is going to get really mean. Do you Labor folks ever stop infighting?
Psephos,
James Hird played for a team in Canberra I did not support. Eastlake I think it was. Sort of a Collingwood thingy.
To the small extent that I follow the code, I like what Belconnen is doing.
Psephos,
James Hird played for a team in Canberra I did not support. Eastlake I think it was. Sort of a Collingwood thingy.
To the small extent that I follow the code, I like what Belconnen is doing.
Psephos,
James Hird played for a team in Canberra I did not support. Eastlake I think it was. Sort of a Collingwood thingy.
To the small extent that I follow the code, I like what Belconnen is doing.
well its In the msm report she is a doctor
what does it matter really
[Mod Lib
Posted Wednesday, August 7, 2013 at 5:26 pm | PERMALINK
Betfair 1.26 & 4.60 (22% chance ALP win)
Centrebet 1.18 & 4.80 (20% chance ALP win)
Sportsbet 1.24 & 4.00 (24% chance ALP win)]
The 7:30 report interview might be having an effect already!
Betfair now out to 4.70
[ I can’t wait until after the election.
Gillardistas will be screaming at the Ruddites that she could have won the election, especially if Rudd didn’t white ant her.
Ruddites meanwhile will be screaming at the Gillardistas that she destroyed the Labor Party brand.
I’m going to have popcorn at the ready ]
Buy it before the election. If Abbott has any brains, he will immediately institute a popcorn tax – he would easily make enough money to fill his $70 billion black hole.
Tammy Fraser copped quite a bit of abuse and ridicule (actually of the PM partners I can think of she copped the worst). Possibly Zara Holt copped some but she was a flamboyant character.
No one ridiculed Margaret Whitlam or Hazel Hawke (or not in the circles I was in)
Rudd v Murdoch.
At any other time, even as recently as the last election in 2010, no politician with an ounce of political intelligence would have dared to take on Murdoch.
Things are different now. Rudd is smart. He knows Murdoch is vulnerable. He knows the public knows that Murdoch is vulnerable.
And Abbott has no clue that Rudd is quite possibly going to skewer him on this question. Australians hate the idea of some 82 year old billionaire who has disowned Australia, and who has shown his journalistic standards to be officially in the gutter, trying to dictate the terms in an Australian election.
If Abbott had half a brain, he’d be running a mile from Murdoch right now.
Well I’m going to log off, you guys just want a pissing match and slag each other off.
[ There are bigger things at stake than the wounded pride and egos of a few sore losers. ]
Can we please stop discussing Rudd just for one minute?
Bemused what excuse do have for Kevin’s performance tonight… He was a bumbling fool 7 pillars… Fox studios… Maybe he needs to take Phil (apologist for the labor party) Coorey’s and get some sleep.
Davidwh
Abbott will be contesting the 2016 election as PM and some really sad cases here will still be crapping about Gillard and Rudd.
fess,
I did not say that. If I wanted to talk about “Sussex Street” I just wouldn’t: no more than I would say “Canberra”.
Goodnight
O’Flynn @BridgetOFlynn 7m
I gave Monday to Labor. And yesterday. And thanks to Jules Bishop I’m giving today to Labor too. Giving Sunday to Labor too. Next Sunday.
==================================================================================================
there u go from a bystander
CentreBet hasn’t moved all week ML. I don’t think we can read much into the betting at present. Nielsen on the weekend and their state break-ups will be more telling.
TLBD happy to be corrected, but my distinct recollection from Lateline was that J bishop implied that Morrison would be seeking advice from DIMIA about boat arrivals and Indo intel re AS under the caretaker convention. Perhaps not precisely that but WTTHE.
Bishop did exactly the right thing.
When she was asked a question, rather than get angry (like Hockey) she smiled and mocked Rudd and/or the ALP mercilessly.
It was like she was toying with her prey! :devil:
The best question was how ridiculous it was to have Abbott and Hockey saying different things about the magnitude of their cost savings.
She smiled, looked at Tony Jones in the eyes without hesitation and said ‘The really ridiculous thing is for the ALP to release a statement last Friday that showed they had lost $3 Billion every week since their budget less than 3 months ago” or wtte!
