With 31 days left to go:
• ReachTEL has published the results of an automated phone poll of 702 respondents in Kevin Rudd’s electorate of Griffith, and it points to a 4% swing to the Liberal National Party – enough to pare back his margin to 4.5%, and raise doubts about Labor’s prospects in Liberal National Party marginals. The primary votes from the poll are 45.6% for Kevin Rudd, 41.0% for LNP candidate Bill Glasson and 8.0% for the Greens.
• Jaymes Diaz, the Liberal candidate for the crucial western Sydney seat of Greenway, has been a big hit on social media over the past day or two, and not in a good way. Quizzed by a Ten Network reporter about the content of his party’s six-point plan to “stop the boats”, Diaz could manage only one, offering only the clumsiest of platitudes in place of the other five. He was eventually put out of his misery when a minder intervened to bring the interview to a close. Heath Aston of Fairfax offers some interesting background on the circumstances behind his endorsement.
• Also earning raspberries has been David Bradbury, Labor’s member for the equally important western suburbs seat of Lindsay, who queried a radio interviewer about being a Liberal Party member and ominously asked him to reveal what his surname was.
• Labor appears to be in a muddle over who it will run in Craig Thomson’s seat of Dobell. Former Gosford deputy mayor Trevor Drake emerged as the only nominee for preselection a month ago, but the party executive has declined to ratify his endorsement. However, Kevin Rudd has been rebuffed in his approach to one his youthful senior advisers from his first tenure as prime minister, current Coles executive Andrew Charlton, who says he is not available due to family reasons. Ean Higgins of The Australian reports the party had been alerted to a finding by Gosford council’s conduct committee that Drake had failed to disclose interests when council considered development applications from a firm for which he acted as a solicitor, although it cleared him of breaching its code of conduct. Higgins also reports concern over “presentational difficulties” relating to Drake’s status as a former Liberal Party member, and the fact that he doesn’t live in the electorate.
• Two agencies have moved their odds slightly in the Coalition’s favour in the wake of Monday’s poll results. Tom Waterhouse has the Coalition paying $1.24, down from $1.27, with Labor out from $3.50 to $4, while Centrebet has the Coalition in from $1.27 to $1.25 and Labor out from $3.60 to $4.
Pegasus@1291
Thanks, I will have a look at that.
I doubt any will be satisfactory. There is an unholy alliance between the libertarian left who are keen to assert the patients right to liberty from treatment and the economic rationalist right who want to cut costs.
poroti,
You know of said Lady’s antecedents?!
BTW, Miranda seems to have given us the flick. How sad.
For those who missed ACTU president Ged Kearney’s address at the National Press Club today:
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-08-07/national-press-club-ged-kearney/4871480
An observation: the absence of the usual high profile journalists at the front table asking the questions.
[ Thank you for confirming I have offended you, you precious petal. HTFU! ]
Offended? No.
Amused? Slightly.
[ I don’t mind posters I disagree with like Pegasus for instance and even Tisme as they don’t make any pretence about their position. You are in a different category altogether. ]
You simply can’t understand anyone who is not “rusted on” to one side or the other, can you? You just cannot accept that anyone can possibly have a more nuanced view of things political than “RUDD=ALP=GOOD! ABBOTT=LNP=BAD!”
[ OTOH, your hero Tone would be a radical wrecker like all advocates of austerity. ]
So, in your simple-minded universe, anyone who doesn’t hero-worship Rudd must therefore hero-worship Abbott?
How simple, safe and secure life must be for you. I could almost wish my IQ was low enough to share your simplistic world view.
Just watched the 7:30 report. Sales shows he Liberal colours pretty strongly.
She was very very poor, interrupting and getting petulant.
Sales has long been a Lib shill, although she was pro Gillard.
I recall one interview with Malcolm Turnbull where she was so pro him she was writing his policy for him. I actually formally complained to the ABC.
There was a second with Hockey where I swear she was about to jump in his lap and suck her thumb.
[New2This
Posted Wednesday, August 7, 2013 at 8:08 pm | Permalink
What NBN? It hasn’t been worked of for the last ten weeks.]
Well nobody told the hordes of NBN people,plus contractors pulling fibre through all the streets in the suburb I work in (Nundah in Lilley)over the last couple of weeks.
Player One
I have no objection to anyone provided they are honest. If you are a Liberal then be honest about it and say why.
If you are undecided then list clearly and logically what you like about each side and what you do not.
But cut the personal attacks on politicians, because once you do that you pretty much declare yourself for the oppostion.
Just watched 730. I thought it was fine. Sales interrupted constantly, but then so does Tony Jones.
People calling Sales a Lib shill are blowing it out their rear ends.
[I thought it was fine. Sales interrupted constantly]
Err ….
And those upset about the 730 interview can take comfort that tomorrow people will more likely be talking about Patrick dying in Offspring than a political interview.
And yes, Offspring hasn’t aired here yet, and yes, I hate twitter for spoiling it.
Player One@1304
Tsk, tsk, your powers of observation and recollection really must be right down with your IQ.
I have in the past criticised Rudd and will do so any time I think he has done something wrong.
I am critical of aspects of ALP policy as exemplified by my post @ 1301.
But the blind and brainless don’t see or take no notice.
If you genuinely think the ALP and Rudd are not significantly better than the Libs and Abbott, then I genuinely pity you.
An Indi update from NoFibs..
http://nofibs.com.au/2013/08/07/mirabella-under-siege-in-indi/
Perhaps Bemused and Player One could put their pissing contest aside for a while.
fess,
You need to recalibrate: there’s an election coming up.
Well at least we have this issue from tonight’s interview to run interference against Coalition:
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/federal-election-2013/rudd-calls-for-abbott-to-come-clean-on-nbn-discussions-with-murdoch-20130807-2rgx1.html
Right on track kevjohnno… Ahead of schedule.. Here is another interesting article.
http://www.theage.com.au/it-pro/government-it/speed-check-what-nbn-speed-promises-really-mean-20130807-hv180.html
[People calling Sales a Lib shill are blowing it out their rear ends.]
I agree. She’s not a very good interviewer though sometimes she gets to interview very weak individuals e.g. Abbott. Situations like that make her look good.
This little black duck
[
poroti,
You know of said Lady’s antecedents?!]
For the original Miranda Devine then ,yes.
bernice can obv. piss lower.
Ducky:
I’m trying to recalibrate, really I am.
OFF OFF OFF OFF OFF OFF OFF OFF OFF
An Indi update from NoFibs..
http://nofibs.com.au/2013/08/07/mirabella-under-siege-in-indi/
Just the thought of a shock horror Mirabella loss – how good is that?
Just installed a wireless link running just nicely.
zoomster:
Please tell me that the Member for Indi will have her margin slashed.
daretotread@1307
Why would you set the standard for me so much higher than for others here?
Why do you need to know whether I am a Liberal to counter my arguments?
How is my pointing out that Rudd has been untrue to his self-proclaimed principles on many famous occasions a “personal attack”?
As others will readily attest, I regard Abbott as a complete fruit loop, unfit to lead a political party.
Unfortunately, my opinion of Rudd is not much higher.
My preference would be for them both to depart Australian politics. Between them, they have turned the political landscape into a toxic wasteland.
I will vote against Abbott in the forthcoming election. After that, and assuming we get shot of him in this election, then I will vote against Rudd the next chance I get.
If by some misfortune Rudd should lose, I will come back here and remind all the “useful idiots” who have been his spear carriers for the past three years just how badly they have damaged both their beloved party and their own future.
Is that clear enough for you?
Symmetric speed no contention.
well said player one
[Andrew Elder @awelder Protected account 11m
Blogpost: when is that Abbott campaign magic going to kick in? http://andrewelder.blogspot.com.au/2013/08/the-gravity-of-situation.html … ]
Player One
[If by some misfortune Rudd should lose, I will come back here and remind all the “useful idiots” who have been his spear carriers for the past three years just how badly they have damaged both their beloved party and their own future.
]
Would it be worse than the damage done to Labor after Gillard Labor being annihilated and left with less than 50 seats?
Rudd should go on any program and be interviewed. The key is for him to remember he is not talking to the interviewer but to the viewer. Stay calm, smile benignly and talk sense . The point of the exercise is contrast with TA, and showing KR is in control. He should imagine Sales as a worried Westie with a huge mortgage who needs to be reassured. Don’t get angry and don’t take it personally. This is not a battle or a war he is engaged in, it is a stroking exercise of persuasion.
I didn’t see the interview with Sales so Rudd may have done this; I hope so.
New2This@1323
3G or 4G?
William Bowe@1313
Fair enough. It isn’t really much of a contest anyway.
poroti,
I don’t think that is La Divine. OTOH …
Why can the person across the road order an NBN service but not me?
Well at least we have this issue from tonight’s interview to run interference against Coalition:
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/federal-election-2013/rudd-calls-for-abbott-to-come-clean-on-nbn-discussions-with-murdoch-20130807-2rgx1.html
You get what you pay for and the libs are murdochs people who will stop the nbn just as Hockey and Abbott have spoken up for the tobacco companies who also sponsor them.
Abbott and Hockey pushing for pensioners to spend their money on cigs instead of food.
[Opposition Leader Tony Abbott said the hike was “just another tax” and claims it was a health measure were “wrong”.