Nice work JB, nice work!
I think Murdoch may have over reached with the DT stuff. Too hard and too soon.
By declaring himself so hostile to Labor, Rudd has nothing to lose by going in very hard on News Ltd
It’s been a mixed bag this week and much will depend on who’s economic spin wins the day.
Ducky:
The quoted bit in my comment comes from the news report.
You were asking about previous suggestions McBride had been asked to stand in the past?
Mod Lib
I have to agree with you
Bishop did a lick performance – I did not watch it all but it seemed OK.
Bishop is not a fool although I thought she was a little under prepared in the FA debate.
If Bishop did not have such RW views on so many things, I would rather like her.
😆
[I don’t think we can read much into the betting at present.]
Well many of you may not be able to read much into the betting at present.
Abbott is on the VERGE of winning the 2013 election 😯
The Fed Election market is a classic illiquid market, small number of punters and a small pool of money at this stage. I wouldnt get too excited about the day to day or even week to week movements. The serious punters wont part with their money until the last few days.
For those saying Sonia McMahon was never asked whether Billy was gay:
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/features/a-love-beyond-understanding/story-e6frg6z6-1111114526775
You must be MB’s resident grinch Centre 🙂
johnb78 12m
So remember on Monday when we said the Telegraph front page couldn’t get any more ridiculous this campaign? pic.twitter.com/P2mIpNLLqT
Retweeted by michelle Wollaston
==================================================
this is funny some people are so clever
Centrebet hasn’t moved all week… Was 3.50 alp Sunday now 4.80 but it hasn’t moved all week.
[davidwh
Posted Wednesday, August 7, 2013 at 11:18 pm | PERMALINK
CentreBet hasn’t moved all week ML. I don’t think we can read much into the betting at present. Nielsen on the weekend and their state break-ups will be more telling.]
Agree, no doubt there will be a barrage of polling over the next few days to next Monday.
quote from twitter on Julie Bishop’s performance tonight”
she’s doing asbestos she can…
Thoroughly deserved given her role in dragging out asbestos litigation in hopes of the plaintiffs dying before seeing any compensation. Evil.
Rossmore,
If Scoot were “enraged” he would be quick enough to go to DIAC, as it is now.
His lack of immediacy is a sign of “wtf just happened?”. He is getting advice from Sauron on this one.
Sorry meant SportsBet. It has been fixed on $4 all week.
[Buy it before the election. If Abbott has any brains, he will immediately institute a popcorn tax – he would easily make enough money to fill his $70 billion black hole.]
While we are on this topic, can we get some crazy predictions on what Australia will be like under an Abbott Administration from the Labor supporters.
My guess is we’ll be hearing how the economy will collapse, everyone will be put on Workchoices, Interest Rates will rise to 17%, we’ll go to war with Indonesia and other crazy shit.
The reality? Australia will be very much like it is now except rather than seeing Gillard/Rudd on TV every night you’ll get to see Abbott.
[she’s doing asbestos she can…]
That one gets used every time JBishop gets interviewed. 😆
Rossmore
You make yourself come across like such an authority when it comes to betting.
You have a choice; a) get informed (you can do that by reading my posts, or b) stick to not even having the slightest clue of what you are talking about 😉
Daretotread @ 1489 Sonia did not cop flak for her clothing. The contrary. The split skirt was a sensation, in a good way.
Sex scandals? Don’t forget Jim Cairns and Junie…
Mod Lib@1535
It is worth pointing out that Sonia McMahon was only asked this 35 years later, and after McMahon was long dead.
Comparable? Hardly!
[CentreBet hasn’t moved all week ML]
Yeah, it doesnt take bets either. This so-called ‘election market’ is currently a complete fake. Theyre just pretending to run one to get people to their site.
http://www.theage.com.au/business/something-off-about-election-bets-20130807-2remi.html
mod lib
good point – where is satire on abbott??? he is prime target. censorship?
fess,
There has been a lot of toing and froing about who would stand for Labor in Dobell; over about two months, to my memory.
Ms McBride was mentioned and one commenter here or another said she was considering but declined.
To my memory.