Mr Abbott said he agreed with the views of shadow treasurer Joe Hockey, who told ABC radio he “didn’t like” the move because of the impact it would have on low-income earners and pensioners.
“Smokes and beers might be the thing that is important to them,” Mr Hockey told ABC radio.
“You can have all the moral indignation that non-smokers have but for pensioners and low-income people this tax increase is going to have a far bigger impact on their everyday budget than it will for someone on $200,000 a year smoking cigars.”
But Professor Rob Moodie, from the Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, said Mr Hockey’s argument was specious.
He pointed to Victorian research showing low-income earners were 13 times more likely to kick the habit than high-income earners when a packet of smokes rose by just $1.
“They’re more likely to actually quit. They convert that money they spend on tobacco into money they can spend on food,” Prof Moodie said.]
fess
It’s difficult to say how it will go – there are so many candidates running.
Although that’s a sign that people are dissatisfied with young Soph, it largely depends on how preference flows are allocated – many candidates who said very loudly last election that their main aim was to get Sophie out still ended up preferencing her.
McGowan’s decision not to preference anyone is thus seriously disappointing – it’s likely that some of her votes will be ruled invalid (sad but true that a significant proportion of people NOT following a HTV stuff up their numbers somewhere and have their votes invalidated, and that’s more likely with a bigger field) and that others will flow back to where they would have gone regardless.
It also means that, in fact, there’s less focus on Sophie than there would be ordinarily. The bells and whistles stuff generated by McGowan’s campaign is diverting attention from her performance.
But Sophie’s feeling the pressure, which is good.
[Why can the person across the road order an NBN service but not me?]
because you are a fuckwit who should not even be allowed near a computer
I probably share the same international links as the NBN.
[They’re more likely to actually quit. They convert that money they spend on tobacco into money they can spend on food,” Prof Moodie said.]
And that is what Abbott and Hockey do not like about the increase in cig prices, pensioners spending their money on food instead of cigarettes.
Yeh Rudd knows exactly how to use the TV media.
[If by some misfortune Rudd should lose, I will come back here and remind all the “useful idiots” who have been his spear carriers for the past three years just how badly they have damaged both their beloved party and their own future.]
You are object of pity. Your heroine all by her little lonesome was about to take Labor way past the S-bend of the toilet. Rudd Labor will save her from having that legacy, has already saved many seats and has actually made Labor competiteve again.
Maybe you should save your butt hurt for the knifing of first term PM for no reason and the whole reason why the public decided Labor was shit this past three years.
[Pegasus
Posted Wednesday, August 7, 2013 at 9:48 pm | PERMALINK
For those who missed ACTU president Ged Kearney’s ]
Who is Ged Kearney?
Should I know her? I feel like I should…..
[Perhaps Bemused and Player One could put their pissing contest aside for a while.]
I can’t think of a clever reply to that one. I don’t think Ole! qualifies.
Rosemour or Less
Posted Wednesday, August 7, 2013 at 8:24 pm | Permalink
‘I am no Rudd-lover, but I can see him for what he is. The guy is extremely tricky and is to be underestimated at one’s peril.’
I really hope you’re right. I don’t see it myself.
You need to look harder Rosemour – and your defeatist attitude
=================================================================
MMMM WELL I remember when the above was not a JG liker either and begged to have rudd back
[Well at least we have this issue from tonight’s interview to run interference against Coalition:]
When Wayne Swan targetted the billionaire miners with remarks, it was labelled by many as class war. How is this different with Murdoch?
Personally I’m loving it, as I assume others here are, but then we’re not the ones whose votes are important.
my say@1343
It seems some people are never satisfied.
And it makes me wonder just how genuine Rosemour was. 🙁
Confessions
I realised Leigh Sales was very partisan Liberal from very early on – well before any of the Rudd/Gillard stuff.
She was VERY pro Turnbull and Hockey, but became more Neutral (even hostile) to Abbott. Her Liberal bias was very evident when she first took over but modified once Gillard took over.
She is reverting to form.
As I say Confessions. L:eigh Sales pro Turnbull interview was the first and ONLY time I ever complained to the ABC. It was way back in 2009.
Current Indi betting odds on Betfair:
Mirabella 1.07
Indie 7.00
ALP 21.00
Greens 34.00
Any other 51.00
castle,
Looks like Kevvie is going the grapple with Rupe.
For the next 30 days he has the new advantage of as much time and video as he wants on our old media.
Better than the Hopoate that Rupe is applying.
[But Sophie’s feeling the pressure, which is good.]
Yes, I suppose it’s too much to hope that she’ll be unceremoniously ejected by voters, and this is a positive step in a safe Liberal seat.
She sounds like a woeful campaigner as well, esp if she manages to get so many people offside and shuns her constituents.
Thats close…